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Alexey Kirichok ... (+15)
  • Alexey Kirichok
  • Andrew Keeley
  • Andrey Gromadin
  • Andrey Kuznetsov
  • Anna Kotelnikova
  • Anton Stroutchenevski
  • Artem Vinogradov
  • Cole Akeson
  • Fedor Kornachev
  • Irina Lapshina
  • Kirill Rogachev
  • Research Team
  • Rodion Lomivorotov
  • Vladimir Lezhnev
  • Yuri Popov
TGKA TGK-1
BANE BASHNEFT ... (+8)

CIS Market Daily - 18 мая 2020

КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗВ пятницу Роснефть опубликовала результаты за 1К20, оказавшиеся в целом на уровне прогнозов, и провела телефонную конференцию. Федеральный бюджет РФ в апреле остался профицитным благодаря поступлениям от сделки по Сбербанку.НОВОСТИ> Отток капитала из...

Alexey Kirichok ... (+16)
  • Alexey Kirichok
  • Andrew Keeley
  • Andrey Gromadin
  • Andrey Krylov
  • Andrey Kuznetsov
  • Anna Kotelnikova
  • Anton Stroutchenevski
  • Artem Vinogradov
  • Fedor Kornachev
  • Irina Lapshina
  • Kirill Rogachev
  • Mikhail Krasnoperov
  • Research Team
  • Rodion Lomivorotov
  • Vladimir Lezhnev
  • Yuri Popov
TGKA TGK-1
BANE BASHNEFT ... (+8)

CIS Market Daily - May 18, 2020

MARKET COMMENTGlobal markets were a mixed picture on Friday. In Russia, Rosneft reported 1Q20 results that were generally in line, while revenues from the Sberbank deal kept the budget in surplus in April.STORIES> Current account and trade balances remained positive in April> Revenues from Sberbank deal help keep budget in surplus in April> Ruble supported in May as old FX sales mechanism likely brought back> Rosneft 1Q20: Generally in line, though FX losses larger than forecast> Rosneft 1Q20 IF...

Aleksey Ryabushko ... (+12)
  • Aleksey Ryabushko
  • Alexey Kirichok
  • Andrey Gromadin
  • Andrey Kuznetsov
  • Anna Kotelnikova
  • Anton Stroutchenevski
  • Artem Vinogradov
  • Cole Akeson
  • Fedor Kornachev
  • Irina Lapshina
  • Mikhail Krasnoperov
  • Rodion Lomivorotov

CIS Market Daily - August 22, 2019

MARKET COMMENT - WEAKER OIL, JACKSON HOLE, ECB, PMIS, ITALIAN POLITICS ON TODAY'S AGENDAThe RTS climbed 1.2% yesterday to 1,280, continuing to bounce back from a recent underperformance versus peers. Both the MSCI EM and World (DM) ended the day in positive territory. The Fed minutes revealed no distinct plans for a new easing cycle, while today much global market focus will be on the start of the Jackson Hole symposium, ECB minutes, flash PMIs, and the ongoing collapse of the Italian government...

Alexey Kirichok ... (+11)
  • Alexey Kirichok
  • Andrey Gromadin
  • Andrey Krylov
  • Andrey Kuznetsov
  • Anna Kotelnikova
  • Anton Stroutchenevski
  • Artem Vinogradov
  • Cole Akeson
  • Irina Lapshina
  • Mikhail Krasnoperov
  • Rodion Lomivorotov

CIS Market Daily - 22 августа 2019

КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗ - СЕГОДНЯ В ЦЕНТРЕ ВНИМАНИЯ СНИЖЕНИЕ ЦЕН НА НЕФТЬ, СИМПОЗИУМ В ДЖЕКСОН-ХОУЛ, ПРОТОКОЛ ЗАСЕДАНИЯ ЕЦБ, ИНДЕКСЫ PMI И ПОЛИТИЧЕСКАЯ СИТУАЦИЯ В ИТАЛИИИндекс РТС вчера поднялся на 1,2% до 1 280 пунктов, продолжая отыгрывать отставание от аналогов в последние дни. ...

Andrey Kuznetsov ... (+2)
  • Andrey Kuznetsov
  • Cole Akeson

Sberbank CIB Trade Ideas - June 19, 2019

Eight of the 11 trade ideas we have published so far have delivered positive results since inception. In this edition, we add one idea, close two and leave five open.

Aleksey Ryabushko ... (+14)
  • Aleksey Ryabushko
  • Alexey Kirichok
  • Andrey Gromadin
  • Andrey Kuznetsov
  • Anna Kotelnikova
  • Anton Stroutchenevski
  • Artem Vinogradov
  • Cole Akeson
  • Fedor Kornachev
  • Irina Lapshina
  • Mikhail Krasnoperov
  • Oksana Mustiatsa
  • Rodion Lomivorotov
  • Svetlana Sukhanova

CIS Market Daily - May 17, 2019

MARKET COMMENT - RUSSIA AT TOP OF EMS YESTERDAY; OIL AND CHINA IN RETREAT TODAYThe RTS gained 1.1% yesterday to 1,261, and Russia easily led EMs. Lukoil (+4.1%) helped drive the index higher, while outside the index QIWI surged 17%. Tatneft and Novatek will swap spots in the MSCI Russia 10-40. Oil and Chinese markets are in retreat today as the winds shift in political rhetoric, which suggests some consolidation on Russia's open.STORIES> EMs see larger outflow amid heightened trade rhetoric> Rus...

Aleksey Ryabushko ... (+15)
  • Aleksey Ryabushko
  • Alexey Kirichok
  • Andrey Gromadin
  • Andrey Krylov
  • Andrey Kuznetsov
  • Anna Kotelnikova
  • Anton Stroutchenevski
  • Artem Vinogradov
  • Cole Akeson
  • Fedor Kornachev
  • Irina Lapshina
  • Mikhail Krasnoperov
  • Oksana Mustiatsa
  • Rodion Lomivorotov
  • Svetlana Sukhanova

CIS Market Daily - 17 мая 2019

КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗ - РОССИЯ ЛИДИРУЕТ СРЕДИ РАЗВИВАЮЩИХСЯ РЫНКОВ; НЕФТЬ ДЕШЕВЕЕТ, РЫНОК КИТАЯ СЕГОДНЯ ОТСТУПАЕТИндекс РТС вчера вырос на 1,1% до 1 261 пункта, Россия легко обошла остальные развивающиеся рынки. Этому способствовал рост котировок ЛУКойла до 4,1%. Вне расчетной Ð...

Alexey Kirichok ... (+9)
  • Alexey Kirichok
  • Andrey Gromadin
  • Andrey Kuznetsov
  • Anna Kotelnikova
  • Anton Stroutchenevski
  • Artem Vinogradov
  • Cole Akeson
  • Irina Lapshina
  • Rodion Lomivorotov

CIS Market Daily - May 7, 2019

MARKET COMMENT - US/CHINA WORRIES WEIGH ON MARKETS, BUT RUSSIA BETTER OFF THAN MOSTMarkets retreated globally yesterday after doubts emerged that the US and China are close to a new trade deal, as had been claimed by both sides for months. The MSCI EM tumbled 1.9%, with China the worst performer with a drop of 3.4% in MSCI terms. Russia was nearly the best EM performer with a 0.2% decline on major indexes, in part thanks to rising oil prices on Middle Eastern supply concerns. Markets remain weak...

Alexey Kirichok ... (+9)
  • Alexey Kirichok
  • Andrey Gromadin
  • Andrey Kuznetsov
  • Anna Kotelnikova
  • Anton Stroutchenevski
  • Artem Vinogradov
  • Cole Akeson
  • Irina Lapshina
  • Rodion Lomivorotov

CIS Market Daily - 7 мая 2019

КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗ - СИТУАЦИЯ ВОКРУГ США И КНР ВЫЗЫВАЕТ ПЕССИМИЗМ НА РЫНКАХ, РОССИЯ ВЫГЛЯДИТ ЛУЧШЕ БОЛЬШИНСТВА АНАЛОГОВВчера глобальные рынки упали из-за опасений, что США и Китай не так близки к договоренности по внешней торговле, как утверждалось ранее. Индекс MSCI EM упÐ...

Andrey Gromadin ... (+2)
  • Andrey Gromadin
  • Anna Kotelnikova

Russian Oil and Gas. April 2019 - 1Q19 Earnings Season Early Birds

Novatek and Rosneft are set to kick off 1Q19 earnings season in the Russian oil and gas sector. We expect slightly stronger FCF generation for Rosneft and positive one-offs for Novatek. Despite weaker headline oil prices, upstream profitability should be stronger as export duties fell more than the crude price did (the so-called lag effect), with the export crude oil price less base taxes increasing by 13% Q-o-Q. In addition, the cost base was seasonally lower. In the oil sector in particular, F...

Aleksey Ryabushko ... (+19)
  • Aleksey Ryabushko
  • Alexey Kirichok
  • Andrew Keeley
  • Andrey Gromadin
  • Andrey Krylov
  • Andrey Kuznetsov
  • Anna Kotelnikova
  • Anton Stroutchenevski
  • Artem Vinogradov
  • Cole Akeson
  • Fedor Kornachev
  • Irina Lapshina
  • Kirill Rogachev
  • Mikhail Krasnoperov
  • Nikolay Minko
  • Oksana Mustiatsa
  • Rodion Lomivorotov
  • Svetlana Sukhanova
  • Yuri Popov

CIS Market Daily - 15 марта 2019

КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗ - ГЛОБАЛЬНАЯ КОНСОЛИДАЦИЯ, BREXIT И ВСТРЕЧА ВЛАДИМИРА ПУТИНА С БИЗНЕСМЕНАМИИндекс РТС вчера отступил на 0,6% до 1 182 пунктов, MSCI EM просел на 0,2%. В отсутствие новых значимых факторов на рынках наблюдалась фиксация прибыли. Темами дня в новостях стали встреча ...

Andrey Gromadin ... (+7)
  • Andrey Gromadin
  • Andrey Kuznetsov
  • Anna Kotelnikova
  • Cole Akeson
  • Nikolay Minko
  • Oksana Mustiatsa
  • Svetlana Sukhanova

CIS Market Daily - February 11, 2019

MARKET COMMENT - MTS SLUMPS ON FRIDAY; MSCI, SANCTIONS, US/CHINA, BREXIT ON AGENDARussia slightly outperformed on a globally flattish Friday, except for a more than 8% decline in the MTS ADR. US/China news flow was mixed over the weekend and will likely remain a major topic for global markets today. Other items on this week's agenda include MSCI's rebalancing, a US hearing on sanctions and the threat of another government shutdown, another Brexit plan for the UK Parliament, and more that we deta...

Andrey Gromadin ... (+2)
  • Andrey Gromadin
  • Anna Kotelnikova

Russian Oil and Gas. February 2019 - Scoping Out Cash Flows Through th...

Russia's oil sector is in the midst of another - supposedly final - tax maneuver. The export duty is gradually being phased out, while excess profit taxation (EPT) is on the way in. Getting one's head around the complicated and oft-changing taxation of Russia's oil sector can be a daunting task, but understanding the intricacies can improve visibility on the sector's cash flows. Despite the oil price correction in 2H18 and ongoing changes to taxation, we believe the financial outlook for the oil...

Alexey Kirichok ... (+10)
  • Alexey Kirichok
  • Andrew Keeley
  • Andrey Kuznetsov
  • Anton Stroutchenevski
  • Artem Vinogradov
  • Cole Akeson
  • Irina Lapshina
  • Kirill Rogachev
  • Mikhail Krasnoperov
  • Rodion Lomivorotov

CIS Market Daily - November 7, 2018

MARKET COMMENT - RUSSIA OUTPACES PEERS YESTERDAY; US RESULTS COMING OUT AS EXPECTEDAfter Monday's holiday, yesterday assets traded in Moscow had a chance to catch up with the positive trend, leading the RTS to gain a solid 1.4% to 1,151. Russia's 1.3% gain in MSCI terms put it at the top of the more liquid EMs, while the MSCI EM ended the day flat. US developments so far have come out as expected. This morning, APAC markets look constructive, while we expect a flat open for the RTS.STORIES> US a...

Alexey Kirichok ... (+12)
  • Alexey Kirichok
  • Andrew Keeley
  • Andrey Krylov
  • Andrey Kuznetsov
  • Anna Kotelnikova
  • Anton Stroutchenevski
  • Artem Vinogradov
  • Cole Akeson
  • Irina Lapshina
  • Kirill Rogachev
  • Mikhail Krasnoperov
  • Rodion Lomivorotov

CIS Market Daily - 7 ноября 2018

КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗ - РОССИЯ ВЧЕРА ОПЕРЕДИЛА АНАЛОГИ; РЕЗУЛЬТАТЫ ВЫБОРОВ В США СООТВЕТСТВОВАЛИ ОЖИДАНИЯМВ понедельник в России был выходной день, а на глобальных рынках наметился позитивный тренд, и во вторник российский рынок стал его догонять: индекс РТС по итогам дня...

Anna Kotelnikova
  • Anna Kotelnikova

Башнефть - Динамика оборотного капитаÐ...

Во вторник, 7 августа, Башнефть опубликовала отчетность за 2К18 по МСФО.

Aleksey Ryabushko ... (+5)
  • Aleksey Ryabushko
  • Andrew Keeley
  • Andrey Kuznetsov
  • Fedor Kornachev
  • Irina Lapshina

CIS Market Daily - August 8, 2018

MARKET COMMENTThe RTS index gained amid a positive global backdrop and corporate news flow. Rosneft's strong 2Q numbers drove stocks across the sector higher.

Aleksey Ryabushko ... (+5)
  • Aleksey Ryabushko
  • Andrew Keeley
  • Andrey Kuznetsov
  • Fedor Kornachev
  • Irina Lapshina

CIS Market Daily - 8 августа 2018

НОВОСТИ> На глобальных рынках преобладает позитивный настрой > Роснефть: хороший свободный денежный поток, дальнейшее сокращение долга> Башнефть: динамика оборотного капитала за 2К18 обнадеживает> AЛРОСА: утверждена новая дивидендная политика, рекомендованы щедрые дивидеÐ...

Anna Kotelnikova
  • Anna Kotelnikova

Нефть и газ - Добыча нефти в России верÐ...

Агентство Reuters представило данные ЦДУ ТЭК по добыче нефти и конденсата в России за июль.

Aleksey Ryabushko ... (+11)
  • Aleksey Ryabushko
  • Andrew Keeley
  • Andrey Kuznetsov
  • Anton Stroutchenevski
  • Artem Vinogradov
  • Cole Akeson
  • Fedor Kornachev
  • Maria Sukhanova
  • Rodion Lomivorotov
  • Sergei Konygin
  • Svetlana Sukhanova

CIS Market Daily - August 2, 2018

MARKET COMMENTThe RTS underperformed peers yesterday, dropping 1.1% to 1,160 versus 0.1% and 0.2% declines for the MSCI EM and World (DM) indexes. Weakness in the ruble appeared to be a key factor. The Fed meeting came out largely as expected, with the US central bank noting the "strong" economy and, in our view, setting the stage for a hike in September. This morning, APAC markets are under heavy pressure, and, combined with weakness yesterday and today in oil prices, we expect a slightly lower...

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