reports
- Olfa Taamallah
- Yan Derocles
ODDO : Long majors vs short LCC : le choix de 2026
Sur 2026, nous estimons que la dynamique sera plus favorable aux majors européennes tant sur le RASK (croissance plus modérée des capacités et meilleure orientation du réseau long-courrier en particulier transatlantique), que sur le CASK hors carburant aidé par des effets de base positifs. Nous relevons notre opinion à Surperformance sur Air France-KLM et Lufthansa et dégradons Ryanair en Neutre et Wizz Air en Sous-performance.
- Olfa Taamallah
- Yan Derocles
ODDO : Long legacy carriers vs short LCC: the choice for 2026
For 2026, we think that the trend will be more favourable to the European legacy carriers in terms of both RASK (more modest growth in capacity and a more positive trend on the long-haul network, particularly transatlantic) and CASK excluding fuel, aided by positive base effects. We have upgraded Air France-KLM and Lufthansa to Outperform, downgraded Ryanair to Neutral and Wizz Air to Underperform. A more favourable trend expected in 2026 for legacy carriers
- Gabor Bukta
Halfway out of the turbulence
Summary We leave our TP at 20.0 GBP and reiterate our Buy recommendation, reflecting the ongoing restructuring story. Following the fiscal Q3/26 conference call held on 29 January, we repeatedly concluded that the fruitful strategic overhaul is under way. The management is building back confidence, so that’s good news for value investors. The problem is that they have to manage high-capacity growth (+24% seats and +30% ASK) during fiscal Q2/27. Key question remains how the market will be able ...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: PL Banks; CBF PW; VRC PW; SHO PW; TEN PW; MUR PW; MONET CP...
HEADLINES: • Polish banks: still opportunities, if the growth continues (PKO BP, Bank Pekao, Santander BP, mBank, ING BSK, Bank Millennium, Alior Bank, Bank Handlowy) • cyber_Folks: 4Q25E results preview – 18% yoy organic adjusted EBITDA growth (due on 18 March) • Shoper: 4Q25E results preview – 11% yoy adjusted EBITDA growth (due on 18 March) • Vercom: 4Q25E results preview – 23% yoy adjusted EBITDA growth (due on 18 March) • Ten Square Games: 4Q25E preview – adjusted EBITDA -7% qoq on higher U...
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
TITK TITAN CEMENT CO. SA
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
R22 R22
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
VRC VERCOM SA
SHO SHOPER SA
MUR2 MURAPOL SA
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: ARCLK TI; XTB PW; CCC PW; OPL PW; HUG PW; TEN PW; RBW PW; ...
HEADLINES: • Arcelik (BUY, PT TRY 207.5): 4Q25 results – in line operationally NEUTRAL • XTB S.A.: 4Q25 net profit materially ahead of expectations • CCC: acquisition of controlling stake in MKRI NEUTRAL • Orange Polska: fined PLN 34m by Poland's antitrust regulator NEUTRAL • Huuuge Games: January 2026 Sensor Tower bookings estimate down 1% mom NEUTRAL • Ten Square Games: January 2026 Sensor Tower bookings estimate flat mom NEUTRAL • Rainbow Tours: 4Q25E preview – EBITDA marginally above zero in...
CEZ CEZ AS
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
RBW RAINBOW TOURS S.A.
ARCLK ARCELIK A.S.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
RICHT RICHTER
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
XTB X-TRADE BROKERS DOM MAKLERSKI SA
HUGE HUUUGE
IGN1L IGNITIS GRUPE
BOROUGE BOROUGE
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: WIZZ LN; CCC PW; ALE PW; INPST NA; BDX PW; SPL PW; SNP RO;...
HEADLINES: • Wizz Air: 3Q FY26 – broadly in line NEUTRAL • CCC: profit warning – 4Q25 EBITDA down 50-60% yoy, FY25E guidance missed by 15% NEGATIVE • Allegro/InPost: Allegro raises delivery fees by c.4%, effective as of 2 March NEUTRAL • Budimex: extension of strategic options review process for FBSerwis until April 2026 NEUTRAL • Santander Bank Polska: 4Q25E preview (due on 4 February) • OMV Petrom: 4Q25E results preview (due on 4 February) NEUTRAL • Titan: EUR 350m bond at 3.5% to fund M&A and...
- Ahmed Ben Salem
- Emira Sagaama
- Oddo Sustainability Team
- Ahmed Ben Salem
- Emira Sagaama
- Oddo Sustainability Team
- Jovan Sikimic
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: OPAP GA; BFT PW; OPL PW; PEO PW; BHW PW; MONET CP; KOMB CP
HEADLINES: • OPAP: waiving of the 5% exit threshold paves the way for the Allwyn merger NEUTRAL • Benefit Systems: changes in the Supervisory Board NEUTRAL • Orange Polska: 4Q25E – 4% yoy EBITDAaL growth expected (due on 18 February) • Bank Pekao: 4Q25E preview (due on 19 February) • Bank Handlowy: 4Q25E preview (due on 17 March) • MONETA Money Bank: 4Q25E preview (due on 3 February) • Komercni Banka: 4Q25E preview (due on 6 February)
- Bruno Cavalier
- Hela Zarrouk
- Oliver Metzger
- Roy Külter
FME FRESENIUS MEDICAL CARE AG
LUFTHANSA DEUTSCHE LUFTHANSA AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
BMW BAYERISCHE MOTOREN WERKE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
FRA FRAPORT AG
TKA THYSSENKRUPP AG
WCH WACKER CHEMIE AG
DB1 DEUTSCHE BOERSE AG
RNO RENAULT SA
ADS ADIDAS AG
G1A GEA GROUP AG
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
MTX MTU AERO ENGINES AG
CBK COMMERZBANK AG
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
DAI DAIMLER AG
HNR1 HANNOVER RUECK SE
GBF BILFINGER SE
UTDI UNITED INTERNET AG
RHM RHEINMETALL AG
ALV ALLIANZ SE
LXS LANXESS AG
GXI GERRESHEIMER AG
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
KCO KLOECKNER & CO SE
FAGR FAGRON SA
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
MRK MERCK KGAA
KER KERING SA
ALLAN LANSON-BCC
VNA VONOVIA SE
EOAN E.ON SE
BOSS HUGO BOSS AG
SDF K+S AG
ZAL ZALANDO SE
G24 SCOUT24 AG
BAS BASF SE
RWE RWE AG
HEI HEIDELBERGCEMENT AG
BAYN BAYER AG
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
HEN3 HENKEL AG & CO. KGAA PREF
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
TLX TALANX AG
SY1 SYMRISE AG
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
COFB COFINIMMO SA
FIE FIELMANN AG
DEZ DEUTZ AG
AIXA AIXTRON SE
NDA AURUBIS AG
KRN KRONES AG
NEM NEMETSCHEK SE
MMT METROPOLE TELEVISION SA
AED AEDIFICA SA
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
KGX KION GROUP AG
MONC MONCLER SPA
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
TWEKA TKH GROUP N.V. CERT
BNR BRENNTAG SE
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
RACE FERRARI NV
JUN3 JUNGHEINRICH AG PREF
FTG111 FLATEXDEGIRO AG
SIE SIEMENS AG
DUE DURR AG
TGN SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE TRANSPORT GAZE NATURALE TRANSGAZ S.A.
SHL SIEMENS HEALTHINEERS AG
S92 SMA SOLAR TECHNOLOGY AG
JEN JENOPTIK AG
KBX KNORR-BREMSE AG
HAG HENSOLDT AG
ENR SIEMENS ENERGY AG
AML ASTON MARTIN LAGONDA GLOBAL HOLDINGS
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
FPE3 FUCHS PETROLUB SE
DTG DAIMLER TRUCK
ZGN ERMENEGILDO ZEGNA NV
STM STABILUS SE
P911 DR. ING. H.C. F. PORSCHE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
TUI TUI AG
NCH2 THYSSENKRUPP NUCERA AG & CO.
SCHOTT PHARMA AG
R3NK RENK GROUP AG
QGEN QIAGEN N.V.
PFSE PFISTERER HOLDING SE
SHA SCHAEFFLER AG
TKMS TKMS AG & CO. KGAA
- Bruno Cavalier
- Hela Zarrouk
- Oliver Metzger
- Roy Külter
FME FRESENIUS MEDICAL CARE AG
LUFTHANSA DEUTSCHE LUFTHANSA AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
BMW BAYERISCHE MOTOREN WERKE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
FRA FRAPORT AG
TKA THYSSENKRUPP AG
WCH WACKER CHEMIE AG
DB1 DEUTSCHE BOERSE AG
RNO RENAULT SA
ADS ADIDAS AG
G1A GEA GROUP AG
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
MTX MTU AERO ENGINES AG
CBK COMMERZBANK AG
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
DAI DAIMLER AG
HNR1 HANNOVER RUECK SE
GBF BILFINGER SE
UTDI UNITED INTERNET AG
RHM RHEINMETALL AG
ALV ALLIANZ SE
LXS LANXESS AG
GXI GERRESHEIMER AG
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
KCO KLOECKNER & CO SE
FAGR FAGRON SA
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
MRK MERCK KGAA
KER KERING SA
ALLAN LANSON-BCC
VNA VONOVIA SE
EOAN E.ON SE
BOSS HUGO BOSS AG
SDF K+S AG
ZAL ZALANDO SE
G24 SCOUT24 AG
BAS BASF SE
RWE RWE AG
HEI HEIDELBERGCEMENT AG
BAYN BAYER AG
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
HEN3 HENKEL AG & CO. KGAA PREF
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
TLX TALANX AG
SY1 SYMRISE AG
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
COFB COFINIMMO SA
FIE FIELMANN AG
DEZ DEUTZ AG
AIXA AIXTRON SE
NDA AURUBIS AG
KRN KRONES AG
NEM NEMETSCHEK SE
MMT METROPOLE TELEVISION SA
AED AEDIFICA SA
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
KGX KION GROUP AG
MONC MONCLER SPA
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
TWEKA TKH GROUP N.V. CERT
BNR BRENNTAG SE
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
RACE FERRARI NV
JUN3 JUNGHEINRICH AG PREF
FTG111 FLATEXDEGIRO AG
SIE SIEMENS AG
DUE DURR AG
TGN SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE TRANSPORT GAZE NATURALE TRANSGAZ S.A.
SHL SIEMENS HEALTHINEERS AG
S92 SMA SOLAR TECHNOLOGY AG
JEN JENOPTIK AG
KBX KNORR-BREMSE AG
HAG HENSOLDT AG
ENR SIEMENS ENERGY AG
AML ASTON MARTIN LAGONDA GLOBAL HOLDINGS
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
FPE3 FUCHS PETROLUB SE
DTG DAIMLER TRUCK
ZGN ERMENEGILDO ZEGNA NV
STM STABILUS SE
P911 DR. ING. H.C. F. PORSCHE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
TUI TUI AG
NCH2 THYSSENKRUPP NUCERA AG & CO.
SCHOTT PHARMA AG
R3NK RENK GROUP AG
QGEN QIAGEN N.V.
PFSE PFISTERER HOLDING SE
SHA SCHAEFFLER AG
TKMS TKMS AG & CO. KGAA
- Daniela Popov
- Jakub Caithaml
WOOD Flash – Wizz Air: may grow capacity by c.20% in FY27E
In an interview with Bloomberg, Wizz Air’s CEO, Jozsef Varadi, has suggested that the airline may grow faster than the latest guidance implied, driven by the unparking of grounded aircraft and new aircraft deliveries. Bloomberg has reported that the CEO was suggesting that the airline may grow capacity by around 20% in FY26E yoy. We believe this is a misinterpretation of what the CEO meant, as it would require an unrealistic acceleration of capacity growth in the January-March period. We have re...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: PL Macro; MUR PW; PCO PW; XTB PW; PZU PW; CTPNV NA; WIZZ L...
HEADLINES: • Poland macro: rates unchanged, and some positive news • Murapol: sells 767 and hands over 1,286 units in 4Q25 NEGATIVE • Pepco Group: 1Q26 revenues growth eases to 4% yoy; FY26E guidance maintained NEGATIVE • XTB S.A.: over 250k new clients in 4Q25 in sight NEUTRAL • PZU/Bank Pekao: merger uncertain even by end-4Q27E, according to the Minister of State Assets NEUTRAL • CTP: prices EUR 500m 4Y bond at 3.4%; leases space in Amsterdam to Crisp POSITIVE • Wizz Air: may grow capacity by ...
Echo Investment S.A.: 1 director
A director at Echo Investment S.A. bought 15,238 shares at 4.890PLN and the significance rating of the trade was 52/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years c...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: KTY PW; ALE PW; BFT PW; MBR PW; TEN PW; PL Telecoms; GEKTE...
HEADLINES: • Kety: still fuel in the tank (stays BUY) • Allegro: disposal of Mall’s Slovenian and Croatian business with a PLN 235m loss POSITIVE • Benefit Systems: net addition of 145.6k sports cards in 4Q25, acceleration in Türkiye POSITIVE • Mo-BRUK: SKO cancels increased fees for 2016 and 2020 NEUTRAL • Ten Square Games: 4Q25 bookings up 12.5% qoq, better than Sensor Tower's estimates POSITIVE • Polish telecoms: mobile number portability in 4Q25 NEUTRAL • GEK Terna / Motor Oil Hellas: EC cle...
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Czech PX in the lead in December
EME Equity Market – December 2025 Czech PX the best performer in December; no market in the red. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 3.4% mom in EUR terms and 4.6% mom in USD terms in December. The Czech PX was the top performer, adding 7.6% mom; followed by the Romanian BET (+7.1% mom); the Polish WIG 20 (+6.4% mom); the Greek ASE (+1.8% mom), the Turkish ISE 30 (+0.4% mom) and the Hungarian BUX (+0.2% mom; all in EUR terms).
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
MOL MOL NYRT
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
TITK TITAN CEMENT CO. SA
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
KTY GRUPA KETY SA
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
CCC CCC SA
RBW RAINBOW TOURS S.A.
ENA ENEA S.A.
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
DAT DATAWALK SA
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
BELA JUMBO S.A.
SNP PETROM S.A.
RICHT RICHTER
MAVI MAVI GIYIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
R22 R22
ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
XTB X-TRADE BROKERS DOM MAKLERSKI SA
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
HUGE HUUUGE
4IG 4IG NYRT
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
CTPNV CTP NV
BCG BALTIC CLASSIFIEDS GROUP PLC
7203 ELM CO
OPTIMAr OPTIMA BANK S.A.
THEON THEON INTERNATIONAL PLC
PRIUA PRIMOCO UAV SE
BOCHGR BANK OF CYPRUS
DSPW DOOSAN SKODA POWER A.S.
PE RO PREMIER ENERGY
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: TXT PW; PZU PW; PEO PW; MBK PW; SPL PW; CPS PW; MBR PW; CD...
HEADLINES: • Text: preliminary 3Q25-26 (calendar 4Q25) results – MRR of USD 6.98m (-1.1% qoq and -1.7% yoy) NEGATIVE • PZU/Bank Pekao: delay merger deadline NEGATIVE • mBank: to face PLN 362.1m of FX mortgage saga costs in 4Q25E NEUTRAL • Santander Bank Polska: updates market on the impact of sale of 60% stake in Santander Consumer Bank NEUTRAL • Santander Bank Polska: calls EGM for 22 January NEUTRAL • Cyfrowy Polsat: Liechtenstein court upholds May ruling on Solorz family succession POSITIVE •...
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
RBW RAINBOW TOURS S.A.
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
DAT DATAWALK SA
ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
HUGE HUUUGE
THEON THEON INTERNATIONAL PLC
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: LAMDA GA; KTY PW; PKN PW; PGE PW; PGE PW; Czech Republic m...
HEADLINES: • Lamda Development: 3Q25 - malls and marinas steady, bond and land sale to boost liquidity • Kety: 4Q25 results and 2026E guidance conference call NEUTRAL • Orlen: to acquire butadiene plant at Plock, Poland, from Synthos NEGATIVE • PGE: to acquire a 350MW offshore project from RWE POSITIVE • Polish utilities: offshore auction results - minimum price at PLN 477/MWh POSITIVE • Czech Republic macro: CNB extends the pause
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