After a strong run-up, China’s healthcare sector is in a technical correction. Despite geopolitical tensions, we believe the fundamentals remain sound, supporting bright long-term prospects. CRDMO, Biopharma and Internet Healthcare are embracing stronger revenue and earnings growth in the coming years driven by: a) lower cost of capital; b) a new wave of innovative product launches; c) strengthening R&D pipeline continuing to attract global collaborations; and d) positive domestic policy support...
Falling interest rates are expected to significantly benefit the biopharma and CRDMO segments. With lower capital costs, biopharma companies can secure R&D funding more easily. CROs and CDMOs are projected to increase their pharmaceutical R&D market share from 51.9% in 2024 to over 65% by 2034. In response to rising demand for new and complex modalities, WuXi Bio and WuXi AppTec are enhancing their service capabilities to seize growth opportunities from this new wave of innovation.
Greater China Sector Update | Automobile China’s PV sales rebounded last week, with PEV growth surging from below 5% to over 30% due to subsidies and new models. Geely and XPeng led, while BYD and Li Auto lagged. Vehicle exports rose 26% yoy in August, driven by gains in the EU, Africa, and Middle East. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL (target price raised to Rmb520) and Geely. Top SELLs: BYD and Li Auto. Sector Update | Healthcare Falling interest rates are expected to significant...
On 16 Sep 25, the Ministry of Commerce and eight other government departments jointly issued a plan to expand service consumption. This plan introduces 19 measures focusing on five areas. We highlight IP-related consumption and tourism as the two primary themes positioned to benefit the most. In addition, the government plans to optimise student vacation schedules by exploring the possibility of shortening winter and summer vacations while introducing spring and autumn vacations to increase the ...
The China healthcare stocks under our coverage exhibited a mixed performance during 1-15 Sep 25. Internet healthcare majors like Ali Health and JD Health outperformed, with share prices rising 18.8% and 8.6% respectively, thanks to strong revenue growth prospects and potential policy support. Investors took profits on major biopharmas amid concerns over possible in-licensing restrictions from the US. The trend of innovation and globalisation among Chinese biopharmas remains strong, driven by rob...
In 2Q25/1H25, among 22 companies under our coverage, 9 beat / 7 inline or mixed / 6 missed. We observed: a) Deflation persists. b) Companies with more diversified product portfolios, along with product offerings ridding on the emerging consumption trends, stay constructive. c) Companies are expanding into new consumption channels. d) Sectors supported by monetised policy stimulus continue to demonstrate robust domestic sales in 3Q25. e) Companies are committed to enhancing shareholder returns. W...
Greater China Sector Updates | Consumer In 2Q25/1H25, among 22 companies under our coverage, 9 beat / 7 inline or mixed / 6 missed. We observed: a) Deflation persists. b) Companies with more diversified product portfolios, along with product offerings ridding on the emerging consumption trends, stay constructive. c) Companies are expanding into new consumption channels. d) Sectors supported by monetised policy stimulus continue to demonstrate robust domestic sales in 3Q25. e) Companies are c...
Greater China Economics | Trade China’s export momentum softened in August as front-loaded US demand has faded, exposing the vulnerability of shipments to the US market. While the trade diversion supported flows to ASEAN and the EU, overall growth moderated. Imports also weakened amid subdued agricultural demand, despite firmer commodity-related inflows. Pro...
A director at Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co Ltd sold 45,000 shares at 71.833CNY and the significance rating of the trade was 54/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the...
Wuliangye's 2Q25 revenue was largely flat yoy. Net profit decreased by 8% yoy, due to: a) decline in gross margin, b) increase in selling expenses, and c) increase in sales tax. Contract liabilities recorded steady growth at 24% yoy. In 1H25, the company further expanded its distribution network and strengthened banquetrelated consumption, with revenue from the Wuliangye series rising by 5% yoy. Maintain BUY and target price unchanged at Rmb149.90.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Anhui Conch Cement (914 HK/BUY/HK$24.46/Target: HK$28.90) Anhui Conch Cement reported 1H25 earnings of Rmb4,367.9m (+31.3% yoy), representing 42.5% of our full-year estimates, slightly above expectations. Gross margin for self-produced products rose to 28.9% (+5.8ppt yoy). Cement ASP edged up 1.5% yoy, while unit production cost fell 7.1% yoy, mainly on a 13.8% drop in fuel and power costs. Cement and clinker sales volume was broadly stable at 126mt (-0.4% yoy), outperfo...
Amid a challenging business environment, Aier delivered satisfactory 1H25 results with revenue and adjusted net earnings up 9.1% and 14.3% yoy respectively. The results are in line with our estimates. Management is confident about the growth outlook for Aier given rigid service demand despite the relatively weak economic conditions. Aier has further expanded its hospital network and will continue to improve operating efficiency and enhance service capabilities. Maintain BUY and target price of R...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Aier Eye Hospital Group (300015 CH/BUY/Rmb13.83/Target: Rmb16.70) Amid a challenging business environment, Aier delivered satisfactory 1H25 results with revenue and adjusted net earnings up 9.1% and 14.3% yoy respectively. The results are in line with our estimates. Management is confident about the growth outlook for Aier given rigid service demand despite the relatively weak economic conditions. Aier has further expanded its hospital network and will continue to improv...
GREATER CHINA Results Aier Eye Hospital Group (300015 CH/BUY/Rmb13.83/Target: Rmb16.70) 1H25: Satisfactory results; seeking growth by improving service capability and operating efficiency. China Tourism Group Duty Free (601888 CH/HOLD/Rmb71.41/Target: Rmb75.30) 2Q25: Net profit down 32% yoy and 66% qoq; fair valuation. Downgrade to HOLD. Haidilao International Holding (6862 HK/BUY/HK$14.47/Target: HK$17.00) 1H25: Revenue in line but net profit misses; generous dividend payout likely to b...
All the healthcare stocks under our coverage exhibited a positive performance from 16-30 July. Due to expectations of strong results for 1H25, CRDMO companies were the top performers, with share prices surging by 22-34%. Supported by major BD/M&A deals, MicroPort, Sino Biopharm and Hengui Medicines also saw their stock prices rise significantly by 65.3%, 16.8% and 13.0%, respectively.
GREATER CHINA Sector Healthcare Bi-Weekly: Expecting strong 1H25 results. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Results Contemporary Amperex Technology (300750 CH/BUY/Rmb277.09 /Target: Rmb390.00) 2Q25: Earnings in line, with margins hitting record-high levels. Maintain A-share at BUY. Downgrade H-share to HOLD. New Oriental Education & Technology Group (EDU US/BUY/US$44.37/Target: US$55.00) ...
Our channel check indicates the challenging economic conditions may have led to the relatively weak performance of optometry and refractory businesses for Aier in 2Q25 vs 1Q25. However, we expect a mild yoy revenue growth in 2Q25. Given its continued efforts in improving service capability and operating efficiency, we remain optimistic about the company’s long-term earnings growth outlook. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of Rmb16.70.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Automobile China’s PV insurance registrations rebounded 7% wow but dipped 0.5% yoy in the 29th week of 2025. BYD is suffering online backlash for sponsoring CNMFT. The China government is mulling over measures to crack down on zero-mileage second-hand cars. GWM reported an upbeat 2Q25 net profit on exceptional gains. We raise our 2025 net profit forecast by 26% and keep core earnings estimates unchanged. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL, Geely and Tuopu. Property...
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile: Weekly: PV sales growth turned negative yoy, despite a 7% wow rebound. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: CATL, Geely and Tuopu. Property Management: 1H25 results preview: SOEs' performance is broadly in line with expectations, change our top pick to CR Mixc from COPH. Update Aier Eye Hospital Group (300015 CH/BUY/Rmb13.36/Target: Rmb16.70): Weak economic conditions cloud optometry and refractory businesses in 2Q25. INDONESIA Update Telkom Indonesia...
The performance of China's biotechnology sector has remained strong as the market expects biopharmas and CRDMO companies to report robust earnings growth in 1H25, supported by the continued strengthening of the biopharmaceutical pipeline and increasing BD and M&A activities. Moreover, the commercial insurance policy will further support the sector’s rally. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
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