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Tijs Hollestelle
  • Tijs Hollestelle

CFE/An early-stage margin-over-volume winner?/BUY (previously Hold)

CFE released a solid set of FY25 results, partly helped by the earlier announced settlement on the problematic ZIN project. With this beefed up 2H25 operating performance, we consider CFE's 2026 outlook a major positive. CFE expects 2026 net profit to approach the 2025 level. We raise our FY26F EPS by 32% following company guidance and change our rating from Hold to BUY as the underlying operating performance is clearly improving. CFE adapted a margin-over-volume strategy a couple of years ago a...

Livio Luyten
  • Livio Luyten

GBL After delivering a solid recovery we expect momentum to moderate

GBL has reached our previous price target following its consistent performance since the Apr'25 Liberation Day low. Over this period, the discount compressed sharply from 45% to 22%, driven by visible strategy progress, growing recognition of unique private market access, and €335m share buybacks in FY25. The recent Rayner acquisition (€0.5bn for 45% co-control stake) marks the first clear execution of GBL's Nov'24 strategy to increase direct private asset exposure in priority sectors. It streng...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Ageas: Upgrading net op. result FY26 target to >€1.5bn from €1.35bn in FY25 as M&A starts contributing / CFE: Strong 2H, flips to net cash and outlook better / Deceuninck: FY25 results in line with expectations, Türkiye a tad better / GBL: Exits Umicore fully / Vopak: Five-year SBB programme announced / Wolters Kluwer: 2025 roughly in line, good 2026 outlook

Kristof Samoy
  • Kristof Samoy

CFE FY25: In line results, solid debt reduction, margin strength in Co...

Over FY25, revenues equalled €1042m (-12% YoY) but EBIT up sharply at €44.9m (+40.3% YoY). The net result stood at €33.5m (LY: €24m). As such, the posted net result exceeds guidance calling for 2025 net profit close to the 2024 level. The company proposed a gross dividend of €0.50ps (€0.4PS LY). The consolidated order book stood at €1633m (vs. €1646m LY and €1650m per 9m25). Thanks to strong OCF of €64m, net debt turned into a net cash position of €43.8M (€41.7m net debt LY) . For 2026, CFE expe...

Kristof Samoy ... (+4)
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Livio Luyten
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

CFE: Preview: underlying 2026 margin to improve / DEME: Preview: strong 2025, eyes on 2026 outlook / JDE Peet's: Acquisition by KDP expected to close in 2Q26 / Solvay: 2025 ends with strong FCF; 2026F und. EBITDA guidance slightly below, supported by one-off / UCB: Peer Moonlake investor day / Vastned: Beat on bottom line with operational metrics accelerating, but outlook remains weak

Roy Külter ... (+2)
  • Roy Külter
  • Steven Boumans
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Ahold Delhaize: Peer Walmart 4Q25/26 results. Arcadis: Main topics 4Q25/FY25 conference call. ASM: 4Q25 preview, FY26 should be strong. Brunel: 4Q25 result beats and trends stabilise; DACH back to growth in 1Q26; additional cost savings announced and special dividend. Cofinimmo: Beat on bottom line, strong investment outlook for 2026. IMCD: Another step in EMEA. Magnum Ice Cream Company: Peer Danone 4Q25 results. Recticel: Peer Kingspan FY25 results. Software sector: Cheaper code...

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+5)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Mathijs Geerts Danau
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
Lynn Hautekeete
  • Lynn Hautekeete

Cofinimmo FY25 results above expectations, guidance below

Cofinimmo reports recurring EPRA EPS +1,1% above our estimates and 4,0% above its guidance. The earnings beat is driven by higher like-for-like rental income at +2,9%. The EPRA EPS outlook of FY26 is below our estimates at € 6,35 vs € 6,39 KBCSe. The guided debt ratio at YE26 is 340 bps higher than our expectations at 44,0% due to only € 110,0m guided asset disposals and higher than expected investments at € 310,0m which will mainly impact FY27/28 rental income. In the medium term, the focus sho...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

ASR: Better results, strong solvency, SBB below though; new CEO, new CMD on 1 Dec / IMCD: Weak 4Q25 / Kinepolis: Bankruptcy of Belga Films, the oldest film distribution business, along with its eight-screen cinema complex in Brussels; 2H25 preview / Proximus: CpaaS peer Sinch 4Q25 results a bit light of consensus, stock down 14%

Guy Sips ... (+6)
  • Guy Sips
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Mathijs Geerts Danau
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
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