reports
- Piotr Raciborski
- CFA
WOOD Flash – OTE: 4Q25 results review – organic adjusted EBITDA up 2% ...
OTE has reported a solid set of 4Q25 results, with its Greek sales up 9% yoy, to EUR 916m (6% above our forecast) and its Greek adjusted EBITDA up 2% yoy, to EUR 366m (in line with our estimate). The fixed-line segment recorded sales growth of 10.2% yoy, to EUR 536m (driven by an ICT sales hike of 57.8% yoy and a 2.6% increase yoy in retail sales, despite the 5.0% yoy drop in wholesale sales), while the mobile segment increased by 3.4% yoy, to EUR 340.5m, as the 5.2% increase in retail sales (dr...
- Russell Waller
OTE (Neutral, TP: €17.2, -3%) Q4 25: Solid results, and good guidance
OTE has reported a solid set of results (very good at the revenue level due to low margin ERF revenues, but EBITDAaL in-line) and given some good EBITDAaL guidance for FY26. We recently downgraded to Neutral due to the PPC FTTH overbuilder risk
- Stamatios Draziotis CFA
OTE (Hellenic Telecoms) | First thoughts: Q4 in line, 7% distribution ...
Q4 in line, Q4 EBITDA +2.3%, FY25 +2%; acceleration to +3% in FY26 – Q4 adj. EBITDAaL came in at €351m, +2.3% yoy and broadly in sync with consensus. Some key metrics seem to have accelerated, with mobile very robust (service revenues +5.2% from +2.7% in Q3; pre-to-post migration, pricing), retail fixed improving to +2.6% from +1.3% in Q3 (FTTH uptake, 2-digit growth in Pay TV), and ICT growing strongly. This brought FY25 adj. EBITDAaL to €1,374m, in line with mgt guidance (+2% yoy) and market e...
- Stamatios Draziotis CFA
OTE (Hellenic Telecoms) | First thoughts: Q4 in line, 7% distribution ...
Q4 in line, Q4 EBITDA +2.3%, FY25 +2%; acceleration to +3% in FY26 – Q4 adj. EBITDAaL came in at €351m, +2.3% yoy and broadly in sync with consensus. Some key metrics seem to have accelerated, with mobile very robust (service revenues +5.2% from +2.7% in Q3; pre-to-post migration, pricing), retail fixed improving to +2.6% from +1.3% in Q3 (FTTH uptake, 2-digit growth in Pay TV), and ICT growing strongly. This brought FY25 adj. EBITDAaL to €1,374m, in line with mgt guidance (+2% yoy) and market e...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: TL Food Retailers; BDX PW; ALE PW; HU Macro; RICHT HB; NRP...
HEADLINES: • Turkish food retailers: resilient in transition (BIM and Migros stay BUY, Sok Marketler stays HOLD) • Budimex: 4Q25 preliminary results in line with the January guidance NEUTRAL • Allegro: 4Q25E results preview – adjusted EBITDA expected to grow by 13% yoy (due on 12 March) NEUTRAL • Hungary macro: MNB delivers long-awaited rate cut • Richter: 4Q25E preview (due on 27 February) NEUTRAL • NEPI Rockcastle: 2H25 results at the top of the guided range NEUTRAL • Banca Transilvania: 4Q25E...
BIMAS BIM BIRLESIK MAGAZALAR A.S.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
TKNSA TEKNOSA IC VE DIS TICARET AS
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
RICHT RICHTER
19XX NEPI ROCKCASTLE PLC
CGEO GEORGIA CAPITAL
SOKM SOK MARKETLER TICARET AS
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
IGN1L IGNITIS GRUPE
2381 ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
GEV GEVORKYAN A.S.
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: OPL PW; CDR PW; RICHT HB; RO Macro; SNP RO; SNG RO; ELPE G...
HEADLINES: • Orange Polska: 4Q25 results – EBITDAaL up 7% yoy, 2% above the consensus; strong 2026E guidance POSITIVE • CD Projekt: The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt – Complete Edition available on Xbox Game Pass on 19 February NEUTRAL • Richter: announces R&D collaboration for endometriosis drug candidate NEUTRAL • Romania macro: NBR extends the pause • OMV Petrom / Romgaz: Romania to postpone gas price liberalisation until 2027E NEGATIVE • Romgaz: 4Q25 preview (due on 27 February) NEUTRAL • HELLENiQ En...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: BFT PW; ING PW; MBK PW; CAR PW; VGO PW; GEKTERNA GA; DIGI ...
HEADLINES: • Benefit Systems: grow baby, grow! (BUY - transfer of coverage) • ING BSK: 4Q25 results beat; solid DPS guidance; recent share price rally might have consumed part of the upside • mBank: solid 4Q25; rather cautious on the 2026E revenue outlook NEUTRAL • Inter Cars: January sales increase by 4.0% yoy NEGATIVE • VIGO Photonics: 4Q25E results preview – solid yoy adjusted EBITDA improvement expected (due on 16 March) • GEK Terna: seals c.EUR 1bn of Romanian railway projects – positive, b...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: EAT PW; SFG RO; INPST NA; MIL PW; PGE PW; APR PW; DVL PW; ...
HEADLINES: • AmRest/Sphera Group: no beauty and no beast (AmRest stays BUY, Sphera downgraded to HOLD) • InPost: EUR 15.6 offer from FedEx, Advent, A&R and PPF consortium POSITIVE • Bank Millennium: solid 4Q25 delivery, beat due to tax differences NEUTRAL • PGE: URE initiates proceedings over FWRC settlements NEUTRAL • Auto Partner: January sales growth drops to 3.4% yoy NEGATIVE • Develia: 4Q25E preview – 30% EBITDA drop, following margin normalisation (due on 3 April) • 4iG: 4Q25E preview – 4%...
MYTIL MYTILINEOS S.A.
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
DVL DEVELIA SA
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
MCOV B MEDICOVER AB
EAT AMREST HOLDINGS SE
INPST INPOST S.A.
4IG 4IG NYRT
ADNOCDRILL ADNOC DRILLING CO
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: LPP PW; PL Macro; BDX PW; EBS AV; SNG RO; RO Macro; HTO GA...
HEADLINES: • LPP: 4Q prelims in line with expectations NEUTRAL • Poland macro: NBP on hold • Budimex: bids rank highest in two PSE tenders NEUTRAL • Romgaz: 4Q25 operational results NEUTRAL • Romania macro: positive news • OTE: Greek telecoms regulator launches public consultations on 900MHz and 1,800MHz spectrum POSITIVE • Metlen Energy & Metals: sells 283MW UK solar portfolio to Schroders Greencoat POSITIVE • Aselsan: strategic JV agreement with CSG POSITIVE • Erste Bank: 4Q25E preview (due on...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: SPL PW; Polish media; DVL PW; SNP RO; BELA GA; Turkish aut...
HEADLINES: • Santander BP: posts solid 4Q25 numbers; rebranding costs guidance in line; DPS of PLN 46 seems very feasible NEUTRAL • Polish media: CPS's audience share at 22.30%, while WP TV is at 0.57% in January 2026 NEUTRAL • Develia: management targets for 2026E close to our forecasts NEUTRAL • OMV Petrom: 4Q25 results and dividend proposal NEUTRAL • Jumbo: January sales +8% on easy comps; guiding for 5% sales growth and EUR 310-320m net earnings in 2026E NEUTRAL • Turkish automotive: strong ...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: ARCLK TI; XTB PW; CCC PW; OPL PW; HUG PW; TEN PW; RBW PW; ...
HEADLINES: • Arcelik (BUY, PT TRY 207.5): 4Q25 results – in line operationally NEUTRAL • XTB S.A.: 4Q25 net profit materially ahead of expectations • CCC: acquisition of controlling stake in MKRI NEUTRAL • Orange Polska: fined PLN 34m by Poland's antitrust regulator NEUTRAL • Huuuge Games: January 2026 Sensor Tower bookings estimate down 1% mom NEUTRAL • Ten Square Games: January 2026 Sensor Tower bookings estimate flat mom NEUTRAL • Rainbow Tours: 4Q25E preview – EBITDA marginally above zero in...
CEZ CEZ AS
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
RBW RAINBOW TOURS S.A.
ARCLK ARCELIK A.S.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
RICHT RICHTER
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
XTB X-TRADE BROKERS DOM MAKLERSKI SA
HUGE HUUUGE
IGN1L IGNITIS GRUPE
BOROUGE BOROUGE
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: all indices in the green in Januar...
EME Equity Market – January 2026 All regions in the green in January, with the Turkish ISE the best performer. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 11.1% mom in EUR terms and 13.2% mom in USD terms in January. The Turkish ISE was the top performer (+20.8% mom), followed by the Hungarian BUX (+17.5% mom); the Romanian BET (+11.1% mom); the Greek ASE (+9.2% mom); the Polish WIG 20 (+5.9% mom); and the Czech PX (+2.4% mom; all in EUR terms).
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
KRU KRUK S.A.
MOL MOL NYRT
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
TITK TITAN CEMENT CO. SA
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
KTY GRUPA KETY SA
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
MYTIL MYTILINEOS S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
DVL DEVELIA SA
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
DAT DATAWALK SA
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
BELA JUMBO S.A.
SNP PETROM S.A.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
RICHT RICHTER
ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
XTB X-TRADE BROKERS DOM MAKLERSKI SA
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
DUNAHOUSE DUNA HOUSE
INPST INPOST S.A.
4IG 4IG NYRT
WPS W.A.G PAYMENT SOLUTIONS PLC
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
GPP KAZMUNAYGAS NC JSC
BCG GRUPA PRACUJ DA
2381 BALTIC CLASSIFIEDS GROUP PLC
H2O ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
SPLUS HIDROELECTRICA S.A.
THEON SHOPPER PARK PLUS ZRT
ZAB THEON INTERNATIONAL PLC
PE RO ZABKA GROUP
PREMIER ENERGY
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: KZ Macro; PL Macro; EWG LN; TITC GA; ASELS TI; KRKG SV
HEADLINES: • Kazakhstan macro: untangling oil and policy tightening risks • Poland macro: retail sales rebound in December 2025 • Eurowag: 2025 trading update and FY26E guidance POSITIVE • Titan: to issue EUR 350m five-year senior unsecured notes NEUTRAL • Aselsan: new export wins in APAC and from NATO POSITIVE • Krka: preliminary 4Q25E results (due on 29 January)
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: CPS PW; EME Strategy – OFEs; GPP PW; MIL PW; ING PW; MBK P...
HEADLINES: • Cyfrowy Polsat: structural headwinds ahead (downgraded to SELL) • EME Strategy: OFEs' 2025 annual assets structure • Grupa Pracuj: new job ads on Pracuj.pl reached 368k in 2H25, down 2% yoy NEUTRAL • Bank Millennium: 4Q25E preview (due on 9 February) • ING BSK: 4Q25E preview (due on 10 February) • mBank: 4Q25E preview (due on 10 February) • MOL: to buy NIS in Serbia POSITIVE • Motor Oil Hellas: concludes construction of 72MW of BESS projects NEUTRAL • GEK Terna: solid traffic growth...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: KTY PW; ALE PW; BFT PW; MBR PW; TEN PW; PL Telecoms; GEKTE...
HEADLINES: • Kety: still fuel in the tank (stays BUY) • Allegro: disposal of Mall’s Slovenian and Croatian business with a PLN 235m loss POSITIVE • Benefit Systems: net addition of 145.6k sports cards in 4Q25, acceleration in Türkiye POSITIVE • Mo-BRUK: SKO cancels increased fees for 2016 and 2020 NEUTRAL • Ten Square Games: 4Q25 bookings up 12.5% qoq, better than Sensor Tower's estimates POSITIVE • Polish telecoms: mobile number portability in 4Q25 NEUTRAL • GEK Terna / Motor Oil Hellas: EC cle...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: INPST NA; CZG CP; TL Automotive; KAP LI; EU Oil and Gas Mo...
HEADLINES: • InPost: potential bid for all the company’s shares; valuation gap vs. Allegro closes POSITIVE • Colt CZ Group SE: closes Synthesia Nitrocellulose deal NEUTRAL • Turkish automotive: strong momentum in light vehicle sales continued in December POSITIVE • Kazatomprom: Kazakhstan changes the law on uranium subsoil agreements POSITIVE • European Oil and Gas Monthly: December 2025 – whoops, there goes gravity • Short News (4iG)
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Czech PX in the lead in December
EME Equity Market – December 2025 Czech PX the best performer in December; no market in the red. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 3.4% mom in EUR terms and 4.6% mom in USD terms in December. The Czech PX was the top performer, adding 7.6% mom; followed by the Romanian BET (+7.1% mom); the Polish WIG 20 (+6.4% mom); the Greek ASE (+1.8% mom), the Turkish ISE 30 (+0.4% mom) and the Hungarian BUX (+0.2% mom; all in EUR terms).
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
MOL MOL NYRT
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
TITK TITAN CEMENT CO. SA
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
KTY GRUPA KETY SA
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
CCC CCC SA
RBW RAINBOW TOURS S.A.
ENA ENEA S.A.
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
DAT DATAWALK SA
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
BELA JUMBO S.A.
SNP PETROM S.A.
RICHT RICHTER
MAVI MAVI GIYIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
R22 R22
ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
XTB X-TRADE BROKERS DOM MAKLERSKI SA
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
HUGE HUUUGE
4IG 4IG NYRT
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
CTPNV CTP NV
BCG BALTIC CLASSIFIEDS GROUP PLC
7203 ELM CO
OPTIMAr OPTIMA BANK S.A.
THEON THEON INTERNATIONAL PLC
PRIUA PRIMOCO UAV SE
BOCHGR BANK OF CYPRUS
DSPW DOOSAN SKODA POWER A.S.
PE RO PREMIER ENERGY
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: TXT PW; PZU PW; PEO PW; MBK PW; SPL PW; CPS PW; MBR PW; CD...
HEADLINES: • Text: preliminary 3Q25-26 (calendar 4Q25) results – MRR of USD 6.98m (-1.1% qoq and -1.7% yoy) NEGATIVE • PZU/Bank Pekao: delay merger deadline NEGATIVE • mBank: to face PLN 362.1m of FX mortgage saga costs in 4Q25E NEUTRAL • Santander Bank Polska: updates market on the impact of sale of 60% stake in Santander Consumer Bank NEUTRAL • Santander Bank Polska: calls EGM for 22 January NEUTRAL • Cyfrowy Polsat: Liechtenstein court upholds May ruling on Solorz family succession POSITIVE •...
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
RBW RAINBOW TOURS S.A.
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
DAT DATAWALK SA
ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
HUGE HUUUGE
THEON THEON INTERNATIONAL PLC
- Sevgi Onur
Turkish Banking Sector - Initial glance into 2026: Funding mix to driv...
Macro outlook: The CBT has reduced the policy rate by 950bps to 38% in YE25. For the subsequent cycle, we expect the policy rate to decline to 30% by 2026E, with a more gradual, rather than steep, trajectory of quarterly margin improvements throughout 2026. Inflation is projected to ease to 31% in FY25 and 23.2% in FY26, down from 44.4% in 2024. For the valuation of CPI-linked securities, we use an Oct–Oct inflation assumption of 24%. Turkish banks are transitioning from CPI-driven to spread-d...
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