reports
Moody's Ratings affirms Eli Lilly's A1 rating; revises outlook to posi...
Moody's Ratings (Moody's) affirmed the ratings of Eli Lilly and Company ("Lilly") including the A1 senior unsecured notes and issuer rating. At the same tome Moody's also affirmed the (P)A1 senior unsecured shelf, (P)A1 senior unsecured medium term notes program and the Prime-1 short-term rating. Mo...
- Blair Levin
NSR Policy: The Interconnections of ACP, Spectrum, Title II, and the S...
In this weekend update, we reconsider our initial takes on several events last week and how they could be affected by events this week. Specifically, we look at the interplay of the FCC’s Title II Order, the Second Circuit opinion upholding New York State’s mandate for ISPs to offer low-income households a low-cost broadband offering, Senator Cantwell’s draft spectrum bill, and how all are affected by the end of ACP funding in the next few weeks.
- Jonathan Chaplin
Charter Model Update
This note focuses mostly on model changes. Please see separate notes reviewing results and on thoughts following the earnings call. We lowered broadband adds, revenue and EBITDA. We also expect leverage to approach 4.25x by the end of the year. This likely rules out further repurchases this year, unless EBITDA is stronger than we expect. No change to thesis, though we expect Broadband stocks to be challenged for at least next few quarters. Price target is $431 (+69%).
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vital Signs: Actionable charts
In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.
RGLD ROYAL GOLD INC
URI UNITED RENTALS INC.
DOV DOVER CORPORATION
MTH MERITAGE HOMES CORPORATION
MRK MERCK & CO. INC.
FORM FORMFACTOR INC.
CPF CENTRAL PACIFIC FINANCIAL CORP.
CHDN CHURCHILL DOWNS INCORPORATED
AR ANTERO RESOURCES CORPORATION
UVSP UNIVEST FINANCIAL CORPORATION
VIRT VIRTU FINANCIAL INC. CLASS A
NOC NORTHROP GRUMMAN CORPORATION
CECE CECO ENVIRONMENTAL CORP.
CMG CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC.
PI IMPINJ INC.
MRUS MERUS B V
ADES ADVANCED EMISSIONS SOLUTIONS
HCC WARRIOR MET COAL INC.
FCNCA FIRST CITIZENS BANCSHARES INC. CLASS A
KDP KEURIG DR PEPPER INC.
MMMB MAMAMANCINI'S HOLDINGS INC
FXI ISHARES CHINA LARGE-CAP ETF
STRA STRATEGIC EDUCATION INC.
DELL DELL TECHNOLOGIES INC CLASS C
TNK TEEKAY TANKERS
AIMD.P AIM4 VENTURES
ALXO ALX ONCOLOGY HOLDINGS
CSU CAPITAL SENIOR LIVING
LRN STRIDE INC
VRT VERTIV HOLDINGS CO (A)
AMR ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCES INC
RSVR RESERVOIR MEDIA
CADL INC.
SG CANDEL THERAPEUTICS INC
EEMA SWEETGREEN INC
CASH ONTO INNOVATION INC.
FEBO ISHARES MSCI EMERGING MARKETS ASIA INDEX
METC HORIZONS HIGH INTEREST SAVINGS ETF
PROP FENBO HOLDINGS LIMITED
AESI RAMACO RESOURCES INC.
PRAIRIE OPERATING CO.
ATLAS ENERGY SOLUTIONS INC CL A
- Jonathan Chaplin
CHTR: quick thoughts following the call
What's new: in this note we cover the change to leverage and what it means for management’s confidence in the business, our evolving thoughts on broadband market growth, our outlook for 2Q24 for broadband adds, ARPU, and EBITDA, and thoughts on long-term pricing strategy.
- Jonathan Chaplin
CHTR 1Q24 Quick Take: Financial results in-line; subscribers soft
What's new: Revenue and EBITDA in-line; FCF low due to working capital drag (timing); subscriber metrics worse than expected. Leverage down very slightly, as expected. Investors will be very focused on what management says about leverage targets on the call. We don’t have a lot to add on results, at this stage. We touch briefly on the following: Broadband market growth Charter's broadband growth Broadband ARPU growth EBITDA growth FCF and Leverage Lumos overhang
Charter Communications Inc: 1 director
A director at Charter Communications Inc sold 40,803 shares at 288.350USD and the significance rating of the trade was 67/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two y...
- Jonathan Chaplin
Broadband market growth slower in 1Q24
Broadband industry growth slowed in 4Q23. We wondered, exiting the quarter, whether growth would level off or slow further in 1Q24. Based on the data we have collected so far, it appears that growth has slowed further, and possibly quite materially. We suspect slower growth will impact all operators, although for fiber, it should be partly offset by footprint expansion.
- Blair Levin
NSR Policy: Net Neutrality: It’s Back!
This week, we focus on the FCC’s upcoming Net Neutrality order, which is likely to be made public on Thursday and voted on April 25. The big picture is that the item will be approved on a 3-2 vote and largely resemble the 2015 order. As we have been in the past, we are skeptical that the rules will be material to the financial performance of the ISPs but there are a few interesting nuances to this iteration.
J M Smucker Co: 1 director
A director at J M Smucker Co sold 3,200 shares at 124.770USD and the significance rating of the trade was 58/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly ...
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
VAC MARRIOTT VACATIONS WORLDWIDE CORPORATION
PRTA PROTHENA CORP. PLC
NTRS NORTHERN TRUST CORPORATION
KMB KIMBERLY-CLARK CORPORATION
KHC KRAFT HEINZ COMPANY
CRK COMSTOCK RESOURCES INC.
COG CABOT OIL & GAS CORPORATION
BGS B&G FOODS INC.
AR ANTERO RESOURCES CORPORATION
AAP ADVANCE AUTO PARTS INC.
REI REIBEL
ELY CALLAWAY GOLF COMPANY
SWM SCHWEITZER-MAUDUIT INTERNATIONAL INC.
TG TREDEGAR CORP.
NNI NELNET INC. CLASS A
AA ALCOA CORPORATION
CTVA CORTEVA INC
RVLV REVOLVE GROUP
BALY BALLYS CORPORATION
VHI VALHI INC.
APA APA CORPORATION
SWIM LATHAM GROUP INC
ALTG ALTA EQUIP GROUP INC
DO DIAMOND OFFSHORE DRILLING INC.
XPOF XPONENTIAL FITNESS INC
AVO THE AVEON GROUP LP
- Blair Levin
NSR Policy: FCC Dings Nexstar for Exceeding Ownership Limits but Real ...
Last week, the FCC ruled that Nexstar’s relationship with Mission Broadcasting’s WPIX in New York City violated its rules and the national broadcast ownership cap. In this note, we discuss how this decision reflects the priorities of the current FCC, but also broader themes related to the decline of linear television and upcoming changes to both the market and the video regulatory environment.
TMUS T-MOBILE US INC.
VZ VERIZON COMMUNICATIONS INC.
T AT&T INC.
SBGI SINCLAIR BROADCAST GROUP INC. CLASS A
NXST NEXSTAR MEDIA GROUP INC. CLASS A
GOOGL ALPHABET INC. CLASS A
DISH DISH NETWORK CORPORATION CLASS A
DIS WALT DISNEY COMPANY
CHTR CHARTER COMMUNICATIONS INC. CLASS A
AMZN AMAZON.COM INC.
FOX FOX CORPORATION CLASS B
WBD WARNER BROS. DISCOVERY INC.
- Blair Levin
NSR Policy: State of Play of BEAD
In 2024-25, one of the biggest events in the telecom sector will be how the federal government and states spend the $42.5 billion Congress appropriated for deployment to unserved and underserved locations as part of the BEAD program. In this Weekend Update, we provide a state of play on the program, including outlining the process going forward, the timing, the Fiber v. FWA debate, what has worked, what challenges lie ahead, the election impact (or lack thereof) and the quick take from the compa...
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vital Signs: Actionable charts
In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.
XBIT XBIOTECH
UFPT UFP TECHNOLOGIES
TRIP TRIPADVISOR INC.
TPH TRI POINTE HOMES INC.
PSX PHILLIPS 66
MTRX MATRIX SERVICE COMPANY
MSA MSA SAFETY INC.
MRK MERCK & CO. INC.
ISRG INTUITIVE SURGICAL INC.
HUBB HUBBELL INCORPORATED CLASS B
GPK GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING COMPANY
FRPT FRESHPET INC
FANG DIAMONDBACK ENERGY INC.
DY DYCOM INDUSTRIES INC.
COLL COLLEGIUM PHARMACEUTICAL INC.
AL AIR LEASE CORPORATION CLASS A
ALV ALLIANZ SE
GBL GAMCO INVESTORS
CW CURTISS-WRIGHT CORPORATION
MPC. MADISON PACIFIC PROPERTIES INC. CL B
ELY CALLAWAY GOLF COMPANY
TG TREDEGAR CORP.
TAYD TAYLOR DEVICES INC.
HWKN HAWKINS INC.
FSTR L.B. FOSTER CO.
TEC TECHNIPFMC PLC
STRA STRATEGIC EDUCATION INC.
MRVI MARAVAI LIFESCIENCES HOLDINGS
SMLP SUMMIT MIDSTREAM PARTNERS
SGC ONTO INNOVATION INC.
SG CAPITAL PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
- Jonathan Chaplin
Fiber to the Future – Broadband Trends; Infrastructure Wars; New ILEC ...
We just wrapped up the second day of the BCG and NSR Fiber to the Future Conference. The second day featured discussions with over 30 companies including Altice USA, AT&T, BT Group, Charter, Dycom, Deutsche Telekom, Frontier, Goldman Sachs, Liberty Global, Lumen, Recon Analytics, Shentel, TDS Telecom, Tillman Global, Tucows, and Verizon.
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