Aier delivered a relatively modest growth in 2024 but revenue and adjusted net earnings saw robust growth of 15.97% and 25.8% yoy respectively for 1Q25. Management is confident about the growth outlook for Aier given rigid service demand despite the relatively weak economic conditions. Aier has further expanded its hospital network and will continue to improve operating efficiency by actively deploying AI and enhancing service capabilities. Upgrade to BUY, raise target price to Rmb17.80.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Aier Eye Hospital Group (300015 CH/BUY/Rmb12.72/Target: Rmb17.80) Aier delivered a relatively modest growth in 2024 but revenue and adjusted net earnings saw robust growth of 15.97% and 25.8% yoy respectively for 1Q25. Management is confident about the growth outlook for Aier given rigid service demand despite the relatively weak economic conditions. Aier has further expanded its hospital network and will continue to improve operating efficiency by actively deploying AI ...
GREATER CHINA Results Aier Eye Hospital Group (300015 CH/BUY/Rmb12.72/Target: Rmb17.80) 2024: Satisfactory results; expects strong recovery in 2025. Upgrade to BUY. Ningbo Tuopu Group Co (601689 CH/BUY/Rmb50.96/Target: Rmb83.00) 4Q24: Earnings up 38.5% yoy, in line. Maintain BUY with target price unchanged at Rmb83.00. TAL Educational Group (TAL US/BUY/US$9.36/Target: US$14.00) 4QFY25: Earnings miss amid ramped-up investments in AI-powered learning. INDONESIA Sector Telecommun...
Most domestic biopharmaceutical companies expect the US-China trade tensions to have limited impact in the short term, while the long-term impact remains uncertain. We prefer drug innovators focusing on domestic operations and internet healthcare players. The out-licensing business model is unlikely impacted by the trade tensions, while CRDMO players could face considerable geopolitical risks. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. Our top picks are Innovent, Hansoh Pharma, Ali Health and PAGD.
On 16 March, the State Council issued a plan on special initiatives to boost consumption, aiming to increase spending power by increasing income and reducing financial burdens, generate effective demand through high-quality supply, and improve the consumption environment to strengthen consumers’ willingness to spend. In the China consumer sector, we prefer Anta, CR Beer, Galaxy, Haier, Mengniu, Midea, Miniso and Yili. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
AI revolution is a key trend of the healthcare industry for the long term. It will drive innovation, improve efficiency and enhance patient outcomes. AI technologies hold transformative potential in various areas. By leveraging genomic, clinical and molecular data, it is changing medical diagnosis, drug R&D and delivery of precision medical care, ultimately leading to better medical outcomes. The internet healthcare and ICL segments are the most direct beneficiaries in the short term.
The weaker-than-expected service demand has led to decreasing revenue and significant losses for ophthalmic medical service providers. By striving for growth, Aier has significantly outperformed its peers. However, the uncertain timing of economic recovery and possible further tightening of social medical insurance funds may continue to cloud the growth outlook for Aier and the ophthalmic medical service industry in 2025-26. Downgrade to HOLD with a lower target price of Rmb13.80.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Strategy Small-Mid Cap Monthly Countdown to Plover Bay’s 2024 results: Eyeing final dividend and 2025 outlook. Sector Automobile Chinese OEMs, such as Geely and XPeng, generally posted better-than-expected January sales, despite the Chinese New Year holiday from 28 Jan 25 to 4 Feb 25. Based on stronger 2025/26 sales, we raise target prices for Geely and XPeng from HK$23.00/HK$43.00 to HK$27.00/HK$60.00 respectively. The US is threatening Mexico with stiff tariffs, which would ...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Small-Mid Cap Monthly: Countdown to Plover Bay’s 2024 results: Eyeing final dividend and 2025 outlook. Sector Automobile: Weekly: OEMs post upbeat January sales. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, CATL, Fuyao and Desay. Update Aier Eye Hospital Group (300015 CH/HOLD/Rmb12.71/Target: Rmb13.80): Expecting slower growth amid weaker demand, yet outperforming peers. Downgrade to HOLD. INDONESIA Results XL Axiata (EXCL IJ/BUY/Rp2,290/Target: Rp3,300): 4Q24: NPAT jumps 93%...
Consumption during the CNY demonstrated a satisfactory momentum. Daily average sales revenue of consumer-related industries grew 11% yoy, with the home appliances and furnishing category recording the highest growth rate. Domestic tourism per capita spending increased 1% yoy and recovered to 95% of 2019’s level, and Hainan DF per capita spending rose 4% yoy. Macau visitations recovered to 95% of 2019’s level. In the China consumer space, we prefer Anta, Haier, Mengniu, Midea, Miniso and Sands Ch...
With slower-than-expected improvement in biotech funding, 2025 remains a challenging year for most biotech and CRO/CDMO companies. However, the delay of the Biosecure Act in 2024 offers a temporary reprieve for leading CRDMO companies. WuXi Bio and WuXi AppTec are likely to deliver faster revenue growth in 2025 vs 2024, supported by their competitive strength in obtaining new projects and customers, despite the considerable geopolitical risks. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT.
We do not expect a strong consumption momentum for the upcoming CNY holiday, but expect home appliance, Macau gaming, movie and retail to be the bright spots. We prefer Anta, Haier, Mengniu, Midea, Miniso and Sands in China’s consumer space.
GREATER CHINA Sector Aviation Airlines: The three major airlines’ 2024 preliminary earnings estimates were below expectations – still loss-making. Healthcare TCM: GPO price pressure continues to cloud 2025’s growth outlook. Consumer CNY preview: Expect home appli...
We believe the baijiu industry will remain under pressure in 2025, given the ongoing macro headwinds. Against this backdrop, baijiu companies remain relatively conservative toward 2025, while they prioritise maintaining channel healthiness and stabilising wholesale prices as their key tasks. We lower the 2025 revenue and earnings forecasts for our baijiu coverage by 5-8%/5-9%. Downgrade the baijiu sector to UNDERWEIGHT.
GREATER CHINA Economics Money Supply Positive signs despite weak credit demand. Sector Baijiu Industry remains under pressure; conservative tone toward 2025; channel healthiness and price stability the key focuses. Downgrade the baijiu sector to UNDERWEIGHT. Metals and Mining ...
Biopharmaceutical companies are embracing the new year with new product approvals and out-licensing deals, while leading CRDMO companies are divesting their overseas businesses. We expect the biopharmaceutical segment to continue recovering, supported by a lower capital cost and constant innovative product launches in China and overseas. The considerable geopolitical risks, however, may continue to cloud the CRDMO segment’s growth outlook. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT.
Geopolitical tensions and weak economic conditions may cloud 2025’s growth outlook of the CRDMO, medical devices and services segments. However, the biopharma segment will see continued recovery, supported by a lower cost of capital and constant innovative product launches in China and even overseas. Leading internet healthcare players, with stabilising business models, also expect robust revenue growth and improving profitability. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.
Wuliangye’s 3Q24 revenue grew 1% yoy, lower than expectation despite the high-base effect being taken consideration. The decelerated revenue growth should also trigger investors’ concerns on the company’s growth outlook for the next year. On a positive note, Wuliangye announced that it will maintain an annual payout ratio of >70% from 2024-26. The total cash amount of the dividend will not be lower than Rmb20b each year, with a possibility of interim or special dividends. Maintain BUY but cut ta...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results ASMPT (522 HK/BUY/HK$87.00/Target: HK$104.50) ASMPT’s Semi solution business registered better-than-expected revenue and margins in 3Q24 thanks to robust advanced packaging demand, which led to a 10% beat vs our operating profit estimates, although reported net profit ended up below expectations due to forex loss. ASMPT will remain a key beneficiary of the AI investment trend, and we recommend accumulating after its recent share price correction. Maintain BUY. Target p...
GREATER CHINA Results ASMPT (522 HK/BUY/HK$87.00/Target: HK$104.50): 3Q24: Reported earnings miss expectations on forex loss but core business recovery picking up; maintain BUY. BYD Company (1211 HK/HOLD/HK$295.00/Target: HK$260.00): 3Q24: Earnings up 12% yoy, in line with estimates. Maintain HOLD. China Construction Bank (939 HK/BUY/HK$5.97/Target: HK$6.70): 3Q24: Earnings growth returns to positive territory on lower credit cost. Foxconn Industrial Internet (601138 CH/BUY/Rmb24.84/Target: Rmb...
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