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Lindsay Whipp
  • Lindsay Whipp

PSA Information Technology / IT Services: NTT Data (9613 JT) – The Dat...

Tags: NTT Corp (9432 JT), Equinix (EQIX US), Iron Mountain (IRM US), Amazon (AMZN US), Microsoft (MSFT US), Google (GOOG US), Digital Realty Trust (DLR US), QTS (owned by Blackstone (BX US)), CyrusOne (owned by KKR (KKR US) and Global Infrastructure Partners (pvt), Cyxtera (owned by Brookfield Infrastructure Partners (BIP US)), Cologix (pvt), Meta (META US), Apple (AAPL US), Oracle (ORCL US), Netflix (NFLX US), Money Forward (3994 JT), Digital Realty Trust (DLR US), DataBridge Group (DBRG US), N...

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Japanese Telcos & Internet What to expect in 2025: Mixed

After 3 good years, 2024 was not great for the Japanese incumbents; with KDDI and SoftBank rising modestly and NTT falling, but all underperforming the Nikkei. In our view, risk is rising in Mobile, although we continue to see the sector as fundamentally undervalued. Rakuten performed well in 2024, but this was really to do with balance sheet risk easing on the back of cost cutting/refinancing rather than better traction in Mobile.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Rakuten (Reduce, ¥400, -57%) What might the impact of Rakuten’s share...

Rakuten’s stock rallied sharply yesterday on its announcement that shareholders would receive 1 year of free mobile service. In this short note we attempt to calculate the impact both on the Mobile business and the share price.

Leonard Law ... (+2)
  • Leonard Law
  • Trung Nguyen

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: GMR Hyderabad, Rakuten Group

Leonard Law ... (+2)
  • Leonard Law
  • Trung Nguyen

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: China Water Affairs, Shui On Land, Rakuten Group, Vedanta Resources

Felix Fischer
  • Felix Fischer

Asia Monthly - November 2024 In Review - Lucror Analytics

In our latest Asia Monthly, we discuss the performance of major Asian credit indices and review UST curve movements in November 2024. We also provide a recap of major news and macroeconomic releases, including those from the US, China, India, Indonesia and Japan. In addition, we summarise the Top/Bottom performers, recent USD bond issuances and rating actions in Asian corporate credit, as well as a list of our recent research. The Asia Monthly publication serves to keep investors updated on ...

DZJ COUNTRY GARDEN HOLDINGS CO. LTD.
M04 MGM CHINA HOLDINGS LIMITED
MAS MELCO RESORTS & ENTERTAINMENT LIMITED SPONSORED ADR
JSWSTEEL JSW STEEL LIMITED
00813 SHIMAO GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
XGH CHINA WATER AFFAIRS GROUP LIMITED
00817 ENN ENERGY HOLDINGS LIMITED
CHINA JINMAO HOLDINGS GROUP LIMITED
01238 CENTRAL CHINA REAL ESTATE LIMITED
00992 POWERLONG REAL ESTATE HOLDINGS LTD.
VED LENOVO GROUP LIMITED
02777 VEDANTA RESOURCES PLC
03383 GUANGZHOU R&F PROPERTIES CO. LTD. CLASS H
GJTL AGILE GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
TATASTEEL PT GAJAH TUNGGAL TBK
4755 TATA STEEL LIMITED
MEDC RAKUTEN INC.
ICT PT MEDCO ENERGI INTERNASIONAL TBK
01098 INTERNATIONAL CONTAINER TERMINAL SERVICES INC.
00603 ROAD KING INFRASTRUCTURE LIMITED
OL5 CHINA OIL & GAS GROUP LTD.
Z25 SHUI ON LAND LTD.
LPKR YANLORD LAND GROUP LIMITED
SXC PT LIPPO KARAWACI TBK
03377 SUNNY OPTICAL TECHNOLOGY (GROUP) CO. LTD.
00880 SINO-OCEAN GROUP HOLDING LTD.
INDY SJM HOLDINGS LIMITED
8WY PT INDIKA ENERGY TBK
01668 WYNN MACAU LTD.
WFG1 CHINA SOUTH CITY HOLDINGS LIMITED
SCNR WEST CHINA CEMENT LTD.
01030 SUNAC CHINA HOLDINGS LTD.
00884 SEAZEN GROUP LTD.
JPFA CIFI HOLDINGS (GROUP) CO. LTD.
00142 JAPFA COMFEED INDONESIA
600803 FIRST PACIFIC CO. LTD.
KIJA ENN ECOLOGICAL HOLDINGS (A)
BIOCON PT KAWASAN INDUSTRI JABABEKA TBK CLASS A
9984 BIOCON LIMITED
SM SOFTBANK GROUP CORP.
00405 SM INVESTMENTS CORPORATION
KOU YUEXIU REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST
VLL KWG GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
00656 VISTA LAND & LIFESCAPES INC.
ADANIPORTS FOSUN INTERNATIONAL LIMITED
5AO ADANI PORTS & SPECIAL ECONOMIC ZONE LTD.
PWON ANTON OILFIELD SERVICES GROUP
ICBP PT PAKUWON JATI TBK
TBIG PT INDOFOOD CBP SUKSES MAKMUR TBK
599A PT TOWER BERSAMA INFRASTRUCTURE TBK
TATAMOTORS SANDS CHINA LTD.
ADANITRANS TATA MOTORS LIMITED
POWR ADANI TRANSMISSION LTD.
AZRE PT CIKARANG LISTRINDO TBK
01112 AZURE POWER GLOBAL LTD.
MSC HEALTH AND HAPPINESS (H&H) INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LIMITED
ADANIGREEN STUDIO CITY INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS ADS
00017 ADANI GREEN ENERGY LIMITED
RNW NEW WORLD DEVELOPMENT CO. LTD.
PGEO RENEW ENERGY GLOBAL PLC
PT. PERTAMINA GEOTHERMAL ENERGY
Felix Fischer
  • Felix Fischer

Asia Trade Book - November 2024 - Lucror Analytics

The Asia Trade Book for November 2024 includes a summary of our recommendations, as well as our high-conviction ideas. The report also features relative-value charts and lists of the bonds across Asia HY and crossover credits. Please reach out to our analysts to discuss any of these ideas, or other trade recommendations from our Asia coverage.

DZJ COUNTRY GARDEN HOLDINGS CO. LTD.
M04 MGM CHINA HOLDINGS LIMITED
MAS MELCO RESORTS & ENTERTAINMENT LIMITED SPONSORED ADR
JSWSTEEL JSW STEEL LIMITED
00813 SHIMAO GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
XGH CHINA WATER AFFAIRS GROUP LIMITED
00817 ENN ENERGY HOLDINGS LIMITED
CHINA JINMAO HOLDINGS GROUP LIMITED
01238 CENTRAL CHINA REAL ESTATE LIMITED
00992 POWERLONG REAL ESTATE HOLDINGS LTD.
VED LENOVO GROUP LIMITED
02777 VEDANTA RESOURCES PLC
03383 GUANGZHOU R&F PROPERTIES CO. LTD. CLASS H
GJTL AGILE GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
TATASTEEL PT GAJAH TUNGGAL TBK
4755 TATA STEEL LIMITED
MEDC RAKUTEN INC.
ICT PT MEDCO ENERGI INTERNASIONAL TBK
01098 INTERNATIONAL CONTAINER TERMINAL SERVICES INC.
00603 ROAD KING INFRASTRUCTURE LIMITED
OL5 CHINA OIL & GAS GROUP LTD.
Z25 SHUI ON LAND LTD.
LPKR YANLORD LAND GROUP LIMITED
SXC PT LIPPO KARAWACI TBK
03377 SUNNY OPTICAL TECHNOLOGY (GROUP) CO. LTD.
00880 SINO-OCEAN GROUP HOLDING LTD.
INDY SJM HOLDINGS LIMITED
8WY PT INDIKA ENERGY TBK
01668 WYNN MACAU LTD.
WFG1 CHINA SOUTH CITY HOLDINGS LIMITED
SCNR WEST CHINA CEMENT LTD.
01030 SUNAC CHINA HOLDINGS LTD.
00884 SEAZEN GROUP LTD.
JPFA CIFI HOLDINGS (GROUP) CO. LTD.
00142 JAPFA COMFEED INDONESIA
600803 FIRST PACIFIC CO. LTD.
KIJA ENN ECOLOGICAL HOLDINGS (A)
BIOCON PT KAWASAN INDUSTRI JABABEKA TBK CLASS A
9984 BIOCON LIMITED
SM SOFTBANK GROUP CORP.
00405 SM INVESTMENTS CORPORATION
KOU YUEXIU REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST
VLL KWG GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
00656 VISTA LAND & LIFESCAPES INC.
ADANIPORTS FOSUN INTERNATIONAL LIMITED
5AO ADANI PORTS & SPECIAL ECONOMIC ZONE LTD.
PWON ANTON OILFIELD SERVICES GROUP
ICBP PT PAKUWON JATI TBK
TBIG PT INDOFOOD CBP SUKSES MAKMUR TBK
599A PT TOWER BERSAMA INFRASTRUCTURE TBK
TATAMOTORS SANDS CHINA LTD.
ADANITRANS TATA MOTORS LIMITED
POWR ADANI TRANSMISSION LTD.
AZRE PT CIKARANG LISTRINDO TBK
01112 AZURE POWER GLOBAL LTD.
MSC HEALTH AND HAPPINESS (H&H) INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LIMITED
ADANIGREEN STUDIO CITY INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS ADS
00017 ADANI GREEN ENERGY LIMITED
RNW NEW WORLD DEVELOPMENT CO. LTD.
PGEO RENEW ENERGY GLOBAL PLC
PT. PERTAMINA GEOTHERMAL ENERGY
Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Rakuten (Reduce, ¥400, -53%) Could fading mobile traction lead to an ...

Improved momentum at Rakuten Mobile at the start of 2024 has now faded. This in turn could lead to a write-down of the mobile business. Non-cash so irrelevant you think?

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Japanese Telcos Q2 FY24 review: Stable growth with better profitabili...

Service revenue slowed for the incumbents but stayed in the low-single digit band, with Softbank still ahead followed by NTT. Mobile divergence continues to play out with SB leading the pack and is likely to remain so in our view. Industry EBITDA improved as NTT inflected to growth and led to a strong EBIT beat this quarter.

Pelham Smithers
  • Pelham Smithers

PSA Internet / eCommerce: Rakuten (4755 JT) FY24 Q3 Results

Pelham Smithers reviews the FY24 Q3 performance of Rakuten which saw the firm move into the black, boosted by a +53% YoY increase in the Fintech business. The key question is whether the stock is likely to hit EV/adj OP of 15~16x within three years?

Si Yong Ng ... (+2)
  • Si Yong Ng
  • Trung Nguyen

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Samvardhana Motherson, Fosun International, Rakuten Group

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Rakuten (Reduce, ¥400, -58%) Q3 24 Quick Take: Mobile traction fading...

Rakuten reported mixed results as revenue and EBIT were slightly ahead of expectations, but net profit recorded a large miss. The company has redefined Mobile EBITDA to include ecosystem benefits which seems disingenuous to us when it is apparent it is unable to achieve breakeven within by the end of this year.

Lindsay Whipp
  • Lindsay Whipp

PSA ERP Software / IT Services: NTT Data (9613 JT) FY24 Q2 Results

Analyst Lindsay Whipp takes us through the blowout quarter from NTT Data and reviews the outlook for the full year.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

NTT (Buy, TP: ¥240, +59%) Q2 FY24 Quick Take: Decent beat on topline ...

NTT outperformed expectations for revenue and EBIT by 1.6% and 4.8% respectively, backed by another strong quarter for Global Solutions and easing decline in its Fixed Line business.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

KDDI (Buy, TP: ¥6,600, +39%) KDDI indicating a structural step up in S...

KDDI today announced an increase in their share buyback from ¥300-¥400bn this year. On the call, the company indicated that this pace could be maintained at least for next year suggesting a structural increase in share buybacks. Thoughts below.

Felix Fischer
  • Felix Fischer

Asia Monthly - October 2024 In Review - Lucror Analytics

In our latest Asia Monthly, we discuss the performance of major Asian credit indices and review UST curve movements in October 2024. We also provide a recap of major news and macroeconomic releases, including those from the US, China, India, Indonesia and Japan. In addition, we summarise the Top/Bottom performers, recent USD bond issuances and rating actions in Asian corporate credit, as well as a list of our recent research. The Asia Monthly publication serves to keep investors updated on d...

DZJ COUNTRY GARDEN HOLDINGS CO. LTD.
M04 MGM CHINA HOLDINGS LIMITED
MAS MELCO RESORTS & ENTERTAINMENT LIMITED SPONSORED ADR
JSWSTEEL JSW STEEL LIMITED
00813 SHIMAO GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
XGH CHINA WATER AFFAIRS GROUP LIMITED
00817 ENN ENERGY HOLDINGS LIMITED
CHINA JINMAO HOLDINGS GROUP LIMITED
01238 CENTRAL CHINA REAL ESTATE LIMITED
00992 POWERLONG REAL ESTATE HOLDINGS LTD.
VED LENOVO GROUP LIMITED
02777 VEDANTA RESOURCES PLC
03383 GUANGZHOU R&F PROPERTIES CO. LTD. CLASS H
GJTL AGILE GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
TATASTEEL PT GAJAH TUNGGAL TBK
4755 TATA STEEL LIMITED
MEDC RAKUTEN INC.
ICT PT MEDCO ENERGI INTERNASIONAL TBK
01098 INTERNATIONAL CONTAINER TERMINAL SERVICES INC.
00603 ROAD KING INFRASTRUCTURE LIMITED
OL5 CHINA OIL & GAS GROUP LTD.
Z25 SHUI ON LAND LTD.
LPKR YANLORD LAND GROUP LIMITED
SXC PT LIPPO KARAWACI TBK
03377 SUNNY OPTICAL TECHNOLOGY (GROUP) CO. LTD.
00880 SINO-OCEAN GROUP HOLDING LTD.
INDY SJM HOLDINGS LIMITED
8WY PT INDIKA ENERGY TBK
01668 WYNN MACAU LTD.
WFG1 CHINA SOUTH CITY HOLDINGS LIMITED
SCNR WEST CHINA CEMENT LTD.
01030 SUNAC CHINA HOLDINGS LTD.
00884 SEAZEN GROUP LTD.
JPFA CIFI HOLDINGS (GROUP) CO. LTD.
00142 JAPFA COMFEED INDONESIA
600803 FIRST PACIFIC CO. LTD.
PBRX ENN ECOLOGICAL HOLDINGS (A)
KIJA PT PAN BROTHERS TBK
BIOCON PT KAWASAN INDUSTRI JABABEKA TBK CLASS A
9984 BIOCON LIMITED
SM SOFTBANK GROUP CORP.
00405 SM INVESTMENTS CORPORATION
KOU YUEXIU REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST
VLL KWG GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
00656 VISTA LAND & LIFESCAPES INC.
ADANIPORTS FOSUN INTERNATIONAL LIMITED
5AO ADANI PORTS & SPECIAL ECONOMIC ZONE LTD.
PWON ANTON OILFIELD SERVICES GROUP
ICBP PT PAKUWON JATI TBK
TBIG PT INDOFOOD CBP SUKSES MAKMUR TBK
599A PT TOWER BERSAMA INFRASTRUCTURE TBK
TATAMOTORS SANDS CHINA LTD.
ADANITRANS TATA MOTORS LIMITED
POWR ADANI TRANSMISSION LTD.
1171 PT CIKARANG LISTRINDO TBK
AZRE YANZHOU COAL MINING CO. LTD. CLASS H
01112 AZURE POWER GLOBAL LTD.
MSC HEALTH AND HAPPINESS (H&H) INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LIMITED
ADANIGREEN STUDIO CITY INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS ADS
00017 ADANI GREEN ENERGY LIMITED
RNW NEW WORLD DEVELOPMENT CO. LTD.
PGEO RENEW ENERGY GLOBAL PLC
PT. PERTAMINA GEOTHERMAL ENERGY
Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

KDDI (Buy, TP: ¥6,600, +39%) Q2 24 Quick Take: Softer against tougher ...

KDDI’s results were okay in Q2 as it was pegged against a tougher comparable. Topline remained ahead of expectations while EBIT was slightly behind YTD though we believe it is likely to improve on the back of DX, synergies from Lawson, mobile and declining roaming losses from Rakuten

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

KDDI (Buy, TP: ¥6,600, +36%) Kyocera announces it will sell its stake...

Kyocera (KDDI’s number1 shareholder with 16.1% holding) has announced it will sell its stake in KDDI. Thoughts and implications below.

 PRESS RELEASE

NTT DATA Collaborates with Leading Academic Medical System on New Mode...

PLANO, Texas--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- , a global leader in healthcare IT, and Duke Health, a world-class academic and healthcare system, are collaborating to create a highly interactive and technologically advanced model for augmented home care delivery. This new home-care model will integrate multiple technologies, including a GenAI-driven virtual agent from Ellipsis Health, automation, device interoperability, remote patient monitoring and a patient app and portal. The solution will keep medical staff in direct contact with the patient to ensure a human is always in the loop while allowing patien...

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Rakuten (Reduce, ¥400, -56%) Rakuten selling a stake in Rakuten Card ...

Rakuten has announced that the company is no longer proceeding with its Fintech reorganisation, preferring instead to enter a deep alliance with (and probably stake sale to) Mizuho. In this brief note, we address what we think Card is likely to be worth in a sale and the implications for Rakuten.

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