We are hosting our 28th ODDO BHF Forum in Lyon on 9 and 10 January 2025. In total, 211 companies will be presenting over the two days. In the following note, we provide some initial feedback from the companies on day 1. Out of the 104 feedbacks collected during the first day, 40 were clearly positive, 59 rather Neutral, and only 6 negative. Among the positive names, we would particularly highlight Accor, URW, Euronext, Bureau Veritas, Renke, ID Logistics, Roche Bobois, Ionos, Companie des Alpes...
Poco momentum hasta que publiquen guidance 2025 en Rdos. 4T’24. A la espera del guidance’25 en Rdos. 4T’24 reina la cautela y un apetito limitado por el sector a la espera de que se descarten escenarios muy negativos, en nuestra opinión injustificados. Nosotros esperamos una caída media de ingresos de -3,3% en 2025 (vs -1% consenso) y -10% en BDI (vs -3% consenso) para un EURIBOR de 2,18%. Creemos que queda valor en un sector holgado de capital (13,3% CET1 medio) con una yield por dividendo de ~...
NEWS SUMMARY: BANKING SECTOR. Rising debt yields once again pressure stock markets European stock markets rose early in the session but ended up reeling in part of those initial gains after a bearish opening for US markets. The main driver was the rising sovereign debt yields following the release of better US macro data and in view of investors selling bond to make room for the US treasury’s 10Y bond auction. In the STOXX 600, the best-performing sectors were once again Energy and those linked...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: SECTOR BANCOS. La escalada de la rentabilidad de la deuda vuelve a presionar las bolsas Las bolsas europeas, que subían por la mañana, acabaron cediendo parte de sus ganancias al cierre tras una apertura bajista del mercado americano. El principal catalizador fue la escalada en la rentabilidad de la deuda soberana a largo plazo, tras la publicación de unos mejores datos macro en EE.UU. y ante las ventas de bonos por parte de los inversores para ha...
Le maintien d’un environnement baissier des taux d’intérêt devrait être porteur pour le secteur immobilier en 2025 et lui permettre de continuer à surperformer. Dans ce contexte, nous privilégions le commerce et le résidentiel allemand , qualifiés de «safe haven» et plus spécifiquement Covivio, CTP, Merlin Properties, URW, Vonovia et Xior Student Housing pour un potentiel moyen de +30%. Elles sont les plus à même pour nous d’exécuter leur stratégie de croissance / repositionnement. Nous abaisson...
An environment of further interest rate decline is set to underpin the real estate sector in 2025 and see it continue to outperform. On this basis, we prefer retail and the German residential market, which are seen as safe havens, more specifically Covivio, CTP, Merlin Properties, URW, Vonovia and Xior Student Housing for an average upside of +30%. They are the best positioned, as we see it, to execute their growth/repositioning strategies. We have downgraded Branicks, Cofinimmo, Icade and Patr...
NEWS SUMMARY: ACERINOX, CELLNEX, CIE AUTOMOTIVE, SANTANDER. The market does not welcome fewer rate cuts European stock markets ended with corrections of -1.5% after the Fed cooled off expectations of further rate cuts over the coming months. Thus, in the STOXX 600 all sectors closed with drops, with Food and Energy being the best performers whereas Real Estate and Technology saw the biggest drops. On the macro side, in the UK, the BoE kept interest rates at 4.75% although the decision was not u...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACERINOX, CELLNEX, CIE AUTOMOTIVE, SANTANDER. El mercado encaja mal las menores bajadas de tipos Las bolsas europeas cerraron con caídas del orden del -1,5% después de que la Fed enfriase las expectativas de mayores bajadas de tipos en los próximos meses. En el STOXX 600, todos los sectoriales terminaron con caídas, siendo los mejores Alimentación y Energía, mientras que Inmobiliario y Tecnología terminaron con el mayor castigo. Por el lado macro,...
NEWS SUMMARY: EBRO FOODS, ENCE, PUIG BRANDS. The Ibex dragged down by banks European stock markets ended with sight corrections although the CAC closed in positive territory, with the Ibex being the worst performer. Thus, in the STOXX 600, cyclical growth sectors such as Technology and Consumer Goods (the Chinese government foresees 5% GDP growth in 2025) were the best performers whereas Banks and Energy saw the biggest drops. On the macro side, in Germany, December’s IFO fell more than expecte...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: EBRO, ENCE, PUIG. EUROPA: BNP, KERING. El Ibex lastrado por los bancos Las bolsas europeas terminaron con tímidas caídas, aunque el CAC cerró en positivo y la corrección más pronunciada vino de la mano del Ibex. En el STOXX 600, los mejores sectores del día fueron cíclicos growth como Tecnología y B. Consumo (el gobierno chino prevé para 2025 un crecimiento del PIB del orden del 5,0%) mientras que Bancos y Energía sufrieron las mayores correccione...
A director at Ence Energia Y Celulosa SA bought 1,988,309 shares at 3.012EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 100/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last t...
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