WIG20/WIG30 indices review - No change in constituents AT: OMV - OMV received a binding offer for the acquisition of Borealis' nitrogen business (positive) Oil&Gas: OPEC+ meeting - OPEC to accelerate oil production in July and August PL: PKN/Lotos - Lotos and PKN agreed on a share swap ratio, merger finalization aimed for August (neutral/positive) RU: Moscow Exchange - May trading volumes 5% up yoy, no statistics on account balances (neutral)
EME Equity Market – May 2022 Market performance – markets down mostly, as MSCI EM Europe Index declines 3.6%. The MSCI EM Europe Index fell 3.6% mom and 2.0% mom in EUR and USD terms, respectively, in May. The best-performing index was the Russian MOEX, which added 6.3% mom in EUR terms, but declined 3.7% mom in local currency. However, we note that, with the CBR ban on short selling and restrictions on international investors, as well various sanctions, this performance is not fully comparable ...
CZ: CEZ - CEZ not to bid for RWE's storage assets in Czechia, press (neutral) PL: PKO BP - 9% wage hike offered to half of staff (neutral) RU: Polyus - New shareholder may add its representative to the board (neutral) RU: Tatneft - Proposed final DPS revealed weaker than expected payout for 2021 (negative)
FTSE Index June review - No changes of index constituents in our Coverage Universe AT: Strabag - Haselsteiner Foundation proposes share buyback resolution to AGM (positive) CZ: CEZ - CEZ paid for small Gazprom contract in EUR, rumoured to have opened an account with Gazprombank (neutral) RU: Moscow Exchange - April trading is 8% yoy down, account balances undisclosed (neutral) RU: Petropavlovsk - A likely initiation of takeover by UMMC (negative)
HEADLINES: • Georgian banks: game on - banks are cheap (Bank of Georgia upgraded to BUY, TBC Bank Group stays BUY) • Bank Handlowy: posts huge turnaround in profitability in 1Q22 POSITIVE • Coca-Cola Icecek: 1Q22 - better than expected results POSITIVE • Banca Transilvania: 1Q22 results solid and on track to meet FY22E budget • Aygaz: 1Q22 results review - 44% NI beat, driven by Entek and Tupras • Motor Oil Hellas: deal with Ellaktor - strong expansion into RES • Public Power Corporation: i...
AT: Andritz - Andritz to supply Metris platform to Forsyning Helsingor in Denmark (neutral) AT: PORR - Cartel fine legally binding (neutral) HR: Podravka - DPS of HRK 13 to be paid to shareholders (positive) RO: Medlife - Medlife bought 100% of Life Med (positive) RU: Moscow Exchange - March 2022 statistics: account balances grow 4x yoy and 2.5x mom, the currency split undisclosed; total trading up 71% yoy (positive)
Oil&Gas: Oil price - A potential announcement of another release of US oil reserves puts pressure on the oil price ahead of today's OPEC meeting PL: PKN - The 2021 DPS proposal of PLN 3.50 is fully in line with previous guidance and market expectation (neutral) RU: Fertilisers - Essential goods incl. fertilizers are exempted from any U.S. anti-Russia sanctions (positive) RU: NLMK - NLMK continues steel supplies to Europe and USA (neutral) RU: Petropavlovsk - Loan from Gazprombank may ...
MARKET COMMENT - RSPP PROPOSES STRIPPING MINORITY RIGHTS, EU AND US OFFICIALS CONSIDER MORE SANCTIONS AND EXPELLING RUSSIA FROM THE G20The Russian Union of Industrialists and Entrepreneurs proposed to the government to strip nonresident minority shareholders of their shareholder rights on a temporary basis, according to RBC and other sources. Top EU and US officials remarked that more sanctions would be considered Thursday. Equity trading remains suspended in Russia. STORIES> RSPP proposes to st...
КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗ - РСПП ПРЕДЛАГАЕТ ВРЕМЕННО ОГРАНИЧИТЬ В ПРАВАХ ИНОСТРАННЫХ МИНОРИТАРИЕВ, ЕС И США РАССМАТРИВАЮТ ВОЗМОЖНОСТЬ ВВЕДЕНИЯ НОВЫХ САНКЦИЙРоссийский союз промышленников и предпринимателей предложил правительству временно ограничить в правах иностранных миноритариев, сообщают РБК и другие источники. ЕС и США рассмотрят в четверг возможность введения новых санкций. Торги акциями на МосБирже по-прежнему не проводятся. НОВОСТИ> Цены на нефть после ралли начали стабилизироваться в предд...
MARKET COMMENT - POLYMETAL TUMBLES 33% AS FTSE EXCLUSION FURTHERS RUSSIA'S ISOLATION FROM GLOBAL MARKETSMoscow equity trading remains closed by the CBR. Among the only instruments still trading, Polymetal's London listing fell 33%, while FTSE announced the exclusion of the shares from its indexes, eliminating one of the last examples of Russia being included in global markets. STORIES> Oil and gas: Not benefiting much from strong Brent, but gaining from weak ruble> Tatneft: Moderate miss in 4Q2...
КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗ - АКЦИИ ПОЛИМЕТАЛЛА УПАЛИ В ЦЕНЕ НА 33% ПОСЛЕ ИСКЛЮЧЕНИЯ ИЗ ИНДЕКСОВ FTSEТорги акциями на Московской бирже по-прежнему не проводятся по решению ЦБ РФ. Бумаги Полиметалла с листингом в Лондоне - один из немногих российских инструментов, остававшийся на глобальных рынках, - упали в цене на 33% после того, как FTSE объявила об их исключении из своих индексов. Рубль торгуется около 105-110 за доллар. НОВОСТИ> Цены на нефть под давлением перед публикацией ежемесячного отчета МЭА...
AT: Verbund - Press reports on windfall profit politics, special dividend in discussion (neutral) CEE: Banks - Deutsche Bank and Commerzbank announced withdrawal from Russia (neutral) CZ: CEZ - Tender for new block at Dukovany nuclear power plant to be launched this week (neutral) RU: Russia - Stock market to stay frozen another week (neutral) RU: Russian Steel - EU bans steel import from Russia (negative) RU: Russian Steel - Government plans to reduce domestic steel prices by restri...
Closures of European bank subsidiaries of Russian banks may result in payout events for European Deposit Guarantee Schemes. As these schemes are accrued by local banks, payout events are likely to lead to higher costs for banks in the country
AT: Oesterreichische Post - Q4 21 in line, muted outlook wording (neutral) AT: OMV - Borealis declined the binding offer of EuroChem for the acquisition of its fertilizer business (neutral) AT: OMV - OMV is considering building a waste sorting plant in Germany (neutral) CZ: Komercni Banka, Erste Group - Central bank to increase counter-cyclical capital buffer to 2.5% from April 22 (negative) HR: Hrvatski Telekom - Dividend proposal od HRK 8.00 per share (neutral) HR: Valamar Riviera ...
AT: AGRANA - Update on current situation in Ukraine and Russia (neutral) AT: Lenzing - FY results below expectations on higher cost inflation, outlook of better EBITDA yoy vague, but in line (neutral) AT: Lenzing - Lenzing appoints Stephen Sielaff to CEO position (neutral) AT: Verbund - Verbund acquired 70% in a wind/solar portfolio in Spain (neutral) PL: AmRest - Temporary suspension of operations in Russia (negative) PL: Eurocash - Solid Q4 21 preliminary figures with EBITDA 14% ah...
AT: OMV - Initiation of a strategic review on its exposure to Russia will trigger a value adjustment of EUR 1.5-1.8 bn in Q1 22 (negative) AT: Wienerberger - Share buyback of up to 3% (positive) HU: OTP - Q4 21 conference call notes with focus on RU/UA (neutral) RU: Moscow Exchange - Q4 21 conference call: Strategy revision should take time, the stock market trading freeze carries on (neutral) SI: NLB Group - Conference call on Sberbank Slovenia acquisition (positive)
MARKET COMMENT - GOVERNMENT MULLS BUYING MORE STOCK, MSCI EXPELS RUSSIARussian stocks remained frozen in Moscow and were mostly frozen abroad as well yesterday. The government is mulling tapping more of the NWF to buy Russian stocks. MSCI will expel Russia from global benchmarks, and ratings agencies have cut the market to junk status.STORIES> MSCI expels Russia from global and emerging benchmarks> GDP could decline by 10-15% in 2022> Weekly inflation surges to 0.45% over February 19-25> Basic s...
КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗПроизводство в базовых отраслях российской экономики выросло в январе на 1% по сравнению с предыдущим месяцем (с учетом корректировки на сезонную составляющую) после роста на 0,6% в декабре. Динамика улучшилась благодаря оптовой торговли и грузообороту транспорта. В период с 19 по 25 февраля потребительские цены в России выросли на 0,45% против 0,24% неделей ранее. Причинами, судя по всему, стали повышение спроса на непродовольственные товары, а также ослабление рубля, котор...
MARKET COMMENT - RDX DOWN MORE THAN IN 1998, MSCI RUSSIA THE MOST SINCE 2008 AS MOSCOW TRADING REMAINS CLOSEDWhile Moscow stock trading remains closed, offshore and composite indexes dropped another 6-57%. The RDX offshore DR index has now fallen 91% since its October decade-long peak, a fall sharper than that of 1998 or 2008. The government announced plans to support the market with share purchases, while capital restrictions and supply shocks have also been in the news.STORIES> Government mull...
КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗСегодня утром котировки Брент выросли до $111/барр., и, вероятно, поднимутся еще выше, хотя МЭА объявило, что страны ОЭСР скоординированно выведут на рынок 60 млн барр. нефти из своих стратегических резервов. После объявлений ВР и Equinor, сделанных ранее на этой неделе, еще несколько крупных международных нефтяных компаний сообщили о решении продать свой бизнес в России или выразили серьезную обеспокоенность сложившейся ситуацией.НОВОСТИ> Нехватка предложения начала сказыва...
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