AT: Flughafen Wien - Significant hike of FY 22 guidance (positive) AT: IMMOFINANZ - Starting share buyback programme for up to 1% of share capital (positive) AT: STRABAG - Resignation of Peter Krammer became effective as of June 12 (neutral) RO: Medlife - Medlife opens a new clinic in Targu Mures, and expands its regional presence through two acquisitions (positive) RU: Transneft, RusHydro - Government decree provides for RUB 23.3 bn in 2021 dividends from RusHydro and RUB 76 bn from T...
EME Equity Market – May 2022 Market performance – markets down mostly, as MSCI EM Europe Index declines 3.6%. The MSCI EM Europe Index fell 3.6% mom and 2.0% mom in EUR and USD terms, respectively, in May. The best-performing index was the Russian MOEX, which added 6.3% mom in EUR terms, but declined 3.7% mom in local currency. However, we note that, with the CBR ban on short selling and restrictions on international investors, as well various sanctions, this performance is not fully comparable ...
AT: Verbund - Soaring Q1 results, but only in line adjusted for hedging, lower end of guidance range lifted as expected (neutral) AT: Wienerberger - Q1 results confirmed strong trading statement a month ago, confident wording on Q2 trading conditions, FY EBITDA guidance again reiterated (neutral) CEE: Banks - UniCredit in talks to sell Russia DE: Encavis - Final Q1 22 results in line with very strong preliminaries, FY 22 guidance confirmed (neutral) HU: Magyar Telekom - Upbeat Q1 22 p...
HEADLINES: • Georgian banks: game on - banks are cheap (Bank of Georgia upgraded to BUY, TBC Bank Group stays BUY) • Bank Handlowy: posts huge turnaround in profitability in 1Q22 POSITIVE • Coca-Cola Icecek: 1Q22 - better than expected results POSITIVE • Banca Transilvania: 1Q22 results solid and on track to meet FY22E budget • Aygaz: 1Q22 results review - 44% NI beat, driven by Entek and Tupras • Motor Oil Hellas: deal with Ellaktor - strong expansion into RES • Public Power Corporation: i...
MARKET COMMENT - RSPP PROPOSES STRIPPING MINORITY RIGHTS, EU AND US OFFICIALS CONSIDER MORE SANCTIONS AND EXPELLING RUSSIA FROM THE G20The Russian Union of Industrialists and Entrepreneurs proposed to the government to strip nonresident minority shareholders of their shareholder rights on a temporary basis, according to RBC and other sources. Top EU and US officials remarked that more sanctions would be considered Thursday. Equity trading remains suspended in Russia. STORIES> RSPP proposes to st...
КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗ - РСПП ПРЕДЛАГАЕТ ВРЕМЕННО ОГРАНИЧИТЬ В ПРАВАХ ИНОСТРАННЫХ МИНОРИТАРИЕВ, ЕС И США РАССМАТРИВАЮТ ВОЗМОЖНОСТЬ ВВЕДЕНИЯ НОВЫХ САНКЦИЙРоссийский союз промышленников и предпринимателей предложил правительству временно ограничить в правах иностранных миноритариев, сообщают РБК и другие источники. ЕС и США рассмотрят в четверг возможность введения новых санкций. Торги акциями на МосБирже по-прежнему не проводятся. НОВОСТИ> Цены на нефть после ралли начали стабилизироваться в предд...
The independent financial analyst theScreener just lowered the general evaluation of UNIPRO JSC (RU), active in the Conventional Electricity industry. As regards its fundamental valuation, the title now shows 0 out of 4 stars while market behaviour can be considered defensive. theScreener believes that the title remains under pressure due to the loss of a star(s) and downgrades its general evaluation to Neutral. As of the analysis date March 11, 2022, the closing price was USD 0.01 and its targe...
AT: Addiko Bank - Low Q4 21 profits above expectations, strong CET1 but no dividends, moderate nominal exposure to RU/UA/BY (neutral) AT: UNIQA - S&P confirms A rating, revises outlook to negative (neutral) CEE: Banks - UniCredit indicates negative impact from Russia at 200 bps in an extreme scenario CZ: CTP - FY 21 valuation result of EUR 1.1 bn drives earnings beat (positive) EU: Utilities - EU proposed to publish plans on how to reduce dependence on Russian gas by two thirds befor...
MARKET COMMENT - GOVERNMENT MULLS BUYING MORE STOCK, MSCI EXPELS RUSSIARussian stocks remained frozen in Moscow and were mostly frozen abroad as well yesterday. The government is mulling tapping more of the NWF to buy Russian stocks. MSCI will expel Russia from global benchmarks, and ratings agencies have cut the market to junk status.STORIES> MSCI expels Russia from global and emerging benchmarks> GDP could decline by 10-15% in 2022> Weekly inflation surges to 0.45% over February 19-25> Basic s...
КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗПроизводство в базовых отраслях российской экономики выросло в январе на 1% по сравнению с предыдущим месяцем (с учетом корректировки на сезонную составляющую) после роста на 0,6% в декабре. Динамика улучшилась благодаря оптовой торговли и грузообороту транспорта. В период с 19 по 25 февраля потребительские цены в России выросли на 0,45% против 0,24% неделей ранее. Причинами, судя по всему, стали повышение спроса на непродовольственные товары, а также ослабление рубля, котор...
MARKET COMMENT - RDX DOWN MORE THAN IN 1998, MSCI RUSSIA THE MOST SINCE 2008 AS MOSCOW TRADING REMAINS CLOSEDWhile Moscow stock trading remains closed, offshore and composite indexes dropped another 6-57%. The RDX offshore DR index has now fallen 91% since its October decade-long peak, a fall sharper than that of 1998 or 2008. The government announced plans to support the market with share purchases, while capital restrictions and supply shocks have also been in the news.STORIES> Government mull...
КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗСегодня утром котировки Брент выросли до $111/барр., и, вероятно, поднимутся еще выше, хотя МЭА объявило, что страны ОЭСР скоординированно выведут на рынок 60 млн барр. нефти из своих стратегических резервов. После объявлений ВР и Equinor, сделанных ранее на этой неделе, еще несколько крупных международных нефтяных компаний сообщили о решении продать свой бизнес в России или выразили серьезную обеспокоенность сложившейся ситуацией.НОВОСТИ> Нехватка предложения начала сказыва...
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has led to unprecedented dislocations of capital and resources, on top of human tragedies. The sanctions imposed, by the world’s key nations, on Russia, its politicians, institutions, companies and businessmen, as well as the counter-measures introduced by the Russian government, are wide-ranging and continue to be imposed on a daily basis. The most severe sanctions are related to the freezing of the CBR’s FX reserves, as well as the freezing of non-residents’ assets...
MARKET COMMENT - NONRESIDENT SECURITY SALES FROZEN; POSSIBLE RUSSIA-UKRAINE NEGOTIATIONS IN FOCUSThe RTS finished the week with a 33% decline to 937 and valuations at levels not seen since 2008 or earlier. This morning, the CBR froze security sales for nonresidents and delayed the opening of stock trading until at least 13:00 Moscow time. Negotiations scheduled between Russia, Ukraine and Belarus are the obvious focal point for markets, as well as any other news flow on market restrictions or sa...
КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗ - ЗАПРЕТ ДЛЯ НЕРЕЗИДЕНТОВ НА ПРОДАЖУ РОССИЙСКИХ ЦЕННЫХ БУМАГ; В ЦЕНТРЕ ВНИМАНИЯ ПЕРЕГОВОРЫ МЕЖДУ УКРАИНОЙ И РОССИЕЙИндекс РТС по итогам прошлой недели упал на 33% до 937 пунктов, рыночные оценки достигли уровней, которые не наблюдались как минимум с 2008 года. Сегодня утром Банк России ввел запрет для нерезидентов на продажу российских ценных бумаг и отложил начало торгов на рынке акций до 15:00 мск. В центре внимания сейчас, конечно, переговоры между Россией и Украиной, а ...
HEADLINES: • EME Macro/Strategy: forecasts guidance update • Erste Bank: very solid 4Q21, issues optimistic 2022E guidance and recommends 2021 DPS of EUR 1.6 • LiveChat Software: 3Q21-22 (calendar 4Q21) results - EBITDA up 15% yoy, 6% below the consensus NEGATIVE • Electrica: 4Q21 results review - deep losses reported NEGATIVE • Bittnet Systems: 4Q21 results review - 71% yoy EBITDA drop, 81% below our estimate NEGATIVE • AD Plastik: 4Q21 review - weaker than expected, and outlook uncertain NEG...
HEADLINES: • MOL: prices, pumps, and polyol (upgraded to BUY) • TeraPlast: waiting for demand to boost margins (stays HOLD) • EME Macro/Strategy: forecasts revision guidance • Hellenic Petroleum: 4Q21 results - big beat on net income; EUR 0.4 dividend • MedLife: 4Q21 earnings miss on third-party costs and drug distribution NEGATIVE • Transgaz: 4Q21 results - better than expected on higher financial gains • Alro: 4Q21 results - better-than-expected net profit • Conpet: 4Q21 results - close ...
MARKET COMMENT - MILITARY CONFLICT WITH UKRAINE ERUPTS; RUBLE AND FUTURES DOWN MORE THAN 9%Russia entered a military conflict with Ukraine overnight. Prior to the Moscow Exchange halting trading, RTS futures were down more than 9%, with the median stock having fallen 19%. The ruble has declined more than 9% in interbank trading to its weakest level since 1998. The European Council and G7 are to hold emergency summits today, and US President Joe Biden has promised "severe sanctions." STORIES> Rus...
КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗ - ВОЕННЫЙ КОНФЛИКТ В ДОНБАССЕ; КУРС РУБЛЯ И КОТИРОВКИ ФЬЮЧЕРСОВ ТЕРЯЮТ БОЛЕЕ 9%Россия начала специальную военную операцию в Донбассе. До приостановки торгов на Московской бирже индекс РТС успел потерять более 9%, а медианная цена акций опустилась на 19%. Курс рубля снизился более чем на 9%. Европейский совет и страны "большой семерки" проведут сегодня экстренные саммиты, а президент США Джо Байден пообещал "жесткие санкции". НОВОСТИ> На прошлой неделе потребительские цены в...
EBITDA growth above expectations supported by Berezovskaya Unit 3 and market fundamentals Dividend guidance reiterated (16% DY expected in 2022-24e) The Berezovskaya sale is not in the companys plans, yet the interest in renewables remains We treat the results as moderately positive
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