reports
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
PLAY DAVE & BUSTER'S ENTERTAINMENT INC.
NWL NEWELL BRANDS INC
NVR NVR INC.
LEN LENNAR CORPORATION CLASS A
KHC KRAFT HEINZ COMPANY
KBH KB HOME
JACK JACK IN THE BOX INC.
HD HOME DEPOT INC.
CHDN CHURCHILL DOWNS INCORPORATED
CCS CENTURY COMMUNITIES INC.
CAL CALERES INC.
AEO AMERICAN EAGLE OUTFITTERS INC.
DHI D.R. HORTON INC.
BC BRUNSWICK CORPORATION
CRI CARTER'S INC.
GES GUESS? INC.
LEG LEGGETT & PLATT INCORPORATED
SCVL SHOE CARNIVAL INC.
CARS CARS.COM INC.
FT FRANKLIN UNIVERSAL TRUST
MRNA MODERNA INC.
EMBC EMBECTA CORP
- Jonathan Chaplin
New Cable MVNO – implications for Cable and Mobile operators
Charter and Comcast announced that they have signed an MVNO with T-Mobile that will target new business customers (here). In this quick note we provide thoughts on implications for Verizon, T-Mobile, Charter, Comcast, and the industry more broadly.
Kraft Heinz Co: 1 director
A director at Kraft Heinz Co sold 25,000 shares at 27.911USD and the significance rating of the trade was 72/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly ...
- Jonathan Chaplin
There is more Cable and Fiber M&A coming
This report provides a detailed update to our fiber forecast, with implications for the Fiber and Cable operators. The analysis suggests a strong incentive for Mobile and Cable operators to continue to consolidate assets. The analysis leverages the latest release of FCC data coupled with new features and data sets that have been built into Broadband Insights.
Moody's Ratings assigns Baa3 ratings to Conagra's proposed notes
Moody's Ratings (Moody's) assigned Baa3 ratings to the senior unsecured notes in multiple tranches being offered by Conagra Brands, Inc. ("Conagra"). All other ratings at Conagra Brands, Inc. remain unchanged including the Baa3 senior unsecured and Prime-3 commercial paper ratings. The rating outloo...
- Jonathan Chaplin
CHTR Quick Hit: 2Q25 Buybacks Hit $1.7BN
Advance / Newhouse filed their latest Charter ownership disclosure earlier today. The buyback amount of $1.7BN for the quarter was almost double the Consensus estimate of $0.9BN. It is a touch below our estimate of $1.8BN, but we were miles ahead of Consensus. Buyback estimates for the quarter and the year should be revised higher.
Charter Communications Inc: 1 director
A director at Charter Communications Inc sold 150,266 shares at 396.190USD and the significance rating of the trade was 67/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two ...
- Jonathan Chaplin
Updating Price Targets for One Big Beautiful Bill Act
We have updated the price targets for our coverage as a result of the passage of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act. Prior to the bill becoming law, we had already added the value of tax reform to our price targets on a probability-weighted basis. We have now increased the probability from 75% to 100%.
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Short Shots: Technically Vulnerable Stocks
Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.
RLI RLI CORP.
EVEREST RE GROUP LTD.
PPC PILGRIM'S PRIDE CORPORATION
OKE ONEOK INC.
IT GARTNER INC.
EIG EMPLOYERS HOLDINGS INC.
CPB CAMPBELL SOUP COMPANY
ACGL ARCH CAPITAL GROUP LTD.
CHE CHEMED CORPORATION
MMC MARSH & MCLENNAN COMPANIES INC.
GLOB GLOBANT SA
KBR KBR INC.
ARGX ARGENX ADS
TNDM TANDEM DIABETES CARE
INSP INSPIRE MEDICAL SYSTEMS
AON AON PLC CLASS A
TARS TARSUS PHARMACEUTICALS
EPAC ENERPAC TOOL GROUP CORP CLASS A
CWAN CLEARWATER ANALYTICS HLDGS INC
INTA INTAPP INC
RELY REMITLY GLOBAL INC
WEAV WEAVE COMMUNICATIONS INC
CLBT CELLEBRITE DI LTD
BRBR BELLRING BRANDS INC
KLC KINDERCARE LEARNING COS INC
KNF KNIFE RIVER CORPORATION
- Blair Levin
Rethinking BEAD 2.0 as States Rethink Their Options
Earlier this month, as expected, Secretary of Commerce Lutnick released new rules for BEAD, requiring all the states to rebid and prioritizing the lowest cost option. Our initial reaction was that the new rules would shift funds from fiber to satellite, a negative for wired providers including CMSCA, CHTR, T, and VZ/FYBR. We still think that but in talking to numerous stakeholders, that magnitude of the shift may be less than we initially thought. In this note we examine two themes that have ...
- Blair Levin
- Jonathan Chaplin
Mobile and broadband pair trades to consider this summer
While we have been intensively focused on such things as a Presidential intervention to prevent a Chapter 11, we admit that our mind occasionally drifts to thoughts of summer. So to help others who may have similar thoughts, we thought, in honor of summer beginning, we should provide our thoughts as to which alcohols pair best with the purchase of the stocks we cover (actually, we just asked ChatGPT and, given its attitude about intellectual property, we have no fears about just cutting and pas...
- Jonathan Chaplin
CHTR Quick Hit: Insights from preliminary proxy
Charter filed a preliminary proxy earlier today. We now have detailed historical and projected financials for Cox. The standalone forecasts and synergy forecasts are below ours, but in-line with consensus and prior guidance. We provide comparisons in this brief note.
J M Smucker Co: 1 director
A director at J M Smucker Co bought 1,050 shares at 96.090USD and the significance rating of the trade was 52/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly...
- Jonathan Chaplin
- Research Team ACF
KDST + NLSP Combined Core Investment Case 29052025
We consider the merged platform Kadimastem (KDST.TA) + NLS Pharmaceutics (NLSP:NasdaqCM). We provide an investment case analysis and a selection of merged metrics prior to any synergies. The merger creates a cross-platform pre-revenue biotech with lead programs including a proprietary stem-differentiation platform capable of delivering scalable therapies for replacing lost or damaged cells; IsletRx could revolutionize insulin production for Type 1 diabetes (T1D) patients; AstroRx® targets neurod...
VRTX VERTEX PHARMACEUTICALS INCORPORATED
TDOC TELADOC HEALTH INC.
PODD INSULET CORPORATION
ORMP ORAMED PHARMACEUTICALS
MDT MEDTRONIC PLC
LLY ELI LILLY AND COMPANY
SAN SANOFI
TILS TIZIANA LIFE SCIENCES
CRSP CRISPR THERAPEUTICS AG
SENS SENSEONICS HOLDINGS
TNDM TANDEM DIABETES CARE
NOVO NOVO NORDISK A/S-B
SANA SANA BIOTECHNOLOGY
HIMS HIMS AND HERS HEALTH INC (A)
KDST.TA:TASE KADIMASTEM
NLSP:NasdaqCM NLS PHARMACEUTICS
CRSP (NASDAQ) CRISPR THERAPEUTICS
TLSA TIZIANA LIFE SCIENCES LTD
Eli Lilly & Co: 1 director
A director at Eli Lilly & Co sold 1,000 shares at 716.410USD and the significance rating of the trade was 69/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly ...
- Jonathan Chaplin
A closer look at Cox footprint
We’ve been getting questions from clients about competitive dynamics in Cox’s markets after Charter announced its acquisition. In this note, we use Broadband Insights to explore the fiber competition in Cox’s markets today and in the future, who the largest competitors are, and market demographics.
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
DXCM DEXCOM INC.
XRAY DENTSPLY SIRONA INC.
WING WINGSTOP INC.
VRTS VIRTUS INVESTMENT PARTNERS INC.
UHS UNIVERSAL HEALTH SERVICES INC. CLASS B
STKS ONE GROUP HOSPITALITY
SNPS SYNOPSYS INC.
SMG SCOTTS MIRACLE-GRO COMPANY CLASS A
SFST SOUTHERN FIRST BANCSHARES
RGNX REGENXBIO INC.
RCKY ROCKY BRANDS
PRGO PERRIGO CO. PLC
MPWR MONOLITHIC POWER SYSTEMS INC.
JRVR JAMES RIVER GROUP HOLDINGS LTD
IRM IRON MOUNTAIN INC.
GPC GENUINE PARTS COMPANY
GD GENERAL DYNAMICS CORPORATION
DLTR DOLLAR TREE INC.
DG DOLLAR GENERAL CORPORATION
CROX CROCS INC.
CAL CALERES INC.
BKE BUCKLE INC.
ASC ARDMORE SHIPPING
AMOT ALLIED MOTION TECHNOLOGIES
ACAD ACADIA PHARMACEUTICALS INC.
SBL SAFE BULKERS INC.
LPG DORIAN LPG
MEG. MEG ENERGY CORP.
MDU MDU RESOURCES GROUP INC
NAT NORDIC AMERICAN TANKERS LIMITED
EVTC EVERTEC INC.
FSLR FIRST SOLAR INC.
IONS IONIS PHARMACEUTICALS INC.
NMIH NMI HOLDINGS INC. CLASS A
AGYS AGILYSYS INC.
SJM J.M. SMUCKER COMPANY
FIZZ NATIONAL BEVERAGE CORP.
NHC NATIONAL HEALTHCARE CORP.
INSW INTERNATIONAL SEAWAYS INC.
FLGT FULGENT GENETICS
DK DELEK US HOLDINGS INC
CELH CELSIUS HOLDINGS INC.
AMD ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC.
TTEC TTEC HOLDINGS INC.
AVGO BROADCOM INC.
ST SENSATA TECHNOLOGIES HOLDING PLC
ELAN ELANCO ANIMAL HEALTH INC.
MEC MAYVILLE ENGINEERING
DELL DELL TECHNOLOGIES INC CLASS C
CSTM CONSTELLIUM SE CLASS A
OI O-I GLASS INC
BWMN BOWMAN CONSULTING GROUP LTD
DINO HOLLYFRONTIER CORP
EVEX EVE HOLDING INC
SPXC SPX TECHNOLOGIES INC
WEST WESTROCK COFFEE COMPANY LLC
ADCT ADC THERAPEUTICS SA
SVV SAVERS VALUE VILLAGE INC
GUTS FRACTYL HEALTH INC
AGEN AGENUS INC.
ARDT ARDENT HEALTH PARTNERS INC
PCT PROVIDENT CAP TR II SKIS 8.75%29
MKTW MARKETWISE INC
- Jonathan Chaplin
CHTR / Cox: thoughts following the call and detailed deal analysis
We published an initial take yesterday. Blair published his report on regulatory risks to the deal. In this report, we provide quick estimates for synergies, a pro forma model, thoughts on leverage and share repurchases, accretion / dilution, and valuation.
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