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Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Morning (21 October 2025)

HEADLINES: • Duna House: good momentum in all three key markets (stays BUY) • Tofas: amendments to two agreements with Stellantis NEUTRAL • Cyfrowy Polsat: UKE launches consultations on 900MHz band extension NEUTRAL • Erste Bank: 3Q25E preview (due on 31 October) • CCC: 3Q25E prelims preview – 11% yoy EBITDA drop expected (due on 6 November, TBC) NEUTRAL • PKO BP: 3Q25E preview (due on 6 November) • LPP: 3Q25E results preview – 31% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due on 11 December) NEUTRAL

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: PKN PW; VGO PW; Poland macro; BDX PW; PZU PW; SFG RO; CEZ ...

HEADLINES: • Orlen: makes an offer to buy Grupa Azoty Polyolefins NEGATIVE • VIGO Photonics: 3Q25 sales up 48.5% yoy to PLN 23.3m POSITIVE • Poland macro: August balance of payments data underscores weak exports • Budimex: PLN 2.6bn bid from Budimex's consortium scored highest in the PKP PLK tender POSITIVE • PZU: the new CEO gives one of his first interviews, discussing the potential PZU–Pekao merger NEUTRAL • Sphera Group: Hard Rock Cafe joining the company’s brand portfolio POSITIVE • CEZ: AN...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: KAP LI; ESLT US; MONET CP; MBR PW; CAR PW; RBW PW; GTC PW;...

HEADLINES: • Kazatomprom: soft metal still rocks (stays BUY) • Elbit Systems: strong execution at a rich valuation (stays HOLD) • MONETA Money Bank: management recommends CZK 4/share extra dividend due before the year-end POSITIVE • Mo-BRUK: conditions have been met for the acquisition of Eco Point PSA shares POSITIVE • Inter Cars: September sales growth accelerates to 13% yoy POSITIVE • Rainbow Tours: winter season pre-sales 5.7% higher yoy NEUTRAL • GTC: repurchases EUR 195m of 2026 bonds • Er...

Bram Buring ... (+4)
  • Bram Buring
  • CFA
  • Dmitry Vlasov
  • Jonathan Lamb

Kazatomprom: soft metal still rocks (stays BUY)

We maintain our BUY on Kazatomprom (KAP), with an updated price target (PT) of USD 63.8 (from USD 61.6), offering upside of 18.1%. Uranium prices have fallen from triple figures, but remain close to USD 70/lb, a level that we consider sustainable. Supply has increased, but is still below demand. We expect production in 2026E to remain below capacity, but 2027E and 2028E should bring big increases in volumes. KAP is experiencing inflationary pressures on costs, but should moderate, with higher vo...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: DIA PW; PZU PW; PEO PW; TEN PW; PL Telecoms; GTC PW; TPEIR...

HEADLINES: • Diagnostyka: risk of the gradual loss of key customer, Luxmed NEGATIVE • PZU / Bank Pekao: potential merger continuing • Ten Square Games: 3Q25 bookings up 4.5% qoq, better than Sensor Tower's estimates POSITIVE • Polish telecoms: mobile number portability in 3Q25 NEUTRAL • GTC: prices EUR 455m bond with an 8% yield POSITIVE • Piraeus Financial Holdings: prices EUR 600m AT1 bond POSITIVE • Czech Republic macro: elections – forced cooperation should keep the economy strong • EME Macr...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: GTC PW; ZAB PW; PCF PW; CCC PW; BFT PW; WIZZ LN; OTE/DIGI ...

HEADLINES: • GTC: launches a landmark bond refinancing with a 6.5% EUR 455m 2030 tranche POSITIVE • Zabka: key takeaways from the Investor Day POSITIVE • PCF Group: 2Q25 earnings call takeaways • CCC: final 2Q25 EBITDA 3% below the prelims, on an earlier recognition of costs NEUTRAL • Benefit Systems: end-3Q25 card base at 2.38m, Türkiye accelerated in September NEUTRAL • Wizz Air: September capacity growth slower than the summer, but better load factor NEUTRAL • OTE/DIGI Communications: sale o...

Wedbush Research
  • Wedbush Research
UBI UBISOFT ENTERTAINMENT SA
XNCR XENCOR INC.
XENE XENON PHARMACEUTICALS INC
WDC WESTERN DIGITAL CORPORATION
VYGR VOYAGER THERAPEUTICS INC.
TTWO TAKE-TWO INTERACTIVE SOFTWARE INC.
TSLA TESLA INC
SIMON SILICON MOTION TECHNOLOGY CORPORATION SPONSORED ADR
RARE ULTRAGENYX PHARMACEUTICAL INC.
PEGA PEGASYSTEMS INC.
PANW PALO ALTO NETWORKS INC.
NVCR NOVOCURE LTD.
NBIX NEUROCRINE BIOSCIENCES INC.
KURA KURA ONCOLOGY INC.
IMAX IMAX CORPORATION
GERN GERON CORP.
FATE FATE THERAPEUTICS INC
CTMX CYTOMX THERAPEUTICS INC.
CHKP CHECK POINT SOFTWARE TECHNOLOGIES LTD.
BMRN BIOMARIN PHARMACEUTICAL INC.
BIIB BIOGEN INC.
ASND ASCENDIS PHARMA A/S SPONSORED ADR
ARDX ARDELYX INC
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
FRX_CN FENNEC PHARMACEUTICALS
7974 NINTENDO CO. LTD.
EA ELECTRONIC ARTS INC.
ANAB ANAPTYSBIO INC.
ARGX ARGENX ADS
MRSN MERSANA THERAPEUTICS
ISR ISORAY
AMZN AMAZON.COM INC.
AAPL APPLE INC.
MSFT MICROSOFT CORPORATION
IBM INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS MACHINES CORPORATION
APLS APELLIS PHARMACEUTICALS
ZG ZILLOW GROUP INC. CLASS A
DNLI DENALI THERAPEUTICS INC
RCUS ARCUS BIOSCIENCES
SRRK SCHOLAR ROCK HOLDING CORPORATION
KNSA KINIKSA PHARMACEUTICALS
REPL REPLIMUNE GROUP
ARVN ARVINAS HOLDING
STRO SUTRO BIOPHARMA
CRWD CROWDSTRIKE HOLDINGS INC. CLASS A
STOK STOKE THERAPEUTICS
IDYA IDEAYA BIOSCIENCES
PASG PASSAGE BIO
BDTX BLACK DIAMOND THERAPEUTICS
ACET ADICET BIO INC
KROS KEROS THERAPEUTICS
ZNTL ZENTALIS PHARMACEUTICALS
BEAM BEAM THERAPEUTICS
LRMR LARIMAR THERAPEUTICS INC
PRAX PRAXIS PRECISION MEDICINES
U UNITY SOFTWARE
TVTX TRAVERE THERAPEUTICS INC
VRDN VIRIDIAN THERAPEUTICS INC
PLTK PLAYTIKA HOLDING
RBLX ROBLOX
DAWN DAY ONE BIOPHARMACEUTICALS INC
APP APPLOVIN CORP
ATXS ASTRIA THERAPEUTICS INC
GMTX GEMINI THERAPEUTICS INC
TYRA TYRA BIOSCIENCES INC
EWTX EDGEWISE THERAPEUTICS INC
APGE APOGEE THERAPEUTICS INC
EMBRAC B EMBRACER GROUP AB
DNTH DIANTHUS THERAPEUTICS INC
LAC. LITHIUM AMERICAS CORP NEW
ORKA ORUKA THERAPEUTICS INC
ZBIO ZENAS BIOPHARMA INC.
TLX TELIX PHARMACEUTICALS LIMITED
MAZE MAZE THERAPEUTICS INC
Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: INPST NA; GTC PW; AROBS RO; RO Macro; TL Macro; Greek Bank...

HEADLINES: • InPost: 2Q25 in line with expectations; FY25E EBITDA guidance broadly maintained; domestic market recovery in 3Q POSITIVE • GTC: 2Q25 – bond refinancing critical • AROBS Transilvania Software: 2Q25 – trending up, despite continuing headwind from automotive vertical • Romania macro: fiscal consolidation effort moves forward, but politics remain jittery • Türkiye macro: 2Q GDP momentum points to a stronger 2025E outlook • Greek banks: commit an additional donation of EUR 75m each to s...

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Poland – worst performer in August

EME Equity Market – August 2025 Corrections in Poland and the broader MSCI EM Europe. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 2.3% mom in EUR terms and was flat (0.0%) in USD terms in August. The Hungarian BUX was the top performer, adding 2.2% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Romanian BET (+1.9% mom), the Czech PX (+1.7% mom) and the Greek ASE (+1.4% mom) (all in EUR terms); while there was a muted performance from the Turkish ISE 30 (+0.4% mom in EUR terms). The biggest loser was the Polish WIG ...

PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
KRU KRUK S.A.
MOL MOL NYRT
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
ISCTR TURKIYE IS BANKASI ANONIM SIRKETI CLASS C
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
BIMAS BIM BIRLESIK MAGAZALAR A.S.
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
DOC DO & CO AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
AKCNS AKCANSA CIMENTO
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
BRISA BRISA-BRIDGESTONE SABANCI LASTIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
LOGO LOGO YAZILIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
DOM DOM DEVELOPMENT SA
RBW RAINBOW TOURS S.A.
ENA ENEA S.A.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
ECH ECHO INVESTMENT
GSPARK GRAPHISOFT PARK SE
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
DAT DATAWALK SA
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
BELA JUMBO S.A.
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
BVB S.C. BURSA DE VALORI BUCURESTI S.A.
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
RICHT RICHTER
19XX NEPI ROCKCASTLE PLC
M MED LIFE
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
CGEO GEORGIA CAPITAL
SOKM SOK MARKETLER TICARET AS
NLBR NLB GROUP
ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
DUNAHOUSE DUNA HOUSE
KSPI KASPI KZ
HUGE HUUUGE
4IG 4IG NYRT
IGN1L IGNITIS GRUPE
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
CTPNV KAZMUNAYGAS NC JSC
GPP CTP NV
KLKIM GRUPA PRACUJ DA
GIG KALEKIM KIMYEVI MADDELER SANAYI VE TICARET AS
2381 GAMING INNOVATION GROUP
7202 ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
9526 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
ELPE JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
4071 HELLENIQ ENERGY
ACAG ARABIAN CONTRACTING SERVICES CO
7203 AUSTRIACARD HOLDINGS AG
OPTIMAr ELM CO
AQ OPTIMA BANK S.A.
THEON AQUILA PART PROD COM
AIRA THEON INTERNATIONAL PLC
GEV AIR ASTANA JSC
BOCHGR GEVORKYAN A.S.
ZAB BANK OF CYPRUS
ALPHA ZABKA GROUP
PE RO ALPHA BANK S.A.
PREMIER ENERGY
Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: OTP HB; CZG CP; 11B PW; CDR PW; TXT PW; SFG RO; M RO; ACAG...

HEADLINES: • OTP Bank: all about capital returns (stays BUY) • Colt CZ Group SE: acquires SNC – a strategic move POSITIVE • 11 bit studios: 2Q25 EBITDA 14-24% above our and the market's expectations; guidance on new projects POSITIVE • CD Projekt: 2Q25 EBITDA 19-24% above our and the market's expectations POSITIVE • Text: 1Q25-26 (calendar 2Q25) results – EBITDA down 21% yoy, 5% below the consensus NEGATIVE • Sphera Group: 2Q25 soft, but better than we expected; FY25E budget cut NEGATIVE • MedLi...

Alicia Reese ... (+3)
  • Alicia Reese
  • Kade Barr
  • Matthew McCartney
Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: PE RO; PL Banks; DNP PW; BDX PW; KAP LI; MBR PW; CPS PW; T...

HEADLINES: • Premier Energy: focus on RES (HOLD - initiation of coverage) • Polish banks: FinMin may raise CIT rate for the banks, some offset may come from slight cut in the bank tax NEGATIVE • Dino: 1-5% EBITDA miss in 2Q25; FY25E lfl guidance cut to mid-single digits NEGATIVE • Budimex: final 2Q25 results fully confirm prelims NEUTRAL • Kazatomprom: 2Q25 results NEUTRAL • Mo-BRUK: earnings call takeaways – optimistic outlook for 2H25E POSITIVE • Cyfrowy Polsat: key takeaways from the 2Q25 ear...

Marta Jezewska-Wasilewska
  • Marta Jezewska-Wasilewska

WOOD Flash – Polish banks: FinMin may raise CIT rate for the banks, so...

We see this news as outright negative, which could halt the robust share price performance of the Polish banks, for some time at least. One aspect is the direct financial impact of the proposed tax regime change for the sector, and another is that such a change could reduce trust in the stability of the operating backdrop of banking (and other sectors, potentially) in Poland. This could result in international investors applying a higher market risk premium to the Polish market, going forward, i...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: GPW PW; KMGZ KZ; CPS PW; MBR PW; PKN PW; BGEO LN; GEV CP; ...

HEADLINES: • Warsaw Stock Exchange: bottom-line beat in 2Q25, due mostly to non-operating net revenues POSITIVE • KazMunayGas: 2Q25 results – EBITDA in line with our forecast NEUTRAL • Cyfrowy Polsat: 2Q25 results review – adjusted EBITDA down 2% yoy, in line with the consensus NEUTRAL • Mo-BRUK: 2Q25 EBITDA up 6% yoy, in line with our and the market's expectations NEUTRAL • Orlen: 2Q25 results – broadly in line NEUTRAL • Lion Finance Group: 2Q25 highlights – in line, but not strong enough to sh...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: ECH PW; PKN PW; KAP LI; TLV RO

HEADLINES: • Echo Investment: sells 5.3k Resi4Rent units to TAG POSITIVE • Orlen: 2Q25E results preview (due on 21 August) NEUTRAL • Kazatomprom: 2Q25E results preview (due on 22 August) NEUTRAL • Banca Transilvania: 2Q25E results preview (due on 28 August) • Short News (PCF)

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: BGEO LN; CCOLA TI; PEO PW; TXT PW; EME Macro/Strategy Week...

HEADLINES: • Lion Finance Group: lion takes a breather (downgraded to HOLD) • Coca-Cola Icecek: 2Q25 results – as expected NEUTRAL • Bank Pekao: changing remuneration conditions for c.2,700 employees NEUTRAL • Text: launches Text App service NEUTRAL • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (4-10 August) • Murapol: 2Q25E preview – EBIT halved yoy, due to a low number of handovers (due on 24 September) • Rainbow Tours: 2Q25E preview – 19% net income drop expected, following margin normalisation (due...

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