HEADLINES: • Polish utilities: 2026E distribution bills to increase 7.6% yoy on average, implying a smaller-than-expected reduction in WACC POSITIVE • Kety: 4Q25 preliminary results in line with expectations; FY25 guidance met NEUTRAL • Kety: conservative management guidance for 2026E NEUTRAL • Rainbow Tours: summer 2026E season pre-sales +6.1% yoy NEUTRAL • Santander BP: PFSA agrees the sale of a 49% stake to Erste • Polish utilities: retail electricity price for 2026E set at PLN 495/MWh; utili...
HEADLINES: • LPP: profitable growth (stays BUY) • Premier Energy: M&A-driven growth on track (upgraded to BUY) • Polish telecoms: Revolut enters the Polish mobile market NEUTRAL • Pepco Group: 2H25 in line with guidance; FY26 EBITDA and earnings growth guidance of 9%+ and 25%+, 2025-30E EBTDA CAGR of 9%+ POSITIVE • CEZ: cabinet approves step to lower utility bills NEUTRAL • Hungary macro: MNB softens its hawkish tone • OPAP: EGM for merger with Alwyn set for 7 January; preference shares scrapped...
HEADLINES: • CCC: shareholders ask for 2m share buyback POSITIVE • Jeronimo Martins: court approves PLN 160m fine from Antimonopoly Office NEGATIVE • Allegro/InPost: EU to introduce EUR 3 payment for all packages coming from outside the community NEUTRAL • Mo-BRUK: PLN 19m 2017 waste-fee case closed NEUTRAL • Kety: 4Q25E preliminary results preview – flat yoy EBITDA in a tough environment (due on 17 December) • Pepco Group: 2H25E preview – EBITDA decline of 5% yoy expected (due on 17 December) N...
HEADLINES: • Pegasus Airlines: signs an agreement to acquire Czech Airlines for EUR 154m • Auto Partner: November sales growth decelerates to 2.6% yoy NEGATIVE • Budimex: PLN 1.1bn offer selected by PKP PLK POSITIVE • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (28 November-4 December) • Postcards from Prague • Dino • Enea • Warsaw Stock Exchange • CEZ • Banca Transilvania • BRD-GSG • Cimsa • Akcansa • Artea Bankas • Ignitis • NLB Group • Mavi: 3Q25E earnings preview (due out 10 December)
HEADLINES: • Baltic Classifieds Group: FY 1H26 financial results review and conference call takeaways NEUTRAL • Orange Polska: signs Social Agreement for 2026-27 with trade unions POSITIVE • Budimex: GDDKiA cancels selection for Starogard Gdański bypass NEGATIVE • CEZ: minority shareholders group suing State for WFT damages NEUTRAL • WOOD's Winter Wonderland EME Conference 2025: Postcards from Prague • CD Projekt • cyber_Folks/Shoper • Orange Polska • Text • Vercom • 4iG • Magyar Telekom • Titan
EME Equity Market – November 2025 Czech PX leads in November, Türkiye the only loser. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 1.5% mom in EUR terms and 2.1% mom in USD terms in November. The Czech PX was the top performer, adding 4.7% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Greek ASE and the Hungarian BUX (+4.4% and +3.7% mom, respectively, in EUR terms). The Romanian BET and Polish WIG 20 were also in the green (+1.3% and +1.0% mom in EUR terms). The only loser was the Turkish ISE 30 (-2.0% mom in EUR terms).
Hidroelectrica’s net electricity generation declined by 23% y-o-y in 9M 2025 due to a severe hydrological drought, which led to a 15% downward revision to the company’s FY net profit guidance. Given i/ weaker hydro production and limited capacity additions; ii/ a downward-sloping forward curve, reflecting LT Romanian power price convergence towards Western European benchmarks; and iii/ a shift in the revenue mix towards the lower-margin supply business, we downgrade Hidroelectrica to Underperfor...
The macro backdrop entering 2026E remains broadly supportive for high-dividend strategies across Emerging Europe and the frontier markets, but the opportunity set has clearly narrowed. After a year of sharp repricing across the WOOD universe, the high dividend conditions of 2024-25 have largely disappeared, as a result of many sectors rerating materially. As a result, high-dividend exposure is no longer a broad regional trade: the most compelling opportunities are now concentrated. However, the ...
HEADLINES: • Doosan Skoda Power: 3Q25 weak; 2025E guidance lowered for both revenues and profitability NEGATIVE • Poland macro: latest data add evidence of industry-led growth • CD Projekt: changes policy for diversification of surplus cash NEUTRAL • Czech Republic macro: November sentiment somewhat weak • 4iG: 3Q25E preview – 12% yoy reported EBITDA increase expected (due on 28 November) • Athens Exchange Group: strong 3Q25 results, due mostly to post trading segment POSITIVE • KazMunayGas: 3Q2...
HEADLINES: • DO & CO: value á la carte (upgraded to BUY) • Diagnostyka: 3Q25 results in line with expectations; strong demand continues POSITIVE • Auto Partner: 3Q25 EBITDA below our forecasts, following weaker gross margin and higher SG&As NEGATIVE • Cyfrowy Polsat: key takeaways from the 3Q25 results call NEGATIVE • Grupa Pracuj: key takeaways from the 3Q25 earnings call NEUTRAL • Tauron: 3Q25 conference call highlights NEUTRAL • 11 bit studios: key takeaways from the 3Q25 results call NEUTRAL...
HEADLINES: • ING BSK: eyes 19% ROE and is more open to higher dividend payouts in its strategy update POSITIVE • Warsaw Stock Exchange: strong 3Q25 delivery with a 7% beat to consensus POSITIVE • Murapol: 3Q25E close to our forecasts with weaker revenue, but stronger gross margin NEUTRAL • Orlen: swaps some Norwegian assets with DNO NEUTRAL • Athens Exchange Group: Euronext reportedly reaches the acquisition threshold NEUTRAL • Hidroelectrica: 3Q25 net profit of RON 0.73bn, 14% lower yoy; conse...
On Friday 14 November, after the close, Hidroelectrica reported its 3Q25 results. The adjusted EBITDA stood at RON 1.06bn, 10% lower yoy and 3% below our estimate, on the back of higher costs for the acquisition of power than we had pencilled in. The net result reached RON 0.73bn (-14% yoy) and was 5% below our estimates, on a lower net financial result than we had assumed in our model. For 9M25, the net profit reached RON 2.3bn, 34% lower yoy. We estimate net profit of RON 3.2bn for FY25E, whil...
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