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Lucky Cement Ltd: 1 director

A director at Lucky Cement Ltd bought 220,000 shares at 421.936PKR and the significance rating of the trade was 53/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years cl...

Team AKD Research
  • Team AKD Research

LUCK - FY23 Analyst Briefing Takeaways, (AKD Off the Analyst's Desk Au...

Lucky Cement Limited (LUCK) held its analyst briefing yesterday to discuss its FY23 results and provide insights into the company's future outlook. To recall, company posted earnings of PkR43.8/sh in FY23, compared to PkR48.8/sh in the previous year (down 10%YoY). This decline in earnings is majorly attributable to lower dividends from subsidiaries and higher financial charges. Throughout the full year, the company reported local sales of 6.2mn tons, marking a 15%YoY decrease, while the loc...

Rahul Hans
  • Rahul Hans

Lucky Cement: 3QFY23 Review - Resilient core profits despite sluggish ...

Lucky Cement (LUCK) has posted an unconsolidated NPAT of PKR4.0bn (EPS: PKR12.78) for 3QFY23, up 22% QoQ, but down 28% YoY. Earnings came in line with our projected EPS of PKR12.99. On a consolidated basis, LUCK has reported very strong net profits of PKR30.2bn (EPS: PKR67.11 in 3QFY23), up 2.8 YoY, much higher than our expected EPS of PKR37.92. The deviation is due to a one-off revaluation gain booked by LCI on remaining stake of NutriCo Morinaga and strong growth coming from the chemical bu...

Rahul Hans
  • Rahul Hans

Pioneer Cement: 3QFY23 Review - Lower offtake reduced profits; in line

Pioneer Cement Ltd (PIOC) has posted NPAT of PKR950mn (EPS: PKR4.18) for 3QFY23 up 96% YoY but down 19% QoQ, in line with our expected earnings of PKR940mn (EPS: PKR4.14). 9MFY23 net profits stand at PKR2.7bn (EPS: PKR11.91), up 66% YoY. KEY HIGHLIGHTS OF 3QFY23 RESULTS: * Net sales have increased by 18% YoY but are down 11% QoQ to PKR9.1bn in 3QFY23. The QoQ decline in revenue is due to lower volumes by 14% to 0.68mn tons. We expected a topline of PKR9.7bn. * Gross margins have increas...

Rahul Hans
  • Rahul Hans

DG Khan Cement: 3QFY23 Review - Higher other income leads to earnings ...

DG Khan Cement (DGKC) has posted unconsolidated NPAT of PKR1.2bn (EPS: PKR2.69) in 3QFY23, up 118% QoQ but down 18% YoY. The result came higher than our expected EPS of PKR2.17, where elevated other income led to the major deviation. This takes 9MFY23 NPAT to PKR2.1bn (EPS: PKR4.82), down 42% YoY. KEY HIGHLIGHTS OF 3QFY23 RESULT: * Net sales have increased by 13% QoQ and 15% YoY to PKR18.3bn. The sequential increase in sales is contributed by both increase in exports and a surge in local cem...

Rahul Hans
  • Rahul Hans

Pakistan Cements: 3QFY23 Result Previews

BETTER PRICES AND MARGINS TO EXPAND PROFITABILITY IMS Cement Universe profitability is expected to increase by 9% QoQ and 50% YoY to PKR22.5bn in 3QFY23, mainly driven by margins expansion amid higher retention prices. LUCK may book one-off capital gain on its subsidiary LCI’s partial divestment of NutriCo Morinaga. The sector’s gross margins are expected to increase by 1.6ppt QoQ / 3.1ppt YoY to 27% in 3QFY23. Higher increase in cement prices relative to the increase in taxes and energy pric...

Rahul Hans
  • Rahul Hans

Pioneer Cement: 2QFY23 Review - Higher-than-expected margins lead to e...

Pioneer Cement Ltd (PIOC) has posted NPAT of PKR1.2bn (EPS: PKR5.17) for 2QFY23 up 22% YoY and 101% QoQ. This came in much better than our estimated EPS of PKR3.71, with higher-than-expected margins leading to the deviation. 1HFY23 net profits stand at PKR1.8bn (EPS: PKR7.75), up 54% YoY. KEY HIGHLIGHTS OF 2QFY23 RESULTS: * Net sales have increased by 20% YoY and 24% QoQ to PKR10.3bn in 2QFY23. The QoQ increase in revenue is due to higher volumes and retention prices, in our view. We expecte...

Rahul Hans
  • Rahul Hans

DG Khan Cement: 2QFY23 Review - Higher COGS and finance cost reduced p...

DG Khan Cement (DGKC) has posted an unconsolidated NPAT of PKR543mn (EPS: PKR1.24) in 2QFY23, down 57% YoY but up 40% QoQ. The result came broadly in line with our estimated EPS of PKR1.13. The takes 1HFY23 NPAT to PKR932mn (EPS: PKR2.13), down 57% YoY. KEY HIGHLIGHTS OF 2QFY23 RESULT: * Net sales have increased by 19% QoQ, but down 1% YoY to PKR16.2bn. The sequential increase in sales is contributed by both increase in local sales and a surge in local cement prices. We expected topline of P...

Rahul Hans
  • Rahul Hans

Lucky Cement: 2QFY23 Review - Core profits declined on higher COGS

Lucky Cement (LUCK) has posted an unconsolidated NPAT of PKR3.3bn (EPS: PKR10.13) for 2QFY23, up 32% YoY, but down 15% QoQ. Earnings came in lower than our projected EPS of PKR11.31. Higher realized coal and energy prices pushed COGS above our projections. On a consolidated basis, LUCK has reported very strong net profits of PKR11.4bn (EPS: PKR32.51), up 62% YoY, much higher than our expected EPS of PKR19.26. This is due to earlier-than-expected operations of LEPCL post teething issues, and h...

Rahul Hans
  • Rahul Hans

Pakistan Cement – Better prices and offtake to expand profitability

IMS Cement Universe cumulative profitability is expected to increase by 5% QoQ and 15% YoY to PKR15.2bn in 2QFY23, driven by demand resumption post floods and monsoon season. However, sector gross margins are expected to slip by 3ppt QoQ / 1ppt YoY to 24% in 2QFY23. The anticipated reduction in gross margins is due to the increase in inflation, as well as coal and other energy prices during 2QFY23. During the quarter, the IMS Cement cluster underperformed the KSE-100 by 10.1ppt. This may be d...

Rahul Hans
  • Rahul Hans

Pioneer Cement: 1QFY23 Review - Topline beat and flattish margins

Pioneer Cement Ltd (PIOC) has posted NPAT of PKR0.6mn (EPS: PKR2.58) for 1QFY23 up 22% YoY, higher than our esimated NPAT of PKR0.5bn (EPS: PKR2.12). A higher-than-expected topline led to the deviation. Key observations * Net sales have increased by 34% YoY but are down 11% QoQ to PKR8.3bn in 1QFY22, higher than our expected revenue of PKR7.9bn. The increase in QoQ revenue majorly stemmed from a 14% QoQ increase in retention prices, in our view. * Gross margins have reduced by 0.6ppt Yo...

Rahul Hans
  • Rahul Hans

Lucky Cement: 1QFY23 Review - Core performance remains strong

Lucky Cement (LUCK) has posted an unconsolidated NPAT of PKR3.8bn (EPS: PKR11.91) for 1QFY23, up 17% YoY but down 3% QoQ. Earnings have come in higher than our projected EPS of PKR9.88. Major deviation stemmed from higher-than-expected GMs and other income amid dividend received from LMCL. On a consolidated basis, LUCK has reported net profits of PKR5.4bn (EPS: PKR16.85), down 18% YoY. The earnings in 1QFY23 have come in lower-than our expected EPS of PKR20.69. Lower contribution from the aut...

Rahul Hans
  • Rahul Hans

DG Khan Cement: 1QFY23 Review - Lower-than-expected margins lead to ea...

DG Khan Cement (DGKC) has posted an unconsolidated profit of PKR389mn (EPS: PKR0.89) in 1QFY23, down 57% YoY. This came in lower than our expected EPS of PKR1.44, where the major deviation stemmed from lower-than-expected GMs. Key observations * Net sales have increased by 22% YoY and down 8% QoQ to PKR13.6bn. The sequential decline in topline is majorly due to 22% QoQ reduction in local sales. However, the increase in local cement prices have cushioned the topline. Revenue came in line with...

Rahul Hans
  • Rahul Hans

1QFY23 Previews - Profitability to remain firm despite sluggish demand

* IMS Cement Universe’s cumulative profitability is expected to increase by 4% QoQ to PKR12.7bn in 1QFY23. However, it is expected to decline by 1% YoY. * Sector gross margins are expected to slump by 4ppt YoY / 5ppt QoQ to 22% in 1QFY23. The reduction in gross margins is due to the drop in cement offtake by 23% YoY / 21% QoQ to 9.6mn tons and elevated coal prices (sea-based and from Afghanistan). * During the quarter, the IMS Cement cluster outperformed the KSE-100 by c.10ppt. Rea...

Rahul Hans
  • Rahul Hans

Pakistan Cements: Sep’22 - Cement dispatches continue to rebound

According to recent APCMA print, total montly cement dispatches have clocked in at 4.27mn tons representing an increase of 30% compared to Aug’22, but have reduced by 7% from Sep’21. Local cement sales came in at 3.8mn tons up 31% MoM (down 5.4% YoY), whereas exports have jumped by 22% MoM to 0.47mn tons (down 17% YoY). Demand which was initially hampered by the heavy monsoon spell and floods, has started picking up and will continue to rise in 2QFY23 amid increase in construction activity an...

Rahul Hans
  • Rahul Hans

Pioneer Cement: 4QFY22 Review - Higher tax dents better operating perf...

Pioneer Cement Ltd (PIOC) has posted a loss of PKR0.6mn (LPS: PKR2.57) for 4QFY22 from an EPS of PKR3.84 in 4QFY21. Whereas, we estimated NPAT of PKR0.4bn (EPS: PKR1.58). Higher-than-expected effective tax rate led to losses. However, the company’s gross margins and operating profits have improved significantly during the quarter. The result takes net profits in FY22 to PKR1.0bn (EPS: PKR4.62), down 47% YoY. Key observations * Net sales have increased by 51% YoY and 21% QoQ to PKR9.3bn in 4Q...

Rahul Hans
  • Rahul Hans

DG Khan Cement: 4QFY22 Review - Higher tax rate and other expenses led...

DG Khan Cement (DGKC) has posted unconsolidated loss of PKR0.65bn (LPS: PKR1.48) in 4QFY22, from a NPAT of PKR0.87bn (EPS: PKR1.99) in SPLY. Whereas, we expected an EPS of PKR1.14, with the major deviation largely stemmed from higher-than-expected effective tax rate and other expenses. The result takes FY22 NPAT to PKR3.0bn (EPS: PKR6.78), down 18% YoY. The result was accompanied with a final cash dividend of PKR1.0/sh against our expectations of no payout for FY22. KEY OBSERVATIONS * Net sa...

Rahul Hans
  • Rahul Hans

Lucky Cement: 4QFY22 review – Higher-than-expected margins lead to ear...

Lucky Cement (LUCK) has posted an unconsolidated NPAT of PKR4.0bn (EPS: PKR12.34) for 4QFY22, down 28% QoQ. This takes FY22 NPAT to PKR15.3bn (EPS: (PKR47.31) up 9% YoY. The result has come in much higher than our projected EPS of PKR6.50. Major deviation stemmed from higher-than-expected GMs and reversal in other expenses. On a consolidated basis, LUCK has reported net profits of PKR8.8bn (EPS: PKR27.15), up 90% YoY. The earnings in 4QFY22 have come higher than our expected EPS of PKR18.52. ...

Rahul Hans
  • Rahul Hans

Pakistan Cement: 4QFY22 preview – Higher tax and interest will chop ea...

IMS Cement Universe cumulative profitability are expected to decline sharply by 29% QoQ to PKR10.3bn in 4QFY22. However, it is expected to increase by 4% YoY. Despite elevated coal prices (imported and Afghani) and reduced total dispatches, sector gross margin is likely to increase by 1.1ppt to 25% in 4Q. However, 10% one-off super tax will reduce earnings on a QoQ basis. During the quarter, IMS Cement cluster declined by 26%, underperforming KSE-100 by c.18.5ppt. Reasons behind this were i) ...

D.G.Khan Cement Co: 1 director

A director at D.G.Khan Cement Co bought 100,000 shares at 56.520PKR and the significance rating of the trade was 65/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years c...

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