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Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Japanese Telcos & Internet What to expect in 2025: Mixed

After 3 good years, 2024 was not great for the Japanese incumbents; with KDDI and SoftBank rising modestly and NTT falling, but all underperforming the Nikkei. In our view, risk is rising in Mobile, although we continue to see the sector as fundamentally undervalued. Rakuten performed well in 2024, but this was really to do with balance sheet risk easing on the back of cost cutting/refinancing rather than better traction in Mobile.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

SoftBank investing $100bn in AI in the U.S.? Our take.

SoftBank’s CEO, Masa and President-elect Trump announced yesterday that SoftBank is committing to invest $100bn in the US. The investment targets AI and related infrastructure and is expected to create 100,000 jobs in the US.

Felix Fischer ... (+5)
  • Felix Fischer
  • Haidje Rustau
  • Ian Wong
  • Tanvi Arora
  • Trung Nguyen

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Loewen Play, Pfleiderer, Telecom Italia, Alain Afflelou, Maxeda, Forgital, Vallourec, Intrum, Vedanta Resources, Softbank Group, Cheplapharm

Leonard Law ... (+2)
  • Leonard Law
  • Trung Nguyen

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: New World Development, Vedanta Resources, Softbank Group, AAC Technologies

Felix Fischer ... (+6)
  • Felix Fischer
  • Ian Wong
  • Jayanth Kandalam
  • Peter Low
  • Tanvi Arora
  • Trung Nguyen

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Guala Closures, TK Elevator, Boparan, Forgital, Ineos, Ineos Quattro, Axactor, Softbank Group, Encore Capital (formerly Cabot)

Trung Nguyen
  • Trung Nguyen

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Softbank Group

Visa Inc: 1 director

A director at Visa Inc sold/sold after exercising options 35,331 shares at 314.460USD and the significance rating of the trade was 68/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over th...

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Rakuten (Reduce, ¥400, -57%) What might the impact of Rakuten’s share...

Rakuten’s stock rallied sharply yesterday on its announcement that shareholders would receive 1 year of free mobile service. In this short note we attempt to calculate the impact both on the Mobile business and the share price.

Felix Fischer
  • Felix Fischer

Europe HY Trade Book - December 2024 - Lucror Analytics

The Europe HY Trade Book for December 2024 includes current trade recommendations drawn from our European HY coverage universe, along with relative-value scatter plots and tables by industry.

Pelham Smithers
  • Pelham Smithers

PSA Technology: Semiconductor Industry 2025 Outlook

Following the recent results season where several leading semiconductor and SPE companies globally produced either disappointing results or guidance, we look at where the semiconductor industry is at present, where it looks to be headed in 2025 and identify opportunities in the Japanese IC / SPE space.

LOGI LOGITECH INTERNATIONAL S.A.
005930 SAMSUNG ELECTRONICS CO. LTD.
TSFA TAIWAN SEMICONDUCTOR MANUFACTURING CO. LTD. SPONSORED ADR
WDC WESTERN DIGITAL CORPORATION
TER TERADYNE INC.
ORCL ORACLE CORPORATION
ON ON SEMICONDUCTOR CORPORATION
NVDA NVIDIA CORPORATION
MU MICRON TECHNOLOGY INC.
LRCX LAM RESEARCH CORPORATION
INTC INTEL CORPORATION
GOOGL ALPHABET INC. CLASS A
COHR COHERENT INC.
AMAT APPLIED MATERIALS INC.
NFLX NETFLIX INC.
MRVL MARVELL TECHNOLOGY GROUP LTD.
7751 CANON INC.
9697 CAPCOM CO. LTD.
6383 DAIFUKU CO. LTD.
7735 SCREEN HOLDINGS CO. LTD
5803 FUJIKURA LTD
6861 KEYENCE CORPORATION
6501 HITACHI LTD.
000660 SK HYNIX INC
6920 LASERTEC CORP.
6728 ULVAC INC.
6723 RENESAS ELECTRONICS CORPORATION
6902 DENSO CORPORATION
6701 NEC CORP.
7731 NIKON CORP.
7201 NISSAN MOTOR CO. LTD.
7105 MITSUBISHI NICHIYU FORKLIFT
6963 ROHM CO. LTD.
9984 SOFTBANK GROUP CORP.
6758 SONY CORPORATION
6857 ADVANTEST CORP.
8035 TOKYO ELECTRON LTD.
7203 TOYOTA MOTOR CORP.
AIR AIR PARTNER PLC
5930 SAMSUNG ELECTRONICS CO LTD
AMZN AMAZON.COM INC.
AMD ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC.
AAPL APPLE INC.
MSFT MICROSOFT CORPORATION
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
00981 SEMICONDUCTOR MANUFACTURING INTERNATIONAL CORP.
AVGO BROADCOM INC.
3993 PKSHA TECHNOLOGY INC.
6600 JT KIOXIA HOLDINGS (6600 JT)
ASO ACADEMY SPORTS AND OUTDOORS
CRSR CORSAIR GAMING
WOLF WOLFSPEED INC
TSE: 2980 SRE HOLDINGS CORP
688728 GALAXYCORE INC
688234 SICC CO LTD
6526 SOCIONEXT INC
6526 JT SOCIONEXT (6526 JT)
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
ACCL DOLOMITE HOLDINGS LTD
Leonard Law ... (+2)
  • Leonard Law
  • Trung Nguyen

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: GMR Hyderabad, Rakuten Group

Leonard Law ... (+2)
  • Leonard Law
  • Trung Nguyen

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: China Water Affairs, Shui On Land, Rakuten Group, Vedanta Resources

Felix Fischer
  • Felix Fischer

Asia Monthly - November 2024 In Review - Lucror Analytics

In our latest Asia Monthly, we discuss the performance of major Asian credit indices and review UST curve movements in November 2024. We also provide a recap of major news and macroeconomic releases, including those from the US, China, India, Indonesia and Japan. In addition, we summarise the Top/Bottom performers, recent USD bond issuances and rating actions in Asian corporate credit, as well as a list of our recent research. The Asia Monthly publication serves to keep investors updated on ...

DZJ COUNTRY GARDEN HOLDINGS CO. LTD.
M04 MGM CHINA HOLDINGS LIMITED
MAS MELCO RESORTS & ENTERTAINMENT LIMITED SPONSORED ADR
JSWSTEEL JSW STEEL LIMITED
00813 SHIMAO GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
XGH CHINA WATER AFFAIRS GROUP LIMITED
00817 ENN ENERGY HOLDINGS LIMITED
CHINA JINMAO HOLDINGS GROUP LIMITED
01238 CENTRAL CHINA REAL ESTATE LIMITED
00992 POWERLONG REAL ESTATE HOLDINGS LTD.
VED LENOVO GROUP LIMITED
02777 VEDANTA RESOURCES PLC
03383 GUANGZHOU R&F PROPERTIES CO. LTD. CLASS H
GJTL AGILE GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
TATASTEEL PT GAJAH TUNGGAL TBK
4755 TATA STEEL LIMITED
MEDC RAKUTEN INC.
ICT PT MEDCO ENERGI INTERNASIONAL TBK
01098 INTERNATIONAL CONTAINER TERMINAL SERVICES INC.
00603 ROAD KING INFRASTRUCTURE LIMITED
OL5 CHINA OIL & GAS GROUP LTD.
Z25 SHUI ON LAND LTD.
LPKR YANLORD LAND GROUP LIMITED
SXC PT LIPPO KARAWACI TBK
03377 SUNNY OPTICAL TECHNOLOGY (GROUP) CO. LTD.
00880 SINO-OCEAN GROUP HOLDING LTD.
INDY SJM HOLDINGS LIMITED
8WY PT INDIKA ENERGY TBK
01668 WYNN MACAU LTD.
WFG1 CHINA SOUTH CITY HOLDINGS LIMITED
SCNR WEST CHINA CEMENT LTD.
01030 SUNAC CHINA HOLDINGS LTD.
00884 SEAZEN GROUP LTD.
JPFA CIFI HOLDINGS (GROUP) CO. LTD.
00142 JAPFA COMFEED INDONESIA
600803 FIRST PACIFIC CO. LTD.
KIJA ENN ECOLOGICAL HOLDINGS (A)
BIOCON PT KAWASAN INDUSTRI JABABEKA TBK CLASS A
9984 BIOCON LIMITED
SM SOFTBANK GROUP CORP.
00405 SM INVESTMENTS CORPORATION
KOU YUEXIU REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST
VLL KWG GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
00656 VISTA LAND & LIFESCAPES INC.
ADANIPORTS FOSUN INTERNATIONAL LIMITED
5AO ADANI PORTS & SPECIAL ECONOMIC ZONE LTD.
PWON ANTON OILFIELD SERVICES GROUP
ICBP PT PAKUWON JATI TBK
TBIG PT INDOFOOD CBP SUKSES MAKMUR TBK
599A PT TOWER BERSAMA INFRASTRUCTURE TBK
TATAMOTORS SANDS CHINA LTD.
ADANITRANS TATA MOTORS LIMITED
POWR ADANI TRANSMISSION LTD.
AZRE PT CIKARANG LISTRINDO TBK
01112 AZURE POWER GLOBAL LTD.
MSC HEALTH AND HAPPINESS (H&H) INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LIMITED
ADANIGREEN STUDIO CITY INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS ADS
00017 ADANI GREEN ENERGY LIMITED
RNW NEW WORLD DEVELOPMENT CO. LTD.
PGEO RENEW ENERGY GLOBAL PLC
PT. PERTAMINA GEOTHERMAL ENERGY
Felix Fischer ... (+8)
  • Felix Fischer
  • Haidje Rustau
  • Ian Wong
  • Jayanth Kandalam
  • Peter Low
  • Si Yong Ng
  • Tanvi Arora
  • Trung Nguyen

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: CeramTec, Guala Closures, TeamSystem, Progroup, Loxam, Modulaire, Assemblin, House of HR, Odido, Eolo, Intrum, Kantar, Multiversity, Voyage Care, Forgital, Altice International, Novafives, Scan Global Logistics, Altice France (SFR), Itelyum Group, Stena AB, Mooney (formerly SisalPay), La Doria, Travelodge, Italmatch Chemicals, Softbank Group, Vedanta Resources, Grupo Antolin, Air France-KLM, Nobi...

Leonard Law ... (+3)
  • Leonard Law
  • Tanvi Arora
  • Trung Nguyen

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Wynn Macau, ReNew Energy, Softbank Group, Vedanta Resources

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vital Signs: Actionable charts

In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.

Felix Fischer
  • Felix Fischer

Asia Trade Book - November 2024 - Lucror Analytics

The Asia Trade Book for November 2024 includes a summary of our recommendations, as well as our high-conviction ideas. The report also features relative-value charts and lists of the bonds across Asia HY and crossover credits. Please reach out to our analysts to discuss any of these ideas, or other trade recommendations from our Asia coverage.

DZJ COUNTRY GARDEN HOLDINGS CO. LTD.
M04 MGM CHINA HOLDINGS LIMITED
MAS MELCO RESORTS & ENTERTAINMENT LIMITED SPONSORED ADR
JSWSTEEL JSW STEEL LIMITED
00813 SHIMAO GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
XGH CHINA WATER AFFAIRS GROUP LIMITED
00817 ENN ENERGY HOLDINGS LIMITED
CHINA JINMAO HOLDINGS GROUP LIMITED
01238 CENTRAL CHINA REAL ESTATE LIMITED
00992 POWERLONG REAL ESTATE HOLDINGS LTD.
VED LENOVO GROUP LIMITED
02777 VEDANTA RESOURCES PLC
03383 GUANGZHOU R&F PROPERTIES CO. LTD. CLASS H
GJTL AGILE GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
TATASTEEL PT GAJAH TUNGGAL TBK
4755 TATA STEEL LIMITED
MEDC RAKUTEN INC.
ICT PT MEDCO ENERGI INTERNASIONAL TBK
01098 INTERNATIONAL CONTAINER TERMINAL SERVICES INC.
00603 ROAD KING INFRASTRUCTURE LIMITED
OL5 CHINA OIL & GAS GROUP LTD.
Z25 SHUI ON LAND LTD.
LPKR YANLORD LAND GROUP LIMITED
SXC PT LIPPO KARAWACI TBK
03377 SUNNY OPTICAL TECHNOLOGY (GROUP) CO. LTD.
00880 SINO-OCEAN GROUP HOLDING LTD.
INDY SJM HOLDINGS LIMITED
8WY PT INDIKA ENERGY TBK
01668 WYNN MACAU LTD.
WFG1 CHINA SOUTH CITY HOLDINGS LIMITED
SCNR WEST CHINA CEMENT LTD.
01030 SUNAC CHINA HOLDINGS LTD.
00884 SEAZEN GROUP LTD.
JPFA CIFI HOLDINGS (GROUP) CO. LTD.
00142 JAPFA COMFEED INDONESIA
600803 FIRST PACIFIC CO. LTD.
KIJA ENN ECOLOGICAL HOLDINGS (A)
BIOCON PT KAWASAN INDUSTRI JABABEKA TBK CLASS A
9984 BIOCON LIMITED
SM SOFTBANK GROUP CORP.
00405 SM INVESTMENTS CORPORATION
KOU YUEXIU REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST
VLL KWG GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
00656 VISTA LAND & LIFESCAPES INC.
ADANIPORTS FOSUN INTERNATIONAL LIMITED
5AO ADANI PORTS & SPECIAL ECONOMIC ZONE LTD.
PWON ANTON OILFIELD SERVICES GROUP
ICBP PT PAKUWON JATI TBK
TBIG PT INDOFOOD CBP SUKSES MAKMUR TBK
599A PT TOWER BERSAMA INFRASTRUCTURE TBK
TATAMOTORS SANDS CHINA LTD.
ADANITRANS TATA MOTORS LIMITED
POWR ADANI TRANSMISSION LTD.
AZRE PT CIKARANG LISTRINDO TBK
01112 AZURE POWER GLOBAL LTD.
MSC HEALTH AND HAPPINESS (H&H) INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LIMITED
ADANIGREEN STUDIO CITY INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS ADS
00017 ADANI GREEN ENERGY LIMITED
RNW NEW WORLD DEVELOPMENT CO. LTD.
PGEO RENEW ENERGY GLOBAL PLC
PT. PERTAMINA GEOTHERMAL ENERGY
Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Rakuten (Reduce, ¥400, -53%) Could fading mobile traction lead to an ...

Improved momentum at Rakuten Mobile at the start of 2024 has now faded. This in turn could lead to a write-down of the mobile business. Non-cash so irrelevant you think?

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