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Dan Salmon
  • Dan Salmon

Meta Platforms (META, Buy, Raising target to $900 from $775) Five new...

We’ve added five new revenue breakouts in our model, four of which are incremental revenue: New ad load on 1) Threads, 2) WhatsApp and in 3) Facebook Notifications. We expect Threads to be the most material, reaching ~$7B in revenue by 2030, while the other two total ~$5B. We break out 4) the European No Ads subscription and add the new 5) WhatsApp Channel Subscriptions to the Family of Apps Other revenue model.

Vikash Harlalka
  • Vikash Harlalka

BEAD: West Virginia releases final proposal

What’s new: West Virginia released their final proposal last night. Among large broadband operators, Frontier was the big winner. Comcast continues to feature in the list of proposed providers. Fiber continues to be the preferred technology. In this short note, we discuss the proposal, compare the results with our estimates from Broadband Insights database, provide a quick summary of BEAD proposals so far, and discuss the implications for broadband companies.

Vikash Harlalka
  • Vikash Harlalka

2Q25 Broadband Trends

What’s new: in this report we discuss one of the drivers of slower broadband growth – a rise in mobileonly households. While we do not have the data to support it, we discuss the reasons why we find it a plausible explanation for the slower industry growth. We also update our industry forecast and reprise our work on competitive positioning of the operators based on relative cNPS scores.

Vikash Harlalka
  • Vikash Harlalka

BEAD: Louisiana releases final proposal

Louisiana was the second state to release their final proposal at the end of last week. Virginia just beat Louisiana and was the first. Louisiana Local Fiber Consortium, which includes T-Mobile, was the big winner again. Surprisingly, Comcast was the only large Cable operator among the winners. The ILECs won less than we expected. Fiber continues to be the technology of choice for BEAD. In this short note, we discuss the proposal, compare the results with our estimates from Broadband Insights da...

Matthew Weiss ... (+2)
  • Matthew Weiss
  • Scott Devitt

2Q25 Postmortem: Sentiment Guide Following Results

Following 2Q results, momentum seems most favorable for the companies below:META (Outperform) - While sentiment was already elevated ahead of the print, 2Q results were strong and guidance for 3Q was encouraging, with expectations for revenue growth ahead of initial St. estimates by ~700bps. Additi

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