The question for capital equipment in general rather, in our view, is how elevated might demand get to in the out years, which will in part demand on the sustainability (and perceived sustainability) of AI data center requirements through 2027 and into the latter parts of this decade, as well as mo
It makes limited sense to us that NVDA would purchase an established PC company given the competition (which would invariably result) with its current customers in the PC and server space, not to mention the negative implications for GMs, as well as the questionable value add (with the bulk of PC s
Last week we: 1. Updated our Anthropic P&L, compute spend estimates and the AI lab’s contributions to AWS and GCP revenues. 2. Lowered our AWS AI revenue after CEO Jassy announced a $15B+ revenue run-rate in the annual letter to shareholders. In this report we make two more adjustments: 1. We have added this morning’s CRWV + Anthropic partnership to our P&L/compute estimates, leading to share adjustments for AWS and GCP. 2. Added an estimate of spend through direct chip sales for both GCP and AW...
Our conversations to date suggest (at least in the near-term) that the March news that certain SMCI employees had conspired to ship significant dollars of servers to China is not having a significant impact on operations. At the same time, we still see a probability that customers, suppliers, and/o
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