HEADLINES: • ING BSK: books miss in 2Q22, long-term outlook untouched, weak short-term headline earnings NEGATIVE • Bank Pekao: weaker-than-expected 2Q22 headline EPS, but results include lots of one-off charges NEGATIVE • Allegro: 2Q22 preliminary results in line for core business, but Mall Group disappoints NEGATIVE • Piraeus Bank: solid 2Q22, extreme discount vs. peers POSITIVE • ONE United Properties: raises EUR 52m in capital increase, vs. c.EUR 90m target, priced at 2.2x P/B POSITIVE • Tur...
HEADLINES: • Benefit Systems: regaining power post-pandemic (stays BUY) • National Bank: 1Q22 - another strong quarter, on track to meet guidance POSITIVE • S Immo: solid 1Q22 numbers, AGM to vote on removal of voting rights cap on 1 June 2022 NEUTRAL • Polish banks: ZBP's estimates on potential cost of credit holidays • Polish banks: 1Q22 - big drops in retail mortgage market • Orange Polska: key takeaways from PAP interview with CEO NEUTRAL • Astarta Holding/Kernel: coverage under review
HEADLINES: • PZU: 1Q22 - investment result holds up better than expected on equities and costs under control POSITIVE • PKO BP: 1Q22 results review - solid results • TBC Bank: 1Q22 highlights - good quarter • GTC: 1Q22 - results in line, DPS proposal of PLN 0.28 (a 5% yield) NEUTRAL • NEPI Rockcastle: 1Q22 - tenants' sales edging above 2019 levels NEUTRAL • Ciech: 2022-24E strategy - high EBITDA target, solid cash generation, regular dividends POSITIVE • Astarta: 1Q22 conference call takeaways...
HEADLINES: • Kcell: attractively-valued frontier exposure (upgraded to BUY) • Halyk Savings Bank: 1Q22 highlights - trading income gives a boost, but still a good start • Astarta Holding: 1Q22 results weaker than expected, but leverage remains low NEUTRAL • CEE macro: strong, above-consensus growth in 1Q • Polish banks: government clears draft bill on mortgagors' aid measures; next step - parliament NEGATIVE • Wirtualna Polska: key takeaways from the 1Q22 earnings call POSITIVE • Shoper: post...
EME Equity Market – April 2022 Market performance – regional benchmarks performance rather mixed in April. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 5.3% in EUR terms and by 9.9% in USD. The best-performing market was Turkey, whose equities gained 13.3% in EUR terms and 9.2% in local currency. Russia’s MOEX Index added 9.0% in EUR terms, but declined by 9.6% in local currency. In Greece, the ASE Index advanced by 4.9% in EUR terms, the last to end the month in the black; while Romania’s BET Index rec...
HEADLINES: • EME Macro/Strategy: Russia can live (but not thrive) without EU gas payments • Erste Bank: strong start to 2022 with the 1Q22 delivery POSITIVE • Kruk: publishes detailed 1Q22 - solid trends, but supported by positive revaluations, as suspected NEUTRAL • Tekfen Holding: 1Q22 results - another major miss NEGATIVE • Turkcell: 1Q22 results in line, except a 10% NI miss; FY22E guidance maintained NEUTRAL • Enerjisa Enerji: 1Q22 results review - mixed, but FY guidance revised up NEUTRA...
HEADLINES: • InPost: e-commerce growth at courier multiples (upgraded to BUY) • Ciech: bumpy road, but got there finally (stays BUY) • Patria Bank: profitability set to grow, but valuation remains fair (stays HOLD) • Astarta Holding: 1Q22 trading update - strong volumes, despite the war POSITIVE • CCC: final 4Q21 results above prelims, mainly on one-off POSITIVE • LPP: 4Q21 slightly below prelims on war-related write-downs; no surprises in FY22E guidance NEUTRAL • Shoper: 4Q21 broadly in line...
HEADLINES: • Polish financials: PZU - higher rates and for longer (stays BUY); Bank Pekao - standing firm against the headwinds (stays BUY); Alior Bank - too cheap to ignore (upgraded to BUY) • Romania macro: the government announces a support package for both individuals and companies • Fondul Proprietatea: end-March NAV could be at least 5% higher mom • Famur: 4Q21 EBITDA 16% below market expectations NEGATIVE • LPP: FY22E rollout plans raised to 500k sqm POSITIVE • Inter Cars: CFO says tha...
HEADLINES: • Inter Cars: strong March sales, despite ailing Ukrainian business POSITIVE • Astarta: 4Q21 EBITDA slightly above our forecast NEUTRAL • Russia macro: the CBR cuts the key rate by 300bp in an unscheduled meeting last Friday • Hellenic Bank: NPE portfolio sale • Ekspress Grupp: proposes a share buyback programme • Orange Polska: 1Q22E - 2% adjusted EBITDAaL increase expected (due on 25 April) • STS Group: 4Q21E results preview - 25% yoy EBITDA drop from a high base (due on 27 Apri...
EME Equity Market – March 2022 Market performance – regional benchmarks mostly in the black, despite the MSCI EM Europe Index losing half of its value. Following its decline in February, the MSCI EM Europe Index lost in March as well, declining by 49.5% in EUR terms and 50.1% in USD terms. Russia’s MOEX Index added 13.2% in EUR terms and 9.4% RUB terms (we note that Russian companies’ GDRs are still suspended for trading). The Turkish ISE30 Index added 8.2% in EUR terms and 13.3% in local curren...
HEADLINES: • OTP Bank: 4Q21 results largely in line, but near-term outlook very uncertain due to geopolitics • Mobile TeleSystems: 4Q21 results review - OIBDA up 6% yoy, in line with the consensus • Rostelecom: 4Q21 results review - OIBDA up 10% yoy, in line with the consensus • VK: 4Q21 results broadly in line with guidance • Astarta Holding: current operations • CD Projekt: suspension of sales in Russia and Belarus NEGATIVE • 4iG: finalises agreement with Rheinmetall on purchase of 25.12%...
HEADLINES: • Bank of Georgia: 4Q21 highlights - good performance on NIM, similar trends vs. peer • Graphisoft Park: 4Q21 - stable results, guidance increased slightly, DPS proposal implies 4% yield NEUTRAL • Russia macro: initial sanctions from the EU and the US • Hungary macro: MNB hikes by 50bps, to 3.40%, as expected • EME Strategy: FTSE monitoring the situation in Russia; MSCI publishes Q&As on treatment of Russia NEUTRAL • Shoper: call takeaways - 2022E focus on revenue growth and furthe...
HEADLINES: • Komercni Banka: solid 4Q21, 2022E outlook quite optimistic, but DPS guidance may disappoint NEUTRAL • BRD-GSG: strong quarter, high dividend • Sisecam: 4Q21 conference call - strong operations persisting POSITIVE • Alrosa: to allow its customers to buy rough diamonds ahead of schedule NEUTRAL • Inter Cars: January sales up 25% yoy POSITIVE • Astarta: to build new silo for USD 15m NEUTRAL • EME Strategy: MSCI's February QIR - no changes in EME, but EVRAZ drops out following spin-off...
HEADLINES: • mBank: 2021 was a breakthrough year, 4Q21 underlying results solid • Teraplast: 4Q21 results below expectations but 2022E guidance maintained NEUTRAL • AmRest: 4Q21 preliminary sales up 36% yoy POSITIVE • GTC: Hungary may liquidate Central Bank foundations • Ten Square Games: technical launch of a new game - Magical District: Hero's Story NEUTRAL • Moscow Exchange: strong volumes imply all-time high profits in 4Q21E (due out on 4 March) NEUTRAL • Dino Polska: 4Q21E results preview...
EME Equity Market – January 2022 Market performance – Russia’s equities lost 9.3%, while Turkish and Hungarian stocks advanced 8.6% and 9.3%, respectively, in January. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined 4.5% in EUR terms and 5.9% in USD. Hungary’s equities were the best performers in January, adding 9.3% in EUR and 5.4% in HUF terms; followed by Turkish equities, with an 8.6% gain in EUR and an 8.8% gain in TRY. In Greece, the ASE Index added 4.9%, while the PX Index, the Czech benchmark, gained ...
HEADLINES: • Wizz Air: 3Q FY22 - miss on revenues, on lower ticket prices, EBIT largely in line NEUTRAL • Etalon: 2021 KPIs - prices drive higher yoy volumes sold; leverage down due to SPO, cash collections • Astarta Holding: 4Q21 trading update indicates 2021E revenues broadly in line with the consensus NEUTRAL • STS Group: PLN 3m fine for AML NEGATIVE • Hungary macro: MNB increases rates by 50bps, as inflation exceeds forecast • Addiko Bank: Slovenia to vote on a retroactive CHF loans law NE...
EME Equity Market – December 2021 Market performance – despite most markets being in the black, MSCI EM Europe declined by 1.7%. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 1.7% in EUR terms and 1.0% in USD terms. The Czech PX Index continued with its solid performance and advanced by 7.7% in EUR terms and 5.1% in CZK. The Romanian BET Index added 7.1% in both EUR and local currency. Turkish equities, represented by the ISE30 Index, grew 5.3% in EUR and 4.2% in TRY. Poland’s WIG20 Index gained 4.8% in ...
HEADLINES: • Kety: strong 4Q21 preliminary figures, reassuring 2022E forecasts POSITIVE • Romanian regulated utilities: monopoly tax expired at end-2021 POSITIVE • Ten Square Games: USD 8m bookings in December 2021 vs. USD 7m in November 2021 POSITIVE • Huuuge Games: December bookings estimate at USD 18m, +6% mom NEUTRAL • AmRest: new long-term incentive plan approved NEUTRAL • Czech Republic macro: ending the year with a bang • Polish residential real estate: TAG buys Robyg for c.EUR 550m • A...
HEADLINES: • Atrium: ISS and Glass Lewis recommend Atrium shareholders vote for the merger with Gazit • Alrosa: in November, total diamond sales up 8% mom and +11.7% vs. 2017-19 average NEUTRAL • Asseco Poland: Asseco SEE (ACP's subsidiary) acquires 60% stake in BS Telecom Solutions NEUTRAL • Orange Polska: key takeaways from interview with the CEO • Kernel: shareholders approve DPS of USD 0.44 (a 3% dividend yield) NEUTRAL • CD Projekt: independent counsellor comments on US claims NEUTRAL •...
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