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Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 03.06.2022

 WIG20/WIG30 indices review - No change in constituents  AT: OMV - OMV received a binding offer for the acquisition of Borealis' nitrogen business (positive)  Oil&Gas: OPEC+ meeting - OPEC to accelerate oil production in July and August  PL: PKN/Lotos - Lotos and PKN agreed on a share swap ratio, merger finalization aimed for August (neutral/positive)  RU: Moscow Exchange - May trading volumes 5% up yoy, no statistics on account balances (neutral)

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Hungarian equities down 13.6% in M...

EME Equity Market – May 2022 Market performance – markets down mostly, as MSCI EM Europe Index declines 3.6%. The MSCI EM Europe Index fell 3.6% mom and 2.0% mom in EUR and USD terms, respectively, in May. The best-performing index was the Russian MOEX, which added 6.3% mom in EUR terms, but declined 3.7% mom in local currency. However, we note that, with the CBR ban on short selling and restrictions on international investors, as well various sanctions, this performance is not fully comparable ...

BRE MBANK SA
EUROB EUROBANK ERGASIAS SERVICES & HOLDINGS SA
GARAN TURKIYE GARANTI BANKASI ANONIM SIRKETI
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
EXAE HELLENIC EXCHANGES SA
MOL MOL NYRT
CEZ CEZ AS
PETG PETROL D.D.
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
YKBNK YAPI VE KREDI BANKASI A.S.
PGN POLSKIE GORNICTWO NAFTOWE I GAZOWNICTWO SA
COG COGNOR HOLDING SA
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
ISCTR TURKIYE IS BANKASI ANONIM SIRKETI CLASS C
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
TITK TITAN CEMENT CO. SA
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
BIMAS BIM BIRLESIK MAGAZALAR A.S.
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
DOAS DOGUS OTOMOTIV SERVIS VE TICARET A.S.
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
KTY GRUPA KETY SA
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
MYTIL MYTILINEOS S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
SPI S IMMO AG
AEFES ANADOLU EFES BIRACILIK VE MALT SANAYII A.S.
BRISA BRISA-BRIDGESTONE SABANCI LASTIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
LOGO LOGO YAZILIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
CIE CIECH S.A.
GTC GLOBE TRADE CENTRE S.A.
EEG1T EKSPRESS GRUPP A.S.
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
TENERGY TERNA ENERGY S.A.
AUG1L AGROWILL GROUP AB
ENA ENEA S.A.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
AFLT AEROFLOT RUSSIAN AIRLINES
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
ARCLK ARCELIK A.S.
AYGAZ AYGAZ A.S.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
SISE TURKIYE SISE VE CAM FABRIKALARI A.S.
ULKER ULKER BISKUVI SANAYI A.S.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
ECH ECHO INVESTMENT
FMF FAMUR SA
GSPARK GRAPHISOFT PARK SE
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
POSR POZAVAROVALNICA SAVA
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
DAT DATAWALK SA
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
BANK OF CYPRUS PCL
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
SKK SIRMA GROUP HOLDING JSC
ROSN ROSNEFT OIL CO. SPONSORED GDR REGS
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
KMB KOMERCIJALNA BANKA AD SKOPJE
TRP TERAPLAST
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
BNET BITTNET SYSTEMS
SNP PETROM S.A.
PBK PATRIA BANK SA
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
HMX1R HANSAMATRIX AS
LKODN OIL COMPANY LUKOIL PJSC SPONSORED ADR
OGZD GAZPROM (GDR)
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
COTE CONPET SA
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
SNN SOCIETATEA NATIONALA NUCLEARELECTRICA SA
TEL C.N.T.E.E. TRANSELECTRICA
ELSA SOCIETATEA ENERGETICA ELECTRICA
FP. FONDUL PROPRIETATEA S.A. GDR (REG S)
BVB S.C. BURSA DE VALORI BUCURESTI S.A.
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
TGN SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE TRANSPORT GAZE NATURALE TRANSGAZ S.A.
A4L ALLTERCO AD
19XX NEPI ROCKCASTLE PLC
ALPHA ALPHA BANK
ATAD TATNEFT (GDR)
M MED LIFE
ELPE HELLENIC PETROLEUM
CGEO GEORGIA CAPITAL
IIA IMMOFINANZ AG
SOKM SOK MARKETLER TICARET AS
EAT AMREST HOLDINGS SE
ZB-R-A ZAGREBACKA BURZA DD
SF3 STS GROUP AG
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ADKO ADDIKO BANK
GR6 GRADUS
PEN PHOTON ENERGY NV
KOFOL KOFOLA CESKOSLOVENSKO A.S.
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
INPST INPOST S.A.
PCF PCF GROUP SA
HUGE HUUUGE
ALR ALRO SLATINA
WINE PURCARI WINERIES PCL
4IG 4IG NYRT
IGN1L IGNITIS GRUPE
SHO SHOPER
KCEL KCELL JSC
ONE ONE UNITED PROPERTIES SA

Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 24.05.2022

CZ: CEZ - CEZ not to bid for RWE's storage assets in Czechia, press (neutral) PL: PKO BP - 9% wage hike offered to half of staff (neutral) RU: Polyus - New shareholder may add its representative to the board (neutral) RU: Tatneft - Proposed final DPS revealed weaker than expected payout for 2021 (negative)

Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 23.05.2022

 FTSE Index June review - No changes of index constituents in our Coverage Universe  AT: Strabag - Haselsteiner Foundation proposes share buyback resolution to AGM (positive)  CZ: CEZ - CEZ paid for small Gazprom contract in EUR, rumoured to have opened an account with Gazprombank (neutral)  RU: Moscow Exchange - April trading is 8% yoy down, account balances undisclosed (neutral)  RU: Petropavlovsk - A likely initiation of takeover by UMMC (negative)

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: BGEO LN; TBCG LN; BHW PW; CCOLA TI; TLV RO; AYGAZ TI; MOH ...

HEADLINES: • Georgian banks: game on - banks are cheap (Bank of Georgia upgraded to BUY, TBC Bank Group stays BUY) • Bank Handlowy: posts huge turnaround in profitability in 1Q22 POSITIVE • Coca-Cola Icecek: 1Q22 - better than expected results POSITIVE • Banca Transilvania: 1Q22 results solid and on track to meet FY22E budget • Aygaz: 1Q22 results review - 44% NI beat, driven by Entek and Tupras • Motor Oil Hellas: deal with Ellaktor - strong expansion into RES • Public Power Corporation: i...

Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 05.04.2022

 AT: Andritz - Andritz to supply Metris platform to Forsyning Helsingor in Denmark (neutral)  AT: PORR - Cartel fine legally binding (neutral)  HR: Podravka - DPS of HRK 13 to be paid to shareholders (positive)  RO: Medlife - Medlife bought 100% of Life Med (positive)  RU: Moscow Exchange - March 2022 statistics: account balances grow 4x yoy and 2.5x mom, the currency split undisclosed; total trading up 71% yoy (positive)

Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 31.03.2022

 Oil&Gas: Oil price - A potential announcement of another release of US oil reserves puts pressure on the oil price ahead of today's OPEC meeting  PL: PKN - The 2021 DPS proposal of PLN 3.50 is fully in line with previous guidance and market expectation (neutral)  RU: Fertilisers - Essential goods incl. fertilizers are exempted from any U.S. anti-Russia sanctions (positive)  RU: NLMK - NLMK continues steel supplies to Europe and USA (neutral)  RU: Petropavlovsk - Loan from Gazprombank may ...

Cole Akeson ... (+4)
  • Cole Akeson
  • Dmitry Troshin
  • Georgiy Ivanin
  • Research Team

CIS Market Daily - March 23, 2022

MARKET COMMENT - RSPP PROPOSES STRIPPING MINORITY RIGHTS, EU AND US OFFICIALS CONSIDER MORE SANCTIONS AND EXPELLING RUSSIA FROM THE G20The Russian Union of Industrialists and Entrepreneurs proposed to the government to strip nonresident minority shareholders of their shareholder rights on a temporary basis, according to RBC and other sources. Top EU and US officials remarked that more sanctions would be considered Thursday. Equity trading remains suspended in Russia. STORIES> RSPP proposes to st...

Anton Chernyshev ... (+5)
  • Anton Chernyshev
  • Cole Akeson
  • Dmitry Troshin
  • Georgiy Ivanin
  • Research Team

CIS Market Daily - 23 марта 2022

КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗ - РСПП ПРЕДЛАГАЕТ ВРЕМЕННО ОГРАНИЧИТЬ В ПРАВАХ ИНОСТРАННЫХ МИНОРИТАРИЕВ, ЕС И США РАССМАТРИВАЮТ ВОЗМОЖНОСТЬ ВВЕДЕНИЯ НОВЫХ САНКЦИЙРоссийский союз промышленников и предпринимателей предложил правительству временно ограничить в правах иностранных миноритариев, сообщают РБК и другие источники. ЕС и США рассмотрят в четверг возможность введения новых санкций. Торги акциями на МосБирже по-прежнему не проводятся. НОВОСТИ> Цены на нефть после ралли начали стабилизироваться в предд...

Andrey Gromadin ... (+8)
  • Andrey Gromadin
  • Cole Akeson
  • Dmitry Troshin
  • Ekaterina Usanova
  • Georgiy Ivanin
  • Konstantin Samarin
  • Mikhail Krasnoperov
  • Research Team

CIS Market Daily - March 16, 2022

MARKET COMMENT - POLYMETAL TUMBLES 33% AS FTSE EXCLUSION FURTHERS RUSSIA'S ISOLATION FROM GLOBAL MARKETSMoscow equity trading remains closed by the CBR. Among the only instruments still trading, Polymetal's London listing fell 33%, while FTSE announced the exclusion of the shares from its indexes, eliminating one of the last examples of Russia being included in global markets. STORIES> Oil and gas: Not benefiting much from strong Brent, but gaining from weak ruble> Tatneft: Moderate miss in 4Q2...

Andrey Gromadin ... (+11)
  • Andrey Gromadin
  • Anton Chernyshev
  • Anton Stroutchenevski
  • Artem Vinogradov
  • Cole Akeson
  • Dmitry Troshin
  • Ekaterina Usanova
  • Georgiy Ivanin
  • Konstantin Samarin
  • Mikhail Krasnoperov
  • Research Team

CIS Market Daily - 16 марта 2022

КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗ - АКЦИИ ПОЛИМЕТАЛЛА УПАЛИ В ЦЕНЕ НА 33% ПОСЛЕ ИСКЛЮЧЕНИЯ ИЗ ИНДЕКСОВ FTSEТорги акциями на Московской бирже по-прежнему не проводятся по решению ЦБ РФ. Бумаги Полиметалла с листингом в Лондоне - один из немногих российских инструментов, остававшийся на глобальных рынках, - упали в цене на 33% после того, как FTSE объявила об их исключении из своих индексов. Рубль торгуется около 105-110 за доллар. НОВОСТИ> Цены на нефть под давлением перед публикацией ежемесячного отчета МЭА...

Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 14.03.2022

 AT: Verbund - Press reports on windfall profit politics, special dividend in discussion (neutral)  CEE: Banks - Deutsche Bank and Commerzbank announced withdrawal from Russia (neutral)  CZ: CEZ - Tender for new block at Dukovany nuclear power plant to be launched this week (neutral)  RU: Russia - Stock market to stay frozen another week (neutral)  RU: Russian Steel - EU bans steel import from Russia (negative)  RU: Russian Steel - Government plans to reduce domestic steel prices by restri...

Maureen Schuller ... (+2)
  • Maureen Schuller
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen

Bank Pulse: Closures of European subsidiaries of Russian banks may lea...

Closures of European bank subsidiaries of Russian banks may result in payout events for European Deposit Guarantee Schemes. As these schemes are accrued by local banks, payout events are likely to lead to higher costs for banks in the country

Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 11.03.2022

 AT: Oesterreichische Post - Q4 21 in line, muted outlook wording (neutral)  AT: OMV - Borealis declined the binding offer of EuroChem for the acquisition of its fertilizer business (neutral)  AT: OMV - OMV is considering building a waste sorting plant in Germany (neutral)  CZ: Komercni Banka, Erste Group - Central bank to increase counter-cyclical capital buffer to 2.5% from April 22 (negative)  HR: Hrvatski Telekom - Dividend proposal od HRK 8.00 per share (neutral)  HR: Valamar Riviera ...

Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 10.03.2022

 AT: AGRANA - Update on current situation in Ukraine and Russia (neutral)  AT: Lenzing - FY results below expectations on higher cost inflation, outlook of better EBITDA yoy vague, but in line (neutral)  AT: Lenzing - Lenzing appoints Stephen Sielaff to CEO position (neutral)  AT: Verbund - Verbund acquired 70% in a wind/solar portfolio in Spain (neutral)  PL: AmRest - Temporary suspension of operations in Russia (negative)  PL: Eurocash - Solid Q4 21 preliminary figures with EBITDA 14% ah...

Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 07.03.2022

 AT: OMV - Initiation of a strategic review on its exposure to Russia will trigger a value adjustment of EUR 1.5-1.8 bn in Q1 22 (negative)  AT: Wienerberger - Share buyback of up to 3% (positive)  HU: OTP - Q4 21 conference call notes with focus on RU/UA (neutral)  RU: Moscow Exchange - Q4 21 conference call: Strategy revision should take time, the stock market trading freeze carries on (neutral)  SI: NLB Group - Conference call on Sberbank Slovenia acquisition (positive)

Andrew Keeley ... (+10)
  • Andrew Keeley
  • Andrey Gromadin
  • Anton Stroutchenevski
  • Artem Vinogradov
  • Arthur Cherkesov
  • Cole Akeson
  • Dmitry Troshin
  • Georgiy Ivanin
  • Konstantin Samarin
  • Research Team

CIS Market Daily - March 3, 2022

MARKET COMMENT - GOVERNMENT MULLS BUYING MORE STOCK, MSCI EXPELS RUSSIARussian stocks remained frozen in Moscow and were mostly frozen abroad as well yesterday. The government is mulling tapping more of the NWF to buy Russian stocks. MSCI will expel Russia from global benchmarks, and ratings agencies have cut the market to junk status.STORIES> MSCI expels Russia from global and emerging benchmarks> GDP could decline by 10-15% in 2022> Weekly inflation surges to 0.45% over February 19-25> Basic s...

Andrew Keeley ... (+11)
  • Andrew Keeley
  • Andrey Gromadin
  • Anton Chernyshev
  • Anton Stroutchenevski
  • Artem Vinogradov
  • Arthur Cherkesov
  • Cole Akeson
  • Dmitry Troshin
  • Georgiy Ivanin
  • Konstantin Samarin
  • Research Team

CIS Market Daily - 3 марта 2022

КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗПроизводство в базовых отраслях российской экономики выросло в январе на 1% по сравнению с предыдущим месяцем (с учетом корректировки на сезонную составляющую) после роста на 0,6% в декабре. Динамика улучшилась благодаря оптовой торговли и грузообороту транспорта. В период с 19 по 25 февраля потребительские цены в России выросли на 0,45% против 0,24% неделей ранее. Причинами, судя по всему, стали повышение спроса на непродовольственные товары, а также ослабление рубля, котор...

Andrew Keeley ... (+10)
  • Andrew Keeley
  • Andrey Gromadin
  • Anton Stroutchenevski
  • Artem Vinogradov
  • Arthur Cherkesov
  • Cole Akeson
  • Dmitry Troshin
  • Georgiy Ivanin
  • Konstantin Samarin
  • Research Team

CIS Market Daily - March 2, 2022

MARKET COMMENT - RDX DOWN MORE THAN IN 1998, MSCI RUSSIA THE MOST SINCE 2008 AS MOSCOW TRADING REMAINS CLOSEDWhile Moscow stock trading remains closed, offshore and composite indexes dropped another 6-57%. The RDX offshore DR index has now fallen 91% since its October decade-long peak, a fall sharper than that of 1998 or 2008. The government announced plans to support the market with share purchases, while capital restrictions and supply shocks have also been in the news.STORIES> Government mull...

Andrew Keeley ... (+11)
  • Andrew Keeley
  • Andrey Gromadin
  • Anton Chernyshev
  • Anton Stroutchenevski
  • Artem Vinogradov
  • Arthur Cherkesov
  • Cole Akeson
  • Dmitry Troshin
  • Georgiy Ivanin
  • Konstantin Samarin
  • Research Team

CIS Market Daily - 2 марта 2022

КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗСегодня утром котировки Брент выросли до $111/барр., и, вероятно, поднимутся еще выше, хотя МЭА объявило, что страны ОЭСР скоординированно выведут на рынок 60 млн барр. нефти из своих стратегических резервов. После объявлений ВР и Equinor, сделанных ранее на этой неделе, еще несколько крупных международных нефтяных компаний сообщили о решении продать свой бизнес в России или выразили серьезную обеспокоенность сложившейся ситуацией.НОВОСТИ> Нехватка предложения начала сказыва...

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