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Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+2)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Sunny Chen

Aier Eye Hospital Group (300015 CH): 2024: Satisfactory results; expec...

Aier delivered a relatively modest growth in 2024 but revenue and adjusted net earnings saw robust growth of 15.97% and 25.8% yoy respectively for 1Q25. Management is confident about the growth outlook for Aier given rigid service demand despite the relatively weak economic conditions. Aier has further expanded its hospital network and will continue to improve operating efficiency by actively deploying AI and enhancing service capabilities. Upgrade to BUY, raise target price to Rmb17.80.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+7)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ken Lee
  • Ming San Soong
  • Sunny Chen

Greater China Daily: Friday, April 25, 2025

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Aier Eye Hospital Group (300015 CH/BUY/Rmb12.72/Target: Rmb17.80) Aier delivered a relatively modest growth in 2024 but revenue and adjusted net earnings saw robust growth of 15.97% and 25.8% yoy respectively for 1Q25. Management is confident about the growth outlook for Aier given rigid service demand despite the relatively weak economic conditions. Aier has further expanded its hospital network and will continue to improve operating efficiency by actively deploying AI ...

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+14)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kampon Akaravarinchai
  • Ken Lee
  • Ming San Soong
  • Paula Ruth
  • Posmarito Pakpahan
  • Sunny Chen
  • Thanawat Thangchadakorn

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, April 25, 2025

GREATER CHINA Results Aier Eye Hospital Group (300015 CH/BUY/Rmb12.72/Target: Rmb17.80) 2024: Satisfactory results; expects strong recovery in 2025. Upgrade to BUY. Ningbo Tuopu Group Co (601689 CH/BUY/Rmb50.96/Target: Rmb83.00) 4Q24: Earnings up 38.5% yoy, in line. Maintain BUY with target price unchanged at Rmb83.00. TAL Educational Group (TAL US/BUY/US$9.36/Target: US$14.00) 4QFY25: Earnings miss amid ramped-up investments in AI-powered learning. INDONESIA Sector Telecommun...

Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+2)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Sunny Chen

China Healthcare: Prefer leading drug innovators and internet healthca...

Most domestic biopharmaceutical companies expect the US-China trade tensions to have limited impact in the short term, while the long-term impact remains uncertain. We prefer drug innovators focusing on domestic operations and internet healthcare players. The out-licensing business model is unlikely impacted by the trade tensions, while CRDMO players could face considerable geopolitical risks. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. Our top picks are Innovent, Hansoh Pharma, Ali Health and PAGD.

Ejann Hiew ... (+3)
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Greater China Consumer: The State Council issued a plan on special ini...

On 16 March, the State Council issued a plan on special initiatives to boost consumption, aiming to increase spending power by increasing income and reducing financial burdens, generate effective demand through high-quality supply, and improve the consumption environment to strengthen consumers’ willingness to spend. In the China consumer sector, we prefer Anta, CR Beer, Galaxy, Haier, Mengniu, Midea, Miniso and Yili. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.

Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+2)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Sunny Chen

China Healthcare: Outperformers empowered by AI revolution.

AI revolution is a key trend of the healthcare industry for the long term. It will drive innovation, improve efficiency and enhance patient outcomes. AI technologies hold transformative potential in various areas. By leveraging genomic, clinical and molecular data, it is changing medical diagnosis, drug R&D and delivery of precision medical care, ultimately leading to better medical outcomes. The internet healthcare and ICL segments are the most direct beneficiaries in the short term.

Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+2)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Sunny Chen

Aier Eye Hospital Group (300015 CH): Expecting slower growth amid weak...

The weaker-than-expected service demand has led to decreasing revenue and significant losses for ophthalmic medical service providers. By striving for growth, Aier has significantly outperformed its peers. However, the uncertain timing of economic recovery and possible further tightening of social medical insurance funds may continue to cloud the growth outlook for Aier and the ophthalmic medical service industry in 2025-26. Downgrade to HOLD with a lower target price of Rmb13.80.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+7)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Gigi Cheuk
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Kate Luang
  • Ken Lee
  • Sunny Chen

Greater China Daily: Friday, February 7, 2025

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Strategy Small-Mid Cap Monthly Countdown to Plover Bay’s 2024 results: Eyeing final dividend and 2025 outlook. Sector Automobile Chinese OEMs, such as Geely and XPeng, generally posted better-than-expected January sales, despite the Chinese New Year holiday from 28 Jan 25 to 4 Feb 25. Based on stronger 2025/26 sales, we raise target prices for Geely and XPeng from HK$23.00/HK$43.00 to HK$27.00/HK$60.00 respectively. The US is threatening Mexico with stiff tariffs, which would ...

Arsit Pamaranont ... (+14)
  • Arsit Pamaranont
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Gigi Cheuk
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Jack Lai Yuan Khai
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Kate Luang
  • Ken Lee
  • Lester Siew
  • Llelleythan Tan Tan
  • Paula Ruth
  • Sunny Chen

Regional Morning Notes - Friday, February 07, 2025

GREATER CHINA Strategy Small-Mid Cap Monthly: Countdown to Plover Bay’s 2024 results: Eyeing final dividend and 2025 outlook. Sector Automobile: Weekly: OEMs post upbeat January sales. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, CATL, Fuyao and Desay. Update Aier Eye Hospital Group (300015 CH/HOLD/Rmb12.71/Target: Rmb13.80): Expecting slower growth amid weaker demand, yet outperforming peers. Downgrade to HOLD. INDONESIA Results XL Axiata (EXCL IJ/BUY/Rp2,290/Target: Rp3,300): 4Q24: NPAT jumps 93%...

Ejann Hiew ... (+3)
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

China Consumer: Satisfactory consumption momentum during CNY.

Consumption during the CNY demonstrated a satisfactory momentum. Daily average sales revenue of consumer-related industries grew 11% yoy, with the home appliances and furnishing category recording the highest growth rate. Domestic tourism per capita spending increased 1% yoy and recovered to 95% of 2019’s level, and Hainan DF per capita spending rose 4% yoy. Macau visitations recovered to 95% of 2019’s level. In the China consumer space, we prefer Anta, Haier, Mengniu, Midea, Miniso and Sands Ch...

Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+2)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Sunny Chen

China Healthcare: CRDMO leaders take a temporary reprieve, aiming fast...

With slower-than-expected improvement in biotech funding, 2025 remains a challenging year for most biotech and CRO/CDMO companies. However, the delay of the Biosecure Act in 2024 offers a temporary reprieve for leading CRDMO companies. WuXi Bio and WuXi AppTec are likely to deliver faster revenue growth in 2025 vs 2024, supported by their competitive strength in obtaining new projects and customers, despite the considerable geopolitical risks. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT.

Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+15)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jack Lai Yuan Khai
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kampon Akaravarinchai
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Llelleythan Tan Tan
  • Ming San Soong
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen
  • Wei Xiang Ku

Regional Morning Notes - Monday, January 27, 2025

GREATER CHINA Sector Aviation Airlines: The three major airlines’ 2024 preliminary earnings estimates were below expectations – still loss-making. Healthcare TCM: GPO price pressure continues to cloud 2025’s growth outlook. Consumer CNY preview: Expect home appli...

02313 SHENZHOU INTERNATIONAL GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
AS7 ANTA SPORTS PRODUCTS LTD.
00291 CHINA RESOURCES BEER (HOLDINGS) CO. LTD.
CPF CHAROEN POKPHAND FOODS PUBLIC CO. LTD.
600132 CHONGQING BREWERY CO.LTD CLASS A
000858 WULIANGYE YIBIN CO. LTD. CLASS A
600809 SHANXI XINGHUACUN FEN WINE FACTORY CO. LTD. CLASS A
EZQ CHINA MENGNIU DAIRY CO. LTD.
02331 LI NING COMPANY LIMITED
01299 AIA GROUP LIMITED
N2IU MAPLETREE COMMERCIAL TRUST
AJBU KEPPEL DC REIT
600519 KWEICHOW MOUTAI CO. LTD. CLASS A
600887 INNER MONGOLIA YILI INDUSTRIAL GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
00027 GALAXY ENTERTAINMENT GROUP LIMITED
C52 COMFORTDELGRO CORPORATION LIMITED
600872 JONJEE HI-TECH INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HOLDING CO. LTD. CLASS A
601888 CHINA TOURISM GROUP DUTY FREE CORPORATION LIMITED CLASS A
5162 VSTECS
599A SANDS CHINA LTD.
000333 MIDEA GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
603288 FOSHAN HAITIAN FLAVOURING & FOOD CO. LTD. CLASS A
0168 TSINGTAO BREWERY CO. LTD. CLASS H
AD2 AIR CHINA LIMITED CLASS H
1055 CHINA SOUTHERN AIRLINES COMPANY LIMITED CLASS H
0670 CHINA EASTERN AIRLINES CORPORATION LIMITED CLASS H
06862 HAIDILAO INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD.
CAB CARLSBERG BREWERY MALAYSIA B
CPALL TB CP ALL
2877 CHINA SHINEWAY PHARMACEUTICA
TXG 10X GENOMICS INC CLASS A
1368 XTEP INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS
01876 BUDWEISER BREWING CO. APAC LTD.
6186 CHINA FEIHE LTD
MNSO MINISO GROUP HOLDING ADS (N SHARES)
2209 YESASIA HOLDINGS LTD
06690 HAIER SMART HOME CO. LTD. CLASS H
09922 JIUMAOJIU INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LTD.
09888 BAIDU INC
123F 123FAHRSCHULE SE
EPIC 1CM INC
Z29 029 GROUP SE
VST VSTECS BHD
Shirley Wang Xueyi ... (+2)
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

China Baijiu: Industry remains under pressure; conservative tone towar...

We believe the baijiu industry will remain under pressure in 2025, given the ongoing macro headwinds. Against this backdrop, baijiu companies remain relatively conservative toward 2025, while they prioritise maintaining channel healthiness and stabilising wholesale prices as their key tasks. We lower the 2025 revenue and earnings forecasts for our baijiu coverage by 5-8%/5-9%. Downgrade the baijiu sector to UNDERWEIGHT.

Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad ... (+12)
  • Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Lester Siew
  • Posmarito Pakpahan
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Tham Mun Hon
  • Thanawat Thangchadakorn
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, January 15, 2025

GREATER CHINA Economics Money Supply Positive signs despite weak credit demand. Sector Baijiu Industry remains under pressure; conservative tone toward 2025; channel healthiness and price stability the key focuses. Downgrade the baijiu sector to UNDERWEIGHT. Metals and Mining ...

Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+2)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Sunny Chen

China Healthcare: Stay focused, stay innovative.

Biopharmaceutical companies are embracing the new year with new product approvals and out-licensing deals, while leading CRDMO companies are divesting their overseas businesses. We expect the biopharmaceutical segment to continue recovering, supported by a lower capital cost and constant innovative product launches in China and overseas. The considerable geopolitical risks, however, may continue to cloud the CRDMO segment’s growth outlook. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT.

Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+2)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Sunny Chen

China Healthcare: Striving for growth in 2025.

Geopolitical tensions and weak economic conditions may cloud 2025’s growth outlook of the CRDMO, medical devices and services segments. However, the biopharma segment will see continued recovery, supported by a lower cost of capital and constant innovative product launches in China and even overseas. Leading internet healthcare players, with stabilising business models, also expect robust revenue growth and improving profitability. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.

Shirley Wang Xueyi ... (+2)
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Wuliangye Yibin (000858 CH): 3Q24: Revenue growth below expectation; t...

Wuliangye’s 3Q24 revenue grew 1% yoy, lower than expectation despite the high-base effect being taken consideration. The decelerated revenue growth should also trigger investors’ concerns on the company’s growth outlook for the next year. On a positive note, Wuliangye announced that it will maintain an annual payout ratio of >70% from 2024-26. The total cash amount of the dividend will not be lower than Rmb20b each year, with a possibility of interim or special dividends. Maintain BUY but cut ta...

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+12)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Colin Lee
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Ken Lee
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Greater China Daily: Thursday, October 31, 2024

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results ASMPT (522 HK/BUY/HK$87.00/Target: HK$104.50) ASMPT’s Semi solution business registered better-than-expected revenue and margins in 3Q24 thanks to robust advanced packaging demand, which led to a 10% beat vs our operating profit estimates, although reported net profit ended up below expectations due to forex loss. ASMPT will remain a key beneficiary of the AI investment trend, and we recommend accumulating after its recent share price correction. Maintain BUY. Target p...

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+9)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Colin Lee
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Ken Lee
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Stevanus Juanda

Regional Morning Notes - Thursday, October 31, 2024

GREATER CHINA Results ASMPT (522 HK/BUY/HK$87.00/Target: HK$104.50): 3Q24: Reported earnings miss expectations on forex loss but core business recovery picking up; maintain BUY. BYD Company (1211 HK/HOLD/HK$295.00/Target: HK$260.00): 3Q24: Earnings up 12% yoy, in line with estimates. Maintain HOLD. China Construction Bank (939 HK/BUY/HK$5.97/Target: HK$6.70): 3Q24: Earnings growth returns to positive territory on lower credit cost. Foxconn Industrial Internet (601138 CH/BUY/Rmb24.84/Target: Rmb...

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