HEADLINES: • NLB Group: still cheap, despite the rally (stays BUY) • DIGI Communications: 2Q25 results – adjusted EBITDA down 1% yoy, 2% below our estimate NEGATIVE • DO & CO: 1Q FY26 results above our expectations POSITIVE • Poland macro: GDP growth steady in 2Q • Polish banks: tax on obligatory reserve remuneration may be announced in the coming weeks NEGATIVE • Mo-BRUK: consortium with MBR signs PLN 30m “eco bomb” contract POSITIVE • CEZ: E.ON negotiating, reportedly, with CEZ on the sale of ...
Astor is Turkey’s largest and most profitable transformer and switchgear producer, with 31% revenue CAGR in 2019–24 and best-in-class margins supported by vertical integration and long-standing ties to TEIAS, distribution companies, and industrial clients. Capacity expansions from 4Q25, including new transformer lines, conductor production, and a switchgear plant, are set to boost production, underpinning our forecast of 9.8% revenue CAGR and 30% average EBITDA margin in 2025–34. Global transfor...
HEADLINES: • Lion Finance Group: lion takes a breather (downgraded to HOLD) • Coca-Cola Icecek: 2Q25 results – as expected NEUTRAL • Bank Pekao: changing remuneration conditions for c.2,700 employees NEUTRAL • Text: launches Text App service NEUTRAL • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (4-10 August) • Murapol: 2Q25E preview – EBIT halved yoy, due to a low number of handovers (due on 24 September) • Rainbow Tours: 2Q25E preview – 19% net income drop expected, following margin normalisation (due...
HEADLINES: • CD Projekt: opening the next chapter (upgraded to BUY) • PZU: CEO Klesyk dismissed NEGATIVE • MOL: 2Q25 results hit by one-off charge NEUTRAL • HELLENiQ Energy: 2Q25 results NEUTRAL • NLB Group: material bottom-line beat in 2Q25, due mainly to provisions and impairments released POSITIVE • CCC: preliminary 2Q25 EBITDA beats expectations by 1-5%, on the top line POSITIVE • Akcansa: 2Q25 conference call takeaways NEUTRAL • Brisa: takeaways from the 2Q25 earnings call POSITIVE • Cimsa:...
HEADLINES: • Bank Pekao: strong 2Q25 delivery reaffirms our FY25E net profit forecast of c. PLN 7bn, still ahead of the market consensus NEUTRAL • Magyar Telekom: 2Q25 results review – EBITDA up 13% yoy, 3% above the consensus; 2025E guidance upgraded POSITIVE • Akcansa: weak 2Q25 financial results, with signs of recovery NEGATIVE • Teknosa: 2Q25 results – recovery in the operating performance overshadowed by losses on the bottom line NEUTRAL • Brisa: 2Q25 results in line, very much like 1Q25 NE...
HEADLINES: • Alior Bank: solid 2Q25, with a beat vs. the market's expectations on stronger other income and lower LLPs POSITIVE • Richter: 2Q25 results broadly in line NEUTRAL • Aselsan: 2Q25 results – strong beat, driven by operating performance POSITIVE • Turkish Airlines: 2Q25 – EBIT above the consensus on better costs POSITIVE • Isbank: 2Q25 highlights – a mixed bag, but management sounds confident in sharp margin recovery in 2H25E • Cimsa: 2Q25 financial results review – strong revenue grow...
HEADLINES: • Coca-Cola Icecek: recovery on the horizon (stays BUY) • OTP Bank: books solid 2Q25 NEUTRAL • Kaspi.kz: 2Q25 highlights – on track, with revised down guidance, could start buying back stock in 2026E • Elm: 2Q25 conference call takeaways – organic growth guidance upgraded POSITIVE • Theon International: to acquire KAPPA Optronics of Germany POSITIVE • Titan: to acquire 80% of leading concrete solutions provider in Southeastern Europe with Molins POSITIVE • Allegro: buyback price of PL...
We downgrade CEZ to Underperform (vs. Neutral) as we believe that the 30% rise in the share price YTD is largely due to speculation about a possible re-nationalisation of the company. In our view, the current valuation of CEZ is not justified given the expected EPS decline of 11.5% in 2024-28e CAGR, unattractive dividends (our DPS of CZK 45 for 2025e implies a DY of 25%.
We reiterate our BUY on Coca-Cola Icecek (CCI), with a new 12M price target (PT) of TRY 78. CCI’s operating performance has been under pressure since 3Q24, due to weak pricing terms and high base effects. After the weak 1Q25 results, due to the domestic operations, we anticipate milder pressure on the operating margins in 2Q25E. We foresee better operating results in 2H25E vs. 1H25, to be driven by the positive effects of the price increases in the domestic market starting in 2Q25, achieved over...
HEADLINES: • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (28 July-3 August) • Alpha Bank: 2Q25 highlights – an 11% beat vs. our estimate, but CET1 down 50bpts qoq • Kazatomprom: 2Q operational update NEUTRAL • GEK Terna: boosts construction backlog by almost EUR 0.5bn POSITIVE • Wizz Air: July capacity up 8% yoy, load factor down 1ppt NEUTRAL • Budimex: expects a market rebound in 2026E; decision on FBSerwis in the autumn NEUTRAL • Orange Polska: key takeaways from an interview with the CFO NEUTRAL • C...
EME Equity Market – July 2025 EME indices all in the green in July. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced by 6.0% mom in EUR terms and 3.0% in USD terms. The Turkish ISE30 was, once again, the top performer, adding 7.9% mom in EUR terms, followed very closely by the Romanian BET, advancing 7.8% mom in EUR terms. The Greek ASE added 6.8% mom in EUR terms, while the Czech PX added 4.5% mom in EUR terms. The Hungarian BUX and Polish WIG20 added 3.6% and 3.0% mom, respectively, in EUR terms.
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