Low fuel prices remain a key tailwind for the sector, but many airlines under our coverage are seeing margin compression this year, as yields lag CASK inflation. The early summer was also affected negatively by the June escalation of the conflict in the Middle East. We expect Wizz Air to deliver c.20% EBIT growth, off a relatively low base last summer; while Aegean Airlines and Turkish Airlines to record mid-single digit yoy EBIT declines in 3Q25E, with the modest yield pressure and rising CASK ...
HEADLINES: • Aselsan: 3Q25 results – improved margins, strong NI beat and record backlog additions POSITIVE • Coca-Cola Icecek: 3Q25 results – recovery in operating performance begins POSITIVE • Logo Yazilim: 3Q25 results – in line, except for a small NI beat • Medicover: soft 3Q25 top line, but adjusted EBITDA beats on admin costs NEUTRAL • Enea: preliminary 3Q25 EBITDA 9% above our expectations, supported by strong Supply, Generation and Distribution NEUTRAL • Solutions by STC: 3Q25 conference...
HEADLINES: • Theon International: 3Q25 trading update – strong execution, guidance upgraded POSITIVE • Otokar: 3Q25 results – weak EBITDA, low quality bottom-line beat NEGATIVE • Tofas: 3Q25 results miss expectations NEGATIVE • Halyk Bank: controlling shareholder ALMEX announces intention to dispose of stake NEGATIVE • CIS+ macro: on the ground in Central Asia – reform stories enter the next phase • Brisa: guiding lower for FY25E revenues growth, but higher for EBITDA margin NEUTRAL • CEZ: natio...
EME Equity Market – October 2025 Hungarian BUX leads in October, Türkiye and Greece lag. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 3.5% mom in EUR terms and 1.8% mom in USD terms in October. The Hungarian BUX was the top performer, adding 9.1% mom in EUR terms; followed by the Polish WIG20 (+5.9% mom) and the Romanian BET (+5.4% mom) (in EUR terms). The Czech PX was also in the green (+2.8% mom in EUR terms). The Greek ASE and the Turkish ISE30 (-1.9% mom and -1.1% mom, in EUR terms, respectively) both los...
HEADLINES: • Bank Pekao: 3Q25 very solid; 20%+ ROE delivery; key catalyst will be M&A decisions NEUTRAL • Komercni Banka: 3Q25 beat driven purely by positive LLPs balance, still no breakthrough in NII performance NEUTRAL • ING BSK: posts solid 3Q25 results NEUTRAL • mBank: 3Q25 bottom line misses estimates, but purely on higher tax and FX mortgage saga provisions NEUTRAL • Kruk: 3Q25 results a mixed bag – recoveries strong, revenues down, no breakthrough in Spain NEUTRAL • Jeronimo Martins: beat...
HEADLINES: • Santander Bank Polska: solid 3Q25 bottom line, but waiting for a change of strategic investor NEUTRAL • Alior Bank: 3Q25 results do not bring much to the table NEUTRAL • Zabka: 3Q25 a notch above the consensus POSITIVE • DataWalk: preliminary 3Q25 results – sales up 59% yoy, to PLN 7.34m POSITIVE • OMV: 3Q25 results – CCS EBITDA above estimates POSITIVE • OMV Petrom: 3Q25 results – net income beat NEUTRAL • Borouge: 3Q25 results – broadly in line NEUTRAL • Solutions by STC: 3Q25 fin...
HEADLINES: • KazMunayGas: crude headwinds (downgraded to HOLD) • Budimex: 3Q25 EBITDA flat yoy, as expected NEUTRAL • ADNOC Drilling: 3Q25 results – in line with expectations NEUTRAL • WOOD Flash – Georgia Capital: solid 3Q25 financial results – positive view maintained, discount to NAV remains attractive POSITIVE • Georgia Capital: 3Q25 conference call takeaways • OTE: increases prices by 2.6% from December 2025 POSITIVE • Borouge: 3Q25E results preview (due out tomorrow) NEUTRAL • OMV: 3Q25E r...
HEADLINES: • WAG Payment Solutions (Eurowag): progressing towards unification (stays BUY) • Hungary macro: MNB on hold; no surprises • Akcansa: 3Q25E financial results preview (date TBC) • Arcelik: 3Q25E earnings preview (due on 24 October) • Cimsa: 3Q25E financial results preview (due on 31 October) • Coca-Cola Icecek: 3Q25E earnings preview (due on 4 November) • InPost: 3Q25E preview – 18% yoy adjusted EBITDA growth expected (due on 7 November) NEUTRAL • Short News (PCF)
HEADLINES: • Wizz Air: bracing for winter, waiting for spring (stays BUY) • Athens Exchange Group: BoD expresses unanimous support for Euronext's voluntary tender offer NEUTRAL • Solutions by STC: extends the revenue-sharing agreement with Remat Riyadh Development Company POSITIVE • MOL: the company and its Partners increase gas capacity in Iraq POSITIVE • Noval Property: appoints Mr. Koutsopodiotis as CEO NEUTRAL • Dino Polska: 3Q25E preview – 14% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due on 6 November)...
We expect Wizz Air to have achieved a relatively-decent summer, mainly on stable yoy ex-fuel CASK (caskx). We maintain our negative view on the coming winter, however, and have adjusted our loss estimates upwards, as fast growth by Ryanair in several of Wizz Air’s key markets collides with the company’s own capacity acceleration. This could put pressure on yields and exacerbate losses. While things may get worse before they start getting better, we believe that upside risks prevail from the curr...
HEADLINES: • Tofas: shifting gear to growth (stays BUY) • Huuuge Games: preliminary 3Q25 revenue at USD 55.8m, down 5% yoy and 5% qoq NEUTRAL • Wizz Air: restarts flights to Abu Dhabi, tempers expectations on groundings NEGATIVE • 4iG: signs sale and purchase agreement regarding acquisition of N7 Holding subsidiaries NEUTRAL • Air Astana: CEO Peter Foster to retire at end-March 2026 • EME Strategy: FTSE reclassifies Greece as a Developed Market POSITIVE
EME Equity Market – September 2025 Romanian BET led in September, while Türkiye and Hungary lagged. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 0.7% mom in EUR terms and 1.1% in USD terms. The Romanian BET was the top performer, adding 3.6% in EUR terms; followed by the Czech PX (+3.2% mom) and the Polish WIG20 (+1.1% mom) (all in EUR terms); while there was a muted performance from the Greek ASE (+0.6% mom in EUR terms). The Turkish ISE30 and the Hungarian BUX were the worst performing indices in September(...
HEADLINES: • GTC: launches a landmark bond refinancing with a 6.5% EUR 455m 2030 tranche POSITIVE • Zabka: key takeaways from the Investor Day POSITIVE • PCF Group: 2Q25 earnings call takeaways • CCC: final 2Q25 EBITDA 3% below the prelims, on an earlier recognition of costs NEUTRAL • Benefit Systems: end-3Q25 card base at 2.38m, Türkiye accelerated in September NEUTRAL • Wizz Air: September capacity growth slower than the summer, but better load factor NEUTRAL • OTE/DIGI Communications: sale o...
HEADLINES: • Mo-BRUK: growth acceleration priced in already (downgraded to HOLD) • GTC: moves to amend terms of the two outstanding Forint bonds • OTE/DIGI Communications: Telekom Romania sold to DIGI and Vodafone for EUR 70m POSITIVE • EMEA Airlines: flights cancelled in Europe over weekend due to cyberattack on airport software • Wizz Air: strike on 26 September may disrupt operations in Italy NEGATIVE • Huuuge Games: earnings call takeaways NEUTRAL • Titan: Fidelity Investments cuts ownership...
In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: European Entertainment Group, SPIE, Pfleiderer, Altice France (SFR), Forvia (formerly Faurecia), Ineos, Sammontana Italia, Ineos Quattro, Biogroup, Cerba, Ithaca Energy
EME Equity Market – August 2025 Corrections in Poland and the broader MSCI EM Europe. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 2.3% mom in EUR terms and was flat (0.0%) in USD terms in August. The Hungarian BUX was the top performer, adding 2.2% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Romanian BET (+1.9% mom), the Czech PX (+1.7% mom) and the Greek ASE (+1.4% mom) (all in EUR terms); while there was a muted performance from the Turkish ISE 30 (+0.4% mom in EUR terms). The biggest loser was the Polish WIG ...
In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Loxam, Atalian, Progroup, Techem, Fedrigoni, Tele Columbus, Odido, EVOCA, Pfleiderer, Victoria, Mehilainen, Biofarma, Cerba, Picard, Scan Global Logistics, Odigeo, Lecta, Stena AB
HEADLINES: • Lion Finance Group: lion takes a breather (downgraded to HOLD) • Coca-Cola Icecek: 2Q25 results – as expected NEUTRAL • Bank Pekao: changing remuneration conditions for c.2,700 employees NEUTRAL • Text: launches Text App service NEUTRAL • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (4-10 August) • Murapol: 2Q25E preview – EBIT halved yoy, due to a low number of handovers (due on 24 September) • Rainbow Tours: 2Q25E preview – 19% net income drop expected, following margin normalisation (due...
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