GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: November Conviction Calls: Add Hansoh Pharma, Sands China, CSCEC and BYDE to our BUY list. Add Sinopharm to our SELL list. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Underperformance in Oct 24: Our picks are NCKL, BBTN, BMRI, BBRI, EXCL, CTRA, JSMR, BBNI, CMRY and ASII. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Gearing Up For The Reporting Season: Our Alpha Picks outperformed in Oct 24. Nov 24 picks: EcoWorld, Gamuda, Lagenda, MYEG, Pekat, RGB, RHB Bank, Top Glove, VSI and Yinson...
The HSI and MSCI China dropped 3.9% and 5.9% mom respectively in October, as investors took profit pending further details on the expected fiscal package. We expect the fiscal stimulus to have been largely priced in and will take profit on most outperformers. Our focus will be on stocks with specific catalysts in the near term. We are adding Hansoh Pharma, Sands China, CSCEC and BYDE to our BUY list. We add Sinopharm to our SELL list.
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: November Conviction Calls Add Hansoh Pharma, Sands China, CSCEC and BYDE to our BUY list. Add Sinopharm to our SELL list. Sector Aviation – China Airlines: 3Q24 earnings a slight miss; expect losses in seasonally weak 4Q24. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. Macau Gaming Oct 24 GGR up 7% yoy and...
BYDE registered a solid 21.1% yoy revenue growth in 3Q24 thanks to the consolidation of the acquired Jabil unit, while margins recovered sequentially thanks to product mix improvements. Guidance for 4Q24-25 remains upbeat, as the iOS business is expected to enter its peak season, while efficiency improvements for the Jabil unit and rollout of active suspension and high-end ADAS to its parent company is expected to be a key earnings driver for 2025. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of HK$40...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Economics PMI October’s manufacturing PMI rose to 50.1% (+0.3ppt mom), with improvements across all composite indices. However, new export orders and inventory of finished goods continued to contract, with increases in purchase prices. The non-manufacturing PMI rose to 50.2% (+0.2ppt mom), showing broad-based improvements across all indices but a slight dip in construction PMI. Activity for small-sized firms contracted, likely impacted by fewer new manufacturing export orders....
GREATER CHINA Economics PMI: Broad-based improvement in PMI. Results Budweiser APAC (1876 HK/BUY/HK$8.11/Target: HK$14.60): 3Q24: Premiumisation slows down in China; in-home channel to be a focus. BYD Electronic (285 HK/BUY/HK$33.50/Target: HK$40.90): 3Q24: Solid set of results; 4Q24/2025 growth may accelerate further. Maintain BUY. China Longyuan Power (916 HK/HOLD/HK$6.91/Target: HK$6.50): 3Q24: In line; 3Q24 wind power generation up 6.2% yoy. COSCO SHIPPING Holdings (1919 HK/HOLD/HK$11.54/Tar...
Multiple media reports make it sound like Tesla is under threat in China, from local manufacturers. Is it true? In this note we assess the competitive landscape with an analysis of the cost structure of Tesla relative to peers and its market position by segment.
Our recent checks across the supply chain indicates high visibility of a specs upgrade trend in the coming two quarters, which can offset any potential moderation in shipment volume. For investors, while there are still concerns over iOS’ demand and the sustainability of this recovery cycle, interest in the smartphone supply chain is gradually improving thanks to recent launches which come with more exciting new features. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
We recently visited UBTech and BYDE in Shenzhen. Both companies are actively developing AI-driven products for industrial use cases, and both are starting to see real demand for AI-driven applications with small-batch shipments from clients or for internal uses. However, the development of humanoid robots and industrial GenAI will likely take a couple of years before it becomes more viable, due to reliability issues and constraints on hardware.
A director at Byd Electronic (International) Company Limited maiden bought 169,000 shares at 27.296HKD and the significance rating of the trade was 100/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's...
1H24 results are mixed. AI infrastructure-related businesses remain robust, with solid guidance for 2H24-25, but the market’s high expectations, mounting geopolitical tensions and a lack of long-term visibility have capped upside in the near term. As such, we continue to prefer AI-device names as we expect more meaningful developments in the edge-AI ecosystem throughout 2H24 thanks to new hardware and OS launches. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Top picks: Xiaomi and Lenovo.
GREATER CHINA Economics Trade Exports rebounded in August but outlook remains challenging. Sector IT Hardware Maintain preference for the more defensive AI-device plays as uncertainty remains high. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. INDONESIA Update Bank Mandiri (BMRI IJ/HOLD/Rp7,250/Target: Rp7,760) 7M24: Strong ...
BYDE registered a robust 40% yoy growth in 1H24 revenue thanks to a stronger-thanexpected assembly business, but the disappointing 1.0ppt decline in gross margins more than offset the revenue growth. Nevertheless, guidance on 2H24 sales remains upbeat, and we expect its margins to recover meaningfully on the back of a better mix. In the longer term, its exposure to AI smartphone cycle, and content gain story in major clients remain unchanged. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of HK$42.50.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Baosteel (600019 CH/BUY/Rmb5.85/Target: Rmb7.90) Baosteel reported 1H24 earnings of Rmb4,554.6m (-0.2% yoy), representing 34% of our full-year estimate and below expectations. Steel products’ gross margin rose to 3.7% (+0.7ppt yoy). Differentiated products’ sales volume increased to Rmb15.09m (+17.2% yoy), remaining as the key earnings contributor during the industry downcycle. Steel products’ export volume grew to 3.05m (+2% yoy), on track to achieve the annual target...
GREATER CHINA Results BYD Electronic (285 HK/BUY/HK$27.65/Target: HK$42.50) 1H24: Results missed on margins. Expect peak season to bolster profitability in 2H24. China Feihe (6186 HK/BUY/HK$4.04/Target: HK$5.22) 1H24: Steady profit growth; accelerated revenue expansion in 2H24. China Longyuan Power (916 HK/HOLD/HK$6.16/Target: HK$6.10) 1H24: Below expectations; power generation dragged by low wind speed. ...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector IT Hardware: AI investments to remain elevated but edge AI plays are more attractive. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. We are shifting our preference to edge AI picks, as we see an improved visibility on the recovery in global smartphone and PC shipment in 2H24. With this, coupled with the pick-up in AI device shipment towards year-end and a more undemanding valuation, we expect edge AI plays to outperform the AI infrastructure supply chain, which is now under pressure from profit-tak...
We are shifting our preference to edge AI picks, as we see an improved visibility on the recovery in global smartphone and PC shipment in 2H24. With this, coupled with the pick-up in AI device shipment towards year-end and a more undemanding valuation, we expect edge AI plays to outperform the AI infrastructure supply chain, which is now under pressure from profit-taking, and mounting geopolitical risks. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Top picks: Lenovo and BYDE.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Initiate Coverage BYD Electronic (285 HK/BUY/HK$37.35/Target: HK$47.70) BYDE is one of the best positioned names to capture GenAI opportunities in the consumer electronics space, thanks to its growing presence in the Apple supply chain, as well as long-standing relations with Android clients. With its content gains in BYD’s EV supply chain amid the ongoing import substitution trend, and its venture into the AI server ODM business, we believe BYDE will see a solid 27% earnings CA...
GREATER CHINA Initiate Coverage BYD Electronic (285 HK/BUY/HK$37.35/Target: HK$47.70) Robust multi-year growth cycle driven by content gains and GenAI themes. Update Pinduoduo (PDD US/BUY/US$133.88/Target: US$200.00) Fostering overseas expansion to mitigate regulatory uncertainties. INDONESIA Update Jasa Marga (JSMR IJ/BUY/Rp5,250/Target: Rp7,300) Progress in JTT equity financing. MALAYSIA Sector Technology ...
BYDE is one of the best positioned names to capture GenAI opportunities in the consumer electronics space, thanks to its growing presence in the Apple supply chain, as well as long-standing relations with Android clients. Coupled with its content gains in BYD’s EV supply chain amid the ongoing import substitution trend, and its venture into the AI server ODM business, we believe BYDE will see a solid 27% earnings CAGR in 2024-26. Initiate coverage with BUY. Target price: HK$47.70. Consumer el...
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