A director at Tisco Financial Group Plc bought 25,000 shares at 99.000THB and the significance rating of the trade was 50/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two y...
TISCO posted a net profit of Bt1,706m for 4Q24 (-4% yoy, flat qoq). The results are in line with our and consensus estimates. TISCO said funding costs have peaked and should see a gradual decrease. We expect to see a wider NIM in 2025. Management guided for a jump in credit cost to 100-120bp in 2025, which is higher than the previous guidance of 100bp. Maintain HOLD. Target price: Bt94.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results TISCO Financial Group (TISCO TB/HOLD/Bt98.75/Target: Bt94.00) 4Q24: Results in line; 100-120bp jump in credit cost guided. Update SCGP (SCGP TB/HOLD/Bt17.7/Target: Bt19.00) Weak 4Q24 net profit expected; positive sign from Fajar. True Corporation (TRUE TB/BUY/Bt11.70/Target: Bt14.50) Robust core profit expected in 4Q24.
GREATER CHINA Economics Money Supply Positive signs despite weak credit demand. Sector Baijiu Industry remains under pressure; conservative tone toward 2025; channel healthiness and price stability the key focuses. Downgrade the baijiu sector to UNDERWEIGHT. Metals and Mining ...
GREATER CHINA Economics PMI A strong rebound for non-manufacturing PMI. Sector Macau Gaming Dec 24 GGR below expectations; expect 2025 GGR to recover to 82% of 2019’s level. INDONESIA Update Mitra Keluarga Karyasehat (MIKA IJ/BUY/Rp2,540/Target: Rp3,300) Expect a double-digit earnings growth in 2025 MALAYSIA Sector Heal...
GREATER CHINA Results Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (388 HK/BUY/HK$314.80/Target: HK$364.00) 3Q24: Risk-and-reward is more balanced. Upgrade to BUY. Han’s Laser (002008 CH/HOLD/Rmb24.42/Target: Rmb22.70) 3Q24: Net profit misses, but visibility of recovery improving. Downgrade to HOLD. New Oriental Education & Technology Group (EDU US/BUY/US$62.15/Target: US$85.00) 1QFY25: In line; moderated growth outlook in 2QFY25 on low seasonality. Update Xtep International Holdings (...
TISCO posted a net profit of Bt1,713m for 3Q24 (-9% yoy, -2% qoq). The results are in line with our and consensus estimates. Management indicated that the cost of funds has reached its peak and NIM stabilised qoq in 3Q24. Management reiterated that the bank’s credit cost will normalise to 100bp in 2025. Meanwhile, the bank would gradually reduce the LLC ratio to no less than 140%. We maintain HOLD with an unchanged target price of Bt98.00.
GREATER CHINA Update JD.com (9618 HK/BUY/HK$160.40/Target: HK$197.00): 3Q24 results preview: Promising outlook; benefitting from trade-in programme. INDONESIA Update Indosat (ISAT IJ/BUY/Rp2,490/Target: Rp3,100): Core earnings could jump 33% yoy in 2024; launches GPU Service for AI Computing. Maintain BUY. MALAYSIA Update Deleum (DLUM MK/HOLD/RM1.55/Target: RM1.70): Most of the share price outperformance is linked to P&M’s re-rating; we still see minor trading upside for upcoming MCM contracts...
GREATER CHINA Strategy PBOC Turns On The Tap The PBOC announced a series of easing measures on Tuesday. INDONESIA Update Astra International (ASII IJ/BUY/Rp5,275/Target: Rp5,800) About 70% of car and motorcycle sales to benefit from rate cut. Upgrade to BUY. MALAYSIA Results MyNews Holdings (MNHB MK/SELL/RM0.60/Target: RM0.52) 3QFY24: Results improved sequentially but disappointed consensus expectations. Valuations...
We expect TISCO to post a net profit of Bt1,720m in 3Q24 (-8% yoy, -2% qoq) while loan portfolio contracted 1.5% ytd. However, we expect TISCO to have a more relaxed lending policy in 2H24 due to the better economic outlook. Also, we anticipate a slight improvement in asset quality in 2H24 due to the acceleration of government disbursement and the result of government stimulus. We maintain HOLD with a higher target price of Bt98.00.
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile: Weekly: Show me the cash. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL, Desay SV, and Geely. Top SELL: GAC. IT Hardware: Takeaways from recent company visits; maintain OVERWEIGHT. INDONESIA Sector Banking: Rate cuts to ease pressure in CoF. Buy BBNI, BBCA and BBTN. MALAYSIA Sector Automobile: MAA Aug 24 TIV: Falls slightly due to the lower performance in both passenger and commercial vehicles. Results EcoWorld Development (ECW MK/BUY/RM1.74/Target: RM2.10): 3QFY24: R...
GREATER CHINA Sector Hong Kong Property Results wrap-up for Hong Kong developers: Navigating the cycle. INDONESIA Update XL Axiata (EXCL IJ/BUY/Rp2,270/Target: Rp2,900) Fixed broadband ARPU might increase by 10% post-acquisition of ServeCo. MALAYSIA Sector Utilities A strong 2Q24 with companies coming in broadly within expe...
TISCO posted a net profit of Bt1,749m for 2Q24 (-6% yoy, +1% qoq). The results are in line with our and consensus estimates. Earnings were mainly supported by non-II, on the back of gains from investment and fees related to IPOs. TISCO expects the cost of funds to peak in 3Q24. Management has increased the credit cost target and reiterated that the bank would gradually lower LLC ratio to around 150% this year. We maintain HOLD with a lower target price of Bt97.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results TISCO Financial Group (TISCO TB/HOLD/Bt95.50/Target: Bt97.00) 2Q24: Results in line; TISCO raising credit cost target. Update Energy Absolute (EA TB/BUY/Bt13.10/Target: Bt34.00) Thai regulator accuses EA management of fraud; ceasing coverage. Siam Cement (SCC TB/HOLD/Bt228.00/Target: Bt250.00) 2Q24 net profit expected to recover qoq.
GREATER CHINA Economics Money Supply Money supply growth slows further. Trade Wider trade surplus in June on robust exports growth. Sector Banking Implications of PBOC’s bond sales for China banks. Update JD.com (9618 HK/BUY/HK$112.00/Target: HK$150.00) 2Q24 results ...
TISCO posted a net profit of Bt1,733m in 1Q24 (-3% yoy, -3% qoq). The results are in line with our and consensus estimates. Management reiterated that the bank will gradually lower the LLC ratio to around 150% within this year. However, TISCO reveals that the bank will maintain a strict credit policy due to an uneven economic recovery. Maintain HOLD. Target price: Bt94.00.
GREATER CHINA Sector Insurance: Value buy or value trap? Initiate Coverage Crystal International (2232 HK/BUY/HK$3.39/Target: HK$4.42): Well-positioned for market share gains from sportswear brand customers. Update Anta Sports (2020 HK/BUY/HK$81.60/Target: HK$109.60): Satisfactory 1Q24 sales performances; high-quality growth remains intact. JD.com (9618 HK/BUY/HK$98.85/Target: HK$127.00): 1Q24 results preview: Focusing on three core strategies to revitalise user growth. INDONESIA Sector Mining:...
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