A director at Hess Corp sold 342,894 shares at 147.722USD and the significance rating of the trade was 67/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly sho...
Moody's Ratings (Moody's) has completed a periodic review of the ratings of Hess Corporation and other ratings that are associated with this issuer. The review was conducted through a rating committee held on 13 September 2024 in which we reassessed the appropriateness of the ratings in the context...
Upgrading Materials to Market Weight We have discussed for weeks that we will need to see the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) close below their 20-day MAs for 2-3 consecutive days in order to get more cautious. This still has not happened, meaning the short-term trend remains bullish. Closes below their 20-day MAs have been extremely rare since the October 2023 bottom, with buyers stepping-in immediately. Still, we need to be prepared. If we do get 2-3 closes below the 20-day MAs on the S&P 500 an...
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Panoro Energy (PEN NO)C; target price of NOK50 per share: Production update in Gabon – BW Energy reported 3Q23 gross production of 23.2 mbbl/d at Dussafu. This is below our expectations of ~26 mbbl/d due to the period during which production was constrained at two wells due to ESP issues which have now been resolved. Current total Dussafu gross production, with all the Tortue and Hibiscus wells in operation, is ~35,000 bbl/d. Tethys O...
Moody's Investors Service (Moody's) commented that Chevron Corporation's (Chevron, Aa2 stable) agreement to acquire Hess Corporation (Hess, Baa3 under review for upgrade) has no impact on Chevron's credit ratings or outlook. The Hess acquisition will meaningfully increase Chevron's production, provi...
Moody's Investors Service (Moody's) placed Hess Corporation's (Hess) ratings on review for upgrade, including its Baa3 senior unsecured rating. Previously, the outlook was stable. This action follows a definitive agreement reached by Hess to be acquired Chevron Corporation (Chevron, Aa2 stable) in...
Expecting Russell 2000 (IWM) Breakout Above $199 We continue to believe the path of least resistance is higher for the major equity indexes, which has been our stance since our 5/30/23 ETF Pathfinder. We also remain bullish on the S&P 500, and we expect to see support at its 50-day MA moving forward. Beginning with our 7/18/23 Compass, we discussed our expectation for major 1+ year breakouts on the equal-weighted S&P 500 (RSP), Dow, and Russell 2000 (IWM). The breakouts happened later that day ...
Credit markets are slightly overstating HES's credit risk with a YTW of 4.882% relative to an Intrinsic YTW of 4.160%, while CDS markets are overstating HES' credit risk with a CDS of 143bps relative to an Intrinsic CDS of 66bps. Furthermore, Moody's is overstating the firm's fundamental credit risk, with its Baa3 credit rating two notches lower than Valens' IG4+ (Baa1) credit rating. Incentives Dictate Behavior™ analysis highlights mostly positive signals for credit holders. Management's compe...
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C: Target price of A$0.100 per share: 1Q23 update – 1Q23 production in Austria was 299 boe/d. The company held A$3.41 mm in cash at the end of March. Criterium Energy (CEQ CN)C: On track for near term acquisition – The FY22 financials were in line with our expectations. The company held C$3.7 mm in cash at YE22. Criterium has also filed the notice of intention to file a short form prospectus. This could be an indica...
Credit markets are slightly overstating credit risk, with a cash bond YTW of 5.526% and CDS of 121bps relative to an Intrinsic YTW of 4.968% and an Intrinsic CDS of 70bps. Furthermore, Moody's is overstating the firm's fundamental credit risk, with its Baa3 credit rating two notches lower than Valens' IG4+ (Baa1) credit rating. Incentives Dictate Behavior™ analysis highlights mostly positive signals for credit holders. Management's compensation framework should drive them to focus on all three ...
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