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Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: RO Oil & Gas; AKCNS TI; EME Macro/Strategy – Dividends; HU...

HEADLINES: • Romanian oil & gas: just have a little patience (OMV Petrom stays BUY, Romgaz downgraded to HOLD – transfer of coverage) • Akcansa: recovery on the horizon (stays BUY) • EME Macro/Strategy: dividends in EMEA – if growth is in doubt, opt for payout • Huuuge Games: 3Q24 broadly in line with our expectations, slightly above the consensus NEUTRAL • Colt CZ Group SE: 3Q24 results – slow quarter; FY24E guidance confirmed NEUTRAL • Türkiye macro: CBT signals a dovish turn • Cyfrowy Polsat:...

Bram Buring ... (+3)
  • Bram Buring
  • CFA
  • Jonathan Lamb

Romanian Oil & Gas: just have a little patience (OMV Petrom stays BUY,...

To be the owners of the biggest gas project in the EU, at a time when the former biggest supplier is threatening, once again, to cut supply off, is perhaps an enviable situation to be in, in our view. The contracts have been signed, construction has begun, and the drilling rig has arrived. However, we still need to wait until 2027E for completion, and the partners are boosting their capital expenditure to record levels. While the future is being constructed, the past continues to fade, with both...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Morning (21 November 2024)

HEADLINES: • PZU: 3Q24 not as weak as feared – once the special claims end, should deliver a very strong profitability profile POSITIVE • Cyfrowy Polsat: 3Q24 results review – adjusted EBITDA up 13% yoy, 2% above our estimate POSITIVE • Grupa Pracuj: 3Q24 results – adjusted EBITDA up 8% yoy, 3% above our forecast and 6% above the consensus POSITIVE • OPAP: 3Q24 earnings beat expectations, as EBITDA jumps 24% yoy POSITIVE • Motor Oil Hellas: 3Q24 results – CCS EBITDA in line NEUTRAL • Elbit Syste...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: AEGN GA; GTC PW; AQ RO; GEV CP; HSBK LI; BFT PW; MOH GA; K...

HEADLINES: • Aegean Airlines: high net cash position and strong FCFF yield (upgraded to BUY) • GTC: buys German residential portfolio worth EUR 448m • Aquila Part Prod Com S.A.: gross margin and wage costs weigh on the 3Q24 results NEUTRAL • GEVORKYAN: 3Q24 broadly in line with our expectations; new signed contracts for defence and high-tech industries NEUTRAL • Halyk Bank: 3Q24 highlights – solid, on the back of better-than-expected NIM • Benefit Systems: 3Q24 call takeaways – strong long-term ...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: BFT PW; PBK RO; CAR PW; FTSHP CP; AEGN GA; SFG RO; CBF PW;...

HEADLINES: • Benefit Systems: 3Q24 in line with our forecasts; solid trading update; 2025E outlook and 2025-27E strategy POSITIVE • Patria Bank: strong 3Q24 results POSITIVE • Inter Cars: 3Q24 EBITDA 1-4% below our and the market's expectations NEUTRAL • Footshop (NOT RATED): solid 3Q24; 2024E guidance boosted POSITIVE • Aegean Airlines: 3Q24 – flat RASK, CASKX up 14%; 27% lower EBIT, on 4% lower ASK (in line) NEUTRAL • Sphera Group: 3Q24 post-results webcast takeaways POSITIVE • cyber_Folks: ke...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: EAT PW; EUR PW; CBF PW; MBR PW; ALE PW; VRC PW; TEN PW; PK...

HEADLINES: • AmRest: 3Q24 in line, on a EUR 9m positive one-off NEGATIVE • Eurocash: 3Q24 weak, as expected; FY25E guidance cancelled NEGATIVE • cyber_Folks: 3Q24 results review – 26% yoy adjusted EBITDA growth, 2% above our estimate POSITIVE • Mo-BRUK: 3Q24 EBITDA up 26% yoy, 22-28% above our and the market's expectations POSITIVE • Allegro: 3Q24 EBITDA beat, but yoy decline guided for 4Q24E, due to international operations NEUTRAL • Vercom: 3Q24 results - 28% yoy EBITDA growth, in line with ou...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: BIMAS TI; CEZ CP; PGSUS TI; RICHT HB; APR PW; SNP RO; PPC ...

HEADLINES: • BIM: weak operating results in 3Q24 NEGATIVE • CEZ: 3Q24 bottom-line miss due to accounting changes; EBITDA guidance raised by 7% POSITIVE • Pegasus Airlines: 3Q24 – 22% higher caskx alleviated by 4% higher RASK and 12% lower fuel cask (in line with the consensus) • Richter: 3Q24 operating results in line NEUTRAL • Auto Partner: preliminary 3Q24 EBIT falls 22% yoy, 9-12% below our expectations and the market NEGATIVE • Auto Partner: October sales growth at 13% yoy, broadly as expect...

Mihaly Gajda
  • Mihaly Gajda

Oil & gas macroeconomic environment shifts from tailwind to headwind f...

We have updated our financial model to reflect recent macroeconomic developments, setting a 2025 year-end ex-dividend target price of 42.6 EUR, representing a 23.1% upside including the anticipated EUR 4.00 dividend following the 2024 fiscal year. Consequently, we maintain our Buy recommendation for OMV.

Louis Boujard ... (+3)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian

Verbund : Good performance short term but environment more uncertain l...

>Results broadly in line with our expectations - Verbund’s 9M 2024 results, reported yesterday evening, were in line with our expectations. Given a sharp drop in contractual prices to € 117/MWh (vs around € 170/MWh last year), nine-month EBITDA dropped to € 2.625bn (-26%) vs € 2.637bn forecast. EBIT came in at € 2.003bn (-36%), including asset impairments. On an adjusted basis (excl. impairments), EBIT came to € 2.198bn (-30.1%), in line with our forecasts, at € 2.23...

Louis Boujard ... (+3)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian

Verbund : Bonne performance à CT mais environnement plus incertain à L...

>Un résultat globalement en ligne avec nos attentes - Verbund a publié hier ses résultats pour les 9M de l'année 2024, qui sont conformes à nos prévisions. Compte tenu d'une forte baisse des prix contractuels à 117 €/MWh (contre environ 170 €/MWh l'année dernière), l'EBITDA des 9 premiers mois est tombé à 2 625 M€ (-26%) contre 2 637 M€ prévus. L'EBIT s'élève à 2 003 M€ (-36%), y compris les dépréciations d'actifs. Sur une base ajustée (hors dépréciation), l'EBIT s'él...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: OTP HB; CCC PW; DNP PW; INPST NA; MOL HB; WIZZ LN; EUROB G...

HEADLINES: • OTP Bank: solid 3Q24 results, in line with our forecasts; future share price performance depends on growth guidance and/or capital distribution NEUTRAL • CCC: historically-best quarterly EBITDA 9% above our expectations, due to opex control POSITIVE • Dino Polska: 4-8% EBITDA beats in 3Q24, EBITDA back on the rise POSITIVE • InPost: 3Q24 in line with expectations; FY24E guidance upgrade POSITIVE • MOL: 3Q24 results – EBITDA in line with our and the consensus estimates NEUTRAL • Wizz...

Louis Boujard ... (+3)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian

Verbund : Results in line. Slightly upgraded guidance, as expected

>Results in line confirming good performance to be expected in 2024 - Verbund this morning released its 9M24 results which were in line with our forecast. Given a sharp drop in contracted prices to € 117/MWh (vs c. € 170/MWh last year) 9M EBITDA deceased to € 2,625m (-26%) vs € 2,637m expected. EBIT came in at € 2,003m (-36%) including impairments. On an adjusted basis (excluding impairment) EBIT came in at € 2,198m (-30.1%) in line with our forecast at € 2231m. Adju...

Louis Boujard ... (+3)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian

Verbund : Results in line. Slightly upgraded guidance, as expected

>Results in line confirming good performance to be expected in 2024 - Verbund this morning released its 9M24 results which were in line with our forecast. Given a sharp drop in contracted prices to € 117/MWh (vs c. € 170/MWh last year) 9M EBITDA deceased to € 2,625m (-26%) vs € 2,637m expected. EBIT came in at € 2,003m (-36%) including impairments. On an adjusted basis (excluding impairment) EBIT came in at € 2,198m (-30.1%) in line with our forecast at € 2231m. Adju...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: PEO PW; PKO PW; WIZZ LN; BVB RO; TBCG LN; CTPNV NA; AIRA L...

HEADLINES: • Bank Pekao: posts strong 3Q24; one of the cheapest among the Polish banks, but remains hostage to merger risk • PKO BP: 3Q24 results – no major surprises • Wizz Air: 2Q FY25 – small miss, with better fuel, but higher ex-fuel cask than we expected NEUTRAL • Bucharest Stock Exchange: weak 3Q24 results NEGATIVE • TBC Bank: 3Q24 results and conference call POSITIVE • CTP: 3Q24 in line; development-led growth continues NEUTRAL • Air Astana Group: 3Q24 EBITDA up by 10% yoy, exceeding the ...

 PRESS RELEASE

EQS-News: VERBUND AG: Ergebnis Quartale 1–3/2024: Rückläufige Ergebnis...

EQS-News: VERBUND AG / Schlagwort(e): Quartalsergebnis/9-Monatszahlen VERBUND AG: Ergebnis Quartale 1–3/2024: Rückläufige Ergebnisentwicklung trotz guter Wasserführung und gestiegener Erzeugung aus Wind & PV 07.11.2024 / 07:59 CET/CEST Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung ist der Emittent / Herausgeber verantwortlich. Das vergangene Quartal 3/2024 war von außergewöhnlichen Wetterbedingungen geprägt, die die klimatischen Veränderungen erneut eindrücklich unter Beweis stellen. In Teilen Österreichs ereigneten sich im September lokale Hochwasserereignisse. Gleichzeitig durchlebten ...

 PRESS RELEASE

EQS-News: VERBUND AG: Results for quarters 1–3/2024: Decline in earnin...

EQS-News: VERBUND AG / Key word(s): Quarter Results/9 Month figures VERBUND AG: Results for quarters 1–3/2024: Decline in earnings despite good water supply and higher wind and PV output 07.11.2024 / 07:59 CET/CEST The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this announcement. The unmistakeable impact of climate change could be felt yet again in quarter 3/2024, which was marked by extreme weather conditions. Parts of Austria saw localised flooding in September. At the same time, we experienced a hot, dry summer intensified by the exceptionally warm Adriatic Sea, p...

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