reports
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
China Internet: Navigating headwinds and uncovering opportunities upon...
Chinese internet companies’ share prices have dropped 10-30% mtd following the implementation of incremental tariffs from the US. Chinese internet companies have limited business exposure to the US except for PDD’s Temu. However, the 34% tariffs announced by China on all US imports could have potential implications for China mega-caps’ AI capex in relation to US chip imports. We prefer domestic-focused plays which stand to benefit from domestic policy stimuli, with Southbound inflow to be a key ...
NEH NETEASE INC. SPONSORED ADR
JD JD.COM INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
N1U NEW ORIENTAL EDUCATION & TECHNOLOGY GROUP INC. SPONSORED ADR
K3SD BAIDU INC SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
A117ME ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD. SPONSORED ADR
3K1 KINGSOFT CORP. LTD.
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
PDD PINDUODUO INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
03690 MEITUAN CLASS B
00780 TONGCHENG-ELONG HOLDINGS LIMITED
TCOM TRIP.COM GROUP LTD. SPONSORED ADR
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
09999 NETEASE INC
09618 JD.COM INC. CLASS A
01024 KUAISHOU TECHNOLOGY CLASS B
09888 BAIDU INC
09961 CTRIP.COM INTERNATIONAL
- Jo Yee Ng
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Keith Wee Teck Keong
- Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
- Ming San Soong
- Paula Ruth
- Roy Chen Chengzhi
- Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
- Thailand Research Team
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, April 09, 2025
GREATER CHINA Sector Internet Navigating headwinds and uncovering opportunities upon tariff pressures. INDONESIA Update Erajaya Swasembada (ERAA IJ/BUY/Rp348/Target: Rp480) Iphone 16 series to be available in 2Q25. Maintain BUY. MALAYSIA Update Matrix Concepts Holdings (MCH MK/BUY/RM1.27/Target: RM1.66) We view the RPT deal as fair and strategic as the acquisition allows Matrix to see faster ro...
IZZ TAL EDUCATION GROUP SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
N1U NEW ORIENTAL EDUCATION & TECHNOLOGY GROUP INC. SPONSORED ADR
1295 PUBLIC BANK BHD
3K1 KINGSOFT CORP. LTD.
ADVANC ADVANCED INFO SERVICE PUBLIC CO. LTD.
ERAA ERAJAYA SWASEMBADA
BCH BANGKOK CHAIN HOSPITAL PCL
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
SATS SP SATS LTD.
PDD PINDUODUO INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
03690 MEITUAN CLASS B
RATCH RATCH GROUP PUBLIC CO. LTD.
00780 TONGCHENG-ELONG HOLDINGS LIMITED
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
09999 NETEASE INC
09618 JD.COM INC. CLASS A
TIDLOR NGERN TID LOR PCL
MCH MATRIX CONCEPTS HOLDINGS BHD
09888 BAIDU INC
1024 BEIJING KUAISHOU TECHNOLOGY CO LTD
09961 CTRIP.COM INTERNATIONAL
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
China Education: Widespread AI adoption to fuel education sector’s mon...
Following the global impact of ChatGPT, China’s DeepSeek AI model is rapidly gaining traction in education. Companies that successfully integrate AI are well-positioned to lead the next wave of industry transformation, securing a strategic advantage in the evolving market landscape. We believe high-quality open-source AI models and costeffective solutions will accelerate the commercialisation of AI-powered education products. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector.
- Jin Yoon
EDU 2QFY25 Results: Rev Growth to Decelerate
What’s new: New Oriental’s reported 2QFY25 top-line results that were largely in-line with consensus. Top-line growth could decelerate in 3QFY25 partly due to slowdown in segments such as overseas test prep amid challenging macros. Margin could also remain under pressure in 2HFY25. We lower our PT from USD65 to USD50 due to lowered outlook. Our revised PT of USD50 implies a 17.4x FY25E P/E. We maintain our NEUTRAL rating. Analysts: Jin Yoon
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
New Oriental Education & Technology Group (EDU US): 2QFY25: Revenue in...
EDU’s 2QFY25 results missed our expectations. Revenue grew 19% yoy to US$1,039m, in line with consensus estimate. Non-GAAP net profit came in at US$36m, missing our and consensus estimates, while net margin shrank 2ppt yoy to 3% for 2QFY25. EDU expects 3QFY25 revenue (excluding East Buy) to increase 18-21% yoy to US$1,007.3m- 1,032.5m, 2-3ppt below forecasts. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of US$80.00 (HK$63.00).
- Greater China Research Team
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
Greater China Daily: Wednesday, January 22, 2025
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results New Oriental Education & Technology Group (EDU US/BUY/US$64.80/Target: US$80.00) EDU’s 2QFY25 results missed our expectations. Revenue grew 19% yoy to US$1,039m, in line with consensus estimate. Non-GAAP net profit came in at US$36m, missing our and consensus estimates, while net margin shrank 2ppt yoy to 3% for 2QFY25. EDU expects 3QFY25 revenue (excluding East Buy) to increase 18-21% yoy to US$1,007.3m-1,032.5m, 2-3ppt below forecasts. Maintain BUY with a lower target ...
- Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
- Philip Wong
- Stevanus Juanda
- Thanawat Thangchadakorn
Regional Morning Notes - Wednesday, January 22, 2025
GREATER CHINA Results New Oriental Education & Technology Group (EDU US/BUY/US$64.80/Target: US$80.00): 2QFY25: Revenue in line but earnings miss expectations; better growth outlook in 2HFY25. INDONESIA Update Astra International (ASII IJ/BUY/Rp4,910/Target: Rp6,000): Diversifying its businesses to avoid depending solely on automobile. MALAYSIA Results Alpha IVF (ALPHA MK/BUY/RM0.33/Target: RM0.40): 2QFY25: Results within expectations as newly-launched sales office in China sees its maiden con...
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
China Education: Key growth themes in 2025 upon policy clarity and AI ...
With a multi-faceted strategic transformation, EDU and TAL have entered a new phase of growth, riding on key themes like learning services, learning content solutions and overseas study. The distinct strategic approaches by both companies suggest that EDU mainly focuses on diversification and contextualisation of education services, whereas TAL emphasises the transformative potential of technological innovation. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector.
- Arsit Pamaranont
- Damon Shen
- Heidi Mo Jinghui
- Jack Goh Tooan Orng
- Jieqi Liu
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Kong Ho Meng
- Llelleythan Tan Tan
- Ming San Soong
- Stevanus Juanda
- Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
- Tham Mun Hon
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, January 14, 2025
GREATER CHINA Economics Trade Export Growth Rebounded; Rush Order Ahead Of Tariffs? Sector Education Key growth themes in 2025 upon policy clarity and AI integration progress. Property Sales pull back mom before Chinese New Year; updates of 2024 op...
N1U NEW ORIENTAL EDUCATION & TECHNOLOGY GROUP INC. SPONSORED ADR
00688 CHINA OVERSEAS LAND & INVESTMENT LIMITED
01109 CHINA RESOURCES LAND LIMITED
S68 SINGAPORE EXCHANGE LTD.
EGCO ELECTRICITY GENERATING PUBLIC CO. LTD.
SCNR SUNAC CHINA HOLDINGS LTD.
RLF LONGFOR GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
3816 MISC BHD
GENM GENTING MALAYSIA BHD
RATCH RATCH GROUP PUBLIC CO. LTD.
0181942Z AGFA HEALTHCARE CORP
CMRY PT CISARUA MOUNTAIN DAIRY TBK
EPIC 1CM INC
Z29 029 GROUP SE
1797 EAST BUY HOLDING LIMITED
- Jin Yoon
EDU 1QFY25 Results: Margin Pressure in 2QFY25
What’s new: New Oriental’s reported 1QFY25 top-line results that were largely in-line with consensus. Margin could see downward pressure in 2QFY25 partly due to lower seasonality in the education business coupled with continued investments in the tourism segment. We lower our PT from USD70 to USD65 due to lowered outlook. Our revised PT of USD65 implies a 20.0x FY25E P/E. We maintain our NEUTRAL rating. Analysts: Jin Yoon
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
New Oriental Education & Technology Group Page 8 (EDU US): 1QFY25: In ...
EDU’s 1QFY25 top-line slightly missed expectations. Revenue grew 30% yoy to US$1,435m, slightly missing consensus estimate and previous guidance of 31-34% yoy. Non-GAAP net profit rose 40% yoy to US$265m, above our and consensus estimates, while net margin inched up 1ppt yoy to 18% for 1QFY25. EDU expects 2QFY25 revenue (excluding East Buy) to rise 25-28% yoy to US$851.4m-871.8m, 1-2ppt below expectations. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of US$85.00 (HK$66.00).
- Colin Lee
- Greater China Research Team
- Johnny Yum Chung Man
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Kenny Yong Hui Lim
- Ming San Soong
- Shirley Wang Xueyi
- Stella Guo Yuting
Greater China Daily: Thursday, October 24, 2024
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (388 HK/BUY/HK$314.80/Target: HK$364.00) HKEX reported a 6.5% yoy earnings growth in 3Q24 after a sharp increase in headline ADT following the rollout of stimulus packages by China in late-September. Although market velocity has normalised, ADT remains elevated, and NII could be more resilient going forward, suggesting more upside for earnings. The risk-to-reward ratio is more balanced now after the recent correction as HKEX is trading ...
- Arsit Pamaranont
- Chong Lee Len
- Colin Lee
- Jack Goh Tooan Orng
- Jack Lai Yuan Khai
- Johnny Yum Chung Man
- Jonathan Koh
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Kenny Yong Hui Lim
- Ming San Soong
- Shirley Wang Xueyi
- Stella Guo Yuting
- Stevanus Juanda
- Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
- Thanawat Thangchadakorn
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Thursday, October 24, 2024
GREATER CHINA Results Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (388 HK/BUY/HK$314.80/Target: HK$364.00) 3Q24: Risk-and-reward is more balanced. Upgrade to BUY. Han’s Laser (002008 CH/HOLD/Rmb24.42/Target: Rmb22.70) 3Q24: Net profit misses, but visibility of recovery improving. Downgrade to HOLD. New Oriental Education & Technology Group (EDU US/BUY/US$62.15/Target: US$85.00) 1QFY25: In line; moderated growth outlook in 2QFY25 on low seasonality. Update Xtep International Holdings (...
KKP KIATNAKIN BANK
A0M4P7 HAN'S LASER TECHNOLOGY INDUSTRY GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
BBL BANGKOK BANK PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
00388 HONG KONG EXCHANGES & CLEARING LTD.
KTB KRUNG THAI BANK PUBLIC CO. LTD.
TISCO TISCO FINANCIAL GROUP
IVL INDORAMA VENTURES PUBLIC CO. LTD.
UNVR PT UNILEVER INDONESIA TBK
KBANK KASIKORNBANK PUBLIC CO. LTD.
5347 TENAGA NASIONAL BHD
MLT MAPLETREE LOGISTICS TRUST
KPG KERJAYA PROSPEK GROUP BHD
TXG 10X GENOMICS INC CLASS A
1368 XTEP INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS
WHA TB WHA CORP PCL
SCB SCB X PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
AL2SI 2CRSI SA
Z29 029 GROUP SE
- Jin Yoon
EDU 4QFY24 Results: Margin Expansion in Education Segment Partly Offse...
What’s new: New Oriental’s reported 4QFY24 top-line results that were largely in-line with consensus and our expectations. Margins were below expectations partly due to continued expansion of learning centers and one-time impact related to East Buy. We lower our PT from USD80 to USD70 due to lowered outlook. Our revised PT of USD70 implies a 20.0x FY25E P/E. We maintain our NEUTRAL rating. Analysts: Jin Yoon
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
New Oriental Education & Technology Group (EDU US): 4QFY24: Earnings m...
New Oriental’s 4QFY24 earnings missed expectations. Revenue grew 32% yoy to US$1,136.7m, in line with the street’s estimate. Non-GAAP net profit declined 41% yoy to US$37m, below our and consensus expectations, while net margin dipped 4ppt yoy to 3% for 4QFY24. EDU forecasts 1QFY25 revenue (excluding East Buy) rising 31-34% yoy to US$1,254.7m-1,283.5m, 2% below consensus estimate. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of US$90.00 (HK$70.00).
- Greater China Research Team
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Kenny Yong Hui Lim
- Ming San Soong
- Tham Mun Hon
- Ziv Ang Sze Champ
Greater China Daily: Thursday, August 1, 2024
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Economics PMI July manufacturing PMI fell for the third consecutive month to 49.4% (-0.1ppt mom), weighed by weak output and new orders. Non-manufacturing PMI fell to 50.2% (-0.3ppt mom), marking the weakest reading in the past eight months. This was mainly driven by a 1.1ppt decline in construction PMI. Overall, the report points to further slowing of economic activities, and the improved number of activities for large-sized enterprises has yet to trickle down to the mid- and...
- Jack Goh Tooan Orng
- Jack Lai Yuan Khai
- Jonathan Koh
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Kasemsun Koonnara
- Keith Wee Teck Keong
- Kenny Yong Hui Lim
- Ming San Soong
- Paula Ruth
- Posmarito Pakpahan
- Singapore Research Team
- Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
- Tham Mun Hon
- Ziv Ang Sze Champ
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Thursday, August 01, 2024
GREATER CHINA Economics PMI Stuck in a soft patch. Results New Oriental Education & Technology Group (EDU US/BUY/US$69.25/Target: US$90.00) 4QFY24: Earnings miss; impact from East Buy to carve out after 1QFY25. Xinyi Solar Holdings (968 HK/HOLD/HK$3.71/Target: HK$4.00) 1H24: In line; murky demand outlook ahead. Downgrade to HOLD. Update Prudential (2378 HK/BUY/HK$69.90/Target: HK$12...
OU8 CENTURION
PRU PRUDENTIAL PLC
1023 CIMB GROUP HOLDINGS BHD
544 CSE GLOBAL LTD.
2488 ALLIANCE BANK MALAYSIA BHD.
V03 VENTURE CORPORATION LIMITED
1295 PUBLIC BANK BHD
U96 SEMBCORP INDUSTRIES LTD.
N2IU MAPLETREE COMMERCIAL TRUST
0968 XINYI SOLAR HOLDINGS LTD.
Z74 SINGAPORE TELECOMMUNICATIONS LIMITED
O39 OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED
ERAA ERAJAYA SWASEMBADA
CPN CENTRAL PATTANA PUBLIC CO. LTD.
Q5T FAR EAST HOSPITALITY TRUST
G13 GENTING SINGAPORE LIMITED
RHBBANK RHB BANK BHD
HLFG HONG LEONG FINANCIAL GROUP
SCGB SUNWAY CONSTRUCTION GROUP BH
SPOST SINGAPORE POST LTD
MINT MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST
AMM AMMB HOLDINGS BHD
HLBK HONG LEONG BANK BERHAD
CPN-R CENTRAL PATTANA PCL NVDR
TXG 10X GENOMICS INC CLASS A
ABANK AFFIN BANK BHD
FRKN FRENCKEN GROUP LTD
MPM MARCO POLO MARINE LTD
LREIT SP LENDLEASE GLOBAL COMMERCIAL REIT
KORE KEPPEL PACIFIC OAK US REIT
ONEE THE ONE ENTERPRISE PCL
123F 123FAHRSCHULE SE
BCOW 1895 BANCORP OF WISCONSIN INC
BIMB BANK ISLAM MALAYSIA BHD
Z29 PERTAMINA GEOTHERMAL ENERGY
PGEO 029 GROUP SE
CVL PT. PERTAMINA GEOTHERMAL ENERGY
CIVMEC LIMITED
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
China Education: Out of the woods after three years.
This year marks the third year after the “Double Reduction” policy was introduced. During these three years, EDU and TAL adopted a multi-faceted approach to foster healthy long-term growth. The key growth catalysts include: a) normalised regulatory tone, b) AIGC integration and smart devices, and c) diversified revenue stream with overseas exposure. We opine that the near-term drag on margins is mainly due to investment to foster sustainable growth. We maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector.
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
New Oriental Education & Technology Group (EDU US): Diverse revenue st...
We note that demand for after-school education remains resilient despite a weaker macro outlook as peer competition in China remains intense. To defend against potential uncertainties, EDU is cultivating a competitive moat by diversifying its revenue streams and investing in East Buy. Management guided 4QFY24 revenue growth of 28-31% yoy to US$1,101.5m-1,127.3m while overall net margin should expand 2-3ppt yoy in FY24. Upgrade to BUY with a higher target price of US$105.00 (HK$82.00).
- Greater China Research Team
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Kenny Yong Hui Lim
- Ming San Soong
Greater China Daily: Friday, May 31, 2024
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Banking The impact of the recent property rescue package is mixed. Asset quality concern is expected to ease but the lower mortgage rate could continue to weigh on banks’ NIM. Thus, further policy supports from the PBOC, such as RRR and deposit rate cuts, are much needed. Meanwhile, the potential removal of dividend tax for Southbound investors could boost the sector’s valuation further given the attractive A/H spreads and high dividend yields. Upgrade to MARKET WEIGHT. To...
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