20-Day MA Supports Holding on SPX, QQQ, IWM The S&P 500 (SPX), Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and Russell 2000 (IWM) each continue to hold above short-term support at their respective 20-day MAs (currently 5966 on SPX, $526.50 on QQQ, and $208.75 on IWM) -- and have not closed below their 20-day MAs for two months. As long as 20-day MA supports hold, our near-term bullish outlook that we have had since our 4/22/25 Compass remains intact. We will need to see breakdowns below 20-day MA supports in order to ex...
Upgrading Consumer Discretionary (XLY) to Overweight A weak 20-year note auction last Wednesday sparked the first semi-meaningful pullback since this lockout rally began on April 22nd, which is when we turned short-term bullish (4/22/25 Compass) as the SPX was testing 5100-5120 support. We will be watching the 10- and 30-year Treasury yields closely, as both are approaching important resistance levels (more on that below). Unsurprisingly, SPX only tested short-term gap support on the pullback a...
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