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David Barden
  • David Barden

The future of US wireless, right now - Extrapolating 3Q25 wireless tre...

We are taking 3Q25 results and the most recent cNPS data and laying out our latest thinking and forecasts ahead of 4Q results. We expect 4Q results and attendant 2026 guidance to contain material information value for investors and we wanted to share our latest forecasts, data, and trends as a starting point as we navigate this impactful season.

Blair Levin
  • Blair Levin

DISH Antitrust Challenge to DIS; Will Content or Distribution Gain Fle...

Earlier this month DISH filed an antitrust complaint against DIS in the latest chapter of a long running dispute over DIS’s efforts to create new sports bundles and DISH’s efforts to create new options for how its customers access programming over its platform. In this note we explore the implications of the battle, how it might affect the flexibility of content and distribution in seeking to adjust to thrive in the media world to come, and what it could tell us about the direction of media and...

Moody's Ratings assigns Baa1 ratings to T-Mobile's proposed backed sen...

Moody's Ratings (Moody's) assigned Baa1 ratings to T-Mobile USA, Inc.'s (T-Mobile) proposed backed senior unsecured notes, which will be comprised of various maturities. T-Mobile intends to use the net proceeds from the proposed offering for general corporate purposes, which may include refinancing ...

David Barden
  • David Barden

Wireless 4Q25 Preview & Estimate Updates

We preview here our updated 4Q estimates for all 3 wireless carriers following our quarter-end conversations. We also discuss the current state of play in the wireless industry

T-Mobile US Inc: 1 director

Two Directors at T-Mobile US Inc sold 1,495 shares at between 0.000USD and 210.320USD. The significance rating of the trade was 54/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the l...

Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman

TMT 3Q25 results: Verizon, T-Mobile US and AT&T/T-Mobile US, AT&T show...

Verizon, T-Mobile US and AT&T all showed solid numbers over 3Q25. Despite strong competition, all three mobile telecom operators were able to grow revenue and EBITDA. Furthermore, we believe T-Mobile US might benefit from a credit rating upgrade at S&P, while we could see debt increase a bit at Verizon and AT&T because of debt-funded acquisitions. In our view, the Euro notes of T-Mobile US look the most attractive in this credit sub-space.

Jan Frederik Slijkerman ... (+2)
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Timothy Rahill

Euro debt markets in favour with tech firms in 2025/Foreign tech compa...

Euro-denominated issuance by TMT companies has been ahead of expectations in FY25. American companies issued far more Euro debt than expected. This is driven by attractive funding costs in Euro markets, because the risk premium required by investors for European credit markets is lower. Some of the large issuers of Euro-denominated debt are active in the technology sector. This was contrary to our earlier expectations because these companies fund their capital expenditures from cash flow. Finall...

Jan Frederik Slijkerman ... (+2)
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Timothy Rahill

Euro debt markets in favour with tech firms in 2025/Foreign tech compa...

Euro-denominated issuance by TMT companies has been ahead of expectations in FY25. American companies issued far more Euro debt than expected. This is driven by attractive funding costs in Euro markets, because the risk premium required by investors for European credit markets is lower. Some of the large issuers of Euro-denominated debt are active in the technology sector. This was contrary to our earlier expectations because these companies fund their capital expenditures from cash flow. Finall...

T-Mobile USA, Inc.: Update to credit analysis following upgrade to Baa...

Solid execution, strong competitive positioning, increasing profitability and expanding financial flexibility offset by an intense competitive environment.

Moody's Ratings assigns Baa1 ratings to T-Mobile's proposed backed sen...

Moody's Ratings (Moody's) assigned Baa1 ratings to T-Mobile USA, Inc.'s (T-Mobile) proposed backed senior unsecured notes, which will be comprised of various maturities. T-Mobile intends to use the net proceeds from the proposed offering for refinancing existing indebtedness and general corporate pu...

Jan Frederik Slijkerman ... (+5)
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Jeroen van den Broek
  • Jesse Norcross
  • Nadège Tillier
  • Timothy Rahill

Coffee, Croissants & Credit/Deutsche Telekom, T-Mobile US, BPPEHX, P3 ...

Telecom - Moody's upgrades Deutsche Telekom's credit rating to A3. Moody's upgrades T-Mobile US's credit rating to Baa1

Jan Frederik Slijkerman ... (+5)
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Jeroen van den Broek
  • Jesse Norcross
  • Nadège Tillier
  • Timothy Rahill

Coffee, Croissants & Credit/Amprion, TVO, Verizon, AT&T and T-Mobile U...

Utilities - Appolo and RWE to form a joint venture to finance Amprion. TVO issues the first nuclear green bond

Jan Frederik Slijkerman ... (+5)
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Jeroen van den Broek
  • Jesse Norcross
  • Nadège Tillier
  • Timothy Rahill
Vikash Harlalka
  • Vikash Harlalka

TMUS Quick Hit: T-Mobile Acquires US Internet

What’s new: Press reports indicate that T-Mobile is acquiring US Internet, a Minnesota based fiber overbuilder. In this short note, we leverage Broadband Insights and take a closer look at US Internet’s footprint, who the largest competitors are, and potential transaction values for the asset.

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vital Signs: Actionable charts

In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.

Blair Levin
  • Blair Levin

SATS Public Notice Final Filings: What Have We Learned

The record formally closed on Friday for the two FCC Proceedings affecting SATS. In this note we update our analysis of the situation considering the new filings.

Blair Levin ... (+3)
  • Blair Levin
  • Jonathan Chaplin
  • Philip Burnett

Chapter 11 and Spectrum Values – Questions We Didn’t Get To

We hosted a call on Monday that covered our analysis of the impact of the FCC inquiries on spectrum values, and how this could change if the Company files for Chapter 11 protection. We hosted the call with Jeff Carlisle who is perhaps the leading expert on matters that sit at the intersection of telecom policy and bankruptcy. We got more questions than we could answer in the time we had, and so we covered the questions we didn’t get to in this note.

Jonathan Chaplin
  • Jonathan Chaplin

DBS also misses interest payment

Today EchoStar filed an 8-K announcing that they would not make a scheduled interest payment on DBS secured and unsecured bonds. As with the skipped interest payment at EchoStar, this triggers a 30-day grace period after which DBS will be in default. A default at DBS would also trigger a default at Dish Network Corp., based on cross-default protections in Dish Network Corp. bonds. Our quick thoughts in this (very) brief note.

Blair Levin
  • Blair Levin

Of SATS, the FCC and NextWave

Since Friday’s announcement that SATS is not making an interest payment, triggering a 30-day period that could lead to a SATS voluntary Chapter 11 proceeding, we have been in numerous talks with investors about the most notorious bankruptcy case involving the FCC and a telecom company, NextWave. In this note we quickly summarize the key lessons of that case for investors analyzing the potential implications of a SATS bankruptcy proceeding.

Blair Levin
  • Blair Levin

SATS Proceedings: First FCC Filings

As previously discussed, earlier this month, the FCC opened two proceedings that could adversely affect SATS. The opening round of filings in those proceedings ended earlier this week. In this note we review the filings to update our analysis of the likely outcome.

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