Report
Wim Lewi

Elia Group Raising the bar, but largely discounted in the current share price

Elia delivered stellar 1H25 results, although driven by some exceptional factors that will be partly compensated in the 2H25 results. Mainly the shift to pro-rata accounting of the GE Capex had a large €40m positive impact. Also capitalising more interest as investments increase, had a positive effect on ETB as well as 50Hz. After the 2.2bn equity issue, Elia recovered sharply from the overhang uncertainty to trade back in line with the BEL-20 index. However, the equity raise at €61.9 per share for 2.2bn created a 48.3% increase in share count. The share price has now recovered to valuation levels on PE and EV/RAB that surpass the period before the panic broke. We believe the share price is currently fully valued and move our rating to Hold from Accumulate and roll our TP forward to €110 (€95).
Underlying
Elia Group SA/NV

Elia System Operator develops, operates and maintains very-high-voltage (380 kV, 220 kV and 150 kV) and high-voltage (70 kV, 36 kV and 30 kV) networks, providing its customers with consultancy and engineering services. Whether in Belgium, Germany or elsewhere in Europe or the U.S., Co. ensures that electricity flows reliably from energy producers to distributors and large corporate customers. Co.'s main activities include transmission operator, system operator and market facilitator, developing and maintaining grid infrastructure, connecting electrical installations to grids, providing transparent access to grids, while taking initiatives to improve electricity market operations.

Provider
KBC Securities
KBC Securities

We are a financial services provider for several types of professional clients, each with distinct needs.

 

Analysts
Wim Lewi

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