India’s mobile revenue growth moderated as expected, after lapping last year’s tariff increase. As the IPO of Jio nears, we foresee another potential price increase. Separately for Vodafone Idea, we think AGR relief seems likely but we question whether this is sufficient to enable the company to reach “escape velocity” and become a viable 3rd operator again.
EM & Japanese Telcos have more DC capacity than those in other regions. In this short note, we look at the current and future Data Center (DC) capacity for the telcos in our coverage as well as the potential valuation for these assets, in an attempt to contextualise this exposure.
MOF Inc Set To Exit DNB; DNB’s Operating Losses To Pressure Shareholders’ Bottom Line Highlights MOF Inc has exercised its put options in relation to its existing 41.67% stake in DNB, requiring CelcomDigi, Maxis and YTL Power International (YTL Power) to each fork out RM327.9m to honour the shareholders’ agreement. We expect DNB to operate at a loss (2025 estimated loss is RM1b) in the near term. Our sensitivity analysis suggests -10% and -12% impact to 2026 earnings forecasts for CelcomDigi...
Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: December Conviction Calls Market consolidation slowed in November as expectations of a 25bp Fed cut improved sentiment. The HSI and MSCI China fell 0.2% and 2.4% mom amid weak data and limited catalysts. While the upcoming Economic Work Conference may offer a catalyst to end this phase, we remain cautious, preferring defensives and oversold names. We add BeOne Medicines, HKEX, NetEase and Plover Bay to BUY, take profit on AIA, and cut losses on Jacobson,...
MOF Exercises Put Options For Its 41.67% Stake In DNB Highlights In a recent Bursa announcement by CelcomDigi and Maxis, the Ministry of Finance (MOF) has exercised its put options in relations to its existing 41.67% stake in Digital Nasional Bhd (DNB). The put option notice requires the three investor shareholders, CelcomDigi, Maxis and YTL Power International to purchase the ordinary shares in DNB owned by MOF and take over the MOF loan together with accrued interest. The trio is required ...
EM Telco earnings season was extremely strong, and with 8 of our 10 picks reporting this month, our picks rose 6.8% on average in November and are now up 80% YTD. With Singtel having strongly outperformed, Bharti we swap the latter in for the former; this note also includes key news & other thoughts, to try to help investors generate alpha within the EM Telco space.
Singtel’s numbers were strong yesterday, but we now think Bharti is likely to outperform over the next 6-12 months, given how far Singtel has moved already. In a separate note out today, we are lifting our Bharti price target to INR 2,750 which itself drives an increase in the pt to S$6.2 for Singtel.
Greater China Company Results | Tencent Music Entertainment Group (1698 HK/BUY/HK$84.65/Target: HK$105.00) TME delivered strong 3Q25 results with both the top-line and bottom line beating our expectations. Revenue grew 20.6% yoy to Rmb8.5b, 3% above the street’s estimates. Non-GAAP operating profit jumped 25.2% yoy to Rmb3b, with operating margins edging up 1ppt yoy to 36%. Non-GAAP net profit rose 27.7% yoy to Rmb2.5b, beating consensus expectation by 7%, with net margins expanding 2ppt yoy to ...
Singtel reported a higher underlying net profit of S$1.4b (+14% yoy) in 1HFY26, driven by margin expansion from Optus and NCS, coupled with robust associate contributions. Positively, Singtel revised its FY26 OpCos’ EBIT growth and regional associates' dividend outlook. It also declared a total 1HFY26 dividend of 8.2 S cents/share, implying a 78% dividend payout ratio. BUY on share price weakness with a higher SOTP-based target price of S$5.20 as we narrowed our holding company discount (from 25...
Top Stories Company Results | ComfortDelGro Corp (CD SP/BUY/S$1.48/Target: S$1.76) CD’s 9M25 results were largely in line, with revenue up 14% yoy and core PATMI up 2% yoy on stronger contributions from recent acquisitions and UK contract renewals, partly offset by softer Singapore margins. Maintain BUY with a 4% higher target price of S$1.76. CD offers a 5.5% yield and is supported by its diversified portfolio and improving overseas mix. Company Results | Singapore Telecommunications (ST S...
With shares at all time high, Singtel delivered a strong performance as earnings momentum and capital recycling drove a 17% dividend growth. Underlying core EBITDA and EBIT were led by both Optus and NCS again while associates’ contribution from AIS and Bharti supported earnings.
3Q25: Strong Results; Margin Expansion Promotes EBITDA Target Revision Highlights Maxis recorded strong 3Q25 results, with net profit reported at RM412m (+13% yoy; +4% qoq) on the back of cost discipline and higher service and enterprise revenue base. This brought 9M25 net profit to RM1,181m, making up 79% of house and street estimates. We deem the results to be in line with expectations. Maxis declared a third interim DPS of 4 sen (76% payout) and revised its EBITDA guidance to a mid-single...
Greater China Economics | Inflation October CPI turned positive at 0.2% yoy (+0.5ppt), as food deflation eased to -2.9% yoy, with fresh vegetables and fruits recovering, though pork stayed weak. Core CPI inflation rose to a year-high 1.2% yoy, with both goods and services inflation picking up. Notable strength was observed in other products & services and transportation & communication. PPI deflation narrowed to -2.1% yoy, driven by improvements in mining, raw materials, and downstream consumer ...
LG Uplus delivered a strong set of results as trends improved across the board. Service revenue topped expectations by 1%. The company recognised a one-off voluntary retirement cost which bodes well for future margins. Excluding the impact, underlying EBITDA would accelerate.
Our portfolio of Top Picks was higher again in October, and now up 69% ytd. This month we make no changes to our top picks. This note also includes key news & other thoughts, to try to help investors generate alpha within the EM Telco space.
VodafoneZiggo, Telenet and Virgin Media O2 presented mixed results over 3Q25. Fortunately, KPIs are improving somewhat. Given the competitive end markets, our conviction to buy or sell the notes of any of the three companies remains low. Leverage remained stable QoQ. Nevertheless, we still see upside to the VMED and ZIGGO notes if either Vodafone or Telefonica were to acquire full ownership of their joint ventures or if the businesses where to IPO.
We analyze how much revenue EM Telcos are generating from digital businesses, and therefore at what point they are likely to make the transition from being “Telcos with digital assets” to “Digital first”. We use this to predict when the market is likely to re-rate those exposed, and as a result make multiple upgrades across our GEM Telcos.
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