reports
- Jin Yoon
BABA FY2Q25 Results: Monetization Starts to Stabilize for Taobao and T...
What’s new: Alibaba’s reported FY2Q25 revs that were below consensus and our expectations. Taobao and Tmall take rate starts to stabilize partly driven by full-quarter impact from the software service fee and further merchant adoption of Quanzhantui. Margins could see quarterly fluctuations as BABA continues to invest in user experience. We maintain our PT at USD100. Analysts: Jin Yoon
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
Alibaba Group (9988 HK): 2QFY25: Seeking high-quality growth and gradu...
Alibaba’s 2QFY25 results are within expectations. Revenue grew 5% yoy to Rmb236.5b, slightly missing the street’s estimate. Non-GAAP net profit was Rmb36.5b, down 9% yoy and in line with consensus forecast, with net margin of 15.4%. Despite a sequential moderation in GMV growth, we saw a solid performance during the 11.11 campaign due to its strategic execution, and remain optimistic on the cloud and AIDC revenue growth outlook. Maintain BUY with a target price of HK$130.00 (US$130.00).
- Carol Dou Xiao Qin
- Colin Lee
- Johnny Yum Chung Man
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
- Roy Chen Chengzhi
- Sunny Chen
- Tham Mun Hon
Greater China Daily: Monday, November 18, 2024
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Economics Economic Activity October data showed signs of stabilisation, with industrial production slightly missing expectations at 5.3% yoy (-0.1ppt), while retail sales grew 4.8% yoy (+1.6ppt), well above forecasts. FAI ytd growth held steady at 3.4% yoy, although property FAI ytd deteriorated further, down to -10.3% yoy and below expectations. The unemployment rate saw a slight improvement. Overall, the real estate sector remains a key drag on economic performance. Results ...
Moody's Ratings assigns A1 rating to Alibaba's proposed senior unsecur...
Moody's Ratings (Moody's) has assigned an A1 senior unsecured rating to the proposed USD/CNH senior unsecured notes to be issued by Alibaba Group Holding Limited (A1 negative). "The proposed issuance will extend Alibaba's debt maturity profile, provide higher financial flexibility and support ste...
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
China Internet: Revitalising momentum evident in initial phase of 11.1...
Data from the initial phase of the 11.11 campaign set a compelling prelude to a high single-digit GMV growth in 2024. We expect the combination of government trade-in subsidies and 11.11 discounts to stimulate consumer demand, particularly with home appliances and 3C digital products taking the spotlight. We anticipate stabilised competition between traditional and livestreaming e-commerce with a strong emphasis on shelf-based e-commerce. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
China Internet: Encouraging monetisation visibility from adtech and LL...
Lately, internet companies convened their respective AI conferences, unveiling a wide range of upgraded AI products that showcase their AI infrastructure development and AI monetisation potential. We opine that the prevailing trend in adtech upgrades focuses on enhancing marketing efficiency and driving GMV growth, resulting in monetisation improvement. We remain optimistic in view of the favourable regulatory environment and industry development. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
China Internet: Key takeaways from marketing trip.
The key concerns of investors include the sustainability of the recent rally and potential fundamental changes upon policy rollout. We think a valuation repair is underway with the upcoming 11.11 campaign and 3Q/4Q24 results release as a critical juncture. Investors are also becoming increasingly optimistic on mega-cap names such as Tencent, Meituan, Alibaba and JD in view of a favourable regulatory backdrop and stabilised competitive environment. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.
JD JD.COM INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
K3SD BAIDU INC SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
A117ME ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD. SPONSORED ADR
3K1 KINGSOFT CORP. LTD.
002230 IFLYTEK CO. LTD. CLASS A
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
PDD PINDUODUO INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
03690 MEITUAN CLASS B
00780 TONGCHENG-ELONG HOLDINGS LIMITED
2013 WEIMOB INC
TCOM TRIP.COM GROUP LTD. SPONSORED ADR
BEKE KE HOLDINGS INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
09999 NETEASE INC
09618 JD.COM INC. CLASS A
01024 KUAISHOU TECHNOLOGY CLASS B
09888 BAIDU INC
02423 KE HOLDINGS INC.
09961 CTRIP.COM INTERNATIONAL
Taobao and Tmall Group Kicks Off 11.11 Global Shopping Festival 2024 w...
EQS Newswire / 14/10/2024 / 07:00 CET/CEST HANGZHOU, CHINA - - 14 October 2024 - Taobao and Tmall Group ("TTG"), Alibaba Group's domestic commerce business, is kicking off its 16th 11.11 Global Shopping Festival ("11.11" or "Festival") today by putting users first with unprecedented shopping incentives. TTG will offer RMB30 billion ( ~US$4.2 billion) worth of vouchers and red packets in anticipation of the record-high volume of users participating in this year's Festival. "This year's 11.11 is unfolding as Chinese consumer sentiment is improving. TTG serves China's largest and most val...
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
China Internet: Government policy rollout to boost consumption and dri...
In view of a stronger-than-expected government policy rollout, we reckon that the improved consumption sentiment will benefit e-commerce, local life services and OTA companies. In 2H24, we expect the undemanding valuations of internet companies to be repaired by shareholder returns, cross-border expansion and easing competition. Meanwhile, we believe monetisation momentum will be fuelled by AIGC development and adtech upgrades. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.
JD JD.COM INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
K3SD BAIDU INC SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
A117ME ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD. SPONSORED ADR
3K1 KINGSOFT CORP. LTD.
002230 IFLYTEK CO. LTD. CLASS A
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
PDD PINDUODUO INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
03690 MEITUAN CLASS B
00780 TONGCHENG-ELONG HOLDINGS LIMITED
2013 WEIMOB INC
TCOM TRIP.COM GROUP LTD. SPONSORED ADR
BEKE KE HOLDINGS INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
09999 NETEASE INC
09618 JD.COM INC. CLASS A
01024 KUAISHOU TECHNOLOGY CLASS B
09888 PINDUODUO PDD US
02423 BAIDU INC
09961 KE HOLDINGS INC.
CTRIP.COM INTERNATIONAL
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
Alibaba Group (9988 HK): Key takeaways from Apsara Conference 2024.
On 19 Sep 24, Alibaba Apsara Conference 2024 (“云栖大会”) kicked off in Hangzhou. AliCloud officially launched Qwen 2.5, with its flagship model, Qwen 2.5-72B surpassing Llama 405B in performance. AliCloud is committed to investing in AI infrastructure, laying the foundation for AI-driven innovation. AliCloud also reiterated its focus on foundational model development, application innovation and open-source initiatives. Maintain BUY with a target price of HK$95.00 (US$95.00).
- Greater China Research Team
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
Greater China Daily: Monday, September 23, 2024
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Update Alibaba Group (9988 HK/BUY/HK$87.20/Target: HK$95.00) On 19 Sep 24, Alibaba Apsara Conference 2024 (“云栖大会”) kicked off in Hangzhou. AliCloud officially launched Qwen 2.5, with its flagship model, Qwen 2.5-72B surpassing Llama 405B in performance. AliCloud is committed to investing in AI infrastructure, laying the foundation for AI-driven innovation. AliCloud also reiterated its focus on foundational model development, application innovation and open-source initiatives. ...
Alibaba Cloud Empowers Customers and Partners with its Proven Large Mo...
EQS Newswire / 20/09/2024 / 05:15 CET/CEST Global Cloud Leader Collaborates with NVIDIA, XPENG, miHoYo, Atlas, Codium, UNESCO-ICHEI to Drive the Future of Mobility, Gaming, Travel, IT and Education HANGZHOU, CHINA - - 20 September 2024 - Alibaba Cloud, the digital technology and intelligence backbone of Alibaba Group, today announced at its annual flagship event Apsara Conference that its proprietary foundational model Tongyi has attracted over 300,000 customers via its generative AI platform, Model Studio, a significant jump from 90,000 revealed in May. Leveraging Alibaba Cloud's Tongy...
Alibaba Cloud Unveils New AI Models and Revamped Infrastructure for AI...
EQS Newswire / 19/09/2024 / 08:45 CET/CEST Cloud Leader Unveils 100 Open-sourced Qwen 2.5 Multimodal Models and New Text-to-Video AI Model to Bring Visual Creations to a Higher Level Revamped Cloud Infrastructure is Introduced to Maximize Values for Customers HANGZHOU, CHINA - - 19 September 2024 - Alibaba Cloud, the digital technology and intelligence backbone of Alibaba Group, today announced it has released over 100 of its newly-launched large language models, Qwen 2.5, to the global open-source community. This significant contribution was revealed at the Apsara Con...
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
China Internet: 2Q24 results wrap-up: Overall earnings beat; 2H24 outl...
2Q24 revenue growth was lukewarm, hampered by a subdued macro backdrop, but most earnings beats were delivered by internet companies. We expect consumers to continue switching to service- and experience-oriented, which will benefit OTA, local life services and online games amid the summer holiday period. Key catalysts in 2H24 that will drive internet companies’ valuation repair include shareholder returns, cross-border expansion, easing competition and more, in our view. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.
JD JD.COM INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
A117ME ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD. SPONSORED ADR
3K1 KINGSOFT CORP. LTD.
002230 IFLYTEK CO. LTD. CLASS A
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
PDD PINDUODUO INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
03690 MEITUAN CLASS B
00780 TONGCHENG-ELONG HOLDINGS LIMITED
2013 WEIMOB INC
TCOM TRIP.COM GROUP LTD. SPONSORED ADR
BEKE KE HOLDINGS INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
09999 NETEASE INC
09618 JD.COM INC. CLASS A
01024 KUAISHOU TECHNOLOGY CLASS B
02423 KE HOLDINGS INC.
09961 CTRIP.COM INTERNATIONAL
- Greater China Research Team
- Johnny Yum
- Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
- Krit Tanarattananon
- Malaysia Research Team
- Singapore Research Team
- Thailand Research Team
- Vincent Khoo Boo Aik
Regional Strategy: Alpha Picks - September 2022
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: September Conviction Calls: We expect an improving operating performance among selected companies in September, and add AIA, COLI, Desay SV, Galaxy Entertainment, Meituan, Ping An and TUL to our BUY list and add Li Auto as a SELL. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Trailing The JCI’s Strong Performance In Aug 24: Our picks are ICBP, TOWR, BBNI, BMRI, BBRI, EXCL, CTRA, BBTN, CMRY, SIDO and JSMR. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Adapting To A Bipolar Market: Our Al...
TFG THAIFOODS GROUP
02313 SHENZHOU INTERNATIONAL GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
AS7 ANTA SPORTS PRODUCTS LTD.
300014 EVE ENERGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
A117ME ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD. SPONSORED ADR
GRU GEELY AUTOMOBILE HOLDINGS LIMITED
KKP KIATNAKIN BANK
OU8 CENTURION
00016 SUN HUNG KAI PROPERTIES LIMITED
00291 CHINA RESOURCES BEER (HOLDINGS) CO. LTD.
CPF CHAROEN POKPHAND FOODS PUBLIC CO. LTD.
ES ESSO SOCIETE ANONYME FRANCAISE
01109 CHINA RESOURCES LAND LIMITED
00388 HONG KONG EXCHANGES & CLEARING LTD.
CTRA CIPUTRA DEVELOPMENT
STEC SINO-THAI ENGINEERING & CONSTRUCTION PCL
02328 PICC PROPERTY & CASUALTY CO. LTD. CLASS H
600809 SHANXI XINGHUACUN FEN WINE FACTORY CO. LTD. CLASS A
V03 VENTURE CORPORATION LIMITED
ERW ERAWAN GROUP
TOP THAI OIL PUBLIC CO. LTD.
U96 SEMBCORP INDUSTRIES LTD.
SXC SUNNY OPTICAL TECHNOLOGY (GROUP) CO. LTD.
JSMR PT JASA MARGA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
ESSO ESSO (THAILAND)
TTKOM TURK TELEKOMUNIKASYON A.S.
KLBF PT KALBE FARMA TBK
EA ENERGY ABSOLUTE PUBLIC CO. LTD.
TU THAI UNION GROUP PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
COM7 COM7
ADVANC ADVANCED INFO SERVICE PUBLIC CO. LTD.
600585 ANHUI CONCH CEMENT COMPANY LIMITED CLASS A
00027 GALAXY ENTERTAINMENT GROUP LIMITED
BMRI PT BANK MANDIRI (PERSERO) TBK
ORI1 ORIENT OVERSEAS (INTERNATIONAL) LIMITED
MINT MINOR INTERNATIONAL PUBLIC CO. LTD.
Z74 SINGAPORE TELECOMMUNICATIONS LIMITED
MAPI MITRA ADIPERKASA
O39 OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED
BSDE PT BUMI SERPONG DAMAI TBK
300124 SHENZHEN INOVANCE TECHNOLOGY CO. LTD CLASS A
601888 CHINA TOURISM GROUP DUTY FREE CORPORATION LIMITED CLASS A
PTTGC PTT GLOBAL CHEMICAL PUBLIC COMPANY LTD
ACES PT ACE HARDWARE INDONESIA TBK
Q5T FAR EAST HOSPITALITY TRUST
TLKM PT TELKOM INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
ROTI NIPPON INDOSARI CORPINDO
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
601689 NINGBO TUOPU GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
M4B CHINA MERCHANTS BANK CO. LTD. CLASS H
1211 BYD COMPANY LIMITED CLASS H
01997 WHARF REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT CO. LTD.
SE SEA ADS
G13 GENTING SINGAPORE LIMITED
INRI INARI AMERTRON BHD
PTTEP-R PTT EXPLORATION & PRODUCTION PCL NVDR
SIE SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD
GAM GAMUDA BHD
VSI V.S. INDUSTRY BERHAD
BAL BUMITAMA AGRI LTD
SCGB SUNWAY CONSTRUCTION GROUP BH
KPJ KPJ HEALTHCARE BERHAD
SMM SEMBCORP MARINE LTD
MYEG MY EG SERVICES BHD
BURSA BURSA MALAYSIA BHD
MSGB MAH SING GROUP BHD
PMAH PRESS METAL ALUMINIUM HOLDIN
IOI IOI CORP BHD
CPALL TB CP ALL
BAUTO BERMAZ AUTO BHD
GENM GENTING MALAYSIA BHD
MAHB MALAYSIA AIRPORTS HLDGS BHD
06098 COUNTRY GARDEN SERVICES HOLDINGS CO. LTD.
01801 INNOVENT BIOLOGICS INC.
2013 WEIMOB INC
EKO EKOVEST BHD
RGB RGB INTERNATIONAL BHD
SCB-R SIAM COMMERCIAL BANK PCL NVDR
709 GIORDANO INTERNATIONAL LTD
1093 CSPC PHARMACEUTICAL GROUP LTD
FRKN FRENCKEN GROUP LTD
MPM MARCO POLO MARINE LTD
MRDIY MR DIY GROUP M BHD
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
09999 NETEASE INC
2696 SHANGHAI HENLIUS BIOTECH INC
HMN ASCOTT RESIDENCE TRUST
TIDLOR NGERN TID LOR PCL
OR PTT OIL AND RETAIL BUSINESS PUBLIC CO LIMITED
1209 CHINA RESOURCES MIXC LIFESTYLE SERVICES
BUKA BUKALAPAK.COM PT TBK
01024 KUAISHOU TECHNOLOGY CLASS B
06690 HAIER SMART HOME CO. LTD. CLASS H
09888 BAIDU INC
BBTN BANK TABUNGAN NEGARA PERSERO TBK PT
BBNI BANK NEGARA INDONESIA PERSER
EXCL XL AXIATA TBK PT
GOTO GOJEK TOKOPEDIA TBK PT
CMRY PT CISARUA MOUNTAIN DAIRY TBK
02423 KE HOLDINGS INC.
ADOOY PT ADARO ENERGY TBK
SMGR SEMEN INDONESIA PERSERO TBK
NATGATE NATIONGATE HOLDINGS BHD
NCKL PT TRIMEGAH BANGUN PERSADA TBK (HARITA NICKEL)
2232 CRYSTAL INTERNATIONAL GROUP LTD
SUNWAY SUNWAY BHD
HUME ESSO THAILAND PCL
02015 HUME CEMENT INDUSTRIES BHD
09961 LI AUTO INC
BTG CTRIP.COM INTERNATIONAL
LAGENDA BETAGRO PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
KEX LAGENDA PROPERTIES BHD
CVL KERRY EXPRESS THAILAND PCL
CIVMEC LIMITED
- Jin Yoon
BABA FY1Q25 Results: Focus Shift to Monetization
What’s new: Alibaba’s reported FY1Q25 revs that were below consensus and expectations. As market share could start to stabilize, BABA could shift its focus towards monetization where the gap between CMR and GMV growth could further narrow in the next few quarters. We maintain our PT at USD100. Analysts: Jin Yoon
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
Alibaba Group (9988 HK): 1QFY25: Solid cloud revenue growth in 2H24; g...
Alibaba delivered solid 1QFY25 results. Revenue grew 4% yoy to Rmb243.2b, slightly missing the street’s estimate. Non-GAAP net profit was Rmb40.7b, down 9% yoy and is 7% above consensus forecast, with net margin of 16.7%. We remain optimistic on the double-digit revenue growth target for the cloud business in 2H24 and TTG’s take rate improvement upon strategic execution. Maintain BUY with a slightly lower target price of HK$95.00 (US$95.00).
- Bella Lu Yifei
- Greater China Research Team
- Jo Yee Ng
- Johnny Yum Chung Man
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Kate Luang
- Ken Lee
- Ming San Soong
- Ringo Tang Chi Yu
- Shirley Wang Xueyi
- Stella Guo Yuting
- Tham Mun Hon
Greater China Daily: Friday, August 16, 2024
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Economics Economic Activity July macro data was weak, with both FAI and industrial production growth trending lower and missing expectations. FAI ytd growth declined to 3.6% yoy in July, as property related FAI stayed weak, falling 10.2% ytd yoy. Retail sales improved by 0.7ppt to 2.7% yoy in July from June. Together with a surprise uptick in unemployment rate, data points to lacklustre growth. Sector Automobile China’s PV insurance registration grew 10% yoy/14% mom but fe...
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