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Krisztian Karikas
  • Krisztian Karikas

Stronger than ever!

Magyar Telekom has reported a very strong Q1 2024 results, beating the consensusestimates on all lines. Group revenues increased by 14.5% YoY in Q1/24 andslightly decreased by 2.2% QoQ, driven by continuous demand for mobile data andfixed broadband services on the back of inflation-based fee adjustments. 

Mihaly Gajda
  • Mihaly Gajda

Romgaz delivers solid Q1 2024 results

Key Message Romgaz reported a solid quarter with RON 1581 mn EBITDA, down 16% YoY andup 43.8% QoQ. The company was able to improve QoQ profitability despite significantly lower gas prices, primarily due to a substantial reduction in windfall taxes from RON 477 mn to RON 77 mn from Q1 2023 to Q1 2024. Other parametersremained relatively stable. 

Szabolcs Pal
  • Szabolcs Pal

Surprising Q1 on revenues, lower provisioning

BT’s reported net income came to RON 1,132 mln in the first quarter, up by35% and 63% y-o-y and q-o-q, respectively. Better results stemmed fromlower provisioning, higher revenues and a solid bargain gain from theacquisition of the BCR Chișinău S.A. Net interest income went up by 9% q-o-q and 24% y-o-y as a result of higherlending flows and higher NIM while net fees also increased thanks to strongclient activity. Net trading was also better after a weak Q4 due to higher incomefrom derivatives....

Egor Fedorov ... (+2)
  • Egor Fedorov
  • James Wilson

EM Credit Spark/EM credit weekly

After some relief for markets on the data front this week, a period of quiet in terms of macro news should offer a further window for new supply to come from EM issuers ahead of an expected summer lull. Spread levels remain well anchored and EM credit should continue to see robust demand from yield-seeking investors.

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: CGEO LN; ELPE GA; GPW PW; BOCH CY; ALPHA GA; EUROB GA; BFT...

HEADLINES: • Georgia Capital: announces two new buyback programmes POSITIVE • HELLENiQ Energy: 1Q24 results – mildly above expectations POSITIVE • Warsaw Stock Exchange: bottom-line miss and further margin compression in the 1Q24 results NEGATIVE • Bank of Cyprus: 1Q24 highlights POSITIVE • Alpha Services and Holdings: 1Q24 highlights – trading-related beat, but NIM and fees evolve better than expected • Eurobank Ergasias Services: 1Q24 highlights – helped by trading income, but good quarter ove...

Miguel Dias
  • Miguel Dias

WOOD Flash – Banca Transilvania: NIM resilience and strong loan book e...

Overall, we see the bank’s 1Q24 results as positive. Despite the core pre-provision profit coming in largely in line with our expectations, we view the resilience of the NIM and the strong loan book expansion as constructive. The bargain gain was a positive surprise and, together with the very low COR, provided most of the c.27% bottom-line beat vs. our expectations.

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: BFT PW; MTELEKOM HB; PBK RO; GEV CP; MBR PW; DAT PW; IGN1L...

HEADLINES: • Benefit Systems: strong 1Q24, but May card base estimate disappoints POSITIVE • Magyar Telekom: 1Q24E results review – EBITDA up 46% yoy, 6% above the consensus; 2024E guidance upgraded POSITIVE • Patria Bank: strong bottom-line print in 1Q24, but loan book development remains absent POSITIVE • GEVORKYAN: 1Q24 EBITDA up 24% yoy, 17% above our estimate POSITIVE • Mo-BRUK: 1Q24 EBITDA 5% above our forecast, 6% miss vs. the consensus NEUTRAL • DataWalk: 1Q24 numbers fully in line with ...

Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

Digi Q1 24: Solid results, Portugal launch pushed to H2 24

Digi has reported a solid set of Q1 numbers vs expectations: Both SR and EBITDA growth rates are slower, but remain impressive. A launch in Portugal has been pushed back to H2 (same timing as for Belgium) and no further details were given on the launch particulars. We remain unconvinced that Digi can build NPV positive businesses in either market, but we think it will launch in both, with all the associated costs– indeed, Digi upped capex guidance for 2024 to €650m-€700m from €650m. This drag to...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: INPST NA; GSPARK HB; SFG RO; H2O RO; DIGI RO; AROBS RO; PG...

HEADLINES: • InPost: strong 1Q24, as expected; FY24E guidance maintained; slight volume deceleration in 2Q24 so far POSITIVE • Graphisoft Park: 1Q24 – occupancy and results stable so far; guidance maintained POSITIVE • Sphera Group: 1Q24 above our expectations POSITIVE • Hidroelectrica: 1Q24 – lower power prices offset by no tax on producers NEGATIVE • DIGI Communications: 1Q24 results – adjusted EBITDA up 22% yoy, 6% above our estimate POSITIVE • AROBS Transilvania Software: weak 1Q24 results, ...

Jakub Caithaml
  • Jakub Caithaml

WOOD Flash – Graphisoft Park: 1Q24 – occupancy and results stable so f...

Graphisoft Park has published a stable set of 1Q24 results, but maintained its guidance, noting the lower occupancy and higher costs, weighing on the FFO in 2024E. In the last 12 months, the company has generated FFO of EUR 15m, which represents a 16-17% FFO yield on its market cap of less than EUR 100m. We maintain our view that Graphisoft Park remains one of the most obviously under-valued real estate companies in CEE, for the earnings that it offers. The company announced that it is looking i...

Tekfen Holding A.S.: 2 directors

Two Directors at Tekfen Holding A.S. bought/maiden bought 54,000 shares at between 51.600TRY and 52.500TRY. The significance rating of the trade was 54/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: CEZ CP; EUR PW; BIMAS TI; RICHT HB; ARABIAND AB; CE4/GR Ma...

HEADLINES: • CEZ: 1Q24 – strong beat on supply and generation POSITIVE • Eurocash: weak 1Q24 across the board NEGATIVE • BIM: 4Q23 results – strong beat POSITIVE • Richter: 1Q24 operations in line, net beat on FX revaluation NEUTRAL • Arabian Drilling: 1Q24 interim results – net income below expectations NEUTRAL • CE4/Greece macro: the consumption recovery – pivoting from necessities to discretionary • Türkiye macro: our takes from our Symposium; a focus on Coca-Cola Icecek, Tupras, and Aselsan ...

Alessio Chiesa ... (+3)
  • Alessio Chiesa
  • Atinc Ozkan
  • Can Yurtcan

WOOD Flash – Türkiye macro: our takes from our Symposium; a focus on C...

Last week, WOOD held its second annual symposium in Istanbul (hosting the C-level management of 12 BIST-listed bluechips), which was highly appreciated by both investors and corporates. Overall, sentiment was consistent with our recent pre-elections trip report (followed by our report concerning the elections). The transition towards a more orthodox macroeconomic framework appears both credible and convincing, in terms of the measures implemented, in our view. In the paragraphs below, we focus o...

ING Bank Śląski S.A.: 1 director

A director at ING Bank Śląski S.A. sold 937 shares at 302.500PLN and the significance rating of the trade was 55/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clea...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: TLV RO; ADNOCDRI UH; OTKAR TI; TBCG LN; ELM AB; ISCTR TI; ...

HEADLINES: • Banca Transilvania: NIM resilience and strong loan book expansion the key positives of 1Q24 bottom-line beat, on non-recurring revenue, low provisions and a one-off POSITIVE • ADNOC Drilling: 1Q24 results – new venture and updated dividend policy POSITIVE • Otokar: lacklustre 1Q24 results, but strong backlog NEGATIVE • TBC Bank: 1Q24 results and conference call NEUTRAL • Elm: mixed 1Q24 financial results NEGATIVE • Isbank: 1Q24 highlights – margin pressure worsening • Polish banks: ...

Research Team
  • Research Team
BRE MBANK SA
MOL MOL NYRT ... (+15)

WOOD Daily: MBK PW; OTP HB; MIL PW; CCC PW; DNP PW; EAT PW; MOL HB; M ...

HEADLINES: • mBank: solid 1Q24 results justify one of the top market valuations (1Q24 P/BV of 2.1x) POSITIVE • OTP Bank: books solid 1Q24, keeps 2024E guidance unchanged NEUTRAL • Bank Millennium: 1Q24 results in line • CCC: 40% EBITDA beat in 1Q24, on opex control POSITIVE • Dino: 2-7% EBITDA miss in 1Q24 NEGATIVE • AmRest: 1Q24 broadly in line with our forecasts, but below the consensus NEGATIVE • MOL: 1Q24 results – EBITDA below expectations on maintenance NEUTRAL • MedLife: 1Q24 results poin...

Egor Fedorov ... (+4)
  • Egor Fedorov
  • James Wilson
  • Oleksiy Soroka
  • CFA

EM Credit Spark/EM credit weekly

Some signs of cooling economic data out of the US, and the start of DM rate-cutting cycles has offered some optimism for EM assets, with the grind tighter in credit spreads continuing as seen for much of this year. We expect the benign environment to offer further opportunities for new issuance, while spread levels look fairly tight.

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: PKO PW; KRU PW; BHW PW; NLBR SV; PGSUS TI; ADNOCDIS UH; CT...

HEADLINES: • PKO BP: strong 1Q24, with 9% beat, but big part due to lower quarterly tax charge POSITIVE • Kruk: 1Q24 results in line with earlier communication; strong trend continues, but digested by the market already NEUTRAL • Bank Handlowy: books neutral 1Q24, questions on future capital management NEUTRAL • NLB Group: guidance upgrade spices up vanilla 1Q24 bottom-line beat POSITIVE • Pegasus Airlines: 1Q24 in line, guidance for mild margin compression and 10-12% ASK growth maintained NEUTR...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: BDX PW; EU Oil & Gas Monthly; BHW PW; PKO PW; MIL PW; CAR ...

HEADLINES: • Budimex: 1Q24 EBIT 13% above our forecast on solid gross margin, but broadly in line with the consensus POSITIVE • European oil and gas monthly: April 2024 – margins retreating • Bank Handlowy: to pay PLN 10/share dividend NEUTRAL • PKO BP: estimates cost of credit holidays extension at PLN 489m NEUTRAL • Bank Millennium: expects a PLN 201-247m impact from the 2024E credit holidays extension for PLN mortgagors NEUTRAL • Inter Cars: April sales recover by 19.5% yoy POSITIVE • MOL: 1Q...

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