reports
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion ETF Pathfinder: Actionable ETF research & Ideas
Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 Breaking Out to All-Time Highs We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass). Our near-term bullish outlook will remain in place as long as the S&P 500 (SPX), Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and Russell 2000 (IWM) are above their 20-day MAs. We will maintain our bullish intermediate-term outlook as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX is above 5700-5785. Short-term support on SP...
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy
Semiconductors and Technology Leading the Way We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass). We will maintain our bullish view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the S&P 500 (SPX) is above 5700-5785 (up from 5500). We continue to be buyers in the 5700-5785 range if it gets there, and we would also be buyers at 5804-5854 gap support. We are expecting all-time highs soon on the SPX. Technolo...
LPG DORIAN LPG
G2O GOLAR LNG LIMITED
RIGN TRANSOCEAN LTD.
TRT1 TRANSATLANTIC PETROLEUM LTD.
INSW INTERNATIONAL SEAWAYS INC.
SMH MARKET VECTORS SMEICONDOUCTOR ETF
SDRL SEADRILL LTD.
STNG SCORPIO TANKERS INC.
VAL VALARIS LTD
ALCC ALTC ACQUISITION CORP
SMR NUSCALE POWER CORP
FRO FRONTLINE PLC
NE NOBLE CORP (NEW)
NNE NANO NUCLEAR ENERGY
TNK SEADRILL LTD
CPLPB TEEKAY TANKERS LTD.
TK CARGOPORT LOGISTICS CA PFD B
TEEKAY CORPORATION LTD.
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion ETF Pathfinder: Actionable ETF research & Ideas
Local Bottom With Potential to be a Major Bottom Since late-February (2/25/25 Compass) we were expecting an 8-10% pullback to provide a buying opportunity. All that changed as of our 3/31/25 ETF Pathfinder, when we downgraded our outlook to bearish/cautious, citing several concerning developments. It all led us to believe a break below 5500 and the potential for a prolonged downturn was increasingly likely. A historic selloff ensued. We did get positive trade news and some accommodative comment...
XLP SELECT SECTOR SPDR-CONSUMER STAPLES
XLF SELECT SECTOR SPDR-FINANCIAL
XLK SELECT SECTOR SPDR-TECHNOLOGY
XLRE REAL ESTATE SPDR
XLU SELECT SECTOR SPDR-UTILITIES
XLC THE COMMUNICATION SERVICES SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND
XLB. ISHARES CORE CANADIAN LONG TER
XLY AUXLY CANNABIS GROUP INC
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion ETF Pathfinder: Actionable ETF research & Ideas
Nasdaq 100 Breaking Out -- Buy; Bullish Outlook Intact As discussed throughout the first half of January, and reiterated in our 2/3/25 ETF Pathfinder, we continue to believe that tariffs will mostly be used as a negotiation tactic, and much like Trump's prior presidency, will be much less impactful than feared. We also discussed our non-concern as it related to the Canada/Mexico tariff situation, calling the pullback a buying opportunity. Now, we are seeing signs that this 2+ month consolidatio...
ECH. ISHARES MSCI CHILE CAPPED INVESTABLE MARKET INDEX FUND
EWG ISHARES MSCI GERMANY ETF
MCHI.. ISHARES MSCI CHN
EWI BLACKROCK INSTITUTIONAL TRUST COMPANY N.A.
EPOL ISHARES MSCI POLAND CAPPED ETF
HEDJ WSDMTR EURP HDGD
EUFN ISHARES MSCI EUROPE FINANCIALS
EUSC WDMTR ERP HDG EQ
KWEB KRANESHARES CSI CHINA INTERNET FUND
EWW ISHARES MSCI MEXICO CAPPED INDEX FUND
ISHARES MSCI UAE CAPPED ETF
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion ETF Pathfinder: Actionable ETF research & Ideas
Tariff Tantrum Underway; Market Dynamics Still Risk-On As discussed throughout the first half of January, we continue to believe that tariffs will mostly be used as a negotiation tactic, and much like Trump's prior presidency, will be much less impactful than feared. We anticipate the Canada/Mexico tariffs to be resolved relatively quickly, and therefore we view the latest pullback as a buying opportunity. Bottom line: market dynamics remain risk-on, and our outlook remains bullish as long as t...
EIS EISEN- UND HUETTENWERKE AG
EWG ISHARES MSCI GERMANY ETF
FDN FIRST TRUST DOW JONES INTERNET INDEX FUND
IAI ISHARES U.S. BROKER-DEALERSETF
EPOL ISHARES MSCI POLAND CAPPED ETF
HEDJ WSDMTR EURP HDGD
EUFN ISHARES MSCI EUROPE FINANCIALS
A14Y8J ARK WEB X.0 ETF NO PAR VALUE PER SHARE
ISHARES MSCI UAE CAPPED ETF
EQS-News: Personelle Veränderungen im Vorstand und Aufsichtsrat der Ge...
EQS-News: Eisen- und Hüttenwerke AG / Schlagwort(e): Personalie Personelle Veränderungen im Vorstand und Aufsichtsrat der Gesellschaft 01.10.2024 / 10:31 CET/CEST Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung ist der Emittent / Herausgeber verantwortlich. Eisen- und Hüttenwerke AG: Corporate News 01.10.2024 Personelle Veränderungen im Vorstand und Aufsichtsrat der Gesellschaft Sowohl im Vorstand als auch im Aufsichtsrat der Eisen- und Hüttenwerke AG hat es folgende personelle Veränderungen gegeben: Herr Dr. Peter Biele, Mitglied des Vorstandes der Eisen- und Hüttenwerke AG, ist mi...
EQS-News: Personelle Veränderungen im Aufsichtsrat der Gesellschaft
EQS-News: Eisen- und Hüttenwerke AG / Schlagwort(e): Personalie Personelle Veränderungen im Aufsichtsrat der Gesellschaft 30.08.2024 / 15:15 CET/CEST Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung ist der Emittent / Herausgeber verantwortlich. Eisen- und Hüttenwerke AG: Corporate News 30.08.2024 Personelle Veränderungen im Aufsichtsrat der Gesellschaft Im Aufsichtsrat der Eisen- und Hüttenwerke AG ergeben sich folgende personelle Veränderungen: Herr Bernhard Osburg und Frau Dr. Denecke-Arnold haben ihre Ämter als Vorstandsvorsitzender bzw. als Mitglied des Vorstands bei der thyssenkrup...
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion ETF Pathfinder: Actionable ETF research & Ideas
Downgrading Industrials and Materials to Underweight We remain bullish on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) as uptrends remain intact; the formation of new uptrends has been our expectation since late-April (4/30/24 Compass). Near-term we continue to expect to see support at the upside gaps from June 12 and also the 20-day MA and 21-day EMA on the SPX (5375-5408) and QQQ ($467-472). These are strong support levels. Longer-term, we are bullish as long as the SPX is above 5191 and the QQQ is above...
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion ETF Pathfinder: Actionable ETF research & Ideas
Blue Sky Territory for S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, DJI Since late-February, we have discussed important gap support from 2/22/24 at 4983-5050 on the S&P 500, and that as long as the S&P 500 is above 4983 the bulls remain in control. This area was right where this pullback halted, which is when we discussed our belief that downside was limited, followed by discussing that it was "quite possible" that the lows were in for this pullback (4/29/24 ETF Pathfinder titled "Pullback Complete?"). With the S&P 5...
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion ETF Pathfinder: Actionable ETF research & Ideas
Rally Continues as USD & 10-Year Treasury Yield Break We continue to believe the market remains in bear market rally mode, though the Russell 2000 (IWM) has already achieved our price target at its 200-day MA, while the S&P 500 is only 2% away from hitting its 200-day MA. We have said that this is still a bear market as long as the S&P 500 and IWM are below their 200-day MAs, but, as we discussed in our Oct. 31 ETF Pathfinder, we continue to see signs that suggest reversals could be coming. Ma...
EWG ISHARES MSCI GERMANY ETF
EWY ISHARES MSCI SOUTH KOREA CAPPED INDEX FUND
EWN ISHARES MSCI NETHERLANDS ETF
EIRL ISHARES MSCI IRELAND CAPPED ET
EWI BLACKROCK INSTITUTIONAL TRUST COMPANY N.A.
EPOL ISHARES MSCI POLAND CAPPED ETF
EWD ISHARES MSCI SWEDEN ETF
VGK VANGUARD MSCI EUROPEAN ETF
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion ETF Pathfinder: Actionable ETF research & Ideas
Bear Market Rally Underway Key supports including the 200-week MA on the S&P 500 and $163 on the Russell 2000 (IWM) have held strong, and the S&P 500, IWM, and Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) have all reversed topside their 2-month downtrends. As discussed in our previous ETF Pathfinder (Oct. 17), this is precisely what we needed to see in order to confirm that a bear market rally is underway. Longer-term, this is still a bear market until the S&P 500 and Russell 2000 can break above their respective 200-day ...
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy
Downgrading Technology To Underweight Our outlook remains bearish at the index level considering we have yet to see any developments that suggest a bottom is in, and the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), Russell 2000 (IWM), and Russell Micro Cap (IWC) indexes remain in downtrends. Sector Relative Strength Rankings. We are downgrading Technology to underweight; RS is trading within multi-month downtrends and is breaking below major support on the cap- and equal-weighted Sectors (XLK, RYT) -- reduce ex...
GBX GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC.
PWR QUANTA SERVICES INC.
PEG PUBLIC SERVICE ENTERPRISE GROUP INC
NI NISOURCE INC
MOS MOSAIC COMPANY
FE FIRSTENERGY CORP.
ED CONSOLIDATED EDISON INC.
DY DYCOM INDUSTRIES INC.
D DOMINION ENERGY INC
CF CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC.
AVD AMERICAN VANGUARD
FLR FLUOR CORPORATION
TRN TERNA S.P.A.
GATX GATX CORPORATION
WAB WESTINGHOUSE AIR BRAKE TECHNOLOGIES CORPORATION
GNE GENIE ENERGY LTD. CL B
XLK SELECT SECTOR SPDR-TECHNOLOGY
ICL ICL GROUP LTD.
RYT INVESCO S&P 500 EQUAL WEIGHT TECHNOLOGY ETF
TNX TANZANIAN GOLD
IPI INTREPID POTASH
SOM SOMEC
IWC ISHARES MICRO-CAP ETF
UAN ARCADIAN PARTNERS LP
OOO BETASHARES CRUDE OIL INDEX ETF - CURRENCY HEDGED SYNTHETIC
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion ETF Pathfinder: Actionable ETF research & Ideas
Upgrading Technology, Downgrading Communications The Russell 2000 (IWM) displays a false breakout and has now fallen back into the horizontal trading range that has plagued it for most of 2021. This false breakout combined with deteriorating breadth has us on watch for a potential breakdown below $208 on IWM and $135 on IWC. As long as these supports hold we expect more consolidation and mixed markets ahead. On the other hand, we would turn bearish on breakdowns. Upgrading Technology, Downgrad...
XLE SELECT SECTOR SPDR-CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY
XLK SELECT SECTOR SPDR-ENERGY
XLRE SELECT SECTOR SPDR-TECHNOLOGY
XLU REAL ESTATE SPDR
XLC SELECT SECTOR SPDR-UTILITIES
RYH THE COMMUNICATION SERVICES SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND
RYE INVESCO S&P 500 EQUAL WEIGHT HEALTH CARE ETF
RGI INVESCO S&P 500 EQUAL WEIGHT ENERGY ETF
XLB. INVESCO S&P 500 EQUAL WEIGHT INDUSTRIALS ETF
XLY ISHARES CORE CANADIAN LONG TER
AUXLY CANNABIS GROUP INC
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion ETF Pathfinder: Actionable ETF research & Ideas
Weight Of The Evidence Remains Positive Despite a more mixed and highly rotational market, the weight of the evidence remains positive, and our outlook remains constructive for the weeks and months ahead. S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, Dow, Mid-Caps, Russell 2000. Large-cap (S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, and Dow) and mid-cap indexes (S&P 600) remain bullish, closing out the past week at new all-time highs. Small-caps are more mixed, as the Russell 2000 (IWM) continues a healthy consolidation of the substantial g...
XLY SELECT SECTOR SPDR-CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY
XLF SELECT SECTOR SPDR-FINANCIAL
XLI SELECT SECTOR SPDR-INDUSTRIAL
XLK SELECT SECTOR SPDR-TECHNOLOGY
XLRE REAL ESTATE SPDR
XLU SELECT SECTOR SPDR-UTILITIES
RCD INVESCO S&P 500 EQUAL WEIGHT CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY ETF
XLC THE COMMUNICATION SERVICES SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND
RYH INVESCO S&P 500 EQUAL WEIGHT HEALTH CARE ETF
RYE INVESCO S&P 500 EQUAL WEIGHT ENERGY ETF
EWCO INVESCO S&P 500 EQUAL WEIGHT COMMUNICATION SERVICES ETF
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion ETF Pathfinder: Actionable ETF research & Ideas
Remain Overweight Value, Small-Caps; Downgrading Health Care To Underweight Thus far, the market's recent consolidation phase has proven to be a buying opportunity as noted in our 3/1/21 ETF Pathfinder, supported by the reality that market dynamics remained largely positive throughout the pullback. Leadership areas including value (VTV, VBR) and small-caps (IJR) are already breaking to new price highs -- remain overweight and add exposure on pullbacks. · S&P 500. Our 3750-3694 support ...
KIE KIER GROUP PLC
ITA ISHARES U.S. AEROSPACE & DEFENSE ETF
XLP SELECT SECTOR SPDR-CONSUMER STAPLES
XLI SELECT SECTOR SPDR-INDUSTRIAL
XLK SELECT SECTOR SPDR-TECHNOLOGY
XLRE REAL ESTATE SPDR
XLU SELECT SECTOR SPDR-UTILITIES
IJR ISHARES S&P SMALL-CAP ETF
VTV VANGUARD VALUE ETF
RYE INVESCO S&P 500 EQUAL WEIGHT ENERGY ETF
XLB. ISHARES CORE CANADIAN LONG TER
COPX GLOBAL X COPPER MINERS ETF
XLYS SOURCE CONS DISC S&P US SECTOR UCITS ETF
YOLO ADVISORSHARES PURE CANNABIS ETF
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
XLV SELECT SECTOR SPDR-HEALTH CARE
XLY SELECT SECTOR SPDR-CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY
XLE SELECT SECTOR SPDR-ENERGY
XLF SELECT SECTOR SPDR-FINANCIAL
XLI SELECT SECTOR SPDR-INDUSTRIAL
XLK SELECT SECTOR SPDR-TECHNOLOGY
XLU SELECT SECTOR SPDR-UTILITIES
XLC THE COMMUNICATION SERVICES SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND
RYT INVESCO S&P 500 EQUAL WEIGHT TECHNOLOGY ETF
XLB. ISHARES CORE CANADIAN LONG TER
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion ETF Pathfinder: Actionable ETF research & Ideas
Market Dynamics Improving; Downgrading Utilities Market dynamics and price action across the major indexes and all Sectors has been positive since early November -- and they have only improved recently. As a result, we remain bullish and recommend adding exposure on pullbacks. Below we highlight recent improvements. · Market Dynamics Improving: Commodities, 10-Year Treasury Yield. Broad commodities (DJP) are breaking above the 12.5-year downtrend, likely starting a new secular bull mar...
IBUY AMPLIFY ONLN ETF
XLV SELECT SECTOR SPDR-HEALTH CARE
XLY SELECT SECTOR SPDR-CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY
XLI SELECT SECTOR SPDR-INDUSTRIAL
XLK SELECT SECTOR SPDR-TECHNOLOGY
XLU SELECT SECTOR SPDR-UTILITIES
SOXX ISHARES PHLX SEMICONDUCTOR ETF
XSW SPDR S&P SOFTWARE AND SERVICES FUND
RCD INVESCO S&P 500 EQUAL WEIGHT CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY ETF
XLC THE COMMUNICATION SERVICES SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND
RYT INVESCO S&P 500 EQUAL WEIGHT TECHNOLOGY ETF
XSD SPDR S&P SEMICONDUCTOR ETF
RYF INVESCO S&P 500 EQUAL WEIGHT FINANCIALS ETF
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion ETF Pathfinder: Actionable ETF research & Ideas
S&P 500 Testing Support Amid Uncertainties Short-term support levels have been violated on the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, and Russell 2000 due to uncertainties surrounding rising COVID-19 cases/potential stay-at-home orders, and ongoing uncertainty surrounding new stimulus and the election outcome. While we remain constructive over the intermediate-term, short-term breakdowns have shifted our near-term outlook to a more neutral stance. · Key S&P 500 Levels. We believe caution is warranted fo...
EWY ISHARES MSCI SOUTH KOREA CAPPED INDEX FUND
MCHI.. ISHARES MSCI CHN
ENZL ISHARES MSCI NEW ZEALAND CAPPE
KRE. SPDR KBW REGIONAL BANKING ETF
EWJ ISHARES MSCI JAPAN ETF
XHS SPDR S&P HEALTH CARE SERVICES FUND
XSD SPDR S&P SEMICONDUCTOR ETF
EWT ISHARES MSCI TAIWAN ETF
KWEB KRANESHARES CSI CHINA INTERNET FUND
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion ETF Pathfinder: Actionable ETF research & Ideas
Upgrading Utilities; Downgrading Communication Services We remain bullish following breakouts on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 from their bullish falling wedge patterns. The Russell 2000 (IWM) has also broken above key $160 resistance. Additionally, market dynamics remain largely positive and are conducive to an ongoing bull market. Buy dips. · Key Levels. Short-term support levels to watch include $342.50 & $331 on the S&P 500 (SPY) and $283 & $273 on the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ); as long as the...
XLY SELECT SECTOR SPDR-CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY
XLE SELECT SECTOR SPDR-ENERGY
XLF SELECT SECTOR SPDR-FINANCIAL
XLI SELECT SECTOR SPDR-INDUSTRIAL
XLK SELECT SECTOR SPDR-TECHNOLOGY
XLU SELECT SECTOR SPDR-UTILITIES
XLC THE COMMUNICATION SERVICES SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND
RYF INVESCO S&P 500 EQUAL WEIGHT FINANCIALS ETF
XLB. ISHARES CORE CANADIAN LONG TER
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