reports
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vital Signs: Actionable charts
In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.
UCTT ULTRA CLEAN HOLDINGS INC.
TTMI TTM TECHNOLOGIES INC.
SATS ECHOSTAR CORPORATION CLASS A
RYAM RAYONIER ADVANCED MATERIALS INC
LPTH LIGHTPATH TECHNOLOGIES INC. CL A
AMOT ALLIED MOTION TECHNOLOGIES
MUR MURPHY OIL CORPORATION
D4V G. WILLI-FOOD INTERNATIONAL LTD.
GTN GRAY TELEVISION INC.
PARR PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS INC
VSH VISHAY INTERTECHNOLOGY INC.
ICHR ICHOR HOLDINGS LTD.
FEIM FREQUENCY ELECTRONICS INC.
AMD ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC.
ATOM ATOMERA
LWLG LIGHTWAVE LOGIC
BE BLOOM ENERGY
ZNTL ZENTALIS PHARMACEUTICALS
ELYM ELIEM THERAPEUTICS INC
VERA VERA THERAPEUTICS INC
ENVX ENOVIX CORP
ASTS AST SPACEMOBILE INC
SG SWEETGREEN INC
ECVT ECOVYST INC
MUX ONTO INNOVATION INC.
LUNR MCEWEN MINING INC.
OPTX INTUITIVE MACHINES INC
FBRX SYNTEC OPTICS HLDGS INC
FORTE BIOSCIENCES INC
- David Barden
SATS: What publicly traded SATS is telling us SpaceX is worth…and vice...
Every day there appear new headlines about SpaceX’s valuation which seem ever higher by a few hundred billion (really, what’s a few hundred billion among friends?). These reports (based on what?) are launching (sorry) the SpaceX stock into the orbit while the confidential S1 filing quietly bakes well ahead of an IPO reportedly slated for June. Having just returned from a European marketing swing, we know investors are looking for some evidence-based support for these increasingly breathless repo...
- Jan Frederik Slijkerman
- Jeroen van den Broek
- Jesse Norcross
- Nadège Tillier
- Timothy Rahill
American Tower Corp: 1 director
A director at American Tower Corp bought 2,671 shares at 185.300USD and the significance rating of the trade was 95/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years c...
- David Barden
- Vikash Harlalka
Broadband cNPS comparisons by tech & operator - The latest data availa...
Scouring the data in this report, we’d point you to the appendix for a quick review. What stands out is that when a broadband customer interacts with a sales rep, presumably they are doing so with a problem or request that an automated or AI-driven IVR cannot address. Almost without fail, sales rep interactions are the Achilles heal of the market right now and likely a core reason, care scores suffer. The operator that can solve this puzzle, and it could be cable, has a window to shift their rel...
- David Barden
- Vikash Harlalka
Broadband Spring 2026 – A fine time for FWA
In this Broadband Spring report, we share a quick update on broadband industry trends from 4Q25 heading into 2026E. Industry net adds improved meaningfully in 4Q25 from a year ago but remained slightly below last year when we adjust for the loss of ACP. Net adds for the quarter were in line with the pre-pandemic norm but trailing twelve-month net adds remain below pre-pandemic levels. We take a deep-dive here into FWA’s continued strong momentum, by carrier, and how it fits into the overall broa...
- David Barden
SATS: Raising PT to $147 on adjusted SpaceX assumptions and Echostar u...
We are updating our SATS valuation to reflect 1) an updated SpaceX valuation, and 2) updated SATS’ share of SpaceX following the merger between SpaceX and xAI. We now value SpaceX at $1.25Tn for the purpose of SATS valuation. In Elon we trust. We are raising our SATS price target to $147, up from $125 previously.
- David Barden
SATS 4Q25 Quick Take: It’s all about the call
SATS reported 4Q with a few surprises both positive and negative. On the plus side SlingTV losses were better than expected and wireless EBITDA loss was much better than expected. We will discuss more on the call, but Sling was likely a function of 4Q promo pricing and wireless was a function of not paying tower companies. The negative was that after several quarters of positive wireless net adds, SATS swung to a loss in 4Q, reflecting the competitive nature of the quarter. As always, the market...
- David Barden
- David Barden
- David Barden
American Tower 4Q25 Quick Take: Consensus couldn’t get DISH right for ...
AMT (Buy, PT $203) reported 4Q25 results. We continue to view AMT as the best-growing, least-levered, best-positioned stock in the group. 4Q was generally ahead on all metrics. Guidance is bit of a mess with consensus largely having included DISH while there are 2 larger than anticipated factors moving in opposite directions in the form of FX (+) and straight line (negative, but non-cash). This note is our instant read on the result vs. both us and consensus.
- David Barden
Not unexpectedly, SATS defaults on AMT leases – We quantify the readth...
AMT (Buy, PT $203), after the close today, shared that SATS has defaulted on its tower lease agreement payments. This was unsurprising following a similar revelation from CCI (Neutral, PT $93) on 1/12/26 (see our note). AMT says this action will have no impact on 2025 results. AMT did not mention the value of the remaining payments, but we assume it is similar to the ~$3.5bn (undiscounted) CCI cited.
- David Barden
Towers & interest rates, the biggest moving parts
Given recent news around future interest rate actions by the Fed, we performed a sensitivity analysis to better understand potential AFFO per share implications for each of the three major tower companies. Based on a detailed, tranche by tranche debt analysis, SBAC (Neutral, PT $212) has the largest near-term exposure given its short-term refinancing needs. CCI (Neutral, PT $93) has limited exposure given that we expect its debt reduction using proceeds from its small cells and fiber business sa...
- David Barden
SATS defaults on CCI leases - Quantifying the readthrough
CCI (Neutral, PT $93) after the close today announced that SATS has defaulted on its tower lease agreement payments. As a result, the company has terminated the agreement and will seek to recover ~$3.5Bn+ of the remaining undiscounted payments owed. CCI says this decision will have no impact on 2025 results. As a function of this announcement, we are taking SATS payments fully out of our model for 2026E. Previously, we had zeroed out SATS payments for only 2H26 and beyond. In this note, we shar...
- Blair Levin
Part Three of Year in Preview: Our Analysis about Policyband’s Predict...
This week we published three notes that preview what we think will be critical to investors in telecom/media/tech policy environment. In the first, we evaluated what questions do we not know the answer to today but will in a year that will have a material impact on stocks and depend in part on policy. In the second, we looked at the biggest policy related investment stories of 2025 and how the lingering elements of those stories will play out. In this third one we evaluate nine predictions mad...
- Blair Levin
Part Two of Year in Preview: What about SATS, BEAD, Spectrum, and Othe...
This week we are publishing three notes that analyze what we think will be critical to investors in telecom/media/tech policy environment in the year ahead. In the first one, published yesterday we evaluated questions that we do not know the answer to today--but will in a year--that will have a material impact on stocks and depend in part on policy. In this second one, we look at the biggest policy related investment stories of 2025 and how the lingering elements of those stories will play out i...
- David Barden
Towers 4Q25 Estimates & Ratings Refresh
The last 3 months have seen substantial tower price dislocation catalyzed by news that SATS intends to invoke contractual clauses and stop paying the tower industry for current leases. We highlight some key industry developments impacting sentiment and preview 4Q results based on our catch-up conversations with the companies in recent weeks.
- David Barden
Towers 4Q25 Estimates & Ratings Refresh
The last 3 months have seen substantial tower price dislocation catalyzed by news that SATS intends to invoke contractual clauses and stop paying the tower industry for current leases. We highlight some key industry developments impacting sentiment and preview 4Q results based on our catch-up conversations with the companies in recent weeks.
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