Company Results | TISCO Financial Group (TISCO TB/HOLD/Bt109.50/Target: Bt110.00) TISCO posted a 4Q25 net profit of Bt1.64b, down 3% yoy and 5% qoq, in line with our and market expectations. TISCO reduced its provision expenses by 32% qoq, which translated to a credit cost of 97bp in 4Q25. The CEO expects net profit to trend upward after 2025. Maintain HOLD with a higher target price of Bt110.00.
Top Stories Company Results | Krungthai Card (KTC TB/BUY/Bt24.80/Target: Bt45.00) KTC posted a 4Q25 net profit of Bt2.08b, up 10% yoy and 6% qoq. The results beat our and consensus estimates by 10%. KTC’s loan growth expanded 0.4% yoy and 4.4% qoq in 4Q25. In 2025, the loan portfolio grew 0.4% yoy. The asset quality remained robust, with credit costs down 128bp qoq. We believe KTC will maintain a prudent approach to ensuring good asset quality. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt45.00. Company Re...
Greater China Economics | Trade Exports growth accelerated to 6.6% yoy in December (+0.7ppt mom), well above consensus, supported by strong shipments growth to Hong Kong and ASEAN, while exports growth to the US weakened further. Import growth surged to 5.7% yoy (+3.8ppt mom), beating expectations amid broad-based commodity recovery. Trade surplus widened to US$114.1b. Growths of motor vehicle, hi-tech, and mechanical & electrical exports strengthened. Overall, December’s trade data is marke...
Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: January Conviction Calls Chinese equities remained in consolidation through December, with the HSI and MSCI China down 0.9% mom and 1.5% mom, respectively, despite last week’s window dressing narrowing losses. Policy signals from the Economic Work Conference broadly met expectations. Looking ahead, we are constructive on 1Q26, supported by a favourable global liquidity cycle and potential macro supportive measures in China. We retain most of our December...
Company Update | TISCO Financial Group (TISCO TB/HOLD/Bt110.00/Target: Bt105.00) We expect TISCO to report a 4Q25 net profit of Bt1.6b, down 6% yoy and 7% qoq. We expect TISCO’s loan portfolio to be flat yoy and grow 1% qoq in 4Q25 due to the seasonal high loan demand during the festive season and the new year. We expect the loan portfolio to be flat in 2025, and expect credit costs to decline qoq in 4Q25. Maintain HOLD. Target price: Bt105.00.
Top Stories Company Update | TISCO Financial Group (TISCO TB/HOLD/Bt110.00/Target: Bt105.00) We expect TISCO to report a 4Q25 net profit of Bt1.6b, down 6% yoy and 7% qoq. We expect TISCO’s loan portfolio to be flat yoy and grow 1% qoq in 4Q25 due to the seasonal high loan demand during the festive season and the new year. We expect the loan portfolio to be flat in 2025, and expect credit costs to decline qoq in 4Q25. Maintain HOLD. Target price: Bt105.00. Company Update | TMBThanachart Bank ...
Greater China Sector Update | IT Hardware We see an acceleration in China’s AI development progress in 2026, with NVIDIA successfully obtaining the US government’s approval on H200 sales to China, which will provide a major boost to the Chinese the AI application users. We also believe that the shipment volume of domestic AI chips will receive minimal impact, with foreign chips acting as a “demand gap filler” while the establishment of a capable local supply chain remains the highest priorit...
Greater China Sector Update | Automobile The escalating China-US trade tensions have triggered a dual crisis in chips and rare earth, potentially disrupting the global auto supply chain like that seen in 2021-22. China's auto sector sees short-term gains from domestic prioritisation but long-term risks. Chinese auto part companies may see a revenue loss in 4Q25 if the issue is not resolved in a month. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL and Geely. Top SELLs: BYD and Li Auto. Sector Upda...
Company Results | TISCO Financial Group (TISCO TB/HOLD/Bt103.00/Target: Bt102.00) TISCO reported a net profit of Bt1.73b in 3Q25, up 5% yoy and 1% qoq. The results beat our expectations by 11% but are in line with consensus forecasts. Management guided for a limited increase in provision expenses. The bank has set aside a buffer to cover the mark-to-market losses on the equity’s price during the remaining period before liquidation. Maintain HOLD with a higher target price of Bt102.00.
Top Stories Sector Update | Electronics We expect the combined 3Q25 core profit of Thai electronic stocks under our coverage to decline 13% yoy, pressured by lower gross margins from baht appreciation, but to increase 18% qoq, supported by higher revenue and margin improvement. We upgrade the sector to MARKET WEIGHT with KCE as our top pick, as geopolitical uncertainty has eased; however, we expect the recovery to be gradual, as the sector will likely remain under pressure from the strong bah...
Greater China Sector Update | Property Jinling Residence’s strong sell-out highlights resilient end-user demand despite weaker investment sentiment, while major cities’ October data showed yoy declines in both new and secondary home sales. We maintain MARKET WEIGHT. We upgrade Kerry Properties to BUY after the recent correction, with an unchanged target price of HK$22.80. Company Update | Alibaba Group (9988 HK/BUY/HK$155.20/Target: HK$203.00) We expect solid 2QFY26 results, despite marg...
Greater China Sector Update | Property Property investment has declined since Jul 25 due to weak demand, LGFV financing controls, slow destocking and urban-redevelopment, and limited new loans. Sep 25 data showed a rebound in Tier 1 city home sales, led by Shanghai. Central government capital is needed. However, the existing policy stance points to a low possibility of direct injection by the central government. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT, with CR Land as our top pick. Indonesia Strategy | T...
TISCO posted a net profit of Bt1.64b for 2Q25 (-6% yoy, flat qoq). The results beat our expectation by 8% but are in line with consensus forecasts. Management guides an NIM improvement in 2H25. The impact from the "You Fight We Help" measure should be mostly reflected in 2Q25's interest income. Maintain HOLD. Target price: Bt96.00
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results TISCO Financial Group (TISCO TB/HOLD/Bt99.00/Target: Bt96.00) 2Q25: Results in line with consensus; impact from "You Fight We Help" measure should be mostly reflected. Update Bangkok Dusit Medical Services (BDMS TB/BUY/Bt20.60/Target: Bt32.00) Expect mild 2Q25 earnings growth. SCGP (SCGP TB/BUY/Bt17.30/Target: Bt21.00) 2Q25 net profit expected to recover qoq, with 2H25 net profit likely to surpass 1H25.
GREATER CHINA Economics Economic Activity Resilient 1H25 growth of 5.3% yoy belies rising downside pressure. Sector Healthcare Weekly: Gaining strength on robust earnings outlook and pipeline growth. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Property Property sales and prices weakened further in J...
GREATER CHINA Sector Healthcare Entering a new phase of accelerated growth. Upgrade to OVERWEIGHT. Internet 618 Festival – Evolving consumer trends and continued focus on value for money. Small/Mid Cap Highlights JBM Healthcare (2161 HK/BUY/HK$2.85/Target: HK$3.31) Takeaways from luncheon. INDONESIA Update Kalbe Farma (KL...
We expect TISCO to post a net profit of Bt1,527m for 2Q25 (-13% yoy, -7% qoq). According to management guidance, we expect to see a jump in credit cost by 35bp qoq to 101bp in 2Q25. We believe that the new regulations will not have any significant impact on TISCO's hire-purchase and leasing businesses as it is currently regulated by BOT. Maintain HOLD. Target price: Bt94.00.
GREATER CHINA Economics Money Supply: Credit demand stays weak. Update Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (388 HK/BUY/HK$413.60/Target: HK$470.00): More listings, enhanced liquidity and high turnover to drive further upside. Reiterate BUY. INDONESIA Update Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ/BUY/Rp9,025/Target: Rp10,500): Steady growth with a focus on efficiency and risk discipline. MALAYSIA Update TIME dotCom (TDC MK/BUY/RM5.22/Target: RM6.00): TIME to deliver sustainable growth over peers on the back o...
GREATER CHINA Results Aier Eye Hospital Group (300015 CH/BUY/Rmb12.72/Target: Rmb17.80) 2024: Satisfactory results; expects strong recovery in 2025. Upgrade to BUY. Ningbo Tuopu Group Co (601689 CH/BUY/Rmb50.96/Target: Rmb83.00) 4Q24: Earnings up 38.5% yoy, in line. Maintain BUY with target price unchanged at Rmb83.00. TAL Educational Group (TAL US/BUY/US$9.36/Target: US$14.00) 4QFY25: Earnings miss amid ramped-up investments in AI-powered learning. INDONESIA Sector Telecommun...
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