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Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

Upgrading Materials to Market Weight We have discussed for weeks that we will need to see the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) close below their 20-day MAs for 2-3 consecutive days in order to get more cautious. This still has not happened, meaning the short-term trend remains bullish. Closes below their 20-day MAs have been extremely rare since the October 2023 bottom, with buyers stepping-in immediately. Still, we need to be prepared. If we do get 2-3 closes below the 20-day MAs on the S&P 500 an...

Hess Corp: 1 director

A director at Hess Corp sold/sold after exercising options 56,925 shares at 146.351USD and the significance rating of the trade was 75/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over t...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

Auctus on Friday - 27/10/2023

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Panoro Energy (PEN NO)C; target price of NOK50 per share: Production update in Gabon – BW Energy reported 3Q23 gross production of 23.2 mbbl/d at Dussafu. This is below our expectations of ~26 mbbl/d due to the period during which production was constrained at two wells due to ESP issues which have now been resolved. Current total Dussafu gross production, with all the Tortue and Hibiscus wells in operation, is ~35,000 bbl/d. Tethys O...

Hess Corporation: Ratings on review for upgrade pending acquisition by...

Hess' ratings were placed on review for upgrade reflecting the planned acquisition by much higher rated Chevron in 1H-2024.

Moody's says Hess all-stock acquisition adds to Chevron's growth and p...

Moody's Investors Service (Moody's) commented that Chevron Corporation's (Chevron, Aa2 stable) agreement to acquire Hess Corporation (Hess, Baa3 under review for upgrade) has no impact on Chevron's credit ratings or outlook. The Hess acquisition will meaningfully increase Chevron's production, provi...

Moody's places Hess Corporation's ratings on review for upgrade

Moody's Investors Service (Moody's) placed Hess Corporation's (Hess) ratings on review for upgrade, including its Baa3 senior unsecured rating. Previously, the outlook was stable. This action follows a definitive agreement reached by Hess to be acquired Chevron Corporation (Chevron, Aa2 stable) in...

Hess Corporation - June 2023 (LTM): Peer Snapshot

Compares key performance metrics against industry peers.

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

Expecting Russell 2000 (IWM) Breakout Above $199 We continue to believe the path of least resistance is higher for the major equity indexes, which has been our stance since our 5/30/23 ETF Pathfinder. We also remain bullish on the S&P 500, and we expect to see support at its 50-day MA moving forward. Beginning with our 7/18/23 Compass, we discussed our expectation for major 1+ year breakouts on the equal-weighted S&P 500 (RSP), Dow, and Russell 2000 (IWM). The breakouts happened later that day ...

Hess Corporation: Guyana adding more production in Q4-2023 boosting ca...

First production from Payara will further increase and diversify cash flow, effectively lowering leverage as the company hold debt flat

Hess Corporation - March 2023 (LTM): Peer Snapshot

Compares key performance metrics against industry peers.

Valens Research
  • Valens Research

HES - Valens Credit Report - 2023 05 17

Credit markets are slightly overstating HES's credit risk with a YTW of 4.882% relative to an Intrinsic YTW of 4.160%, while CDS markets are overstating HES' credit risk with a CDS of 143bps relative to an Intrinsic CDS of 66bps. Furthermore, Moody's is overstating the firm's fundamental credit risk, with its Baa3 credit rating two notches lower than Valens' IG4+ (Baa1) credit rating. Incentives Dictate Behavior™ analysis highlights mostly positive signals for credit holders. Management's compe...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

Auctus on Friday - 28/04/2023

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C: Target price of A$0.100 per share: 1Q23 update – 1Q23 production in Austria was 299 boe/d. The company held A$3.41 mm in cash at the end of March. Criterium Energy (CEQ CN)C: On track for near term acquisition – The FY22 financials were in line with our expectations. The company held C$3.7 mm in cash at YE22. Criterium has also filed the notice of intention to file a short form prospectus. This could be an indica...

Valens Research
  • Valens Research

HES - Valens Credit Report - 2023 03 15

Credit markets are slightly overstating credit risk, with a cash bond YTW of 5.526% and CDS of 121bps relative to an Intrinsic YTW of 4.968% and an Intrinsic CDS of 70bps. Furthermore, Moody's is overstating the firm's fundamental credit risk, with its Baa3 credit rating two notches lower than Valens' IG4+ (Baa1) credit rating. Incentives Dictate Behavior™ analysis highlights mostly positive signals for credit holders. Management's compensation framework should drive them to focus on all three ...

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vital Signs: Actionable charts

In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.

Valens Research
  • Valens Research

HES - Valens Credit Report - 2022 11 17

Credit markets are overstating credit risk with a YTW of 5.577% relative to an Intrinsic YTW of 4.481%, while CDS markets are slightly overstating HES' credit risk with a CDS of 123bps relative to an Intrinsic CDS of 51bps. Furthermore, Moody's is overstating the firm's fundamental credit risk, with its Baa3 credit rating two notches lower than Valens' IG4+ (Baa1) credit rating. Incentives Dictate Behavior™ analysis highlights mostly positive signals for credit holders. Management's compensatio...

Hess Corporation - June 2022 (LTM): Peer Snapshot

Compares key performance metrics against industry peers.

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