reports
Moody's Ratings affirms Eli Lilly's Aa3 rating; revises outlook to pos...
Moody's Ratings (Moody's) affirmed the ratings of Eli Lilly and Company ("Lilly") including the Aa3 senior unsecured notes ratings and long-term issuer rating, the (P)Aa3 senior unsecured shelf and medium term note program ratings, and the Prime-1 short-term commercial paper rating. At the same time...
Moody's Ratings assigns Baa2 to Campbell's proposed notes
Moody's Ratings (Moody's) today assigned Baa2 ratings to the senior unsecured notes being offered in a 5 year tranche by The Campbell's Company ("Campbell"). All other ratings of the company remain unchanged including the Baa2 senior unsecured and Prime-2 commercial paper ratings. The ratings outloo...
- Vikash Harlalka
The future of broadband - Optimum Fiber has higher cNPS than Optimum C...
Optimum’s cNPS for their fiber product is higher than their Cable product but the gap has decreased in recent months. Fiber cNPS has decreased and Cable cNPS has increased slightly. As the size of Optimum’s Fiber customer base increases, the overall cNPS should inch higher. More importantly, Fiber scores are higher than Cable in every category. The company has a lot of work to do to improve scores in price / value and customer support, both of which remain very low for both technologies
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Short Shots: Technically Vulnerable Stocks
Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.
RPM RPM INTERNATIONAL INC.
UNVA UNILEVER PLC ADS
LNG CHENIERE ENERGY INC.
WDAY WORKDAY INC. CLASS A
SYY SYSCO CORPORATION
SLGN SILGAN HOLDINGS INC.
SLF. SUN LIFE FINANCIAL INC.
POST POST HOLDINGS INC.
PG PROCTER & GAMBLE COMPANY
OMC OMNICOM GROUP INC
MKTX MARKETAXESS HOLDINGS INC.
MKC MCCORMICK & COMPANY INCORPORATED
MDLZ MONDELEZ INTERNATIONAL INC. CLASS A
LOPE GRAND CANYON EDUCATION INC.
GIS GENERAL MILLS INC.
CPB CAMPBELL SOUP COMPANY
CHD CHURCH & DWIGHT CO. INC.
CALM CAL-MAINE FOODS INC.
CAG CONAGRA BRANDS INC.
BAH BOOZ ALLEN HAMILTON HOLDING CORPORATION CLASS A
AMSF AMERISAFE INC.
NFLX NETFLIX INC.
EFX. ENERFLEX
STN. STANTEC INC
BRO BROWN & BROWN INC.
MSM MSC INDUSTRIAL DIRECT CO. INC. CLASS A
AJG ARTHUR J. GALLAGHER & CO.
RDED RELX PLC
NTNX NUTANIX INC. CLASS A
TRNS TRANSCAT
KNSL KINSALE CAPITAL GROUP INC.
WDFC WD-40 COMPANY
AXON AXON ENTERPRISE INC
CRVL CORVEL CORP.
ZLAB ZAI LAB LTD. SPONSORED ADR
SMPL SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO
ABT ABBOTT LABORATORIES
ZS ZSCALER INC.
SPOT SPOTIFY TECHNOLOGY SA
IIIV I3 VERTICALS
VITL VITAL FARMS
LI LI AUTO INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
OTIS OTIS WORLDWIDE CORPORATION
TT TRANE TECHNOLOGIES PLC
2VZ LEONARDO DRS INC.
SKWD SKYWARD SPECIALTY INS GROUP INC
LIN LINDE PUBLIC LIMITED COMPANY
ASPI ASP ISOTOPES INC
TRI THOMSON REUTERS CORPORATION
TXO TXO PARTNERS L.P.
WAY WAYSTAR HOLDING CORP
- David Barden
- Vikash Harlalka
The future of broadband 3Q25: Our updated broadband industry forecast ...
In this report, our latest broadband outlook tome, in addition to forecasting the future of broadband by technology for the next 5 years, we undertake a sensitivity analysis for Cable's end-state market share possibilities. We also refresh our work on the relative competitive positioning of carriers based on end-user cNPS scores via our Recon Analytics partnership.
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy
Coasting as We Stalk for Buying Opportunity; Downgrading Discretionary to Underweight We had been near-term bullish on the S&P 500 (SPX) since our 4/22/25 Compass, however, we are officially downgrading our near-term outlook to neutral. The SPX, Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and Russell 2000 (IWM) are breaking below their 50-day MAs and are also violating their multi-month uptrends, signaling a consolidation period is here. With that said, our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish (as of our 5/14/25 Co...
Eli Lilly & Co: 1 director
Two Directors at Eli Lilly & Co sold 306,000 shares at between 1,010.500USD and 1,011.184USD. The significance rating of the trade was 73/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors ove...
Merck & Co Inc: 1 director
A director at Merck & Co Inc sold 7,085 shares at 87.000USD and the significance rating of the trade was 94/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly s...
- Jonathan Moreland
MNRO MONRO INC
LTC LTC PROPERTIES INC.
DIN DINE BRANDS GLOBAL INC.
CHTR CHARTER COMMUNICATIONS INC. CLASS A
URE UR-ENERGY
EXP EAGLE MATERIALS INC.
FMC FMC CORPORATION
WINA WINMARK CORP.
PMTS CPI CARD GROUP
RRBI RED RIVER BANCSHARES
INTA INTAPP INC
NCDL NUVEEN CHURCHILL DIRECT LENDING CORP
ASST ASSET ENTITIES INC.
Conagra Brands Inc: 1 director
A director at Conagra Brands Inc sold 13,011 shares at 17.190USD and the significance rating of the trade was 77/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clea...
- David Barden
Autumn for Broadband 3Q25 – FWA ascendant, Cable struggling
We share here, in our latest Autumn for Broadband report, a quick update on broadband industry trends based on reported company results so far. Industry net adds have improved substantially from a year ago but remain below last year’s when adjusted for ACP impact. Net adds for the quarter were higher than the pre-pandemic norm but trailing twelve-month net adds remain below pre-pandemic levels. We take a deep-dive into FWA’s continued strong momentum by carrier.
- Vikash Harlalka
CHTR: Lowering broadband and EBITDA estimates post 3Q
In this note, we cover changes to our estimates and how we compare to guidance and consensus. We also look at Charter’s relative valuation in comparison to Comcast. Please see our separate notes reviewing results and thoughts following the earnings call. We have lowered 4Q broadband new adds and ARPU. We have also lowered our total revenue and EBITDA expectations.
- Vikash Harlalka
Charter: Subscribers and EBITDA growth heading lower
There is a lot that’s common between Charter and Comcast, and yet there is a lot that’s different about the two companies. Both are operating in an environment where broadband subscriber growth remains a distant dream. Where the two companies differ is expectation around EBITDA growth. While both companies expect EBITDA to decline in 4Q25, Charter expects to grow EBITDA in 2026 unlike Comcast which expects EBITDA to decline in 2026. We also think Charter has higher pricing power than Comcast.
- Vikash Harlalka
CHTR 3Q25 Quick Take: Subs and EBITDA miss
Charter’s broadband losses were higher than expected. 3Q is usually a seasonally stronger quarter yet subscriber losses showed little sign of improvement vs. 2Q. EBITDA also missed estimates. On the call, we are keen to hear what’s driving the higher subscriber losses. We expect the stock to trade down, but, like CMCSA yesterday, where it winds up for the day will depend on commentary around expected 4Q subscriber and EBITDA trends.
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