On September 6th the market court of Brussels ruled on a case between CMB (reference shareholder of CMB.Tech, formerly Euronav) and FourWorld. The court found that the pricing of certain vessels sold by Euronav to Frontline last November implied certain special benefits to Frontline. The Court calculated these benefits to be $0.52 per Euronav share. In connection with CMB's mandatory takeover bid for Euronav (presently CMB.Tech) earlier this year, the FSMA now made public its decision to require...
We updated our model to incorporate our new €173.0 TP for UCB (vs. €161.0 previously) post a capital markets call held by the company on 30th September'24. Both UCB and Tubize have experienced a spectacular rally during 2024 and, on a YTD basis, have returned ~110.0% and ~86.0% respectively. The rally was mainly driven by the investor confidence in the launch of flagship product ‘Bimzelx' and UCB successfully launching Rystiggo and Zilbrysq for the neuromuscular disease myasthenia gravis. We bel...
1M Performance - Absolute: During July'24 (1M period), the KBCS Holdings Universe posted a return of 0.5% which was mainly driven by multi-asset holdings (+1.7%) while single-asset holdings posted a negative return of -1.3%. The 3 top performers during the period were HAL Trust (+5.1%), Texaf (+2.9%), and The Infrastructure Company (TINC, +9.6%) while the 3 worst performers were Brederode (-2.8%), Solvac (-5.3%), and Whitestone Group (-7.2%). YTD Performance - Relative: On a YTD basis (as of A...
In a press release Euronav (soon to be renamed CMB.TECH) informed that the Market Court in Belgium has largely rejected the claims brought forward by FourWorld in connection with CMB's mandatory public bid for the Euronav shares that ended March 15, 2024. However, the Court did find that the pricing of certain vessels sold by Euronav to Frontline implied certain special benefits to Frontline. The Court calculated these benefits to be $0.52 p.s.. The judgment indicates that the FSMA retains discr...
Crude tankers remain the main earnings driver for now, but Euronav is steadily steering towards diversified shipping, with particular focus on sustainable solutions. A by-product of this is increasingly diversified cash flows supporting through-the-cycle investments – but also significant capex needs potentially straining the balance sheet and curtailing shareholder distributions medium-term. We reiterate our HOLD and have lowered our target price to USD16.3 (17.9).
Following this morning's publication of the 2Q release herewith key elements from Q&A with management during this afternoons analyst call. This morning we already published a FRN on the earnings release itself. All in all CMBT posted nice results showing diversifications pays off. The newly formed company is successfully disposing older vessels at high prices, reinvesting crude tanker cash flows and concluding LT contracts to finance its massive fleet transformation.
Over 2Q24 CMB.Tech reported adjusted EBITDA (excl. capital gains) of $164m above our $129m estimate. The company is swiftly executing its new build programme and recycling cash through disposals of older vessels. Favourable dynamics in the Euronav tanker fleet finance the transformation towards a sustainable shipping platform. Following the recent $6.72 p.s. distribution bonanza no further distribution over 2Q was declared as we expected given CMBT' s discretionary dividend policy. Company manag...
Corbion: Swings and roundabouts. CTP: Good operational trends, guidance reiterated. dsm-firmenich: Another cheque from BASF. Euronav: 2Q beats expectations. KBC: 2Q well above, NII guidance up, ready for 3Q State Bond release of c.€22bn. SBM Offshore: Strong set of 1H24 results, more to come. TKH Group: 2Q is not going to be the quarter. Xior Student Housing: Positive portfolio revaluation
1M Performance - Absolute: During July'24 (1M period), the KBCS Holdings Universe posted a return of 1.2% which was mainly driven by multi-asset holdings (+3.6%) while single-asset holdings posted a negative return of -2.4%. The 3 top performers during the period were Financière de Tubize (+17.0%), Ackermans & van Haaren (+9.8%), and Compagnie du Bois Sauvage (+9.6%) while the 3 worst performers were Texaf (-3.9%), Heineken Holding (-7.5%), and Gimv (-8.4%). YTD Performance - Relative: On a YT...
A director at Financiere De Tubize S.A. bought 11,744 shares at 121.400EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 100/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two...
In July, our Dynamic Top Pick List selection was up on average 0.9%; outperforming our benchmark indices (Bel20, AEX, EuroStoxx50) by 1.7% on average. Helped by this July performance, the selection is now up by 11.4% since the start of the 2024 selection (published Mid-December 2023). In this August 2024 update of our KBC Securities Dynamic Top Pick List we remove argenx and Tubize after delivering upon expectations. * Over the past two months, argenx has delivered upon our expectations on the...
UCB has had a spectacular run, returning upwards of ~100.0% on a YTD basis. This was due to investor confidence in the launch of flagship product ‘Bimzelx' and UCB successfully launching Rystiggo and Zilbrysq for the neuromuscular disease myasthenia gravis. Both these advancements mark the start of a new growth phase for UCB and we upgraded our UCB TP to €159.0. On the back of favourable results at UCB, Tubize rallied as well and has returned ~70.0% on a YTD basis. After updating our model for 1...
We believe Euronav, soon to be renamed CMB.TECH, has a good outlook on the back of cash flow from its existing crude tankers, future cash flow from the build-up of a diversified eco-fleet and fixed contracts worth US$2bn in the pocket. The markets Euronav operates in are in general attractive with some demand growth. More important is limited supply in the years to come. So, a good outlook both for cash flow and value. Currently, we estimate that Euronav's share price has a 10% premium to its ad...
1M Performance - Absolute: Over the last 1M period, the KBCS Holdings Universe posted a return of -3.6% which was mainly driven by single-asset holdings (-4.1%) while multi-asset holdings posted a slightly less negative return of -3.7%. The 3 top performers during the period were Financière de Tubize (+5.9%), Texaf (0.0%), and Quest for Growth (-1.8%) while the 3 worst performers were Compagnie du Bois Sauvage (-7.7%), Gimv (-5.6%), and KBC Ancora (-5.3%). YTD Performance - Relative: On a YTD ...
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