reports
- Natalia Svyriadi
Aegean Airlines | Holding Altitude Amid Turbulence
A turbulent 2025e – We have moderately lowered our 2025 revenue forecast to €1.84bn (up 3.8% yoy) and reduced our bottom-line estimate by c2% to €139mn (+7% yoy), while maintaining both our load factor (82.5%) and EBITDA forecast (€422mn, +4% yoy). These revisions capture the two-speed nature of 2025: robust H1 pricing and meaningful FX gains offset by Q3 softness and an anticipated Q4 pullback on a demanding comp base. At the same time, Aegean continues to push significant capacity growth into ...
- Natalia Svyriadi
Aegean Airlines | Holding Altitude Amid Turbulence
A turbulent 2025e – We have moderately lowered our 2025 revenue forecast to €1.84bn (up 3.8% yoy) and reduced our bottom-line estimate by c2% to €139mn (+7% yoy), while maintaining both our load factor (82.5%) and EBITDA forecast (€422mn, +4% yoy). These revisions capture the two-speed nature of 2025: robust H1 pricing and meaningful FX gains offset by Q3 softness and an anticipated Q4 pullback on a demanding comp base. At the same time, Aegean continues to push significant capacity growth into ...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: RO Macro; CAR PW; PGE PW; PL Utilities; BELA GA; OPTIMA GA...
HEADLINES: • Romania macro: Bucharest vote supports government • Inter Cars: November sales growth decelerates to 2.6% yoy NEGATIVE • PGE: CEO and COO dismissed; former Tauron CEO appointed as acting CEO NEUTRAL • Polish utilities: ready for lower distribution WACC NEGATIVE • Jumbo: sales up 6% in November and 8% in 11M25, as expected NEUTRAL • Optima Bank SA: 4m shares block trades at 1.9% discount NEUTRAL • Pegasus Airlines: signs an agreement to acquire Czech Airlines for EUR 154m POSITIVE • ...
- Jakub Caithaml
- Peter Palovic
WOOD Flash – Pegasus Airlines: signs an agreement to acquire Czech Air...
Pegasus has agreed to acquire Czech Airlines and its subsidiary, Smartwings, for EUR 154m (full equity). Subject to regulatory approval, the transaction could mark a new phase in Pegasus’s development as a group, with EU-domiciled airlines, offering a strategic foothold in Prague and, more broadly, across Europe. With over EUR 1.5bn in liquidity at end-September, the purchase price is manageable, while the deal provides access to an EU carrier generating around one-third of Pegasus’s revenues, a...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: PGSUS TI; APR PW; BDX PW; EME Macro/Strategy; DNP PW; ENA ...
HEADLINES: • Pegasus Airlines: signs an agreement to acquire Czech Airlines for EUR 154m • Auto Partner: November sales growth decelerates to 2.6% yoy NEGATIVE • Budimex: PLN 1.1bn offer selected by PKP PLK POSITIVE • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (28 November-4 December) • Postcards from Prague • Dino • Enea • Warsaw Stock Exchange • CEZ • Banca Transilvania • BRD-GSG • Cimsa • Akcansa • Artea Bankas • Ignitis • NLB Group • Mavi: 3Q25E earnings preview (due out 10 December)
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
AKCNS AKCANSA CIMENTO
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
ENA ENEA S.A.
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
SAB1L SIAULIU BANKAS
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
MAVI MAVI GIYIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
NLBR NLB GROUP
IGN1L IGNITIS GRUPE
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: PL Macro; WPL PW; ALE PW; ACP PW; BFT PW; BDX PW; CCC PW; ...
HEADLINES: • Poland macro: NBP cuts again, with inflation back at target • Wirtualna Polska: sells Invia Flights Germany at EUR 42.3m EV, 9.0x 2024 EV/EBITDA POSITIVE • WOOD's Winter Wonderland EME Conference 2025: Postcards from Prague • Allegro • Asseco Poland • Benefit Systems • Budimex • CCC • Kety • PGE • Tauron • Primoco UAV • Aquila Part Prod Com S.A. • MedLife • Mavi • Georgia Capital • GEVORKYAN • Krka • Medicover
KRKG KRKA D.D.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
KTY GRUPA KETY SA
CCC CCC SA
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
MAVI MAVI GIYIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
M MED LIFE
MCOV B MEDICOVER AB
CGEO GEORGIA CAPITAL
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
AQ AQUILA PART PROD COM
GEV GEVORKYAN A.S.
PRIUA PRIMOCO UAV SE
- Erol Danis
- Mehmet Yigit Yorulmaz
Turkish Aviation - Cloudier Skies
Passenger traffic momentum has weakened in 2025, and we do not expect it to improve significantly in 2026. Turkey’s aviation traffic trends showed 6.6% y/y growth in 10M25 (international +7%; domestic +6%), marking a slowdown from previous years (2023: +18%; 2024: +8% y/y) as the tourism sector faces headwinds from TL appreciation and geopolitics. Foreign tourist arrivals stayed flattish y/y in 10M25, marking the slowest y/y performance since the Covid rebound. Looking ahead to 2026, continued T...
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Turkish ISE 30 in the red in Novem...
EME Equity Market – November 2025 Czech PX leads in November, Türkiye the only loser. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 1.5% mom in EUR terms and 2.1% mom in USD terms in November. The Czech PX was the top performer, adding 4.7% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Greek ASE and the Hungarian BUX (+4.4% and +3.7% mom, respectively, in EUR terms). The Romanian BET and Polish WIG 20 were also in the green (+1.3% and +1.0% mom in EUR terms). The only loser was the Turkish ISE 30 (-2.0% mom in EUR terms).
EXAE HELLENIC EXCHANGES SA
MOL MOL NYRT
CEZ CEZ AS
KRKG KRKA D.D.
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
ISCTR TURKIYE IS BANKASI ANONIM SIRKETI CLASS C
TITK TITAN CEMENT CO. SA
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
BIMAS BIM BIRLESIK MAGAZALAR A.S.
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
DOC DO & CO AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
MYTIL MYTILINEOS S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
LOGO LOGO YAZILIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
DOM DOM DEVELOPMENT SA
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
RBW RAINBOW TOURS S.A.
ENA ENEA S.A.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
ARCLK ARCELIK A.S.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
OTKAR OTOKAR OTOMOTIV VE SAVUNMA SANAYI A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
GSPARK GRAPHISOFT PARK SE
DVL DEVELIA SA
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
DAT DATAWALK SA
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
BELA JUMBO S.A.
SAB1L SIAULIU BANKAS
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
SNP PETROM S.A.
PBK PATRIA BANK SA
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
BVB S.C. BURSA DE VALORI BUCURESTI S.A.
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
RICHT RICHTER
19XX NEPI ROCKCASTLE PLC
ALPHA ALPHA BANK
M MED LIFE
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
R22 R22
MCOV B MEDICOVER AB
CGEO GEORGIA CAPITAL
EAT AMREST HOLDINGS SE
NLBR NLB GROUP
ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
DUNAHOUSE DUNA HOUSE
KSPI KASPI KZ
INPST INPOST S.A.
HUGE HUUUGE
4IG 4IG NYRT
IGN1L IGNITIS GRUPE
CTPNV KAZMUNAYGAS NC JSC
VRC CTP NV
GPP VERCOM SA
KLKIM GRUPA PRACUJ DA
ADNOCDRILL KALEKIM KIMYEVI MADDELER SANAYI VE TICARET AS
2381 ADNOC DRILLING CO
7202 ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
9526 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
ELPE JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
SHO HELLENIQ ENERGY
4071 SHOPER SA
ACAG ARABIAN CONTRACTING SERVICES CO
H2O AUSTRIACARD HOLDINGS AG
7203 HIDROELECTRICA S.A.
OPTIMAr ELM CO
MUR2 OPTIMA BANK S.A.
AQ MURAPOL SA
TRESTATES AQUILA PART PROD COM
THEON TRADE ESTATES REIC SA
AIRA THEON INTERNATIONAL PLC
GEV AIR ASTANA JSC
PRIUA GEVORKYAN A.S.
BOCHGR PRIMOCO UAV SE
DSPW BANK OF CYPRUS
DIAG DOOSAN SKODA POWER A.S.
PE RO DIAGNOSTYKA SA
PREMIER ENERGY
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: EME Macro/Strategy – Years Ahead; RBW PW; ALR PW; BHW PW; ...
HEADLINES: • EME Macro/Strategy: the years ahead – 2026-27E • Rainbow Tours: consolidated October sales 20.7% higher yoy, driven by Paralela 45 acquisition; stand-alone sales 14% higher yoy POSITIVE • Alior Bank: c.PLN 105m positive DTA revaluation in 4Q25E NEUTRAL • Bank Handlowy: c.PLN 120m positive DTA revaluation in 4Q25E NEUTRAL • mBank: PLN 125m positive DTA revaluation and estimated 2026E CIT increase impact NEUTRAL • LPP: PLN 788m write-down of Russian assets NEGATIVE • Bank Millennium: ...
- Alessio Chiesa
- Raffaella Tenconi
EME Macro/Strategy: dividends in EMEA – yield hunting after markets ha...
The macro backdrop entering 2026E remains broadly supportive for high-dividend strategies across Emerging Europe and the frontier markets, but the opportunity set has clearly narrowed. After a year of sharp repricing across the WOOD universe, the high dividend conditions of 2024-25 have largely disappeared, as a result of many sectors rerating materially. As a result, high-dividend exposure is no longer a broad regional trade: the most compelling opportunities are now concentrated. However, the ...
MOL MOL NYRT
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
KTY GRUPA KETY SA
DOM DOM DEVELOPMENT SA
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
RBW RAINBOW TOURS S.A.
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
GSPARK GRAPHISOFT PARK SE
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
SNP PETROM S.A.
19XX NEPI ROCKCASTLE PLC
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
NLBR NLB GROUP
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
KSPI KASPI KZ
HUGE HUUUGE
IGN1L IGNITIS GRUPE
ELPE HELLENIQ ENERGY
BOROUGE BOROUGE
H2O HIDROELECTRICA S.A.
MUR2 MURAPOL SA
TRESTATES TRADE ESTATES REIC SA
BOCHGR BANK OF CYPRUS
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: CZG CP; EUR PW; MBR PW; EME Strategy - FTSE; DUNAHOUS HB; ...
HEADLINES: • Colt CZ Group: 3Q25 results and earnings call takeaways NEUTRAL • Eurocash: 3Q25 – slightly above our low expectations, but below the consensus; strategy publication postponed to 9 December NEGATIVE • Mo-BRUK: 3Q25 conference call highlights POSITIVE • EME Strategy: FTSE GEIS November 2025 review results • Duna House: 3Q25 – strong summer, FY guidance upgraded POSITIVE • GEK Terna: 9M25 results in line; EBITDA jumps 66%, thanks to Attiki Odos • Athens Exchange Group: FTSE to reduce ...
- Jakub Caithaml
WOOD Flash – Air Astana Group: places order for 25+25 A320neo family a...
Air Astana Group has signed a MoU for up to 50 Airbus A320neo family aircraft – the biggest order in its history. The agreement covers 25 firm aircraft and 25 purchase options. The order spans both the A320neo and A321neo models, with the first deliveries scheduled for 2031E. This follows the recently-announced agreement to purchase 15 Boeing 787-9 Dreamliners (please see our flash note for further details). The order paves the way for the continued growth of the business, and marks yet another ...
- Emira Sagaama
- Rok Stibric
- Emira Sagaama
- Rok Stibric
- Rok Stibric
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: HTO GA; PZU PW; ALE PW; CPS PW; GPP PW; PKN PW; DOM PW; TP...
HEADLINES: • OTE: multiple tailwinds supporting the equity story (stays BUY) • PZU: very strong 3Q25 bottom line, strong beat vs. expectations, but slower revenue growth raises questions for the future POSITIVE • Allegro: 3Q25 above expectations; FY25E guidance trimmed due to slower November NEUTRAL • Cyfrowy Polsat: 3Q25 results review – adjusted EBITDA down 12% yoy, in line with the consensus NEUTRAL • Grupa Pracuj: 3Q25 results – adjusted EBITDA up 3% yoy, 2% above our forecast and 11% above ...
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
DOM DOM DEVELOPMENT SA
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
GPP GRUPA PRACUJ DA
GEV GEVORKYAN A.S.
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: AEGN GA; ELM AB; EAT PW; CAR PW; HSBK LI; ELPE GA; SNG RO;...
HEADLINES: • Aegean Airlines: summer performance ahead of our estimates (upgraded to BUY) • Elm: clarity is on its way (stays BUY) • AmRest: 3Q25 below expectations NEGATIVE • Inter Cars: 3Q25 EBITDA above our expectations and the market by 3-6% NEUTRAL • Halyk Bank: 3Q25 highlights before the call - good quarter with an 8% beat to our estimate, 2026E guidance POSITIVE • HELLENiQ Energy: 3Q25 results beat, on record-high refining output POSITIVE • Romgaz: 3Q25 results - net income beat our expec...
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
DAT DATAWALK SA
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
BVB S.C. BURSA DE VALORI BUCURESTI S.A.
M MED LIFE
EAT AMREST HOLDINGS SE
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ELPE HELLENIQ ENERGY
ACAG AUSTRIACARD HOLDINGS AG
7203 ELM CO
- Jakub Caithaml
- Peter Palovic
Aegean Airlines: summer performance ahead of our estimates (upgraded t...
We have increased our forecasts for Aegean Airlines (Aegean) for 2025E (by 8% on the EBIT level), following a better performance in the summer than we had been pricing in. We still expect to see some margin pressure in 2026E, mainly as a function of: 1) a higher number of parked aircraft yoy; and 2) no free carbon allowances starting from January 2026E. Still, Aegean continues to generate substantial cash flows, and benefits from a modern fleet, the extension of the tourism flows into the should...
- Carole Braudeau
Credit Morning 11/13/2025
Carrefour: Saadé family acquires stake, Peninsula exits|Emeria: an equity fundraising to enable bond refinancing?|Advanz Q3 25 results: Adj. EBITDA drops yoy and net leverage increases further – but not surprising|grenke Q3 25 results: Good operational performance YTD, but loss rate and NPLs increase|Finnair: no surprises on the FY 2026-2029 targets at first sight|
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