HEADLINES: • Kruk: solid 3Q25 trading update, but still at a standstill in Spain NEUTRAL • OMV Petrom: 3Q25 trading statement POSITIVE • OMV: 3Q25 trading statement NEUTRAL • Bank Millennium: to book PLN 394m of FX mortgage saga provisions in 3Q25 NEUTRAL • Murapol: 734 apartments sold and 413 units handed over in 3Q25; 66% of our annual sales forecast met after 1-3Q25 NEGATIVE • Poland macro: NBP cuts again, on steady inflation • Romania macro: MPC on a prolonged pause • Theon International: si...
HEADLINES: • Doosan Škoda Power: high steam pressure needs to cool off (downgraded to SELL) • Diagnostyka: testing positive (downgraded to HOLD) • Dom Development: 3Q25 – record sales, strong handovers, optimistic outlook POSITIVE • GTC: prices EUR 455m bond on 3 October POSITIVE • Text: key takeaways from the 2Q25-26 preliminary earnings call NEUTRAL • European Oil and Gas Monthly: September 2025 – droning on about margins • 4iG: signs letter of intent with Axiom Space NEUTRAL • Athens Exchange...
Brent crude oil prices increased by USD 0.4/bbl vs. the previous month, to USD 67.6/bbl. In August, OPEC production hit its highest level, again, since June 2023, reaching 27.9mbpd. Drone strikes on Russian refineries boosted refinery margins, with our benchmark rising USD 2.0/bbl, to USD 14.7/bbl. Most petrochemicals margins weakened further.
A director at Dom Development SA sold 14,300 shares at 234.000PLN and the significance rating of the trade was 100/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years cl...
EME Equity Market – September 2025 Romanian BET led in September, while Türkiye and Hungary lagged. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 0.7% mom in EUR terms and 1.1% in USD terms. The Romanian BET was the top performer, adding 3.6% in EUR terms; followed by the Czech PX (+3.2% mom) and the Polish WIG20 (+1.1% mom) (all in EUR terms); while there was a muted performance from the Greek ASE (+0.6% mom in EUR terms). The Turkish ISE30 and the Hungarian BUX were the worst performing indices in September(...
HEADLINES: • GTC: launches a landmark bond refinancing with a 6.5% EUR 455m 2030 tranche POSITIVE • Zabka: key takeaways from the Investor Day POSITIVE • PCF Group: 2Q25 earnings call takeaways • CCC: final 2Q25 EBITDA 3% below the prelims, on an earlier recognition of costs NEUTRAL • Benefit Systems: end-3Q25 card base at 2.38m, Türkiye accelerated in September NEUTRAL • Wizz Air: September capacity growth slower than the summer, but better load factor NEUTRAL • OTE/DIGI Communications: sale o...
Brent crude oil prices declined USD 2.4/bbl vs. the previous month, to USD 67.2/bbl, due to OPEC+ quota increases. In July, OPEC production hit its highest level, again, since November 2023. Our benchmark margin fell by USD 1.7/bbl in August, to USD 12.6 /bbl, but is still very high. Most petrochemicals margins weakened further.
HEADLINES: • Greek Refiners: elevated margins, extended run (HELLENiQ Energy (HOLD) and Motor Oil Hellas (BUY) - transfer of coverage) • Asseco Poland: 2Q25 review – net profit up 33% yoy, 11% above the consensus; 2025 backlog up 9% yoy POSITIVE • OPAP: 2Q25 results – in line NEUTRAL • Trade Estates: 1H25 – FFO at EUR 10m, up 37% yoy POSITIVE • Vercom: key takeaways from the 2Q25 earnings call POSITIVE • cyber_Folks/Shoper: key takeaways from the 2Q25 earnings call NEUTRAL • Shoper: 2Q25 earning...
Following a change in analyst responsibilities, we transfer coverage, and update our forecasts and outlook, of the Greek refiners, to reflect the recent upturn in the refining backdrop. We rate Motor Oil Hellas (MOH) a BUY, with an updated price target (PT) of EUR 31.5 (from EUR 25.8), and keep HELLENiQ Energy (ELPE) a HOLD, with an updated PT of EUR 8.8 (from EUR 7.6). The two Greek refiners offer a broadly similar compelling investment case and remain attractively valued on absolute terms, in ...
EME Equity Market – August 2025 Corrections in Poland and the broader MSCI EM Europe. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 2.3% mom in EUR terms and was flat (0.0%) in USD terms in August. The Hungarian BUX was the top performer, adding 2.2% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Romanian BET (+1.9% mom), the Czech PX (+1.7% mom) and the Greek ASE (+1.4% mom) (all in EUR terms); while there was a muted performance from the Turkish ISE 30 (+0.4% mom in EUR terms). The biggest loser was the Polish WIG ...
HEADLINES: • OTP Bank: all about capital returns (stays BUY) • Colt CZ Group SE: acquires SNC – a strategic move POSITIVE • 11 bit studios: 2Q25 EBITDA 14-24% above our and the market's expectations; guidance on new projects POSITIVE • CD Projekt: 2Q25 EBITDA 19-24% above our and the market's expectations POSITIVE • Text: 1Q25-26 (calendar 2Q25) results – EBITDA down 21% yoy, 5% below the consensus NEGATIVE • Sphera Group: 2Q25 soft, but better than we expected; FY25E budget cut NEGATIVE • MedLi...
HEADLINES: • PZU: 2Q25 results – beat on the bottom line, but insurance operations show some weakness and delivered below expectations NEUTRAL • Dom Development: 2Q25 results – beat driven by stellar 37% gross profit margin POSITIVE • Bank Handlowy: neutral 2Q25 results – beat on underlying bottom line driven by bond sales gains; negative NII trend NEUTRAL • Eurocash: 2Q25 – slightly above low expectations; new strategy publication in November POSITIVE • DataWalk: 2Q25 actual numbers fully in li...
HEADLINES: • Ten Square Games: 2Q25 adjusted EBITDA down 11% qoq, 4-9% above expectations POSITIVE • Grupa Pracuj: 2Q25 results – adjusted EBITDA up 3% yoy, in line with our forecast, 3% above the consensus NEUTRAL • Benefit Systems: 2Q25 earnings call takeaways – supportive of the 2026E outlook NEUTRAL • Akcansa: competition investigation launched NEGATIVE • MedLife: 2Q25E results preview (due on 29 August)
HEADLINES: • Duna House: strong 2Q25, guidance reiterated POSITIVE • Benefit Systems: 2Q25 adjusted EBIT up 17% yoy, marginally above our forecast NEUTRAL • Orlen: partner makes significant oil discovery in Norway POSITIVE • Bank Handlowy: may pay out PLN 449m of 2019 net profit as a dividend NEUTRAL • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (18-24 August) • Gentoo Media: 2Q25E financial results preview (due out tomorrow)
HEADLINES: • Warsaw Stock Exchange: bottom-line beat in 2Q25, due mostly to non-operating net revenues POSITIVE • KazMunayGas: 2Q25 results – EBITDA in line with our forecast NEUTRAL • Cyfrowy Polsat: 2Q25 results review – adjusted EBITDA down 2% yoy, in line with the consensus NEUTRAL • Mo-BRUK: 2Q25 EBITDA up 6% yoy, in line with our and the market's expectations NEUTRAL • Orlen: 2Q25 results – broadly in line NEUTRAL • Lion Finance Group: 2Q25 highlights – in line, but not strong enough to sh...
HEADLINES: • DO & CO: on the menu – fair value (downgraded to HOLD) • Georgia Capital: launches nine-month USD 50m buyback programme POSITIVE • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (11-17 August) • KazMunayGas: 2Q25E results preview (due on 22 August) NEUTRAL • cyber_Folks: 2Q25E results preview – 22% yoy organic adjusted EBITDA growth (due on 2 September) • Vercom: 2Q25E results preview – 20% yoy EBITDA growth (due on 2 September)
HEADLINES: • Asseco Poland: unjustifiably expensive (downgraded to SELL) • PKO BP: very solid 2Q25; our ambitious forecasts seem achievable; market valuation appears to be pricing it in NEUTRAL • Elbit Systems: 2Q25 results – strong operating performance and a big contract win in Europe • Migros: 2Q25 results – bottom line misses expectations NEGATIVE • Pegasus Airlines: 2Q25 – weaker margins yoy, as expected • Logo Yazilim: 2Q25 results – in line; FY25E guidance reiterated NEUTRAL • Ignitis Gro...
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