Two Directors at C&S Paper Co Ltd sold 1,539,500 shares at 10.300CNY. The significance rating of the trade was 75/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years cle...
Global Rally Losing Upside Momentum The global rally appears to be losing steam as the bearish rising wedge patterns we highlighted last week in the MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EM, and EAFE indexes ended up breaking down. Additionally, the aforementioned indexes and major indexes in Europe, Japan, and Hong Kong have been unable to break above longer-term resistance. While we believe global equities remain vulnerable to a pullback, some near-term consolidation is another possibility. For now we belie...
Major Indexes Testing Resistance Positive news flow surrounding COVID-19 is encouraging on many fronts, notably from a human and economic perspective (e.g., peaking infections/deaths in Italy & Spain, certain European governments making plans to ease lockdowns, and that US death projections were likely overestimated). Still, despite encouraging news and the relief rally in global equities, history tells us that this is a fairly standard bear market rally in terms of its magnitude, making us bel...
Global Equities Stumbling Again We continue to believe global equities (ACWI-US) are likely to test the recent low made on March 23, with an undercut of roughly 10% also in the cards. This expectation is supported by price action during prior major waterfall declines in past recessionary periods. It is also worth noting that 15-25% rallies are to be expected within bear markets -- potentially multiple. During 2001-2002 the S&P 500 had two 20-25% rallies, and both ended up failing and breaking t...
Initial Low Established Several equity indexes and indicators we watch are telling us an initial primary low has been established for global equities (ACWI-US). At the same time, after this type of major waterfall decline there is often a test of this initial low - and oftentimes we get an undercut of the initial low. Barring approval of a first-line therapy for COVID-19 we are of the belief that we will get an eventual test of this initial low and potentially an undercut. Below we provide upda...
USD weakness a tailwind for int'l markets With markets showing signs of weakening at logical resistance as outlined in last week's Int'l Compass - we recommend being selective in new purchases. At the same time we are seeing a number of indicators that are giving signals conducive to higher equity prices, meaning global equities may be gearing up for an eventual breakout topside resistance. Below we highlight some attractive and actionable themes along with indicators that support our overall c...
A broad comparison of China’s Big Four tissue paper companies This report aims to provide a comparison of China’s Big Four tissue paper producers (C&S Paper, Hengan, Vinda and GHY Paper) from different perspectives. Product. C&S Paper is actively pushing into the high-end market while growing high margin non-toilet paper sales. Hengan is a leader in both tissue paper and sanitary products. Vinda is transitioning away from a pure play towards an 11-brand portfolio spanning adult/feminine/bab...
Sitting pretty on solid growth Strong momentum. C&S Paper, one of the “Big Four” tissue paper manufacturers in China, has been enjoying brisk growth since 2015, with operating revenue/net profit gaining 17.34%/30.66%, 28.74%/195.27% and 19.85%/47.81% in 2015, 2016 and 1H17, respectively. China tissue paper market. Tissue paper consumption in China grew at a robust CAGR of 10.53% from 390,000 tons in 1985 to 8.68mn tons in 2016, with the percentage of toilet paper shrinking from above 90% to ar...
Ford Equity International Research Reports cover 60 countries with over 30,000 stocks traded on international exchanges. A proprietary quantitative system compares each company to its peers on proven measures of business value, growth characteristics, and investor behavior. Ford's three recommendation ratings buy, hold and sell, represent each stock’s return potential relative to its own country market.. The rating reports which are generated each week, include the fundamental details behind...
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