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Heineken N.V.: Update to credit analysis

Our credit view of Heineken reflects its diversified geographical footprint and strong product portfolio, constrained by its structurally lower profitability than that of some of its peers.

Moody's Ratings announces completion of a periodic review of ratings o...

Moody's Ratings (Moody's) has completed a periodic review of the ratings of Heineken N.V. and other ratings that are associated with this issuer. The review was conducted through a rating committee held on 14 November 2024 in which we reassessed the appropriateness of the ratings in the context of ...

Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Sharad Kumar S.P

GBL Capital Markets Day

Yesterday, GBL hosted its CMD which included some 2027E targets for the approximate allocations to different sub-portfolios – what stood out was that the weight of listed assets would reduce from 60.0%+ currently to approximately 50.0% while private assets (direct private + GBL capital) could reach a weight of 55.0% (upper-end) within GBL's portfolio. We think that a private asset weight of more than 50.0% would make GBL more attractive since its portfolio will be only one of the few ways to gai...

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+6)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Lewi
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aalberts: Building already bottoming, industry tough. Air France-KLM: Nobody helps. Alfen: Covenant agreement, hikes output Smart Grid. AMG: Sweet for 2024F, sour for 2025F. ArcelorMittal: 3Q24 EBITDA beats by 6%, FCF solid. BAM: 3Q beats, on its way to reach FY guidance. CMB.TECH: 3Q and FY24 reasonable but then more challenges. D'Ieteren: EGM and dividend dates announced; Belron US peer Boyd disappointing 3Q24. GBL: Double-digit TSR expected over 2024-27F. KBC: 3Q better acro...

Thomas Couvreur
  • Thomas Couvreur

GBL 3Q24: NAV Up 3.6% To €118 & Capital Markets Day Today

As of 3Q-end, GBL's NAVps stood at €117.99, up 3.6% compared to 1H FY24 (€113.9). On a YTD basis, GBL's disposals of listed assets has helped crystallise capital gains of €1.1b (€630.0m during 9M'24 and €422.0m coming from forward sales that matured on 24th Oct'24). Notably, the stake in Adidas has been cut in half from 7.6% to 3.51%. GBL continues to have an attractive overall liquidity profile of €4.3b, which should be sufficient to seize an opportunities over the short to medium-term. We note...

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+8)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste

Morning Notes : AALB NA, ADYEN NA, CPINV BB, CMBT BB, GBLB BB, MDXH BB...

: AALB NA, ADYEN NA, CPINV BB, CMBT BB, GBLB BB, MDXH BB, TESB BB, ALFEN NA

Guy Sips ... (+11)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Dynamic Top Pick List Update November 2024 – Adding Azelis – Removing ...

With 2 changes in our Dynamic Top Pick list (we add Azelis and we remove Solvay) we maintain a defensive stance on the market for 2H24. The long anticipated interest rate cuts by central banks have finally started. The Trump election victory in the US does not bode well for European stocks as he favours a protectionist course. Although industrial companies with a US base could actually benefit. Cleantech names with exposure to the US could also suffer (unless owned by E.Musk). We expect the US ...

Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Sharad Kumar S.P

Holdings Report - October 2024 KBCS Holdings Universe Returns -2.5% Du...

1M Performance - Absolute: During Oct'24 (1M period), the KBCS Holdings Universe posted a return of -2.5% which was mainly driven by single-asset holdings (-2.8%) while multi-asset holdings  posted a slightly less negative return of -2.3%. The 3 top performers during the period were Financière de Tubize (+6.7%), D'Ieteren Group (+4.5%), and Solvac (+2.8%) while the 3 worst performers were Sofina (-11.4%), Gimv (-9.8%), and Compagnie du Bois Sauvage (-6.3%). YTD Performance - Relative: On a YTD ...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aedifica: Good top line, portfolio stabilising, guidance marginally revised upward. Ageas: China Taiping Life 3Q Solvency remains strong. ASM: 3Q24 results – That's a relief - FY25 guide narrowed upwards. Belgian Telecoms: Peer Telenet 3Q24 results, still losing shares. Fugro: Focus on EBITDA and orderbook. GBL: Kicking off its trainers and cashing in €0.6bn. Colruyt: To operate 100 OKay City stores by 2032F. Heijmans: Preview - Progressing well. KPN: VodafoneZiggo 3Q24 show still weak pe...

Guy Sips ... (+7)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
Benoit Valleaux ... (+2)
  • Benoit Valleaux
  • Steven Gould

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 10/23/2024

Last week, we organised an Expert Access event on multiple sclerosis (MS) with the participation of Dr Géraldine Androdias, a neurologist at Lyon University Hospital. Dr Androdias presented the key points of the ECTRIMS 2024 conference, as well as new trends in treating the illness. We note an unmet need in the primary progressive and secondary progressive forms, a real interest for the BTKi class with the greater penetration of the blood-brain barrier, and expectations for the anti-C...

Benoit Valleaux ... (+2)
  • Benoit Valleaux
  • Steven Gould

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 23/10/2024

Nous avons organisé la semaine dernière un Expert Access autour de la sclérose en plaques (SEP) avec la participation du Dr Géraldine Androdias, médecin neurologue au CHU de Lyon. Le Dr Androdias a présenté les points saillants du congrès de l’ECTRIMS 2024 ainsi que les nouvelles tendances dans la prise en charge de la maladie. Nous retenons un besoin insatisfait dans les formes progressives et secondairement progressives, un vrai intérêt de la classe des BTKi avec le passage accru de...

Robert Jan Vos
  • Robert Jan Vos

Heineken N.V. : Not great, but Q3 2024 trading update more or less as ...

>Organic volume and revenue growth a notch ahead of consensus in Q3 2024 - Heineken reported its Q3 2024 trading update, addressing volumes and revenue. Total beer volumes came in at 61.9m hl (ABNe: 61.5m hl, consensus: 61.8m hl). Organically beer volumes grew by 0.7% (ABNe: 0.8%, consensus: 0.5%). Revenue came in at € 7,679m, compared with our estimate of € 7,586m and consensus of € 7,784m. Organic revenue growth was 3.3% (ABNe: 3.8%, consensus: 3.2%). The negative c...

Wim Hoste
  • Wim Hoste

Heineken FIRST LOOK: 3Q volumes +0.7%, FY guidance maintained

Heineken's 3Q total volumes were up by 0.7% organically which was roughly in line with consensus (+0.6%) and better than our forecast(-0.7%). Unsurprisingly, FY guidance of 4-8% operating profit (beia) organic growth is maintained. We appreciate the beer category for the demonstrated pricing discipline, while premiumization and the exposure towards emerging economies offer further structural growth opportunities. Together with further savings potential (€ 400m pa in the coming years), we expect ...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

AkzoNobel: Slight miss on 3Q24, larger miss on year-end leverage Allfunds Group PLC: Strong NNM beat ASM International: Preview 3Q24; probably not too bad Azelis: 3Q24 results preview Heineken: Yet another miss Kinepolis: 3Q24 preview Philips: Preview 3Q24, some upside risk to margins Proximus: 3Q24 preview Events Calendar

Kristof Samoy ... (+3)
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
 PRESS RELEASE

Heineken N.V. reports on 2024 third-quarter trading

Heineken N.V. reports on 2024 third-quarter trading   Heineken N.V. reports on 2024 third-quarter trading Amsterdam, 23 October 2024 – Heineken N.V. (HEIA; HEINY) publishes its third quarter 2024 trading update.     Key Quarterly Highlights           Revenue €9,072 million for the quarter, €26,895 million year to dateNet revenue (beia) organic growth 3.3% for the quarter, 5.1% year to dateBeer volume organic growth 0.7% for the quarter, 1.6% year to datePremium beer volume organic growth 4.5% for the quarter, 4.9% year to dateHeineken® volume growth 8.7% for the quarter...

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