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ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aalberts: highlights ING Benelux Conference Brussels 2024, Ackermans & Van Haaren: Highlights ING Benelux Conference Brussels,Ackermans & Van Haaren: Strong operational performance of underlying companies and guidance fine-tuned upwards, AMG: Highlights ING Benelux Conference Brussels, Aperam: Highlights ING Benelux Conference Brussels, Arcadis: Highlights ING Benelux conference, Azelis: Highlights ING Benelux Conference Brussels, Bekaert: Guidance cut and €200m buyback as sweetener, CFE: No new...

Guy Sips ... (+5)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Wim Lewi
Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+3)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri
  • Steven Boumans

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 11/13/2024

We maintain our Outperform rating on CaixaBank, one of our Top Picks in the sector, with a higher target of € 7.2 vs € 6.7 and ahead of the CMD on 19 November. We are lifting our net income estimates by 7% for 2025-2026, to 7% above the consensus. The strategic update is set to highlight the wisdom of the business model diversification (long-term savings) to address the current transition phase on rates. Despite a solid market performance, the profile does not look to be fully reflec...

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+3)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri
  • Steven Boumans

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 13/11/2024

Nous réitérons notre opinion Surperformance sur CaixaBank, l’un de nos top picks du secteur, avec un OC porté à 7.2 € vs 6.7 € et en amont du CMD du 19/11. Nous relevons nos anticipations de RN de 7% sur 2025/2026 qui ressortent 7% supérieures au consensus. L’update stratégique devrait mettre en avant la pertinence de la diversification du business model (épargne LT) face à la transition actuelle sur les taux. Malgré un solide parcours boursier, cela n’est pas pleinement reflété dans ...

Florent Laroche-Joubert ... (+3)
  • Florent Laroche-Joubert
  • Roy Külter
  • Steven Boumans

ODDO : Spain: the PSOE and SUMAR looking to abolish the SOCIMI regime

>PSOE and Sumar spring a surprise in seeking to suddenly abolish the SOCIMI regime - On Monday 11 November, the PSOE reached a tax agreement with its Spanish government ally, “Sumar”, whereby the two parties want to abolish the SOCIMI REIT regime or at least part of its tax advantages. This sudden stance, which surprised Spanish property professionals, is thus different from the position that was presented just last week, namely to “encourage the construction of affor...

Florent Laroche-Joubert ... (+3)
  • Florent Laroche-Joubert
  • Roy Külter
  • Steven Boumans

ODDO : Espagne : le PSOE et SUMAR souhaiteraient abolir le régime SOCI...

>PSOE et Sumar créent la surprise en voulant supprimer soudainement le régime SOCIMI - Ce lundi 11 novembre, le PSOE sont parvenus à un accord fiscal avec son allié au gouvernement espagnol, « Sumar », par lequel les deux partis veulent supprimer le régime SOCIMI ou au moins une partie de ses avantages fiscaux. Cette prise de position soudaine qui a crée la surprise auprès des professionnels de l’immobilier espagnol, diffère ainsi de la position qui était encore mise ...

Lynn Hautekeete
  • Lynn Hautekeete

Risk of SOCIMI abolishment Fear of the SOCIMI abolishment stresses Eur...

Yesterday Spanish media reported on the potential abolishment of the SOCIMI status. The proposal comes from PSOE (socialists) and Sumar (Left winged). This is the REIT regime for listed companies that alows for a tax exemption. If this is the case corporate income tax would increase from 0% to 25%. It is very important to note that this measure is not yet approved. There is no visiblity yet on a potential alternative system. Additionally, measurements (cost shifts) could be taken to decrease the...

Guy Sips ... (+8)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Morning Notes : ABI BB, AD NA, ATEB BB, FUR NA, IBAB BB, JEN BB, SOLB ...

: ABI BB, AD NA, ATEB BB, FUR NA, IBAB BB, JEN BB, SOLB BB, AZE BB, MAAT FP, CTPNV NA, DEME BB

Lynn Hautekeete
  • Lynn Hautekeete

Atenor The turnaround that the market does not seem to believe

Atenor guided towards a EUR 150.0m consolidated debt reduction by YE24 vs. YE23. The recent negative share price performance does not reflect this. In this note, we outline the 8 projects that could lead to an EUR 150.0m debt reduction. We also provide a detailed overview of the EUR 403.0m short term (

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri

Melexis : Potentially no growth in 2025, but the low point is probably...

>Target price of € 85 (vs € 100) and Outperform opinion – The low point is probably not that far off and the valuation already prices in much bad news - Melexis shares closed down 13% yesterday after disappointing Q4 guidance. While the weakness of the automotive segment was already clearly identified, the scale of the quarter-on-quarter decline in Q4 came as a surprise (-17%). In these conditions, and seeing that inventory adjustments may continue for another few qua...

Guy Sips
  • Guy Sips

Melexis Model update after inventory correction at its automotive cust...

We updated our model after Melexis indicated it sees more challenging end-market circumstances. It was not a surprise to us that Melexis revealed that recent discussions with customers indicate that they wish to reduce significantly their inventories by year-end, which Melexis has decided to assume. The market was -in our opinion- more worried that Melexis highlighted that -while the inventory correction at its automotive customers is temporary and global car production is projected to grow in 2...

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri

Melexis : Vers une année 2025 potentiellement sans croissance mais le ...

>OC de 85 € (vs 100 €), opinion Surperformance – Le point bas n’est probablement pas si loin et la valorisation intègre déjà beaucoup de mauvaises nouvelles - Le titre Melexis était en baisse de 13% hier après une guidance T4 décevante. Or si la faiblesse du segment automobile était déjà bien identifiée, c’est l’ampleur de la baisse séquentielle au T4 qui a surpris (-17%). Dans ces conditions et avec une correction de stock qui pourrait durer encore quelques trimestre...

Jean-François Granjon ... (+2)
  • Jean-François Granjon
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 10/30/2024

The outcome of the US presidential election hangs in the balance, but the momentum seems to be with Donald Trump since the beginning of October: the candidate is now in the lead in six of the seven swing states, has just overtaken Kamala Harris in the national vote while 63% of punters are tipping him to win. We recap in the present note on the European stocks to play or avoid in the event of Donald Trump's victory and have also listed European stocks with a production base in the US,...

Jean-François Granjon ... (+2)
  • Jean-François Granjon
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 30/10/2024

Le scrutin présidentiel US reste incertain, mais le momentum semble être du côté de Donald Trump depuis début octobre : le candidat est désormais en tête dans 6 des 7 swing states, vient de dépasser Kamala Harris dans le vote national et est donné gagnant à 63% chez les parieurs. Nous rappelons les valeurs européennes à privilégier ou à éviter en cas de victoire de Donald Trump, et avons également listé les valeurs européennes ayant une base de production aux US, par nature moins expo...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aedifica: Good top line, portfolio stabilising, guidance marginally revised upward. Ageas: China Taiping Life 3Q Solvency remains strong. ASM: 3Q24 results – That's a relief - FY25 guide narrowed upwards. Belgian Telecoms: Peer Telenet 3Q24 results, still losing shares. Fugro: Focus on EBITDA and orderbook. GBL: Kicking off its trainers and cashing in €0.6bn. Colruyt: To operate 100 OKay City stores by 2032F. Heijmans: Preview - Progressing well. KPN: VodafoneZiggo 3Q24 show still weak pe...

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri

Melexis : Q4 2024 guidance points to stronger-than-expected inventory ...

>Q3 2024 results slightly below expectations - This morning, Melexis reported its Q3 2024 results which were slightly below expectations. Revenues came in at € 247.8m, slightly below consensus estimates at € 249.5m (vs the guidance range of € 247-252m). They were up 1% q-o-q and flat y-o-y. The outperforming product lines were magnetic position sensors and pressure sensors. The euro-dollar exchange rate had no impact on sales compared to the same quarter of last year ...

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri

Melexis : Q4 2024 guidance points to stronger-than-expected inventory ...

>Q3 2024 results slightly below expectations - This morning, Melexis reported its Q3 2024 results which were slightly below expectations. Revenues came in at € 247.8m, slightly below consensus estimates at € 249.5m (vs the guidance range of € 247-252m). They were up 1% q-o-q and flat y-o-y. The outperforming product lines were magnetic position sensors and pressure sensors. The euro-dollar exchange rate had no impact on sales compared to the same quarter of last year ...

Guy Sips ... (+6)
  • Guy Sips
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
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