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Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: IGN1L LH; ZAB PW; CDR PW; CAR PW; LPP PW; DSPW CP; CZG CP;...

HEADLINES: • Ignitis Group: steady as she goes (stays BUY) • Zabka: beat in 4Q25; FY26E guidance of continued rapid expansion and stable profitability POSITIVE • CD Projekt: 4Q25 results review – beat related to other operating income and income tax POSITIVE • Inter Cars: 4Q25E preview – 16% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due on 28 April) • LPP: 4Q25E results preview – 32% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due on 26 March) NEUTRAL • Doosan Skoda Power: 4Q25 above our expectations, backlog in line, materi...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: MBK PW; BHW PW; DOM PW; TPE PW; BDX PW; BFT PW; INPST NA; ...

HEADLINES: • mBank: bid or no bid? • Bank Handlowy: solid 4Q25, giving support to strong dividend yield expectations NEUTRAL • Dom Development: 4Q25 – a good end to a record year NEUTRAL • Tauron: preliminary 4Q25 EBITDA 7% below our expectations, following provisions in the Supply segment; adjusted EBITDA 11% above our forecast POSITIVE • Budimex: KIO orders rejection of company’s offer in Rail Baltica tender NEGATIVE • Benefit Systems: PLN 40.6m provision to be created in the 4Q25E results NEG...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: EME Macro/Strategy – EEMEA; BDX PW; WPL PW; EWG LN; KZ Mac...

HEADLINES: • EME Macro/Strategy: the state of consumption in EEMEA • Budimex: PKP PLK cancels selection of the company’s offer in PLN 1.1bn rail tender NEGATIVE • Budimex: offer selected in PLN 300m PSE tender for expansion of Gdańsk Błonia substation NEUTRAL • Wirtualna Polska: write-down of Szallas Group assets reduces WPL's operating result by PLN 150m NEGATIVE • Wirtualna Polska: accounting policy change increases dividend capacity by c.PLN 518m NEUTRAL • Wirtualna Polska: 4Q25E preview upda...

Mihaly Gajda
  • Mihaly Gajda

Erste Q4 beat confirms conservative guidance; 2026 outlook broadly i

Regarding 2025 Q4 results Erste has beet market consensus on most important line items and on the bottom line as well, achieving EUR 944 mn net profit compared to EUR 824 mn of consensus and EUR 830 mn of Concorde’s estimate. Reported results were also supported by EUR 144 mn of one-off items within other results; however, even excluding these, pre-provision operating profit still came in above consensus. The whole 2026 year’s results was considerably above its guidance published at the beg...

Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

OTE (Buy from Neutral, TP: €22.1, +30%) EBITDA growth to be further s...

In this note, we update our model and thoughts following the Q4 results (HERE) incorporating commentary from the results call as well as from a meeting with management (CEO/CFO) yesterday.

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: EMEA Airlines; BDX PW; APR PW; DIA PW; CEZ CP; BELA GA; MA...

HEADLINES: • EMEA airlines: oil price spike negative NEGATIVE • Budimex: PLN 2.59bn rail contract signed with PKP PLK NEUTRAL • Auto Partner: February sales growth of 3.4% yoy NEGATIVE • Diagnostyka: 4Q25E preview – 8% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due on 20 April) NEUTRAL • CEZ: 4Q25E earnings preview (due on 12 March) • Jumbo: February sales growth slows to 3% yoy on tough comps, as expected NEUTRAL • Mavi: 4Q25E earnings preview (due on 17 March) • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (27 Febru...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: MDV PW; BDX PW; CBF PW; SHO PW; VRC PW; PGE PW; RBW PW; OT...

HEADLINES: • Modivo Group: the role of a serial disruptor is never easy (stays BUY) • Budimex: built on solid ground, priced for perfection (HOLD - transfer of coverage) • Budimex: 4Q25 conference highlights NEUTRAL • cyber_Folks / Shoper: key takeaways from the 4Q25 earnings call POSITIVE • Vercom: key takeaways from the 4Q25 earnings call POSITIVE • PGE: PLN 12.1bn loan impairment recognised in stand-alone accounts NEGATIVE • Rainbow Tours: summer 2026E season pre-sales accelerate to +10.9% yo...

Jakub Bronicki ... (+2)
  • Jakub Bronicki
  • Jakub Caithaml

Budimex: built on solid ground, priced for perfection (HOLD - transfer...

We transfer coverage of Budimex (BDX) and downgrade our rating to HOLD (from Buy), with a 12M price target (PT) of PLN 853 (vs. PLN 750 previously), implying 9% upside. After two years of relatively flat results in 2024-25, we expect 2026-27E to mark a return to double-digit yoy growth in both revenues and the order backlog. We forecast a solid EBIT CAGR of 11% for 2025-28E, supported by accelerating public infrastructure spending and improving contract flow. At the same time, we believe the cur...

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Turkish ISE back in the lead

EME Equity Market – February 2026 Muted performance across the region, with the Turkish ISE the best performer. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 0.7% mom in EUR terms and 2.1% mom in USD terms in February. The Turkish ISE was the top performer, adding 5.4% mom in EUR terms; while the Polish WIG and the Romanian BET improved slightly (+0.9% and +0.3% mom, respectively, in EUR terms). The Czech PX and the Greek ASE were the worst performers (-4.9%, and -3.0% mom, respectively, in EUR terms), w...

BRE MBANK SA
EUROB EUROBANK ERGASIAS SERVICES & HOLDINGS SA
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
KRU KRUK S.A.
EXAE HELLENIC EXCHANGES SA
MOL MOL NYRT
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
OMV OMV AG
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
TITK TITAN CEMENT CO. SA
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
BIMAS BIM BIRLESIK MAGAZALAR A.S.
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
DOC DO & CO AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
MYTIL MYTILINEOS S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
AKCNS AKCANSA CIMENTO
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
BRISA BRISA-BRIDGESTONE SABANCI LASTIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
LOGO LOGO YAZILIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
RBW RAINBOW TOURS S.A.
ENA ENEA S.A.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
DVL DEVELIA SA
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
DAT DATAWALK SA
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
BELA JUMBO S.A.
SAB1L SIAULIU BANKAS
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
SNP PETROM S.A.
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
RICHT RICHTER
19XX NEPI ROCKCASTLE PLC
ALPHA ALPHA BANK
M MED LIFE
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
MCOV B MEDICOVER AB
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
CGEO GEORGIA CAPITAL
SOKM SOK MARKETLER TICARET AS
EAT AMREST HOLDINGS SE
NLBR NLB GROUP
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
DUNAHOUSE DUNA HOUSE
INPST INPOST S.A.
HUGE HUUUGE
4IG 4IG NYRT
IGN1L IGNITIS GRUPE
CTPNV CTP NV
ADNOCDRILL ADNOC DRILLING CO
7202 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
ELPE HELLENIQ ENERGY
BOROUGE BOROUGE
H2O HIDROELECTRICA S.A.
THEON THEON INTERNATIONAL PLC
GEV GEVORKYAN A.S.
BOCHGR BANK OF CYPRUS
DSPW DOOSAN SKODA POWER A.S.
PE RO PREMIER ENERGY
Ahmed Ben Salem ... (+3)
  • Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Bruno Cavalier
  • Thomas Zlowodzki
FP TOTAL SE
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
SESGL SES SA FDR (CLASS A)
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
LI KLEPIERRE SA
COV COVIVIO SA
GFC GECINA SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
KORI KORIAN SA
MERY MERCIALYS SA
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
INEA FONCIERE INEA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
CGM CEGEDIM SA
BLND BRITISH LAND COMPANY PLC
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
FII LISI SA
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
KER KERING SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
ENI ENI S.P.A.
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
BON BONDUELLE SCA
ICAD ICADE SA
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
REP REPSOL SA
BYG BIG YELLOW GROUP PLC
UTG UNITE GROUP PLC
COFB COFINIMMO SA
SUN SULZER AG
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
WIE WIENERBERGER AG
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
VASTB VASTNED RETAIL BELGIUM NV
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
UBS UBM DEVELOPMENT AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CARM CARMILA SAS
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
MONC MONCLER SPA
IRES IRISH RESIDENTIAL PROPERTIES REIT PLC
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
SAFE SAFESTORE HOLDINGS PLC
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
TRE TECNICAS REUNIDAS SA
IBG IBERPAPEL GESTION S.A.
PSG PROSEGUR COMPANIA DE SEGURIDAD SA
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
CASH PROSEGUR CASH SA
BP. BP P.L.C.
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
LAND LAND SECURITIES GROUP PLC
MVC METROVACESA SA
IGD IMMOBILIARE GRANDE DISTRIBUZIONE SIIQ S.P.A.
NSI NSI N.V.
CAF CONSTRUCCIONES Y AUXILIAR DE FERROCARRILES S.A.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
VK VALLOUREC SA
ZEL PHARMA MAR SA
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
ZGN ERMENEGILDO ZEGNA NV
CTPNV CTP NV
SHEL SHELL PLC
TTS TRANSPORT TRADE SVCS
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
EXENS EXOSENS
ARYN ARYZTA AG
Stamatios Draziotis CFA
  • Stamatios Draziotis CFA

OTE (Hellenic Telecoms) | Riding the HALO rotation; thesis mainly yiel...

Profit acceleration in 2026 on mobile strength and self-help – Following an in-line FY25 with EBITDAaL up 2% yoy, mgt has guided for c3% growth in 2026. Momentum rests on two pillars: resilient mobile (pre-to-post migration, “more-for-more” pricing and CPI indexation; we model c+3%) and targeted efficiency across network and customer care, increasingly AI-enabled, alongside flat energy costs and personnel savings. By contrast, retail fixed is likely to stay subdued; we cap growth at c1%, as comp...

Stamatios Draziotis CFA
  • Stamatios Draziotis CFA

OTE (Hellenic Telecoms) | Riding the HALO rotation; thesis mainly yiel...

Profit acceleration in 2026 on mobile strength and self-help – Following an in-line FY25 with EBITDAaL up 2% yoy, mgt has guided for c3% growth in 2026. Momentum rests on two pillars: resilient mobile (pre-to-post migration, “more-for-more” pricing and CPI indexation; we model c+3%) and targeted efficiency across network and customer care, increasingly AI-enabled, alongside flat energy costs and personnel savings. By contrast, retail fixed is likely to stay subdued; we cap growth at c1%, as comp...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: ASELS TI; EMEA Airlines; RBW PW; HUG PW; TEN PW; APR PW; F...

HEADLINES: • Aselsan: master of multi-domain warfare (stays BUY) • EMEA airlines: attack on Iran disrupts global aviation • Rainbow Tours: flattish yoy January sales growth at both the consolidated (+2.6% yoy) and stand-alone (+1.6% yoy) levels NEGATIVE • Huuuge Games: February 2026 Sensor Tower bookings estimate flat mom NEUTRAL • Ten Square Games: February 2026 Sensor Tower bookings estimate up 33% mom POSITIVE • Auto Partner: 4Q25E preview – 7% yoy EBITDA deterioration expected (due on 15 Apr...

Atinc Ozkan ... (+2)
  • Atinc Ozkan
  • Can Yurtcan

Aselsan: master of multi-domain warfare (stays BUY)

Following Aselsan’s FY25 results release (and its robust operating performance in 2H25, exceeding our expectations in terms of backlog growth, new contract wins and operating margins), we have revisited our investment case for the company and updated our model. A major driver of our upgraded KPI, earnings (and capex) forecasts is the launch (in August 2025) of Türkiye’s massive “Steel Dome” integrated air defence programme, in which (as the project’s prime contractor) Aselsan has already bagged ...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: EAT PW; KRU PW; TXT PW; ENA PW; CTPNV NA; RICHT HB; DHS HB...

HEADLINES: • AmRest: 4Q25 miss, due mainly to allegations about food safety in Czechia NEGATIVE • Kruk: 4Q25 results – bit of a mixed bag • Text: 3Q25-26 (calendar 4Q25) results – EBITDA down 25% yoy, 3% above the consensus NEUTRAL • Enea: impairments and higher provisions to reduce 2025 net income by PLN 1.37bn and EBITDA by PLN 162m NEUTRAL • CTP: 4Q25 results and conference call • Richter: 4Q25 beat, on gross margin and tight opex control POSITIVE • Duna House: 4Q25 in line, guidance implies ...

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