HEADLINES: • Polish utilities: a flash in the pan (Enea and Tauron stay HOLD, PGE stays SELL) • Bank Millennium: posts solid 3Q25, all priced in NEUTRAL • Akbank: 3Q25 highlights – no major surprises, but NIM recovery remains slow and 2026E COR guidance appears cautious NEUTRAL • Kety: 3Q25 conference call highlights NEUTRAL • Orange Polska: key takeaways from the 3Q25 earnings call NEUTRAL • Orlen: wins USD 146m from Gazprom POSITIVE • Türkiye macro: CBT delivers 100bps cut, in line with the co...
We have updated our forecasts for the Polish utilities, following the companies’ new strategies, and the strong results in 1H25, which are likely to deteriorate in 2H25E and 2026E. All three are planning record-high capex until 2035E (PGE PLN 235bn; Enea PLN 107.5bn; Tauron PLN 100bn), mitigated partly by the favourable regulated returns and the new support for conventional generation, plus the low-cost National Recovery Plan financing (0.5% interest). This supports the ambitious investment plan...
HEADLINES: • Hidroelectrica: water should yield more (SELL - transfer of coverage) • MONETA Money Bank: posts solid 3Q25 results NEUTRAL • Orange Polska: 3Q25 results – EBITDAaL up 4% yoy, 2% above the consensus; 2025E guidance reiterated POSITIVE • Kety: full 3Q25 results fully in line with the preliminaries NEUTRAL • Sarantis: 3Q trading update slightly below expectations; FY25E guidance maintained NEGATIVE • MOL: to become a holding company NEUTRAL • Warsaw Stock Exchange: CEO favours Poland ...
We think that the robust outlook for Polish economic growth should offset mid-term uncertainty on fiscal policy and political risk. We have made a slight upward revision to our forecasts for pre-tax profit (by 1% to 4%) but lowered our EPS forecasts by 21% for 2026e and 4% for 2027e. After factoring in the full impact of the new tax bill, we have adjusted our target prices but remain cautiously positive on Polish banks. We favour mBank (upgrade to Outperform) for its upbeat long-term outlook and...
SoftBank Group plans to issue hybrid bonds in EUR and in USD|Holcim signs an agreement to acquire German company Xella for € 1.85bn|OVHcloud: 2024/25 results in line, the revenue growth target for 2025/26 is disappointing|Convicted of complicity in abuses in Sudan, BNP Paribas will appeal|
SoftBank Group compte émettre des obligations hybrides en EUR et en USD|Holcim signe un accord en vue d’acquérir la société allemande Xella pour 1.85 md EUR|OVH : résultats 2024/25 en ligne, l’objectif de croissance du CA en 2025/26 déçoit|Condamnée pour complicité dans des exactions au Soudan, BNP Paribas va faire appel|
HEADLINES: • OPAP: announces all-share merger with parent Allwyn International NEUTRAL • Eurobank: acquires Fairfax's 80% stake in Eurolife's life insurance business NEUTRAL • CTP: issues EUR 600m 6.5Y green bonds at a 3.625% coupon POSITIVE • Pegasus Airlines: ASK up 17% in 3Q25 NEUTRAL • Cimsa: grey cement grinding plant in Houston has been commissioned POSITIVE • 11 bit: management board member sold shares worth PLN 0.3m NEUTRAL • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (6-12 October) • Titan: ...
HEADLINES: • Kruk: solid 3Q25 trading update, but still at a standstill in Spain NEUTRAL • OMV Petrom: 3Q25 trading statement POSITIVE • OMV: 3Q25 trading statement NEUTRAL • Bank Millennium: to book PLN 394m of FX mortgage saga provisions in 3Q25 NEUTRAL • Murapol: 734 apartments sold and 413 units handed over in 3Q25; 66% of our annual sales forecast met after 1-3Q25 NEGATIVE • Poland macro: NBP cuts again, on steady inflation • Romania macro: MPC on a prolonged pause • Theon International: si...
HEADLINES: • Diagnostyka: risk of the gradual loss of key customer, Luxmed NEGATIVE • PZU / Bank Pekao: potential merger continuing • Ten Square Games: 3Q25 bookings up 4.5% qoq, better than Sensor Tower's estimates POSITIVE • Polish telecoms: mobile number portability in 3Q25 NEUTRAL • GTC: prices EUR 455m bond with an 8% yield POSITIVE • Piraeus Financial Holdings: prices EUR 600m AT1 bond POSITIVE • Czech Republic macro: elections – forced cooperation should keep the economy strong • EME Macr...
HEADLINES: • Doosan Škoda Power: high steam pressure needs to cool off (downgraded to SELL) • Diagnostyka: testing positive (downgraded to HOLD) • Dom Development: 3Q25 – record sales, strong handovers, optimistic outlook POSITIVE • GTC: prices EUR 455m bond on 3 October POSITIVE • Text: key takeaways from the 2Q25-26 preliminary earnings call NEUTRAL • European Oil and Gas Monthly: September 2025 – droning on about margins • 4iG: signs letter of intent with Axiom Space NEUTRAL • Athens Exchange...
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