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Jørgen Lian
  • Jørgen Lian

CMB.TECH (Hold, TP: USD14.10) - Diversification at a cost

CMB.TECH’s diversified and ‘future-proof’ approach may prove attractive in steadily managing shipping cycles, changing fundamentals and stricter environmental regulations. However, diversification also comes at a price, and its heavy newbuild programme is straining its balance sheet and the outlook for dividends. Thus, we currently see greater upside potential in its pure crude tanker peers. We reiterate our HOLD and have lowered our target price to USD14.1 (16.3).

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aalberts: Building already bottoming, industry tough. Air France-KLM: Nobody helps. Alfen: Covenant agreement, hikes output Smart Grid. AMG: Sweet for 2024F, sour for 2025F. ArcelorMittal: 3Q24 EBITDA beats by 6%, FCF solid. BAM: 3Q beats, on its way to reach FY guidance. CMB.TECH: 3Q and FY24 reasonable but then more challenges. D'Ieteren: EGM and dividend dates announced; Belron US peer Boyd disappointing 3Q24. GBL: Double-digit TSR expected over 2024-27F. KBC: 3Q better acro...

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+8)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste

Morning Notes : AALB NA, ADYEN NA, CPINV BB, CMBT BB, GBLB BB, MDXH BB...

: AALB NA, ADYEN NA, CPINV BB, CMBT BB, GBLB BB, MDXH BB, TESB BB, ALFEN NA

Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Sharad Kumar S.P

Holdings Report - October 2024 KBCS Holdings Universe Returns -2.5% Du...

1M Performance - Absolute: During Oct'24 (1M period), the KBCS Holdings Universe posted a return of -2.5% which was mainly driven by single-asset holdings (-2.8%) while multi-asset holdings  posted a slightly less negative return of -2.3%. The 3 top performers during the period were Financière de Tubize (+6.7%), D'Ieteren Group (+4.5%), and Solvac (+2.8%) while the 3 worst performers were Sofina (-11.4%), Gimv (-9.8%), and Compagnie du Bois Sauvage (-6.3%). YTD Performance - Relative: On a YTD ...

Kristof Samoy ... (+3)
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Sharad Kumar S.P

Holdings Report - September 2024 Exor Added To The KBC Securities Hold...

1M Performance - Absolute: During Sept'24 (1M period), the KBCS Holdings Universe posted a return of -0.2% which was mainly driven by multi-asset holdings (-1.2%) while single-asset holdings posted a positive return of 2.0%. The 3 top performers during the period were Sofina (+15.3%), Financière de Tubize (+8.4%), and Brederode (+7.2%) while the 3 worst performers were Exor (-4.4%), Compagnie du Bois Sauvage (-5.5%), and D'Ieteren Group (-7.2%). YTD Performance - Relative: On a YTD basis (as o...

Kristof Samoy ... (+2)
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
Kristof Samoy
  • Kristof Samoy

CMB.Tech Supplementary payment of $0.52 on former bid price and bid re...

On September 6th the market court of Brussels ruled on a case between CMB (reference shareholder of CMB.Tech, formerly Euronav) and FourWorld. The court found that the pricing of certain vessels sold by Euronav to Frontline last November implied certain special benefits to Frontline. The Court calculated these benefits to be $0.52 per Euronav share. In connection with CMB's mandatory takeover bid for Euronav (presently CMB.Tech) earlier this year, the FSMA now made public its decision to require...

Kristof Samoy ... (+2)
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Sharad Kumar S.P

Tubize Financiere Model Update: We raise our TP to €164

We updated our model to incorporate our new €173.0 TP for UCB (vs. €161.0 previously) post a capital markets call held by the company on 30th September'24. Both UCB and Tubize have experienced a spectacular rally during 2024 and, on a YTD basis, have returned ~110.0% and ~86.0% respectively. The rally was mainly driven by the investor confidence in the launch of flagship product ‘Bimzelx' and UCB successfully launching Rystiggo and Zilbrysq for the neuromuscular disease myasthenia gravis. We bel...

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+7)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Sharad Kumar S.P

Holdings Report - August 2024 KBCS Holdings Universe Up 0.5% Thanks To...

1M Performance - Absolute: During July'24 (1M period), the KBCS Holdings Universe posted a return of 0.5% which was mainly driven by multi-asset holdings (+1.7%) while single-asset holdings posted a negative return of -1.3%. The 3 top performers during the period were HAL Trust (+5.1%), Texaf (+2.9%), and The Infrastructure Company (TINC, +9.6%) while the 3 worst performers were Brederode (-2.8%), Solvac (-5.3%), and Whitestone Group (-7.2%). YTD Performance - Relative: On a YTD basis (as of A...

Kristof Samoy
  • Kristof Samoy

CMB.Tech Market court ruling opening door to $0.52 MTO bid price incre...

In a press release Euronav (soon to be renamed CMB.TECH) informed that the Market Court in Belgium has largely rejected the claims brought forward by FourWorld in connection with CMB's mandatory public bid for the Euronav shares that ended March 15, 2024. However, the Court did find that the pricing of certain vessels sold by Euronav to Frontline implied certain special benefits to Frontline. The Court calculated these benefits to be $0.52 p.s.. The judgment indicates that the FSMA retains discr...

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+4)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Wim Lewi
Jørgen Lian
  • Jørgen Lian

Euronav (Hold, TP: USD16.30) - Charting a new course

Crude tankers remain the main earnings driver for now, but Euronav is steadily steering towards diversified shipping, with particular focus on sustainable solutions. A by-product of this is increasingly diversified cash flows supporting through-the-cycle investments – but also significant capex needs potentially straining the balance sheet and curtailing shareholder distributions medium-term. We reiterate our HOLD and have lowered our target price to USD16.3 (17.9).

Kristof Samoy
  • Kristof Samoy

CMB.Tech Key take-aways analyst call

Following this morning's publication of the 2Q release herewith key elements from Q&A with management during this afternoons analyst call. This morning we already published a FRN on the earnings release itself. All in all CMBT posted nice results showing diversifications pays off. The newly formed company is successfully disposing older vessels at high prices, reinvesting crude tanker cash flows and concluding LT contracts to finance its massive fleet transformation.

Kristof Samoy
  • Kristof Samoy

CMB.Tech Good 2Q24 results, swift execution of fleet rejuvenation plan...

Over 2Q24 CMB.Tech reported adjusted EBITDA (excl. capital gains) of $164m above our $129m estimate. The company is swiftly executing its new build programme and recycling cash through disposals of older vessels. Favourable dynamics in the Euronav tanker fleet finance the transformation towards a sustainable shipping platform. Following the recent $6.72 p.s. distribution bonanza no further distribution over 2Q was declared as we expected given CMBT' s discretionary dividend policy. Company manag...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Corbion: Swings and roundabouts. CTP: Good operational trends, guidance reiterated. dsm-firmenich: Another cheque from BASF. Euronav: 2Q beats expectations. KBC: 2Q well above, NII guidance up, ready for 3Q State Bond release of c.€22bn. SBM Offshore: Strong set of 1H24 results, more to come. TKH Group: 2Q is not going to be the quarter. Xior Student Housing: Positive portfolio revaluation

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+5)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Sharad Kumar S.P

Holdings Report - July 2024 KBCS Holdings Universe Up 1.2% Thanks To M...

1M Performance - Absolute: During July'24 (1M period), the KBCS Holdings Universe posted a return of 1.2% which was mainly driven by multi-asset holdings (+3.6%) while single-asset holdings posted a negative return of -2.4%. The 3 top performers during the period were Financière de Tubize (+17.0%), Ackermans & van Haaren (+9.8%), and Compagnie du Bois Sauvage (+9.6%) while the 3 worst performers were Texaf (-3.9%), Heineken Holding (-7.5%), and Gimv (-8.4%). YTD Performance - Relative: On a YT...

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