reports
- Chris Hoare
Global EM Telcos Capex in steep decline; underpins EFCF growth
We analyze the capex history & outlook for Global EM Telcos. For this group capex is falling rapidly (-12% in 2024 in US$) as competitive intensity improves and markets consolidate. Excluding China and India, EM Telco capex is already down 23% from peak.
- Jonathan Chaplin
- Jonathan Chaplin
AMT 1Q25 Quick Take: Property in-line; services strong
The property segment was slightly better than Consensus on revenue and gross margin with currency helping. Within property, US and Canada was a touch disappointing, while International was strong (helped by less of a currency headwind than expected). Services revenue and gross margin beat expectations handily, similar to SBAC last night.
American Tower Corp: 2 directors
Two Directors at American Tower Corp sold/sold after exercising options 10,634 shares at between 201.670USD and 202.970USD. The significance rating of the trade was 73/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by a...
- Jonathan Chaplin
AMT quick thoughts following the call
We picked up three small points from the call with implications for the wireless companies: one on FWA, one on spectrum supply / demand, and one on the impact of AI on network traffic. We don’t have insights to share on AMT specifically this quarter (but we will next quarter).
- Chris Hoare
Indian Telcos & Towers News reports that the Indian government may vo...
Indian press is reporting that the Indian government is planning to cut AGR liabilities for the industry by around INR 1 trn (c. $12bn), by cutting 50% of interest and 100% of penalties and interest on penalties relating to the AGR fines. Implication would be a c. INR 520bn (US$ 6.2bn) reduction in liabilities for Vodafone IDEA and around INR 380bn (US $4.5bn) for Bharti.
- Chris Hoare
Indian Telcos & Towers What to expect in 2025: FWA S-curve enables mo...
FWA will likely be the key themes of 2025 in Indian Telcos we think, with the market likely to be delivering 5m+ quarterly net adds by the end of the year. This is likely to drive renewed optimism towards Bharti and enable Jio to IPO. Given Jio’s valuation of approaching $200bn if it happens this is likely to be one of the biggest events in Global Telecoms this year. On rolling forward our DCF our Indus pt rises to INR 325 and we lift our recommendation to Neutral, and stay Buyers of both Bharti...
- Chris Hoare
Moody's Ratings affirms American Tower's Baa3 senior unsecured debt ra...
Moody's Ratings ("Moody's") today affirmed American Tower Corporation's ("American Tower" or "the REIT") Baa3 senior unsecured rating, (P)Baa3 senior unsecured shelf programme rating, and maintained the stable outlook. The rating affirmation reflects our expectation that the REIT's leverage and cove...
- Chris Hoare
- Chris Hoare
Indian Mobile VIL Capital Increase – should you participate and what ...
Sometimes the markets behave in ways that appear irrational. VIL having sufficient market cap to launch an INR 200bn ($2.4bn) capital increase despite (in our view) being a failing business is one example. But what does it mean for Bharti, Jio and Indus?
- Chris Hoare
- Chris Hoare
Indus Towers (Neutral, pt INR 265, +18%) AMT sells Indian Towers - Im...
American Tower ("AMT") has agreed to sell its Indian Towers business, ATC India, to an affiliate of Brookfield Asset Management, with the deal expected to close in 2H 2024. The transaction values the Indian business at US$ 2 bn which implies a 5.6x EV/EBITDA, 17% above Indus’ trading multiple, but in line with our target multiple.
- Chris Hoare
- Jonathan Chaplin
The future of mobility and convergence – Day One
We just wrapped up the first day of the BCG and New Street Research Future Series conference, which this year is focused on the Future of Mobility and Convergence in the Era of AI . The first day featured discussions with American Tower, AWS, Cohere, Ericsson, IHS Towers, Microsoft, OpenAI, Qualcomm, Rakuten Symphony, T-Mobile, Verizon, and Veon.
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vital Signs: Actionable charts
In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.
RGLD ROYAL GOLD INC
WING WINGSTOP INC.
EVEREST RE GROUP LTD.
R RYDER SYSTEM INC.
NEO NEOGENOMICS INC.
MPAA MOTORCAR PARTS OF AMERICA INC.
MELI MERCADOLIBRE INC.
M MACY'S INC
LWAY LIFEWAY FOODS INC.
INTC INTEL CORPORATION
HCI HCI GROUP INC.
CB CHUBB LIMITED
ARCO ARCOS DORADOS HOLDINGS INC. CLASS A
AMT AMERICAN TOWER CORPORATION
ALL ALLSTATE CORPORATION
UVE UNIVERSAL INSURANCE HOLDINGS INC.
ABC AMERISOURCEBERGEN CORPORATION
SGC SAGIANG IMPORT EXPORT CORP
108N RCL FOODS LTD
UEC UNIMIT ENGINEERING
CCL CARNIVAL CORPORATION
THG HANOVER INSURANCE GROUP INC.
AJG ARTHUR J. GALLAGHER & CO.
WRB W. R. BERKLEY CORPORATION
CRSP CRISPR THERAPEUTICS AG
HCC WARRIOR MET COAL INC.
DESP DESPEGAR.COM CORP.
FDBC FIDELITY D&D BANCORP INC.
SONO SONOS
ALXO ALX ONCOLOGY HOLDINGS
FOUR SHIFT4 PAYMENTS
GE GENERAL ELECTRIC CO.
RXST RXSIGHT INC
ACLX ARCELLX INC
ANTX AN2 THERAPEUTICS INC
DKNG DRAFTKINGS INC.
LUXH LUXURBAN HOTELS INC
ISRG ISRAIR GROUP LTD
UTIL HORIZONS CANADIAN UTILITY SERVICES HIGH DIVIDEND INDEX ETF
MMS LYXOR MSCI EMU SMALL CAP (DR) UCITS ETF
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