reports
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: ING PW; JMT PL; BHW PW; BDX PW; MGROS TI; TBCG LN; CGEO LN...
HEADLINES: • ING BSK: 1Q25 results in line with expectations and our annual 2025E expectations NEUTRAL • Jeronimo Martins: beat in 1Q25; Biedronka margin stabilised, despite adverse calendar effect; FY25E guidance maintained POSITIVE • Bank Handlowy: dull 1Q25 results; dividend recommendation due later in May; uncertainty over impact of sale of retail operations persisting NEUTRAL • Budimex: 1Q25 EBITDA misses forecast slightly, backlog down marginally qoq, but rising amount of pending contracts...
MOL MOL NYRT
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
BELA JUMBO S.A.
CGEO GEORGIA CAPITAL
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CTPNV CTP NV
KLKIM KALEKIM KIMYEVI MADDELER SANAYI VE TICARET AS
ADNOCDRILL ADNOC DRILLING CO
DSPW DOOSAN SKODA POWER A.S.
DIAG DIAGNOSTYKA SA
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: RBI AV; ADNOCDIS UH; ENA PW; TITC GA; RO Macro; BRISA TI; ...
HEADLINES: • Raiffeisen Bank International: 1Q25 results largely in line NEUTRAL • ADNOC Distribution: 1Q25 results NEUTRAL • Enea: preliminary 1Q25 EBITDA 13% above our expectations, driven by strong Supply; only 8% of 2025E capex plan realisation POSITIVE • Titan America: soft 1Q25 results, guidance unchanged NEUTRAL • Romania macro: reflections on the resignation of PM Ciolacu • Brisa: takeaways from the 1Q25 earnings call NEUTRAL • Inter Cars: earnings call takeaways - targeting 2025E revenu...
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
TITK TITAN CEMENT CO. SA
BRISA BRISA-BRIDGESTONE SABANCI LASTIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
ENA ENEA S.A.
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
RICHT RICHTER
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
INPST INPOST S.A.
ADNOCDRILL ADNOC DRILLING CO
SHO SHOPER SA
4071 ARABIAN CONTRACTING SERVICES CO
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: EME indices mostly in the red in A...
EME Equity Market – April 2025 EME indices mostly in the red in April, Hungarian BUX and Greek ASE the exceptions. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 2.0% mom in EUR terms, but was up 2.9% mom in USD terms in April. The Hungarian BUX was the best performer, followed by the Greek ASE index (+3.5% and 0.8% mom in EUR terms, respectively). There was a slight decline in the Polish WIG20, and more pronounced deteriorations in the Romanian BET and Czech PX indices (-0.6%, -2.0% and -4.2% mom in EUR ...
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
KRU KRUK S.A.
MOL MOL NYRT
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
CEZ CEZ AS
KRKG KRKA D.D.
YKBNK YAPI VE KREDI BANKASI A.S.
OMV OMV AG
ISCTR TURKIYE IS BANKASI ANONIM SIRKETI CLASS C
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
TITK TITAN CEMENT CO. SA
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
KTY GRUPA KETY SA
DOC DO & CO AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
MYTIL MYTILINEOS S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
AKBNK AKBANK TAS
AKCNS AKCANSA CIMENTO
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
CCC CCC SA
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
ENA ENEA S.A.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
TKNSA TEKNOSA IC VE DIS TICARET AS
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
ARCLK ARCELIK A.S.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
OTKAR OTOKAR OTOMOTIV VE SAVUNMA SANAYI A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
SAB1L SIAULIU BANKAS
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
SNP PETROM S.A.
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
RICHT RICHTER
MAVI MAVI GIYIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
MCOV B MEDICOVER AB
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
INPST INPOST S.A.
PCF PCF GROUP SA
HUGE HUUUGE
7202 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
4071 ARABIAN CONTRACTING SERVICES CO
BOROUGE BOROUGE
7203 ELM CO
TRESTATES TRADE ESTATES REIC SA
THEON THEON INTERNATIONAL PLC
GEV GEVORKYAN A.S.
BOCHGR BANK OF CYPRUS
DSPW DOOSAN SKODA POWER A.S.
DIAG DIAGNOSTYKA SA
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: PEO PW; KOMB CP; EBS AV; MBK PW; SPL PW; CCC PW; PCF PW; C...
HEADLINES: • Bank Pekao: very solid 1Q25, supporting our 2025E 20%+ ROE, trading at 1.3x BV and a 9%+ yield very attractive • Komercni Banka: beat on 1Q25 bottom line driven by LLPs releases, pre-provision profit falls short of expectations NEUTRAL • Erste Bank: 1Q25 results in line; 2025E ROTE guidance sustained, but market focus on potential big M&A effort • mBank: 1Q25 solid, but valuation reflects recovery already; 2025E revenue guidance a little disappointing • Santander Bank Polska: solid ...
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
AKCNS AKCANSA CIMENTO
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
ENA ENEA S.A.
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
TKNSA TEKNOSA IC VE DIS TICARET AS
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
SNP PETROM S.A.
RICHT RICHTER
MCOV B MEDICOVER AB
PCF PCF GROUP SA
BOROUGE BOROUGE
FTSHP FOOTSHOP A.S.
GEV GEVORKYAN A.S.
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: HSBK LI; DIA PW; KTY PW; KTY PW; CEZ CP; PL Macro; GR Macr...
HEADLINES: • Halyk Bank: efficient frontier (stays BUY) • Diagnostyka: 4Q24 prelims and DPS proposal ahead of expectations POSITIVE • Kety: 1Q25 results in line with the preliminaries, PLN 48.78 DPS proposed NEUTRAL • Kety: new strategy assumes PLN 1.35bn in EBITDA in 2029E, close to our forecast NEUTRAL • CEZ: said to be nearing sale of nuclear SPV to the State POSITIVE • Poland macro: mixed results in March • Greece macro: 2024 budget surplus triggers one-off fiscal easing this year • Kazatomp...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: HUG PW; PCO PW; TOASO TI; ELM AB; EBS AV; BHW PW; ING PW; ...
HEADLINES: • Huuuge Games: post-4Q24 earnings call takeaways – supportive 2025E outlook, exploring new markets NEUTRAL • Pepco Group: Alteri PE ready to buy Poundland, according to Sky News POSITIVE • Tofas: Competition Authority approves acquisition of Stellantis Otomotiv Pazarlama POSITIVE • Elm: announces completion of procedures to acquire Thiqah POSITIVE • Erste Bank: 1Q25E preview (due on 30 April) • Bank Handlowy: 1Q25E preview (due on 8 May) • ING BSK: 1Q25E preview (due on 8 May) • CCC:...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: DNP PW; EME Macro/Strategy Weekly; BOCHGR GA; TLV RO
HEADLINES: • Dino Polska: 4Q24 results spot on prelims NEUTRAL • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (7-13 April) • Bank of Cyprus: to acquire Ethniki Insurance Cyprus POSITIVE • Banca Transilvania: to acquire Microinvest in Moldova NEUTRAL
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: OTP HB; BFT PW; PEO PW; CAR PW; HUG PW
HEADLINES: • OTP Bank: agrees to limit retail fees NEUTRAL • Benefit Systems: EGM approves capital increase, via issuance of up to 280k new shares NEUTRAL • Santander Bank Polska: may face change of strategic investor NEUTRAL • Inter Cars: March sales growth accelerates to 13% yoy NEUTRAL • Huuuge Games: preliminary 1Q25 bookings at USD 62m, almost flat qoq NEUTRAL
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: CIS-plus Macro; CDR PW; VGO PW; GEV CP; DAT PW; HU Telecom...
HEADLINES: • CIS-plus macro: Georgia, Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan face indirect risks from US tariffs, but growth trajectory to remain intact • CD Projekt / gaming sector: Nintendo delays Switch 2 pre-orders in the US, due to tariffs NEGATIVE • VIGO Photonics: new US tariffs should have a marginal impact on the company's business NEUTRAL • GEVORKYAN: US import tariffs unlikely to affect demand or margins NEUTRAL • DataWalk: key takeaways from the 4Q24 earnings call POSITIVE • Hungarian telecoms: g...
- Ahmed Ben Salem
BMW BAYERISCHE MOTOREN WERKE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
FP TOTAL SE
TKA THYSSENKRUPP AG
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
BEKB BEKAERT SA
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
RNO RENAULT SA
APAML APERAM SA
OUT1V OUTOKUMPU OYJ
EO FAURECIA SA
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
DAI DAIMLER AG
SDG SYNERGIE SA
POM PLASTIC OMNIUM SE
SZG SALZGITTER AG
TYRES NOKIAN RENKAAT OYJ
VOE VOESTALPINE AG
ACX ACERINOX SA
ENI ENI S.P.A.
FR VALEO SE
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
ERA ERAMET SA
NANO NANOBIOTIX SA
REP REPSOL SA
NDA AURUBIS AG
CIE CIE AUTOMOTIVE S.A.
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
FACC FACC AG
SPIE SPIE SA
RACE FERRARI NV
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
BHP BHP GROUP LTD
BP. BP P.L.C.
PIRC PIRELLI & C. S.P.A.
DMP DERMAPHARM HOLDING SE
AMAG AMAG AUSTRIA METALL AG
UMI UMICORE
GEST GESTAMP AUTOMOCION S.A.
AML ASTON MARTIN LAGONDA GLOBAL HOLDINGS
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
AERO MONTANA AEROSPACE AG
SHEL SHELL PLC
ML COMPAGNIE GENERALE DES ETABLISSEMENTS MICHELIN
P911 DR. ING. H.C. F. PORSCHE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
ALIV SDB AUTOLIV INC.
BRE BREMBO S.P.A.
- Ahmed Ben Salem
BMW BAYERISCHE MOTOREN WERKE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
FP TOTAL SE
TKA THYSSENKRUPP AG
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
BEKB BEKAERT SA
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
RNO RENAULT SA
APAML APERAM SA
OUT1V OUTOKUMPU OYJ
EO FAURECIA SA
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
DAI DAIMLER AG
SDG SYNERGIE SA
POM PLASTIC OMNIUM SE
SZG SALZGITTER AG
TYRES NOKIAN RENKAAT OYJ
VOE VOESTALPINE AG
ACX ACERINOX SA
ENI ENI S.P.A.
FR VALEO SE
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
ERA ERAMET SA
NANO NANOBIOTIX SA
REP REPSOL SA
NDA AURUBIS AG
CIE CIE AUTOMOTIVE S.A.
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
FACC FACC AG
SPIE SPIE SA
RACE FERRARI NV
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
BHP BHP GROUP LTD
BP. BP P.L.C.
PIRC PIRELLI & C. S.P.A.
DMP DERMAPHARM HOLDING SE
AMAG AMAG AUSTRIA METALL AG
UMI UMICORE
GEST GESTAMP AUTOMOCION S.A.
AML ASTON MARTIN LAGONDA GLOBAL HOLDINGS
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
AERO MONTANA AEROSPACE AG
SHEL SHELL PLC
ML COMPAGNIE GENERALE DES ETABLISSEMENTS MICHELIN
P911 DR. ING. H.C. F. PORSCHE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
ALIV SDB AUTOLIV INC.
BRE BREMBO S.P.A.
- Jakub Krawczyk
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: LPP PW; EEMEA Macro; TRESTATE GA; MOH GA; EUR PW; TXT PW; ...
HEADLINES: • LPP: mediocre 4Q24 – EBIT 4-5% below expectations, but decent start to the year; FY25E guidance broadly maintained, and FY26-27E guidance of stable margins, despite major sales growth acceleration POSITIVE • EEMEA macro: US reciprocal tariff effects • Trade Estates: strong 2024 results POSITIVE • Motor Oil Hellas: 4Q24 results – CCS EBITDA in line with the consensus, but net income weak NEUTRAL • Eurocash: 4Q24 in line with the prelims NEUTRAL • Text: 4Q24-25 (calendar 1Q25) prelimi...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: MAVI TI; TL Banks; GPW PW; BFT PW; MOL HB; EU Macro; DNP P...
HEADLINES: • Mavi: a mispriced story with solid fundamentals (BUY - reinitiation of coverage) • Turkish banks: weather vs. climate (reinitiating on Akbank, Garanti, Isbank and Yapi Kredi with HOLDs) • Warsaw Stock Exchange: just move on up (stays BUY) • Benefit Systems: March sports cards addition surprises positively, mostly in Poland POSITIVE • MOL: announces dividend proposal of HUF 275/share NEUTRAL • EU macro: cohesion funds can be deployed for defence, housing and energy investments • Dino...
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Türkiye in the red, again
EME Equity Market – March 2025 Türkiye hammered, once again. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced 0.5% in EUR terms and 4.5% mom in USD terms in March. The Czech PX Index was the best performer (+7.0% mom in EUR terms), followed by the Greek ASE (+4.8% mom), Polish WIG (+3.7% mom) and Hungarian BUX(+1.3% mom) indices (all in EUR terms). There was a muted performance from the Romanian BET Index (-0.1% mom in EUR terms). The Turkish ISE30 finished in the red again, declining 9.5% mom in EUR terms.
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
EXAE HELLENIC EXCHANGES SA
MOL MOL NYRT
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
BIMAS BIM BIRLESIK MAGAZALAR A.S.
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
KTY GRUPA KETY SA
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
SAR GR. SARANTIS S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
GTC GLOBE TRADE CENTRE S.A.
2310 SAHARA INTERNATIONAL PETROCHEMICAL COMPANY
DOM DOM DEVELOPMENT SA
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
ENA ENEA S.A.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
TKNSA TEKNOSA IC VE DIS TICARET AS
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
ALPHA ALPHA BANK AE
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
ECH ECHO INVESTMENT
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
SNP PETROM S.A.
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
BVB S.C. BURSA DE VALORI BUCURESTI S.A.
RICHT RICHTER
M MED LIFE
R22 R22
SOKM SOK MARKETLER TICARET AS
ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
KSPI KASPI KZ
INPST INPOST S.A.
PCF PCF GROUP SA
4IG 4IG NYRT
IGN1L IGNITIS GRUPE
WPS W.A.G PAYMENT SOLUTIONS PLC
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
CTPNV KAZMUNAYGAS NC JSC
VRC CTP NV
GPP VERCOM SA
BCG GRUPA PRACUJ DA
KLKIM BALTIC CLASSIFIEDS GROUP PLC
GIG KALEKIM KIMYEVI MADDELER SANAYI VE TICARET AS
AROBS GAMING INNOVATION GROUP
9526 AROBS TRANSILVANIA SOFTWARE SA
SHO JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
7203 SHOPER SA
AQ ELM CO
AIRA AQUILA PART PROD COM
GEV AIR ASTANA JSC
BOCHGR GEVORKYAN A.S.
DSPW BANK OF CYPRUS
DIAG DOOSAN SKODA POWER A.S.
DIAGNOSTYKA SA
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: PL Banks; ACP PW; INPST NA; KTY PW; HSBK LI; TITC GA; GPP ...
HEADLINES: • Polish banks: pricing and believing (PKO BP, Bank Pekao, Santander BP, mBank, ING BSK, Bank Millennium, Alior Bank, Bank Handlowy) • Asseco Poland: 4Q24 review – net profit up 9% yoy, 9% above the consensus POSITIVE • InPost: 4Q24 in line with expectations; FY25E EBITDA growth guidance in the mid-20%s, but a slow start to the year POSITIVE • Kety: solid full 4Q24 results, with EBITDA 12% above preliminaries POSITIVE • Halyk Bank: 4Q24 review and 2025E guidance highlights • Titan Cem...
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
KSPI KASPI KZ
INPST INPOST S.A.
GPP GRUPA PRACUJ DA
- Marta Jezewska-Wasilewska
- Miguel Dias
Polish Banks: pricing and believing (PKO BP, Bank Pekao, Santander BP,...
The Polish banks have rallied 35% ytd, but the median total return for the LTM has arrived at 18%+ for the Polish banks under our coverage. We feel that the market is currently in a similar place to exactly a year ago. The banks have performed well since the end of last year, but valuations remain attractive, with our 2025-26E median P/Es of 9.0-8.2x, at discounts to the long-term valuation levels and with solid single-digit dividend yields in 1H25E. Our upgraded forecasts imply a 10% median EPS...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: OPL PW; IGN1L LH; PZU PW; GPP PW; CZG CP; PPC GA; LAMDA GA...
HEADLINES: • Orange Polska: strategy focused on growth (stays BUY) • Ignitis Group: making headway (BUY - transfer of coverage) • PZU: 4Q24 well ahead of expectations, holding structure to be created within PZU group POSITIVE • Grupa Pracuj: 4Q24 results – EBITDA up 9% yoy, 9% above our forecast and 1% above the consensus POSITIVE • Colt CZ Group SE: FY24 results review NEUTRAL • Public Power Corporation: 4Q24 earnings, and preview of a potential mega data centre NEUTRAL • Lamda Development: 4Q2...
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
ENA ENEA S.A.
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
ECH ECHO INVESTMENT
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
IGN1L IGNITIS GRUPE
GPP GRUPA PRACUJ DA
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: PL Banks; DAT PW; TL Macro; EME Macro/Strategy Weekly; GTC...
HEADLINES: • Polish banks: Financial Stability Committee mentions sanction of free credit risk for consumer loans portfolio NEGATIVE • DataWalk: preliminary 4Q24 results – sales up 19% yoy, to PLN 9.09m POSITIVE • Türkiye macro: putting the CBRT’s emergency rate hike into context • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (17-23 March) • GTC: solvency of controlling investor in question, after State Audit Office of Hungary's report • Banca Transilvania: dividend proposal from the 2024 profits NEUTRA...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: CEZ CP; PKO PW; SAR GA; ALE PW; CAR PW; SHO PW; SHO PW; GE...
HEADLINES: • CEZ: 4Q24 results a strong beat, FY25E guidance also positive POSITIVE • PKO BP: posts solid 4Q24, and sets solid base for 2025E delivery NEUTRAL • Sarantis: FY24 slightly above guidance; minor guidance upgrade for 2025E POSITIVE • Allegro: 4Q24 EBITDA beat, solid FY25E guidance, PLN 1.4bn buyback POSITIVE • Inter Cars: preliminary 4Q24 net profit rises 41% yoy, but a slight miss vs. expectations NEUTRAL • Shoper: 4Q24 preliminary adjusted EBITDA up 32% yoy, sound 12% beat vs. our f...
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