reports
- Jin Yoon
JD 4Q25 Results: Food Delivery Investments to Further Decline in 2026
What’s new: JD’s reported 4Q25 revs that were above consensus and largely in line with our expectations. JD Retail could continue to be supported by resiliency in general merchandise. Investments in food delivery could continue to sequentially decline in 1Q and FY26. We lower our PT from US$42 to US$35 as core retail could remain challenging in the near term. Our updated PT of US$35 implies 13.4x FY26E P/E. We maintain our BUY rating. Analysts: Jin Yoon
- Julia Pan Mengyao
JD.com (9618 HK): 4Q25: Diversified Growth Driver; AI Embedded In Supp...
JD’s 4Q25 results beat expectations. Revenue increased 1.5% yoy to Rmb352.3b, largely in line with our and consensus estimates. Non-GAAP operating profit slumped to a Rmb3.1m loss from a Rmb10.5b profit in 4Q24. Non-GAAP net profit was down 90% yoy to Rmb1.1b. Adjusted net margin shrank 3ppt yoy to 0.3%, better than consensus and our estimates. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of HK$133.00 (US$35.00).
- Bella Lu Yifei
- Carol Dou Xiao Qin
- Claire Wang Kelai
- Gigi Cheuk
- Joyce Chu
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Kate Luang
- Ken Lee
- Sunny Chen
- Tham Mun Hon
Greater China Daily: Friday, March 6, 2026
Top Stories Economics | China China set a 2026 GDP growth target of 4.5-5.0% yoy, in line with expectations, while maintaining a 4% fiscal deficit ratio. Fiscal policy remains the main growth driver, supported by Rmb4.4t in local government special bonds and Rmb1.3t in ultra-long treasury bonds, while monetary policy stays accommodative. Policy priorities focus on AI+, New Quality Productive Forces, industrial upgrading, and targeted consumption support, alongside welfare improvements and the g...
JD.com Announces Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Results, and Annual...
JD.com Announces Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Results, and Annual Dividend BEIJING, March 05, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- JD.com, Inc. (NASDAQ: JD and HKEX: 9618 (HKD counter) and 89618 (RMB counter), the “Company” or “JD.com”), a leading supply chain-based technology and service provider, today announced its unaudited financial results for the three months and the full year ended December 31, 2025 and an annual cash dividend for the year ended December 31, 2025. Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Highlights Net revenues were RMB352.3 billion (US$150.4 billion) for the fourth quarter o...
- Bella Lu Yifei
- Carol Dou Xiao Qin
- Curtis Yeung
- Damon Shen
- Gigi Cheuk
- Greater China Research Team
- Jieqi Liu
- Joyce Chu
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Kate Luang
- Ken Lee
- Shirley Wang Xueyi
- Stella Guo Yuting
- Sunny Chen
- Tham Mun Hon
Greater China Daily: Friday, February 27, 2026
Top Stories Sector Update | Automobile China's humanoid robotics sector is accelerating, with 2025 global shipments up 508%. Key players anticipate significant revenue contributions by 2031: CATL expects 3-7% from batteries; Minth and LeaderDrive project 5-12% and 45-65% respectively; Tuopu forecasts 15-25% from motion systems; and RoboSense targets 40-60% from LiDAR. We maintain a MARKET WEIGHT rating on the sector. Top BUY recommendations include CATL, Ganfeng Lithium, Minth (target price rais...
00293 CATHAY PACIFIC AIRWAYS LIMITED
00388 HONG KONG EXCHANGES & CLEARING LTD.
00014 HYSAN DEVELOPMENT CO. LTD.
00027 GALAXY ENTERTAINMENT GROUP LIMITED
86 SUN HUNG KAI & CO LTD
09961 CTRIP.COM INTERNATIONAL
1523 PLOVER BAY TECHNOLOGIES LTD (1523 HK)
02577 INNOSCIENCE (SUZHOU) TECHNOLOGY HOLDING CO. LTD.
ONC@US@ BEONE MEDICINE INC
- Julia Pan Mengyao
Baidu Inc (9888 HK) - 4Q25: Earnings Beat; Milder Top-Line Decline Fue...
Baidu’s 4Q25 earnings beat our expectations. Revenue dropped 4% yoy to Rmb32.7b, in line with consensus estimate. Gross margin shrank 3ppt yoy to 44.2%, exceeding consensus expectation. Non-GAAP operating profit was Rmb2.3b, plunging 55% yoy, while non-GAAP operating profit margin came in at 7%. Non-GAAP net profit slumped 42% yoy to Rmb3.9b, beating consensus forecasts. Maintain BUY with a slightly lower target price of HK$175.00 (US$194.00).
- Jin Yoon
BIDU 4Q25 Results: AI-Powered Businesses to Remain Resilient in 2026
What’s new: Baidu’s reported 4Q25 core revs that were largely in line with consensus but below our expectations. Baidu Core AI-powered business revs reached more than RMB11bn, accounting for 43% of the overall Baidu Core revs. The contribution from AI-powered businesses could continue to inch up in 2026. Margins could be adversely impacted by the continued investments in AI. We maintain our PT at USD170. Analysts: Jin Yoon
- Pierre FerraguÊ
Bible 4Q25 – Ride-Sharing & Delivery: Accelerating into 2026; robotaxi...
Today, we are publishing the Ride-sharing and delivery section of our 30th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. In the coming weeks we will publish sections on Smartphones, Automotive, Memory, Hyperscale & Cloud, Telecom Equipment, Industrials, PCs, Enterprise IT, Foundry, and Semicap Equipment. Ri...
JD.com to Report Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Financial Results o...
JD.com to Report Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Financial Results on March 5, 2026 BEIJING, Feb. 20, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- JD.com, Inc. (NASDAQ: JD and HKEX: 9618 (HKD counter) and 89618 (RMB counter)), a leading supply chain-based technology and service provider, today announced that it plans to release its unaudited fourth quarter and full year 2025 financial results on Thursday, March 5, 2026, before the U.S. market opens. JD.com’s management will hold a conference call at 7:00 am, Eastern Time on March 5, 2026, (8:00 pm, Beijing/Hong Kong Time on March 5, 2026) to discuss the...
- Greater China Research Team
- Tham Mun Hon
Greater China Strategy Alpha Picks: February Conviction Calls.
Chinese equities recovered in January, with the HSI and MSCI China rising 6.9% and 5.0% mom respectively. Given the supportive macro policy environment, we maintain a constructive view on the markets despite the risk of further volatility in February. Accordingly, we are adding Alibaba, Ganfeng Lithium, and Minth to our BUY list, and Meituan to our SELL list.
K3SD BAIDU INC SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
A117ME ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD. SPONSORED ADR
00823 LINK REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST
002371 NAURA TECHNOLOGY GROUP CO LTD CLASS A
00388 HONG KONG EXCHANGES & CLEARING LTD.
00285 BYD ELECTRONIC (INTERNATIONAL) CO. LTD.
M3I MINTH GROUP LIMITED
002460 GANFENG LITHIUM CO. LTD. CLASS A
03690 MEITUAN CLASS B
1772 GANFENG LITHIUM CO. LTD. CLASS H
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
09999 NETEASE INC
06160 BEIGENE LTD.
09888 BAIDU INC
1523 PLOVER BAY TECHNOLOGIES LTD (1523 HK)
- Julia Pan Mengyao
China Internet. Deeper Dive Into Agentic AI And The Rise Of AI Super A...
To-C applications growth is accelerating among mega-cap players with super apps, while emerging unicorns focus on To- B and To-prosumers in specific AI scenarios/verticals and on physical AI in verticals such as mobility and smartphone. For the next 6-12 months, we are eyeing key AI narratives: a) rollout of super apps leveraging on agentic AI, b) leading LLMs in specific verticals unlocking monetisation potential, and c) key drivers of cloud revenue growth. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Top BUYs: Baidu,...
- Julia Pan Mengyao
China Internet: Deeper dive into agentic AI and the rise of AI super a...
Highlights To-C applications growth is accelerating among mega-cap players with super apps, while emerging unicorns focus on To-B and To-prosumers in specific AI scenarios/verticals and on physical AI in verticals such as mobility and smartphone. For the next 6-12 months, we are eyeing key AI narratives: a) roll-out of super apps leveraging on agentic AI, b) leading LLMs in specific verticals unlocking monetisation potential, and c) key drivers of cloud revenue growth. Over time, we expect fur...
- Jin Yoon
BIDU 4Q25 Preview: Outlook Remains Intact
What’s New: We maintain our Baidu Core total rev estimates as YoY decline in ads could continue to narrow in 4Q25. AI Cloud infrastructure rev growth could also remain resilient in FY25 despite tougher comps in the other subsegments of cloud. We up our PT from US$140 to US$170 partly due to multiples rerating on AI including a potential IPO of its chip business in 2026. Our updated PT of US$170 implies a 22.6x FY26E P/E. We maintain our BUY rating. Analysts: Jin Yoon
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
JD.com (9618 HK): 4Q25 Results Preview: Lacklustre Top-line Growth; 1Q...
JD has guided for sluggish low single-digit top-line growth in 4Q25, moderating significantly from 3Q25’s revenue growth of 15% yoy, due to the high-base effect last year as a result of national subsidies. However, 4Q25’s revenue growth performance is likely to mark a cyclical trough, particularly for the JDR segment. We are optimistic about 1Q26 due to the resumption of national subsidies and strong seasonality during the Spring Festival. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of HK$155.00 (US$...
- Claire Wang Kelai
- Greater China Research Team
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
- Tham Mun Hon
Greater China Daily: Thursday, January 15, 2026
Top Stories Economics | Trade Export growth accelerated to 6.6% yoy in December (+0.7ppt mom), well above consensus, supported by strong shipments growth to Hong Kong and ASEAN, while export growth to the US weakened further. Import growth surged to 5.7% yoy (+3.8ppt mom), beating expectations amid a broad-based commodity recovery. Trade surplus widened to US$114.1b. Growths of motor vehicle, hi-tech, and mechanical & electrical exports strengthened. Overall, December’s trade data is market pos...
- Jin Yoon
JD 4Q25 Preview: Lowering Estimates
What’s New: We lower our 4Q25 top- and bottom-line estimates partly due to tougher comps in home appliance and consumer electronics. Investments in food delivery could sequentially decline in 4Q partly due to continued improvement in unit economics. Analysts: Jin Yoon
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
China Internet: Strong AI-driven IPO Wave Set To Unfold In 2026.
We reckon that the AI wave is driven by key themes including: a) recurring AI LLM/applications and cloud revenue growth, and b) a wider deployment of proprietary and data driven AI agents by vertical players to strengthen competitive moats. Amid an uncertain competitive backdrop, we opine that cloud hyper-scalers are key beneficiaries underpinned by their ecosystem scale and technological capabilities, underscoring growing investor confidence in the AI-driven sector’s re-rating. Maintain OVERWEI...
JD.com Announces Updates of Share Repurchase and Cancellation
JD.com Announces Updates of Share Repurchase and Cancellation BEIJING, Jan. 08, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- JD.com, Inc. (NASDAQ: JD and HKEX: 9618 (HKD counter) and 89618 (RMB counter), the “Company” or “JD.com”), a leading supply chain-based technology and service provider, today announced updates of its share repurchase and cancellation. The Company repurchased a total of approximately 183.2 million Class A ordinary shares (equivalent to 91.6 million American depositary shares, “ADSs”) for a total of approximately US$3.0 billion in 2025. The total number of these repurchased shares amoun...
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
Baidu Inc (9888 HK): HK Listing Of Kunlunxin To Unlock Value Of Baidu ...
We are optimistic on Baidu as the Kunlunxin spin-off could help unlock financial value for Baidu and strengthen its AI ecosystem. Baidu announced that on 1 Jan 26, Kunlunxin applied for a listing on the HK Stock Exchange. Following the spin-off, Kunlunxin will remain a consolidated subsidiary, with Baidu retaining a controlling 59% stake. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of HK$166.00 (US$185.00).
- Claire Wang Kelai
- Greater China Research Team
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
- Ziv Ang Sze Champ
Greater China Daily: Wednesday, January 7, 2026
Top Stories Company Update | Baidu (9888 HK/BUY/HK$146.60/Target: HK$166.00) We are optimistic on Baidu as the Kunlunxin spin-off could help unlock financial value for Baidu and strengthen its AI ecosystem. Baidu announced that on 1 Jan 26, Kunlunxin applied for a listing on the HK Stock Exchange. Following the spin-off, Kunlunxin will remain a consolidated subsidiary, with Baidu retaining a controlling 59% stake. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of HK$166.00 (US$185.00). Company Update...
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