reports
- Pierre FerraguÊ
Tariffs – How would a recession affect our coverage?
The tariffs announced by the Trump administration in the last two weeks have resulted in major swings in the stock market and broader concerns regarding the global economy. We developed a framework to understand the situation and interpret its daily evolution last week and follow up today with an initial perspective on potential macro implications.
PANW PALO ALTO NETWORKS INC.
NVDA NVIDIA CORPORATION
LRCX LAM RESEARCH CORPORATION
NOKIA NOKIA OYJ
2330 TSMC
SOI SOITEC SA
CSCO CISCO SYSTEMS INC.
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
MBLY MOBILEYE NV
AMD ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC.
AAPL APPLE INC.
MSFT MICROSOFT CORPORATION
AVGO BROADCOM INC.
IFX INFINEON TECHNOLOGIES AG
ERIC.B ERICSSON
ERIC-B ERICSSON LM-B SHS
0084207D UBER TECHNOLOGIES INC
WOLF WOLFSPEED INC
GRAB GRAB HLDGS LTD
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
- Pierre FerraguÊ
The Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible 4Q24
We publish today our comprehensive quarterly bible: 240 pages of detailed analyses on what happened in the last 3 months, and how we interpret it, in light of our current convictions. The first section acts as a PM summary, outlining our key findings, and latest thoughts on the semi cycle, in 6 slides.
PANW PALO ALTO NETWORKS INC.
NVDA NVIDIA CORPORATION
LRCX LAM RESEARCH CORPORATION
NOKIA NOKIA OYJ
2330 TSMC
SOI SOITEC SA
CSCO CISCO SYSTEMS INC.
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
MBLY MOBILEYE NV
AMD ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC.
AAPL APPLE INC.
MSFT MICROSOFT CORPORATION
AVGO BROADCOM INC.
IFX INFINEON TECHNOLOGIES AG
TXG 10X GENOMICS INC CLASS A
ERIC.B ERICSSON
ERIC-B ERICSSON LM-B SHS
0084207D UBER TECHNOLOGIES INC
ME 23ANDME HLDG CO
WOLF WOLFSPEED INC
GRAB GRAB HLDGS LTD
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
- Pierre FerraguÊ
Bible 4Q24 – Industrials: expect a rebound in 2025
Today, we are publishing the Industrials section of our 26th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible on industrials. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. The industrial semi downcycle continued this quarter, driven by the ongoing inventory correction. However, more companies now expect sequential growth to return this year, as we've calle...
- Ben Harwood
- Pierre FerraguÊ
- Pierre FerraguÊ
- Pierre FerraguÊ
The Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible 3Q24
We publish today our comprehensive Quarterly Bible: 238 pages of detailed analyses on what happened in the last 3 months, and how we interpret it, in light of our current convictions. The first section acts as a PM summary, outlining our key findings, and latest thoughts on the semi cycle, in 6 slides.
ANET ARISTA NETWORKS INC.
ERIC B TELEFONAKTIEBOLAGET LM ERICSSON CLASS B
TSLA TESLA INC
NVDA NVIDIA CORPORATION
MU MICRON TECHNOLOGY INC.
LRCX LAM RESEARCH CORPORATION
INTC INTEL CORPORATION
AMAT APPLIED MATERIALS INC.
NOKIA NOKIA OYJ
BSI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
2330 TSMC
SOI SOITEC SA
9984 SOFTBANK GROUP CORP.
8035 TOKYO ELECTRON LTD.
KLAC KLA CORPORATION
NOAA NOKIA TRADEGATE EXCHANGE
CSCO ASML HOLDING N.V.
ASML CISCO SYSTEMS INC.
AMD ASML HOLDING NV
AAPL ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC.
MSFT APPLE INC.
AVGO MICROSOFT CORPORATION
SOH1 BROADCOM INC.
BESI SOITEC
UBER UBER TECHNOLOGIES INC.
ERIC.B ERICSSON
ERIC-B ERICSSON LM-B SHS
ERICB EU GRABTAXI HOLDINGS PTE LTD
0967655D WOLFSPEED INC
WOLF GRAB HLDGS LTD
GRAB ARM HOLDINGS PLC
- Pelham Smithers
PSA Technology: Semiconductor Industry 2025 Outlook
Following the recent results season where several leading semiconductor and SPE companies globally produced either disappointing results or guidance, we look at where the semiconductor industry is at present, where it looks to be headed in 2025 and identify opportunities in the Japanese IC / SPE space.
005930 SAMSUNG ELECTRONICS CO. LTD.
TSFA TAIWAN SEMICONDUCTOR MANUFACTURING CO. LTD. SPONSORED ADR
WDC WESTERN DIGITAL CORPORATION
TER TERADYNE INC.
ORCL ORACLE CORPORATION
ON ON SEMICONDUCTOR CORPORATION
NVDA NVIDIA CORPORATION
MU MICRON TECHNOLOGY INC.
LRCX LAM RESEARCH CORPORATION
INTC INTEL CORPORATION
GOOGL ALPHABET INC. CLASS A
COHR COHERENT INC.
AMAT APPLIED MATERIALS INC.
NFLX NETFLIX INC.
MRVL MARVELL TECHNOLOGY GROUP LTD.
7751 CANON INC.
9697 CAPCOM CO. LTD.
6383 DAIFUKU CO. LTD.
7735 SCREEN HOLDINGS CO. LTD
5803 FUJIKURA LTD
6861 KEYENCE CORPORATION
6501 HITACHI LTD.
000660 SK HYNIX INC
6920 LASERTEC CORP.
6728 ULVAC INC.
6723 RENESAS ELECTRONICS CORPORATION
6902 DENSO CORPORATION
6701 NEC CORP.
7731 NIKON CORP.
7201 NISSAN MOTOR CO. LTD.
7105 MITSUBISHI NICHIYU FORKLIFT
6963 ROHM CO. LTD.
9984 SOFTBANK GROUP CORP.
6758 SONY CORPORATION
6857 ADVANTEST CORP.
8035 TOKYO ELECTRON LTD.
7203 TOYOTA MOTOR CORP.
AIR AIR PARTNER PLC
5930 SAMSUNG ELECTRONICS CO LTD
AMZN AMAZON.COM INC.
AMD ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC.
AAPL APPLE INC.
MSFT MICROSOFT CORPORATION
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
00981 SEMICONDUCTOR MANUFACTURING INTERNATIONAL CORP.
AVGO BROADCOM INC.
3993 PKSHA TECHNOLOGY INC.
6600 JT KIOXIA HOLDINGS (6600 JT)
ASO ACADEMY SPORTS AND OUTDOORS
CRSR CORSAIR GAMING
WOLF WOLFSPEED INC
TSE: 2980 SRE HOLDINGS CORP
688728 GALAXYCORE INC
688234 SICC CO LTD
6526 SOCIONEXT INC
6526 JT SOCIONEXT (6526 JT)
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
ACCL DOLOMITE HOLDINGS LTD
- Jonathan Moreland
MYE MYERS INDUSTRIES INC.
MPAA MOTORCAR PARTS OF AMERICA INC.
LTRX LANTRONIX INC.
HRZN HORIZON TECHNOLOGY FINANCE CORP.
GLP GLOBAL PARTNERS LP
FCN FTI CONSULTING INC.
CVGI COMMERCIAL VEHICLE GROUP INC.
BRKR BRUKER CORPORATION
AXSM AXSOME THERAPEUTICS
ACRS ACLARIS THERAPEUTICS INC.
MEDP MEDPACE HOLDINGS INC.
ENPH ENPHASE ENERGY INC.
ISTR INVESTAR HOLD
PETS PETMED EXPRESS INC.
FRD FRIEDMAN INDUSTRIES INC.
VVV VALVOLINE INC.
SACH SACHEM CAPITAL
DMLP DORCHESTER MINERALS L.P.
MBIN MERCHANTS BANCORP
LILA LIBERTY LATIN AMERICA A
HHS HARTE-HANKS INC.
ETST EARTH SCIENCE TECH
TCPC BLACKROCK TCP CAPITAL CORP.
GRWG GROWGENERATION
PCB PACIFIC CITY FINANCIAL CORP
FBRX FORTE BIOSCIENCES INC
VRM VROOM
ONEW INC.
SSSS ONEWATER MARINE
ABCL SUTTER ROCK CAPITAL CORP.
FTHM ABCELLERA BIOLOGICS
IMNM FATHOM HOLDINGS
WOLF IMMUNOME
CLVT WOLFSPEED INC
RWAY CLARIVATE PLC
ANTX RUNWAY GROWTH FINANCE CORP
NXGL AN2 THERAPEUTICS INC
HR NEXGEL INC
CARV HEALTHCARE TRUST OF AMERICA INC.
BIGZ CARVER BANCORP INC
MODD BLACKROCK INNOVATION AND GROWTH TST
PFHC MODULAR MEDICAL INC
GRNT PROFRAC HLDG CORP
NCDL GRANITE RIDGE RESOURCES INC
SPRU NUVEEN CHURCHILL DIRECT LENDING CORP
CATX SPRUCE POWER HOLDING CORP
ASMB PERSPECTIVE THERAPEUTICS
FGF INC.
GWAV ASSEMBLY BIOSCIENCES INC
FG FINANCIAL GROUP
INC.
GREENWAVE TECHNOLOGY SOLUTIONS INC
- Jonathan Moreland
PSEC PROSPECT CAPITAL CORPORATION
MYE MYERS INDUSTRIES INC.
MPAA MOTORCAR PARTS OF AMERICA INC.
LTRX LANTRONIX INC.
GLP GLOBAL PARTNERS LP
EL ESTEE LAUDER COMPANIES INC. CLASS A
BRKR BRUKER CORPORATION
AXSM AXSOME THERAPEUTICS
APPS DIGITAL TURBINE
ACRS ACLARIS THERAPEUTICS INC.
MEDP MEDPACE HOLDINGS INC.
ENPH ENPHASE ENERGY INC.
ISTR INVESTAR HOLD
FRD FRIEDMAN INDUSTRIES INC.
SACH SACHEM CAPITAL
MBIN MERCHANTS BANCORP
LILA LIBERTY LATIN AMERICA A
FF FIRST MINING GOLD
ETST EARTH SCIENCE TECH
TCPC BLACKROCK TCP CAPITAL CORP.
NOVA SUNNOVA ENERGY INTERNATIONAL
GRWG GROWGENERATION
PCB PACIFIC CITY FINANCIAL CORP
FBRX FORTE BIOSCIENCES INC
TFC TRUIST FINANCIAL CORP
ONEW ONEWATER MARINE
ARRY ARRAY TECHNOLOGIES
SSSS SUTTER ROCK CAPITAL CORP.
ABCL ABCELLERA BIOLOGICS
CSU CAPITAL SENIOR LIVING
IMNM IMMUNOME
GRNT GRANIT SKOPKE
OSCR OSCAR HEALTH
WOLF WOLFSPEED INC
CLVT CLARIVATE PLC
ZETA ZETA GLOBAL HLDGS CORP
RWAY RUNWAY GROWTH FINANCE CORP
ANTX AN2 THERAPEUTICS INC
CGBD TCG BDC
NXGL INC.
HR NEXGEL INC
CARV HEALTHCARE TRUST OF AMERICA INC.
PFHC CARVER BANCORP INC
EP PROFRAC HLDG CORP
CATX EMPIRE PETROLEUM CORP
ASMB PERSPECTIVE THERAPEUTICS
DC INC.
FGF ASSEMBLY BIOSCIENCES INC
AGFY DAKOTA GOLD CORP.
FG FINANCIAL GROUP
INC.
AGRIFY CORPORATION
- Jonathan Moreland
PSEC PROSPECT CAPITAL CORPORATION
MPAA MOTORCAR PARTS OF AMERICA INC.
LPSN LIVEPERSON INC.
CPSI COMPUTER PROGRAMS & SYSTEMS INC.
BRKR BRUKER CORPORATION
ISTR INVESTAR HOLD
FRD FRIEDMAN INDUSTRIES INC.
MAV PIONEER MUNICIPAL HIGH INCOME ADVANTAGE TRUST
MHI PIONEER MUNICIPAL HIGH INCOME TRUST
GRX THE GABELLI HEALTHCARE & WELLNESSRX TRUST
PCB PACIFIC CITY FINANCIAL CORP
IMNM IMMUNOME
WOLF WOLFSPEED INC
CGBD TCG BDC
BIGZ INC.
MIO BLACKROCK INNOVATION AND GROWTH TST
EVM PIONEER MUN HIGH INCOME OPPORTUNITIES FD INC
FGF EATON VANCE INSD CALIF MUN BD FD
AGFY FG FINANCIAL GROUP
CYCN INC.
AGRIFY CORPORATION
CYCLERION THERAPEUTICS INC
- Jonathan Moreland
RMAX RE/MAX HOLDINGS INC.
PSEC PROSPECT CAPITAL CORPORATION
PPSI PIONEER POWER SOLUTIONS
PBF PBF ENERGY INC. CLASS A
OPK OPKO HEALTH INC.
NMFC NEW MOUNTAIN FINANCE CORPORATION
MPAA MOTORCAR PARTS OF AMERICA INC.
GLP GLOBAL PARTNERS LP
EL ESTEE LAUDER COMPANIES INC. CLASS A
APPS DIGITAL TURBINE
ACRS ACLARIS THERAPEUTICS INC.
MEDP MEDPACE HOLDINGS INC.
ENPH ENPHASE ENERGY INC.
HTLD HEARTLAND EXPRESS INC.
RAIL FREIGHTCAR AMERICA INC.
SVRA SAVARA
MAV PIONEER MUNICIPAL HIGH INCOME ADVANTAGE TRUST
ANGI ANGI INC. CLASS A
SNBR SLEEP NUMBER CORPORATION
MHI PIONEER MUNICIPAL HIGH INCOME TRUST
MBIN MERCHANTS BANCORP
GRX THE GABELLI HEALTHCARE & WELLNESSRX TRUST
NOVA SUNNOVA ENERGY INTERNATIONAL
GRWG GROWGENERATION
PCB PACIFIC CITY FINANCIAL CORP
ENX EATON VANCE NEW YORK MUNICIPAL BOND FUND
ONEW ONEWATER MARINE
BDSX BIODESIX
CSU CAPITAL SENIOR LIVING
MODV MODIVCARE INC
GRNT GRANIT SKOPKE
UAN CVR PARTNERS LP
INBX INHIBRX
OSCR INC.
WOLF OSCAR HEALTH
CLVT WOLFSPEED INC
ZETA CLARIVATE PLC
RWAY ZETA GLOBAL HLDGS CORP
CGBD RUNWAY GROWTH FINANCE CORP
NXGL TCG BDC
BIGZ INC.
DOUG NEXGEL INC
KLG_w BLACKROCK INNOVATION AND GROWTH TST
EP DOUGLAS ELLIMAN INC
MIO WK KELLOGG CO
MDRR EMPIRE PETROLEUM CORP
BNTC PIONEER MUN HIGH INCOME OPPORTUNITIES FD INC
EVM MEDALIST DIVERSIFIED REIT INC.
FGF BENITEC BIOPHARMA INC
EATON VANCE INSD CALIF MUN BD FD
FG FINANCIAL GROUP
INC.
- Jonathan Moreland
PBF PBF ENERGY INC. CLASS A
MEDP MEDPACE HOLDINGS INC.
SACH SACHEM CAPITAL
MAV PIONEER MUNICIPAL HIGH INCOME ADVANTAGE TRUST
MHI PIONEER MUNICIPAL HIGH INCOME TRUST
NOVA SUNNOVA ENERGY INTERNATIONAL
ENX EATON VANCE NEW YORK MUNICIPAL BOND FUND
ONEW ONEWATER MARINE
BDSX BIODESIX
MODV MODIVCARE INC
UAN CVR PARTNERS LP
WOLF WOLFSPEED INC
BIGZ BLACKROCK INNOVATION AND GROWTH TST
GRNT GRANITE RIDGE RESOURCES INC
MIO PIONEER MUN HIGH INCOME OPPORTUNITIES FD INC
BNTC BENITEC BIOPHARMA INC
EVM EATON VANCE INSD CALIF MUN BD FD
FGF FG FINANCIAL GROUP
INC.
- Pierre FerraguÊ
- Pierre FerraguÊ
- Pierre FerraguÊ
- Pierre FerraguÊ
- Pierre FerraguÊ
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Short Shots: Technically Vulnerable Stocks
Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.
0BOE BOEING COMPANY (THE)
WOR WORTHINGTON INDUSTRIES INC.
WNC WABASH NATIONAL CORPORATION
WBA WALGREENS BOOTS ALLIANCE INC
VSAT VIASAT INC.
TXT TEXTRON INC.
TMST TIMKENSTEEL CORP
ROK ROCKWELL AUTOMATION INC.
RMBS RAMBUS INC.
POWI POWER INTEGRATIONS INC.
MKSI MKS INSTRUMENTS INC.
DHT DHT HOLDINGS INC.
CVI CVR ENERGY INC.
ARWR ARROWHEAD PHARMACEUTICALS INC.
AAP ADVANCE AUTO PARTS INC.
LPG DORIAN LPG
AIG AMERICAN INTERNATIONAL GROUP INC.
ALV ALLIANZ SE
WFC WALL FINANCIAL CORPORATION
MUR MURPHY OIL CORPORATION
DOO BRP INC.
IIIN INSTEEL INDUSTRIES INC.
ATKR ATKORE INC
COHU COHU INC.
FI FRANK'S INTERNATIONAL NV
MLHR HERMAN MILLER INC.
VSH VISHAY INTERTECHNOLOGY INC.
SCHW CHARLES SCHWAB CORPORATION
HI HILLENBRAND INC.
ICHR ICHOR HOLDINGS LTD.
MATW MATTHEWS INTERNATIONAL CORPORATION CLASS A
CSTM CONSTELLIUM SE CLASS A
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
IMCR IMMUNOCORE HOLDINGS ADS
MNSO MINISO GROUP HOLDING ADS (N SHARES)
WOLF WOLFSPEED INC
CR CRANE HOLDINGS CO
STM STABILUS SE
CHRD CHORD ENERGY CORPORATION
FRO FRONTLINE PLC
TGI TGI INFRASTRUCTURES LTD
ASAI SENDAS DISTRIBUIDORA SA
- Pelham Smithers
PSA Technology / Semiconductors: Micron and the AI Bubble
Micron’s FY24 results are a reminder that the chip industry is still doing well. Pelham Smithers considers what is reflected in the shares price of the wafer fab equipment makers and highlights two Japanese plays that offer undemanding valuations.
TSFA TAIWAN SEMICONDUCTOR MANUFACTURING CO. LTD. SPONSORED ADR
NVDA NVIDIA CORPORATION
MU MICRON TECHNOLOGY INC.
6146 DISCO CORPORATION
7735 SCREEN HOLDINGS CO. LTD
000660 LASERTEC CORP.
6920 ULVAC INC.
6728 ADVANTEST CORP.
6857 TOKYO ELECTRON LTD.
8035 ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC.
AMD APPLE INC.
AAPL 1LIFE HEALTHCARE
ONEM WOLFSPEED INC
WOLF 123FAHRSCHULE SE
123F SK HYNIX INC
660 SK HYNIX
- Pierre FerraguÊ
The Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible 2Q24
We publish today our comprehensive quarterly bible: 224 pages of detailed analyses on what happened in the last 3 months, and how we interpret it, in light of our current convictions. The first section acts as a PM summary, outlining our key findings, and latest thoughts on the semi cycle, in 6 slides.
ANET ARISTA NETWORKS INC.
TSLA TESLA INC
PANW PALO ALTO NETWORKS INC.
NVDA NVIDIA CORPORATION
MU MICRON TECHNOLOGY INC.
LRCX LAM RESEARCH CORPORATION
INTC INTEL CORPORATION
AMAT APPLIED MATERIALS INC.
NOKIA NOKIA OYJ
BSI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
2330 TSMC
SOI SOITEC SA
9984 SOFTBANK GROUP CORP.
8035 TOKYO ELECTRON LTD.
2GB 2G ENERGY AG
KLAC KLA CORPORATION
CSCO ASML HOLDING N.V.
ASML CISCO SYSTEMS INC.
MBLY ASML HOLDING NV
AMD MOBILEYE NV
AAPL ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC.
MSFT APPLE INC.
AVGO MICROSOFT CORPORATION
SOH1 BROADCOM INC.
BESI SOITEC
UBER UBER TECHNOLOGIES INC.
ERIC.B ERICSSON
BSIB BE SEMICONDUCTOR (SWISS)
WOLF WOLFSPEED INC
GRAB GRAB HLDGS LTD
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
ARMH ARMEYSKI HLDG AD
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