A director at Singapore Telecommunications Ltd bought 150,000 shares at 3.873SGD and the significance rating of the trade was 93/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the las...
It was another very strong month for our picks as the EM Telco bull market continues. As we have been arguing for some time EM Telco is a much better space than it used to be, and the market has now started to understand this. This note also includes key news & other thoughts, to try to help investors generate alpha within the EM Telco space.
For 1Q25, the sector’s muted 1.7% yoy earnings growth was within expectations, underpinned by strong contributions from Singtel’s regional associates and better overall cost discipline. Moving into 2Q25, we expect similar sector earnings growth, largely driven by Singtel and NetLink. We like Singtel for its regional exposure, Starhub as the main beneficiary of market consolidation and NetLink for its defensive earnings, supported by the sector’s attractive dividend yields. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
Earlier this month we published on how Global EM Telco Capex is falling rapidly, in large part driven by consolidation. On average EM Telco markets have fallen from a peak of 7 players to under 3. We expect many to end up with 2, or even a single network. How much further far might this cut capex?
The Europe HY Trade Book for May 2025 includes current trade recommendations drawn from our European HY coverage universe, along with relative-value scatter plots and tables by industry. We also discuss the US tariff situation and key related impacts.
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile Weekly: PEV sales dip slightly wow. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: BYD, Geely and XPeng. Results Lenovo Group (992 HK/BUY/HK$9.57/Target: HK$12.10) 4QFY25: Core business is solid, but bottom line impacted by non-core items. Update Shenzhou International Group Holdings (2313 HK/BUY/HK$56.90/Target: HK$85.60) Expect unchanged 10% order volume growth for 2025;...
Singtel remains confident it can deliver double-digit ROIC in FY26-27. Key drivers are: a) better profitability from its core mobile businesses; b) strong contributions from its regional associates; and c) better execution from NCS and Nxera. The group has raised its identifiable capital recycling pot from S$6b to S$9b, which we believe will lead to higher dividends and total shareholder return. In turn, this will help to narrow Singtel's holding company discount. Maintain BUY. Raise SOTP-based ...
As we hoped, Singtel has (finally) announced up to S$2bn (US$1.55bn) in share buybacks over the next three years until FY28. Additionally, this year’s dividend per share rose by 13% to S17.0 cents (includes S4.7cents VRD vs S3.8 in FY24).
1Q25: Strong Results On Good Cost Discipline And Enterprise Segment Growth 1Q25 net profit rose 16% qoq to RM371m (+5% yoy), making up 25% of house and street estimates. The sequential growth was driven by cost discipline, enterprise business growth and lower finance charges. Postpaid revenue was stable yoy on the back of continuous pre-to-postpaid migration. Prepaid competition remained intense into the quarter. Maxis declared its first interim net DPS of 4 sen/share (84% payout). BUY on weakne...
GREATER CHINA Update Foxconn Industrial Internet (601138 CH/BUY/Rmb19.22/Target: Rmb25.30) 2Q25 guidance in line; GB200/GB300 smooth production ramp as the key driver for 2025-26. Maintain BUY. INDONESIA Strategy JCI rallies from global tailwinds Market rebound gains momentum amid global tailwinds and rate cut hopes. MALAYSIA Results Maxis (MAXIS MK/BUY/RM3.76/Target: RM4.20) 1Q25: Strong set of results; earnings d...
The 1Q25 earnings reports of VodafoneZiggo, Telenet and Virgin Media O2[de] were soft. When compared to 4Q24, leverage deteriorated across the board in 1Q25, while all companies lost broadband customers. We were especially disappointed by the weaker outlook for VodafoneZiggo. Although all businesses have their intrinsic strengths, there are challenges, as described below, and our conviction to buy or sell the notes is low. We see limited value in current spreads. Nevertheless, there is still ups...
GREATER CHINA Results JD.com (9618 HK/BUY/HK$137.00/Target: HK$185.00): 1Q25: Strong earnings beat; intact 2025 outlook; vague visibility on food delivery. JD Logistics, Inc (2618 HK/BUY/HK$12.24/Target: HK$22.00): 2024: Results broadly in line; revenue growth to accelerate in 2025. Maintain BUY. Tencent Music Entertainment Group (1698 HK/BUY/HK$54.50/Target: HK$68.00): 1Q25: Solid earnings beat; encouraging margin outlook in 2025. INDONESIA Update Trimegah Bangun Persada (NCKL IJ/BUY/Rp670/Tar...
Cost Discipline And Core Business Focus To Drive Earnings We expect Maxis to book a sequentially stronger 1Q25 core net profit of RM330m- 350m. Key drivers include: a) continuation of pre-to-postpaid customer migration, b) bundling of home fibre and other connectivity products to lower the churn rate, and c) stronger growth in the enterprise segment. Margins are expected to be partly dampened by a higher 5G access fee in 2025. Maxis trades at 9x 2025F EV/EBITDA and offers a 4.7% dividend yield. ...
LG Uplus printed a solid profit beat, ahead of expectations by 7% on better service revenue and EBITDA inflecting back to growth, as margins were better managed this quarter. We continue to believe its shareholder remuneration is attractive (5.6% dividend yield + potential buyback announcement in 2Q25). We stay Buyers with a KRW 19k price target.
We analyze the capex history & outlook for Global EM Telcos. For this group capex is falling rapidly (-12% in 2024 in US$) as competitive intensity improves and markets consolidate. Excluding China and India, EM Telco capex is already down 23% from peak.
Despite global volatility our EM Top Picks posted positive returns again in April and now up 34% YTD on average. As we have been arguing for some time EM Telco is a much better space than it used to be and this is now being reflected by the market it seems.
A Defensive Bet; Rational Competition In The Near Term In a risk-off environment, the sector has outperformed the FBMKLCI by 8% ytd. Our recent channel checks suggest competition is rational and telcos are likely to focus on profitability and cash flow. We expect an above-market dividend yield of 5% while sector earnings are expected to grow 4% and 6% in 2025 and 2026 respectively. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT as we watch for pockets of catalysts including monetisation of edotco by Axiata and CelcomDi...
Two Directors at XLSmart Telecom Sejahtera Tbk Pt sold 6,722,914 shares at 2,350.000IDR. The significance rating of the trade was 95/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the...
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