reports
- Research Team
- Can Yurtcan
WOOD Flash – Kalekim: strong set of 1Q24 IAS 29 results
Kalekim announced its 1Q24 IAS 29 results yesterday (12 June), reporting net earnings of TRY 104m, vs. the loss of TRY 31m in 1Q23. We saw a strong set of operating results, driven by solid volume growth and expanding margins. Thanks to its prominent position in the building materials market, we anticipate that Kalekim will reap the benefits of the replacement market demand and the demand from urban regeneration projects. In addition, we also believe that the commencement of production in Iraq i...
- Baptiste Salaville
- Jean-Baptiste Rouphael
- Jerôme Bodin
- Robert Jan Vos
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 06/11/2024
As part of the consolidation of the renewable energy sector, an acquisition in cash of Solaria by Endesa, at a price of € 20 (+73%) would make strategic and financial sense, without endangering balance sheet strength. It would give Endesa a new growth trajectory and allow its parent company, Enel, to benefit from Solaria’s ongoing solar energy developments in Italy and Germany. Our positive ratings are based on a speculative approach for Solaria and the resilience of the integrated bu...
- Baptiste Salaville
- Jean-Baptiste Rouphael
- Jerôme Bodin
- Robert Jan Vos
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 11/06/2024
Dans le cadre de la consolidation du secteur des énergies renouvelables, une acquisition en numéraire de Solaria par Endesa, à un prix estimé de 20 € (+73%), ferait sens au plan stratégique et financier, sans risque sur la solidité bilantielle. Cette opération donnerait une nouvelle trajectoire de croissance à Endesa et permettrait à sa maison mère, Enel, de bénéficier des développements solaires en cours de Solaria en Italie et en Allemagne. Nos opinions positives se fondent sur une ...
- Geoffroy Michalet
- Juan Ros-Padilla
- Robert Jan Vos
ODDO : Food Retail update: where do we stand with our sector hierarchy...
>Update: our hierarchy is working, but alpha remains low - We published a sector note on 14 March (link). We established our hierarchy, with Jeronimo Martins as Top Pick, followed by Ahold Delhaize as Outperform. We took the opportunity to downgrade Carrefour to Neutral, which was already the case on Colruyt and pessimistic on Casino. After three months, some Q1, market share figures and CMDs, we take a step back on this hierarchy. Overall, of the five companies in ou...
- Geoffroy Michalet
- Juan Ros-Padilla
- Robert Jan Vos
ODDO : Point d’étape Food Retail : où en est-on avec notre hiérarchie ...
>Point d’étape : notre hiérarchie fonctionne, mais l’alpha reste faible - Nous avons publié une note sectorielle le 14 mars 2024 (lien). Nous avions établi notre hiérarchie, avec en Jeronimo Martins en Top Pick, suivie d’Ahold Delhaize en Surperformance. Nous en avions profité pour dégrader Carrefour à Neutre, alors que nous l’étions étions déjà sur Colruyt et étions toujours sceptiques sur Casino. Après 3 mois, nous profitons de la publication des T1 et des CMD, ains...
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Turkish equities in the lead
EME Equity Market – May 2024 Turkish equities lead, in the mostly green month of May. The MSCI EM Europe Index rose by 0.7% mom in EUR terms and 1.8% mom in LCU terms in May. The Turkish ISE30 index reported the strongest performance, adding 3.6% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Romanian BET and the Czech PX (+2.7% and 2.1% mom in EUR terms, respectively). The Hungarian BUX index and the Polish WIG20 remained broadly flat (+0.4% and +0.2% mom in EUR terms, respectively); although, in LCU terms,...
EUROB EUROBANK ERGASIAS SERVICES & HOLDINGS SA
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
KRU KRUK S.A.
EXAE HELLENIC EXCHANGES SA
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
KRKG KRKA D.D.
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
BIMAS BIM BIRLESIK MAGAZALAR A.S.
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
BRISA BRISA-BRIDGESTONE SABANCI LASTIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
LOGO LOGO YAZILIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
GTC GLOBE TRADE CENTRE S.A.
TENERGY TERNA ENERGY S.A.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
ALPHA ALPHA BANK AE
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
OTKAR OTOKAR OTOMOTIV VE SAVUNMA SANAYI A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
ECH ECHO INVESTMENT
GSPARK GRAPHISOFT PARK SE
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
BANK OF CYPRUS PCL
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
ETEL TELECOM EGYPT
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
SNP PETROM S.A.
PBK PATRIA BANK SA
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
BVB S.C. BURSA DE VALORI BUCURESTI S.A.
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
RICHT RICHTER
M MED LIFE
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
CGEO GEORGIA CAPITAL
SOKM SOK MARKETLER TICARET AS
EAT AMREST HOLDINGS SE
ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ILRA-R-A ILIRIJA D.D.
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
DUNAHOUSE DUNA HOUSE
PCF PCF GROUP SA
HUGE HUUUGE
4IG 4IG NYRT
IGN1L IGNITIS GRUPE
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
CTPNV KAZMUNAYGAS NC JSC
GPP CTP NV
ADNOCDRILL GRUPA PRACUJ DA
AROBS ADNOC DRILLING CO
2381 AROBS TRANSILVANIA SOFTWARE SA
7202 ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
9526 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
ELPE JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
4071 HELLENIQ ENERGY
7203 ARABIAN CONTRACTING SERVICES CO
AQ ELM CO
GEV AQUILA PART PROD COM
GEVORKYAN A.S.
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: SOKM TI; ETEL EY; BGEO LN; ASELS TI; TENERGY GA; OPAP GA; ...
HEADLINES: • Sok Marketler Ticaret: very weak results in 1Q24 NEGATIVE • Telecom Egypt: 1Q24 results review – EBITDA up 19% yoy, 3% above the consensus NEUTRAL • Bank of Georgia: 1Q24 highlights – first quarter with Ameria • Aselsan: 1Q24 results – strong backlog, execution on track POSITIVE • Terna Energy: strong set of 1Q24 results, as very much expected NEUTRAL • OPAP: 1Q24 earnings fall, expectedly, on increased opex, but outlook remains bright NEUTRAL • Huuuge Games: earnings call takeaways...
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
TENERGY TERNA ENERGY S.A.
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
ETEL TELECOM EGYPT
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
SOKM SOK MARKETLER TICARET AS
HUGE HUUUGE
7202 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: VGO PW; CDR PW; HUG PW; MOH GA; TKNSA TI; KAP LI; ESLT IT;...
HEADLINES: • VIGO Photonics: 1Q24 – miss on adjusted EBITDA and bottom line NEGATIVE • CD Projekt: 1Q24 EBITDA 5-7% above our and the market's expectations, no major surprises from the earnings call NEUTRAL • Huuuge Games: 1Q24 adjusted EBITDA in line with both our and the market's expectations NEUTRAL • Motor Oil Hellas: 1Q24 results – CCS EBITDA in line with the consensus NEUTRAL • Teknosa: higher financing costs weighed on the bottom line in 1Q24 NEGATIVE • Kazatomprom: 1Q24 results – lower E...
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
TKNSA TEKNOSA IC VE DIS TICARET AS
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
PCF PCF GROUP SA
HUGE HUUUGE
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: SFG RO; PCF PW; ACP PW; TEN PW; ECH PW; GTC PW; PGE PW; CI...
HEADLINES: • Sphera Group: out of the shadows (stays BUY) • PCF Group: 1Q24 EBITDA above our and the market's expectations, driven by self-publishing POSITIVE • Asseco Poland: 1Q24 review – net profit up 16% yoy, 10% the above consensus POSITIVE • Ten Square Games: 1Q24 adjusted EBITDA as expected NEUTRAL • Echo Investment: 1Q24 – benign margin environment continuing for Polish homebuilders NEUTRAL • GTC: 1Q24 in line, management recommends PLN 0.22 DPS NEGATIVE • PGE: 1Q24 earnings in line with...
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
GTC GLOBE TRADE CENTRE S.A.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
ECH ECHO INVESTMENT
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
PCF PCF GROUP SA
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: KMGZ KZ, 11B PW, TOASO TI, BIMAS TI, FTSE GEIS, AEGN GA
• KazMunayGas: 1Q24 results - strong EBITDA • 11 Bit studios: quite positive first reviews of The Alters after the hands-on event • Tofas: the Competition Board extends the final review period for Tofas’s takeover of Stellantis Otomotiv • BIM: BoD proposes a DPS of TRY 10 • FTSE GEIS June 2024 quarterly review • Aegean Airlines: 1Q24 - ASK 24% above 1Q19, but revenue >50% higher, as RASK continues to trend up
- Clement Genelot
French Food Retail: welcome back to deflation
With France returning to food deflation in May at -0.1%, and the trend set to persist if not worsen over coming months, we foresee even more negative market growth and a greater likelihood of a price war in the short-term. Among the key grocery markets, France is becoming the hotspot, fuelling our
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: PZU PW; WPL PW; PPC GA; HSBK LI; CEZ CP; KMGZ KZ; GPP PW; ...
HEADLINES: • PZU: posts solid 1Q24, confirming growth trends in the non-life segment; strategy from new management update due in 4Q24E NEUTRAL • Wirtualna Polska: 1Q24 results review – adjusted EBITDA up 11% yoy, 3% above the consensus POSITIVE • Public Power Corporation: 1Q24 EBITDA jumps, but bottom line disappoints NEGATIVE • Halyk Bank: 1Q24 highlights and notes from the conference call NEUTRAL • CEZ: proposes CZK 52 DPS from the 2023 earnings NEUTRAL • KazMunayGas: Board recommends KZT 491....
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: INPST NA; GSPARK HB; SFG RO; H2O RO; DIGI RO; AROBS RO; PG...
HEADLINES: • InPost: strong 1Q24, as expected; FY24E guidance maintained; slight volume deceleration in 2Q24 so far POSITIVE • Graphisoft Park: 1Q24 – occupancy and results stable so far; guidance maintained POSITIVE • Sphera Group: 1Q24 above our expectations POSITIVE • Hidroelectrica: 1Q24 – lower power prices offset by no tax on producers NEGATIVE • DIGI Communications: 1Q24 results – adjusted EBITDA up 22% yoy, 6% above our estimate POSITIVE • AROBS Transilvania Software: weak 1Q24 results, ...
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
GSPARK GRAPHISOFT PARK SE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
RICHT RICHTER
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
INPST INPOST S.A.
AROBS AROBS TRANSILVANIA SOFTWARE SA
ELPE HELLENIQ ENERGY
H2O HIDROELECTRICA S.A.
- Clement Genelot
Food Retail: Navigating stormy waters of deflation and price war
As food deflation risks increasingly diverge from one market to another, we take a fresh look at local price war risks and at the sector earnings cycle. We remain puzzled by the YTD sector derating and underperformance while FY 2024-25 expected EPS growth is still strong. Many investors seem to be
- Mihaly Gajda
MOL slightly missed market consensus in Q1 2024.
Key Message Group-level clean CCS EBITDA totalled USD 718 mn in Q1 2024, falling 3% shortof market consensus and 5% below Concorde estimates. While the consumerservices segment delivered a positive surprise, the Petrochemical segment underperformed expectations. We anticipate that these results may slightly disappoint investors. However, thecompany is set to pay a HUF 250 dividend, offering an 8% yield, which is exceptional among Hungarian blue-chips. The ex-dividend date is scheduled for May2...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: MBK PW; OTP HB; MIL PW; CCC PW; DNP PW; EAT PW; MOL HB; M ...
HEADLINES: • mBank: solid 1Q24 results justify one of the top market valuations (1Q24 P/BV of 2.1x) POSITIVE • OTP Bank: books solid 1Q24, keeps 2024E guidance unchanged NEUTRAL • Bank Millennium: 1Q24 results in line • CCC: 40% EBITDA beat in 1Q24, on opex control POSITIVE • Dino: 2-7% EBITDA miss in 1Q24 NEGATIVE • AmRest: 1Q24 broadly in line with our forecasts, but below the consensus NEGATIVE • MOL: 1Q24 results – EBITDA below expectations on maintenance NEUTRAL • MedLife: 1Q24 results poin...
MOL MOL NYRT
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
CCC CCC SA
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
BVB S.C. BURSA DE VALORI BUCURESTI S.A.
M MED LIFE
EAT AMREST HOLDINGS SE
4IG 4IG NYRT
7202 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: BDX PW; EU Oil & Gas Monthly; BHW PW; PKO PW; MIL PW; CAR ...
HEADLINES: • Budimex: 1Q24 EBIT 13% above our forecast on solid gross margin, but broadly in line with the consensus POSITIVE • European oil and gas monthly: April 2024 – margins retreating • Bank Handlowy: to pay PLN 10/share dividend NEUTRAL • PKO BP: estimates cost of credit holidays extension at PLN 489m NEUTRAL • Bank Millennium: expects a PLN 201-247m impact from the 2024E credit holidays extension for PLN mortgagors NEUTRAL • Inter Cars: April sales recover by 19.5% yoy POSITIVE • MOL: 1Q...
- Jonathan Lamb
European Oil and Gas Monthly: April 2024 – margins retreating
Refining margins retreated again in April, by USD 1.2/bbl, to USD 12.6/bbl, remaining about 40% higher than usual for the season. Petrol cracks continued their seasonal rising trend, but diesel weakened more. Polymer margins had a positive month, but olefins and aromatics saw their margins go the other way.
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: ING PW; SOLUTION AB; EME Macro/Strategy weekly; HUG PW; TE...
HEADLINES: • ING BSK: 1Q24 results softer than demanding market expectations, but our medium-term outlook confirmed NEGATIVE • Solutions by STC: mixed 1Q24 financial results NEUTRAL • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (29 April-5 May) • Huuuge Games: April bookings estimate at USD 11m, down 21% mom NEGATIVE • Ten Square Games: April bookings estimate down 20% mom NEGATIVE • 11 bit studios: INDIKA release attracts very positive reviews on Steam, but low peak in number of players NEGATIVE • Cyf...
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
HUGE HUUUGE
7202 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
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