Two Directors at CIMB Group Holdings Berhad sold 850,000 shares at between 7.109MYR and 7.110MYR. The significance rating of the trade was 100/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's director...
GREATER CHINA Sector Internet Monetisation potential and trends of AI agent from the launch of Manus AI. Results CMOC (3993 HK/BUY/HK$6.72/Target: HK$8.70) 2024: Above expectations; copper output up 55% yoy to 650,161 tonnes. COSCO SHIPPING Holdings (1919 HK/BUY/HK$12.58/Target: HK$11.62) 2024: Results in line; more volatile business environment in 2025 but limited valuation ...
2H24 Financial Stability Report: Banking System Remains Sound BNM’s 2H24 Financial Stability Report highlights that while Malaysia is not fully insulated from external risks like US trade policies and geopolitical tensions, the banking system is well-positioned to weather potential headwinds given the strong provision buffers and liquidity position. We maintain MARKET WEIGHT as the risk-reward remains balanced.
Finely Balanced – Focus On Laggards We expect sector earnings growth to ease to 7% in 2025 (from 9% in 2024) due to slower non-interest income growth. While earnings resilience and attractive dividends support the investment case, valuations at +0.5SD above mean and foreign shareholding that is near a five-year high may limit upside. We maintain a MARKET WEIGHT stance, favouring laggards RHB Bank, Hong Leong Bank, and Public Bank for their better riskreward, while adding AMMB for potential capit...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Small-Mid Cap Monthly Reiterate BUY on JBM Healthcare. Sector Automobile Weekly: PV sales decline wow due to seasonal factors. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: Geely, CATL, Fuyao and Desay SV. Results Ping An Healthcare and Technology Company (1833 HK/BUY/HK$7.72/Target:HK$11.00) 2024: Satisfactory results; expect ...
4Q24: Potential Downside Risk To NIM CIMB’s 4Q24 earnings were in line, supported by a lower effective tax rate, while PBT remained flat. With potential NIM downside risk, limited cost-cutting opportunities, +1SD valuations, and a 10-year-high foreign shareholding (35.4%), the stock faces profit-taking risks. Maintain HOLD with a target price of RM8.12 (1.18x 2025F P/B, 11.6% ROE).
GREATER CHINA Economics PMI: Uptick in February. Sector Macau Gaming: Feb 25 GGR beat thanks to tail-end effect post CNY; switch top pick to Galaxy. Results New World Development (17 HK/HOLD/HK$4.82/Target: HK$4.45): 1HFY25: Net loss in line with profit warning and primarily caused by inventory impairment; refinancing progress to be the key. Xinyi Solar Holdings (968 HK/HOLD/HK$3.29/Target: HK$3.60): 2024: Below expectations; industry coordination and production discipline crucial to restore mar...
4Q24 Results: Impacted By NIM Compression CIMB Niaga (93%-owned by CIMB Group) reported 4Q24 earnings of Rp1,693b (-2% qoq, +8% yoy), bringing 2024 earnings to Rp6,826b (+5% yoy). This is in line with estimates, accounting for 99-101% of our and consensus full-year forecasts. 2024 earnings growth of 5% was underpinned by a 10% reduction in provisions for bad loans. However, muted total income (+1% due to 31bp NIM contraction and lower treasury income (-5% yoy) held back overall earnings growth.
Loan Growth Tapers Off Loan growth slowed to 5.5% in Dec 24 (Nov 24: +5.8%), ending the year at the lower end of our 5.5-6.0% forecast due to weaker-than-expected business loan growth. We maintain our 2025 loan growth target of 6.0-7.0%, although the sluggish corporate loans remain a risk. With sector earnings growth likely to trail the broader market’s, we maintain a MARKET WEIGHT stance, favouring laggards like Public Bank, RHB Bank, and Hong Leong Bank.
GREATER CHINA Sector IT Hardware Solid 2024 Shipment Data; recovery in 2025 remains intact. Maintain OVERWEIGHT . INDONESIA Small/Mid Caps Highlights Bukit Asam (PTBA IJ/NOT RATED/Rp2,690) Strong production outlook towards 2029. MALAYSIA Sector Banking Malaysian banks are likely to take a cautious and gradual approach to capital managemen...
Assessing Capital Management Potential We believe that despite their healthy capital adequacy ratios, Malaysian banks are likely to take a cautious and gradual approach to capital management, prioritising sustainability given the uncertainty surrounding the full impact of Basel 4 implementation on capital ratios. Maintain a MARKET WEIGHT stance, favouring laggards RHB, Hong Leong Bank and Public Bank for their better risk-reward.
Positive Outlook Priced In – Focus On Laggards The sector delivered 3Q24 earnings growth of 11% yoy, driven by lower provisions and robust trading and forex income. 9M24 earnings growth of 8% aligns with our fullyear assumption of 8%. With the sector trading at +1.0SD to its historical mean P/B and earnings growth lagging the KLCI (set to ease in 2025), much of the favourable macro outlook seems priced in. Maintain a MARKET WEIGHT stance, favouring laggards RHB, Hong Leong Bank and Public Bank f...
3Q24: Solid ROE Trajectory Priced In CIMB reported 3Q24 earnings that were broadly in line with expectations. 3Q24 earnings growth was underpinned by lower provisions and strong forex income. However, we think that these positives have been priced in with the stock trading at +1SD above its 10-year historical mean P/B. Maintain HOLD and target price of RM8.12 (1.14x 2025F P/B, 11.5% ROE).
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile: Weekly: Suppliers pushing back against BYD’s request for 10% price cut. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, Fuyao and Desay. Small/Mid Cap Highlights Giordano International (709 HK/BUY/HK$1.65/Target: HK$2.55): On track for five-year plan. INDONESIA Strategy Focus On Beneficiaries Of Domestic Policies: Our top picks are BBCA, BBNI, BMRI, BBTN, ASII, SMRA, CTRA, GOTO, CMRY, ACES, SIDO and KLBF. We have an end-25 target of 8,200 for the JCI. MALAYSIA Results...
Positive Growth Trajectory Priced In Management remains optimistic about meeting its 11.0-11.5% ROE target, driven by improving asset quality trends, strong non-interest income, more rational deposit competition and disciplined loan pricing supporting NIM recovery. However, we think these positives have been priced in with CIMB trading at +1SD above its 10-year historical mean PBV. Maintain HOLD and target price of RM8.12 (1.14x 2025F P/B, 11.5% ROE).
GREATER CHINA Sector Internet - China Revitalising momentum evident in initial phase of 11.11 campaign. Results LINK REIT (823 HK/BUY/HK$38.05/Target: HK$45.08) 1HFY25: DPU rises 3.7% yoy, meeting expectations; enhancing resilience amid macro headwinds. Update Prudential (2378 HK/BUY/HK$65.50/Target: HK$126.00) Solid NBP growth on improved sales and margins across few mar...
3Q24: CIMB Niaga Results: Tepid Revenue Growth CIMB Niaga (93%-owned by CIMB Group) reported 3Q24 earnings of Rp1,726b (flat qoq, +3% yoy), bringing 9M24 earnings to Rp5,133b (+5% yoy). This is in line with estimates, accounting for 75-76% of our and consensus full-year forecasts. 9M24 earnings growth of 5% was underpinned by a 17% reduction in provisions for bad loans. However, softer total income (-1% due to NIM contraction and lower forex and derivative income) constrained faster earnings gro...
Loans Growth Tapers Off Loan growth slowed to 5.6% in Sep 24 (Aug 24: 6.0%) due to weaker business loans. We maintain our full-year loan growth target of 6.5-7.0%, supported by strong GDP growth, though weaker-than-expected corporate loans could pose a risk. The sector's riskreward remains balanced in the absence of strong earnings, with 2024/25 earnings growth likely to lag the broader market. Maintain a MARKET WEIGHT stance, focusing on sector laggards such as Public Bank, RHB Bank, and Hong L...
Loan Growth Tapers Off Loan growth slowed to 6.0% in Aug 24 (July: 6.4%) due to weaker business loans. We maintain our full-year loan growth target of 6.5-7.0%, supported by strong GDP growth, though weaker-than-expected corporate loans could pose a risk. The sector's riskreward remains balanced in the absence of strong earnings, with 2024/2025 earnings growth likely to lag the broader market. Maintain a MARKET WEIGHT stance, focusing on sector laggards such as Public Bank, RHB Bank and Hong Leo...
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