GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: September Conviction Calls: We expect an improving operating performance among selected companies in September, and add AIA, COLI, Desay SV, Galaxy Entertainment, Meituan, Ping An and TUL to our BUY list and add Li Auto as a SELL. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Trailing The JCI’s Strong Performance In Aug 24: Our picks are ICBP, TOWR, BBNI, BMRI, BBRI, EXCL, CTRA, BBTN, CMRY, SIDO and JSMR. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Adapting To A Bipolar Market: Our Al...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: August Conviction Calls: We expect stimulus to be announced in August and add COSCO Shipping Ports, Haier Smart Home, and KE Holdings to our BUY list and add SELL call on WuXi Bio, and XPeng. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Underperformance in Jul 24: Our picks are BBNI, BMRI, BBRI, EXCL, CTRA, BBTN, CMRY, SIDO and JSMR. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Raising The M&A And Monetisation Bets: Our Alpha Picks marginally beat the KLCI. Jul 24 picks: Ekovest, Gamu...
A director at Energy Absolute Public Company Limited sold 37,300,000 shares at 13.100THB and the significance rating of the trade was 68/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over...
The SEC has accused EA's management of fraud related to the purchasing of equipment and software for EA's solar power projects. Despite our previous optimistic projections that EA is well-positioned to benefit from the EV trend, this accusation could impact EA, causing potential operational disruptions and financial challenges. We decided to drop coverage on EA, given the operational risks and the long-term overhang from the accusation.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results TISCO Financial Group (TISCO TB/HOLD/Bt95.50/Target: Bt97.00) 2Q24: Results in line; TISCO raising credit cost target. Update Energy Absolute (EA TB/BUY/Bt13.10/Target: Bt34.00) Thai regulator accuses EA management of fraud; ceasing coverage. Siam Cement (SCC TB/HOLD/Bt228.00/Target: Bt250.00) 2Q24 net profit expected to recover qoq.
GREATER CHINA Economics Money Supply Money supply growth slows further. Trade Wider trade surplus in June on robust exports growth. Sector Banking Implications of PBOC’s bond sales for China banks. Update JD.com (9618 HK/BUY/HK$112.00/Target: HK$150.00) 2Q24 results ...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: July Conviction Call: Adding ASMPT, Innovent, Poly Property Services, TAL Education and Trip.com to our BUY list; hedging with SELL call on BYD. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperformance In Jun 24 And 2Q24: Our picks are BMRI, BBRI, EXCL, BSDE, TLKM, ACES, BBTN, CMRY, SIDO and JSMR. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Opting For More Adventurous Choices: Our Alpha Picks beat the KLCI again. Jul 24 picks: BURSA, Ekovest, Gamuda, Lagenda, Mah Sing, MYEG, Pekat...
We expect a favorable outcome for EA from the capital increase in NEX. EA is projected to receive net cash of about Bt4.0b, which is expected to strengthen EA’s financial status. We are optimistic but cautious about The EV business is expected to see notable improvements from 2024 onwards. The significant drop in share price, attributed to price manipulation, would be an opportunity to accumulate stocks for long-term investment. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt34.00.
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile Weekly: EV sales pull back last week. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, CATL, Tuopu and Joyson Electronics. Top SELLs: XPeng. Internet Strategic revamp to foster re-accelerating growth and shareholders’ return. INDONESIA Update Bank Tabungan Negara (BBTN IJ/BUY/Rp1,240/Target: Rp1,700) ...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: June Conviction Call: Adding KE Holdings and Wharf REIC to our BUY list; hedging with SELL call on BYD. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: First Month Of Underperformance In 2024: Our picks are EXCL, BSDE, TLKM, ACES, BBTN, CMRY, SIDO and JSMR. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Choices For A “Summer Lull”: Our Alpha Picks trounce the KLCI again. May 24 picks: BAUTO, BURSA, Gamuda, GENM, Lagenda, Mah Sing, MYEG, PMETAL, RGB, and VSI. SINGAPORE Strategy Alpha Picks...
EA’s 1Q24 earnings declined 62% yoy and 24% qoq. The fall was due to decreased subsidies, reduced production from power plants, and lower EV deliveries. However, we are cautiously optimistic about the future as EA focuses on producing EV trucks and targets large corporate groups. With increased delivery volumes, we foresee a significant improvement in EA's earnings from 2Q24 onwards. We recommend a trading BUY. Target price: Bt34.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Banpu PCL (BANPU TB/HOLD/Bt5.45/Target: Bt5.00) 1Q24: Operating results turn to a profit. BEC World PCL (BEC TB/HOLD/Bt4.64/Target: Bt5.30) 1Q24: Earnings surge yoy and qoq. Betagro PCL (BTG TB/BUY/Bt23.50/Target: Bt27.00) 1Q24: Earnings improve strongly qoq. CP ALL (CPALL TB/BUY/Bt59.00/Target: Bt84.00) 1Q24: Impressive e...
GREATER CHINA Economics Inflation: PPI decline narrows as global commodity prices head higher. Money Supply: Weak credit demand hampering policy transmission. Sector Shipping and Ports: Prefer ports over container shipping for better risk-reward. Downgrade CSH to HOLD and OOIL to SELL after recent share price surge; switch to CSP and CMP. Update Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK/BUY/HK$19.40/Target: HK$22.80): 1Q24 Results Preview: Expect another beat driven by AIoT business. INDONESIA Results Erajaya Swas...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: May Conviction Call: Adding CR Beer, Crystal, Geely, Haier, Kuaishou, Ningbo Tuopu, Pinduoduo, Shenzhou, and Tencent to our BUY list, closing out SELL calls. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Slight Outperformance In A Bear Market: Our picks are BSDE, TLKM, ACES, BBTN, CMRY, SIDO, JSMR and AKRA. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Well-Positioned For 1Q Results Season: Our April picks again beat the KLCI. May 24 picks: GENM, Inari, Mah Sing, MrDIY, MYEG, Press Meta...
EA increased its sales target to 3,700 for 2024, while we remain cautious due to market penetration challenges. The company is seeking new growth opportunities following its five-year investment plan worth Bt35b, which is focused on expanding its EV ecosystem. While 1Q24 earnings will likely drop yoy and qoq due to decreased subsidy revenue, we expect substantial improvement from 2Q24 onwards, driven by EV truck deliveries. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt70.00.
GREATER CHINA Sector IT Hardware: AI Hardware: Elevated investment to bolster investor confidence. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Update Alibaba Group (9988 HK/BUY/HK$70.50/Target: HK$92.00): 4QFY24 preview: Solid CMR and AIDC growth; lacklustre profitability. SINGAPORE Update Marco Polo Marine (MPM SP/BUY/S$0.067/Target:S$0.086): Virtual call takeaways: Thriving on upswing in offshore industry. THAILAND Update Energy Absolute (EA TB/BUY/Bt35.25/Target: Bt70.00): Looking for new growth opportunities fro...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: April Conviction Calls: Adding AIA, Midea, Hansoh Pharmaceutical, Shenzhen Inovance and Trip.com to our BUY list, with SELL calls on BYD, EVE Energy, and Li Auto. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperformance In Mar 24 and 1Q24: Our picks are ACES, BBTN, CMRY, SIDO, EXCL, MAPI, JSMR, CTRA, and AKRA. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Expanding The Variety Of Events Bets: Our Alpha Picks trounced the KLCI in Mar 24. Apr 24 picks: GENM, Inari, Mah Sing, MrDIY, MY...
Earnings in 4Q23 were quite weak. Stock under our coverage reported aggregate net profit of Bt678.997m in 2023 (vs our estimate of Bt730.176m), declining 9.5% yoy. The poor earnings were pressured by energy, petrochemical and consumer staples (food), while positive earnings were seen in retail and healthcare. Given the strong international tourists arrival driven by Chinese tourists, we see the services sector (tourism and healthcare) maintaining its momentum.
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