HEADLINES: • Kazatomprom: soft metal still rocks (stays BUY) • Elbit Systems: strong execution at a rich valuation (stays HOLD) • MONETA Money Bank: management recommends CZK 4/share extra dividend due before the year-end POSITIVE • Mo-BRUK: conditions have been met for the acquisition of Eco Point PSA shares POSITIVE • Inter Cars: September sales growth accelerates to 13% yoy POSITIVE • Rainbow Tours: winter season pre-sales 5.7% higher yoy NEUTRAL • GTC: repurchases EUR 195m of 2026 bonds • Er...
HEADLINES: • Tofas: shifting gear to growth (stays BUY) • Huuuge Games: preliminary 3Q25 revenue at USD 55.8m, down 5% yoy and 5% qoq NEUTRAL • Wizz Air: restarts flights to Abu Dhabi, tempers expectations on groundings NEGATIVE • 4iG: signs sale and purchase agreement regarding acquisition of N7 Holding subsidiaries NEUTRAL • Air Astana: CEO Peter Foster to retire at end-March 2026 • EME Strategy: FTSE reclassifies Greece as a Developed Market POSITIVE
We maintain our BUY on Tofas and revise our 12M price target (PT) to TRY 426.90 (from TRY 450.20). We believe that Tofas’ investment case is evolving into a multi-year growth story, as the Stellantis Otomotiv acquisition is completed, and two new vehicle projects have been awarded by Stellantis. We foresee a notable recovery in the operating performance, in both the short and medium term, driven by higher sales volumes and improving margins, and building on the main pillars of the company’s equi...
HEADLINES: • Czech macro: parliamentary elections – 3-4 October • Text: preliminary 2Q25-26 (calendar 3Q25) results – MRR of USD 7.06m (down 1.5% qoq, up 0.3% yoy) NEGATIVE • GTC: launches a landmark bond refinancing with a 6.5% EUR 455m 2030 tranche POSITIVE • Asseco Poland: TSS sends open letter to ACP's shareholders and proposes new incentive scheme NEUTRAL • Turkish automotive: strong momentum in light vehicle sales continued in September • The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Romanian BET in...
EME Equity Market – September 2025 Romanian BET led in September, while Türkiye and Hungary lagged. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 0.7% mom in EUR terms and 1.1% in USD terms. The Romanian BET was the top performer, adding 3.6% in EUR terms; followed by the Czech PX (+3.2% mom) and the Polish WIG20 (+1.1% mom) (all in EUR terms); while there was a muted performance from the Greek ASE (+0.6% mom in EUR terms). The Turkish ISE30 and the Hungarian BUX were the worst performing indices in September(...
HEADLINES: • GTC: launches a landmark bond refinancing with a 6.5% EUR 455m 2030 tranche POSITIVE • Zabka: key takeaways from the Investor Day POSITIVE • PCF Group: 2Q25 earnings call takeaways • CCC: final 2Q25 EBITDA 3% below the prelims, on an earlier recognition of costs NEUTRAL • Benefit Systems: end-3Q25 card base at 2.38m, Türkiye accelerated in September NEUTRAL • Wizz Air: September capacity growth slower than the summer, but better load factor NEUTRAL • OTE/DIGI Communications: sale o...
HEADLINES: • Mo-BRUK: growth acceleration priced in already (downgraded to HOLD) • GTC: moves to amend terms of the two outstanding Forint bonds • OTE/DIGI Communications: Telekom Romania sold to DIGI and Vodafone for EUR 70m POSITIVE • EMEA Airlines: flights cancelled in Europe over weekend due to cyberattack on airport software • Wizz Air: strike on 26 September may disrupt operations in Italy NEGATIVE • Huuuge Games: earnings call takeaways NEUTRAL • Titan: Fidelity Investments cuts ownership...
HEADLINES: • Bank of Cyprus: value is (sometimes) relative (stays BUY) • Kazakhstan macro: State of the Nation Address sets grounds for new constitutional reform and ambitious digitalisation agenda • PGE: 2Q25 conference call highlights NEUTRAL • Auto Partner: August sales growth decelerates to a mere 2% yoy NEGATIVE • Aselsan: massive domestic contract win POSITIVE • Doosan Skoda Power: wins multi-billion CZK tender for new generators at Temelin POSITIVE • MOL: announces discovery of an oil fie...
HEADLINES: • Metlen Energy & Metals: 1H25 EBITDA -6% yoy, hit by one-offs NEUTRAL • Enea: full 2Q25 results in line with preliminaries NEUTRAL • CCC: CEO finds back-to-school sales strong, maintains FY25E guidance, considering buyback POSITIVE • Tofas: details of new LCV model (K9) announced POSITIVE • Sarantis: 1H25E preview – 14% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due out today, after the close) NEUTRAL • GEK Terna: 1H25E results preview (due out tomorrow) • VIGO Photonics: 2Q25E results preview – 76...
HEADLINES: • Greek Refiners: elevated margins, extended run (HELLENiQ Energy (HOLD) and Motor Oil Hellas (BUY) - transfer of coverage) • Asseco Poland: 2Q25 review – net profit up 33% yoy, 11% above the consensus; 2025 backlog up 9% yoy POSITIVE • OPAP: 2Q25 results – in line NEUTRAL • Trade Estates: 1H25 – FFO at EUR 10m, up 37% yoy POSITIVE • Vercom: key takeaways from the 2Q25 earnings call POSITIVE • cyber_Folks/Shoper: key takeaways from the 2Q25 earnings call NEUTRAL • Shoper: 2Q25 earning...
Following a change in analyst responsibilities, we transfer coverage, and update our forecasts and outlook, of the Greek refiners, to reflect the recent upturn in the refining backdrop. We rate Motor Oil Hellas (MOH) a BUY, with an updated price target (PT) of EUR 31.5 (from EUR 25.8), and keep HELLENiQ Energy (ELPE) a HOLD, with an updated PT of EUR 8.8 (from EUR 7.6). The two Greek refiners offer a broadly similar compelling investment case and remain attractively valued on absolute terms, in ...
EME Equity Market – August 2025 Corrections in Poland and the broader MSCI EM Europe. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 2.3% mom in EUR terms and was flat (0.0%) in USD terms in August. The Hungarian BUX was the top performer, adding 2.2% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Romanian BET (+1.9% mom), the Czech PX (+1.7% mom) and the Greek ASE (+1.4% mom) (all in EUR terms); while there was a muted performance from the Turkish ISE 30 (+0.4% mom in EUR terms). The biggest loser was the Polish WIG ...
HEADLINES: • PZU: 2Q25 results – beat on the bottom line, but insurance operations show some weakness and delivered below expectations NEUTRAL • Dom Development: 2Q25 results – beat driven by stellar 37% gross profit margin POSITIVE • Bank Handlowy: neutral 2Q25 results – beat on underlying bottom line driven by bond sales gains; negative NII trend NEUTRAL • Eurocash: 2Q25 – slightly above low expectations; new strategy publication in November POSITIVE • DataWalk: 2Q25 actual numbers fully in li...
HEADLINES: • Tupras: enjoying life in the margins (stays BUY) • Kruk: 2Q25 beat, on a positive tax balance, lower financial costs and a drop in the cost to collect ratio POSITIVE • Wirtualna Polska: 2Q25 results review – adjusted EBITDA up 24% yoy, 6% above the consensus; weak 2H25E outlook NEGATIVE • Enea: preliminary 2Q25 EBITDA 15% above our expectations, supported by strong Supply and better Generation; PLN 2.8bn capex, including wind farm acquisitions POSITIVE • Gentoo Media: 2Q25 financial...
We maintain our BUY on Tupras, with an updated 12M price target (PT) of TRY 276.0 (from TRY 84.9), offering 59.7% upside. We have prepared our latest forecasts based on a USD-denominated model, converted to a fixed TRY rate to meet the IAS 29 accounting standard. Refining margins remain above the mid-cycle averages, despite a downward trend in the last three years. The opportunities available for cheap Russian feedstock have reduced, but not disappeared. A solution to the Kirkuk pipeline issue w...
HEADLINES: • Premier Energy: focus on RES (HOLD - initiation of coverage) • Polish banks: FinMin may raise CIT rate for the banks, some offset may come from slight cut in the bank tax NEGATIVE • Dino: 1-5% EBITDA miss in 2Q25; FY25E lfl guidance cut to mid-single digits NEGATIVE • Budimex: final 2Q25 results fully confirm prelims NEUTRAL • Kazatomprom: 2Q25 results NEUTRAL • Mo-BRUK: earnings call takeaways – optimistic outlook for 2H25E POSITIVE • Cyfrowy Polsat: key takeaways from the 2Q25 ear...
Astor is Turkey’s largest and most profitable transformer and switchgear producer, with 31% revenue CAGR in 2019–24 and best-in-class margins supported by vertical integration and long-standing ties to TEIAS, distribution companies, and industrial clients. Capacity expansions from 4Q25, including new transformer lines, conductor production, and a switchgear plant, are set to boost production, underpinning our forecast of 9.8% revenue CAGR and 30% average EBITDA margin in 2025–34. Global transfor...
HEADLINES: • Bank Pekao: strong 2Q25 delivery reaffirms our FY25E net profit forecast of c. PLN 7bn, still ahead of the market consensus NEUTRAL • Magyar Telekom: 2Q25 results review – EBITDA up 13% yoy, 3% above the consensus; 2025E guidance upgraded POSITIVE • Akcansa: weak 2Q25 financial results, with signs of recovery NEGATIVE • Teknosa: 2Q25 results – recovery in the operating performance overshadowed by losses on the bottom line NEUTRAL • Brisa: 2Q25 results in line, very much like 1Q25 NE...
OTE has reported an uninspiring set of 2Q25 results, with sales flat yoy, at EUR 913m (in line with our forecast) and the adjusted EBITDA up 1% yoy, to EUR 349m (in line with our estimate), due to Greek segment expansion offsetting the 67% yoy decline in the Romanian segment operating result. We see OTE’s 2Q25 results as neutral, as the adjusted EBITDA was in line with our expectations, while the company reiterated its 2025E outlook. The miss on the bottom line was driven primarily by the write-...
OTE has reported a mixed set of results; Greek MSR trends are much better sequentially and FSR growth is also a bit better, but EBITDA growth is actually slower sequentially due to elevated sales and marketing costs, which may be a warning sign of the future impact from PPC in the fixed market.
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