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Limartha Adhiputra ... (+4)
  • Limartha Adhiputra
  • Maskun Ramli
  • Paula Ruth
  • Posmarito Pakpahan

Indonesia Daily - Thursday, April 4, 2024

Mitra Keluarga (MIKA IJ/BUY/Rp2,500/Target: Rp3,000): 4Q23: Net profit dropped 13.5% qoq; 17% net profit growth expected in 2024. Ciputra Development (CTRA IJ/HOLD/Rp1,260/Target: Rp1,370): 4Q23: NPAT in line with consensus; expect better results in the upcoming quarter. Downgrade to HOLD. Sarana Menara Nusantara (TOWR IJ/BUY/Rp855/Target: Rp1,200): 4Q23: Non-tower revenue up 18% yoy; maintain BUY. TRADERS’ CORNER Merdeka Copper Gold (MDKA IJ): Technical BUY Pertamina Geothermal Energy (PG...

Paula Ruth
  • Paula Ruth

Sarana Menara Nusantara (TOWR IJ): 4Q23: Non-Tower Revenue Up 18% yoy

TOWR’s 4Q23 net profit dropped 6% yoy and 5% qoq, mainly from rising expenses. 2023 non-tower revenue jumped 18% yoy (4Q23: +18% yoy and +13% qoq), primarily driven by the 22% expansion of FTTT network length during the period. We expect non-tower (fibre and other non-tower businesses) revenue to grow 24% yoy in 2024 (2023: 37%). Maintain BUY with an unchanged target price of Rp1,200.

Jacquelyn Yow Hui Li ... (+7)
  • Jacquelyn Yow Hui Li
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Leow Huey Chuen
  • Limartha Adhiputra
  • Paula Ruth
  • Posmarito Pakpahan
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, April 03, 2024

INDONESIA Results Mitra Keluarga (MIKA IJ/BUY/Rp2,500/Target: Rp3,000) 4Q23: Net profit dropped 13.5% qoq; 17% net profit growth expected in 2024. Ciputra Development (CTRA IJ/HOLD/Rp1,260/Target: Rp1,370) 4Q23: NPAT in line with consensus; expect better results in the upcoming quarter. Downgrade to HOLD. Sarana Menara Nusantara (TOWR IJ/BUY/Rp855/Target: Rp1,200) 4Q23: Non-tower revenue up 18% yoy; maintain BUY. MALAYSIA Sector Plantation CPO prices have surpassed those of SBO, SFO and R...

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Protelindo (Buy, TP: IDR 1,900, +123%) Q4 23 Quick Take: Slight miss; ...

Protelindo reported a slower set of results as it lapped last year’s acquisition of Alita’s FTTT assets. Revenue and EBITDA missed expectations by 1% and 3% respectively.

American Tower Corporation: Key facts and statistics - LTM September 2...

A summary company profile, detailing AMT’s business operations and financial highlights.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Chinese Telcos & Towers Outlook 2024 – Expect another good year for t...

2023 was another decent year for the telcos largely driven by Enterprise. Stocks (especially China Mobile and Telecom) outperformed the weak local index. We expect trends to last through 2024 with good revenue growth and reducing margin pressure and the potential for shareholder remuneration to surprise

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

EM Tower Trends Q3 CY23 review: Strong in Africa and China; Power dyn...

Amongst our EM Tower coverage, African TowerCos like IHS continue to trend well on topline and EBITDA, with capex expected to come down next FY; topline for Indonesian towers was driven by inorganic growth at Mitratel; China Tower was better on all fronts, with double-digit profit growth again. Indian Towers saw better EBITDA performance on lower bad debt costs, but towers revenue was weaker off Indus’ decline. We see some evidence that Telcos are seeing better bargaining power.

Jonathan Chaplin
  • Jonathan Chaplin

The future of mobility and convergence – Day One

We just wrapped up the first day of the BCG and New Street Research Future Series conference, which this year is focused on the Future of Mobility and Convergence in the Era of AI . The first day featured discussions with American Tower, AWS, Cohere, Ericsson, IHS Towers, Microsoft, OpenAI, Qualcomm, Rakuten Symphony, T-Mobile, Verizon, and Veon.

American Tower Corporation: Update to credit analysis

Our credit view reflects the issuer's strong cash flows and global diversification, offset by higher financing costs and tenant concentration.

Paula Ruth
  • Paula Ruth

Telecommunications – ISAT Would Be The Beneficiary From Home’s Fixed B...

ISAT on 27 November announced its collaboration with MNC Play by acquiring over 300,000 subscribers. This could give rise to slightly positive sentiment on ISAT as it gives more clarity on its potential inorganic growth in the fixed broadband/fixed mobile convergence business. EXCL has yet to announce the recent progress of its synergy with LINK (top 2 player in fixed broadband market). The impact might be roughly priced in for now as ISAT’s share price jumped 4% on 29 Nov 23. Maintain OVERWEIGH...

Maskun Ramli ... (+2)
  • Maskun Ramli
  • Paula Ruth

Indonesia Daily - Thursday, November 30, 2023

Telecommunications: ISAT would be the beneficiary from home’s fixed broadband consolidation; maintain OVERWEIGHT. TRADERS’ CORNER Adi Sarana Armada (ASSA IJ): Technical BUY Indah Kiat Pulp & Paper (INKP IJ): Technical BUY

Desmond Chong Chee Wai ... (+9)
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Kwanchai Atiphophai
  • Paula Ruth
  • Philip Wong
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Regional Morning Notes - Tuesday, November 21, 2023

GREATER CHINA Sector Commodities: Weekly: US dollar tumbles on easing Fed rate hike fears; industrial metals and iron ore prices spike on stimulus optimism. Results Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK/BUY/HK$16.18/Target: HK$21.60): 3Q23: Another beat on solid execution. INDONESIA Results Sarana Menara Nusantara (TOWR IJ/BUY/Rp980/Target: Rp1,200): 3Q23: Fibre and connectivity revenue (+39% yoy) were main growth drivers; Maintain BUY. MALAYSIA Results Mr D.I.Y. Group (MRDIY MK/BUY/RM1.61/Target: RM2.10): 3Q2...

Paula Ruth
  • Paula Ruth

Sarana Menara Nusantara (TOWR IJ) - 3Q23: Fibre and Connectivity Reven...

TOWR booked 3Q23 EBITDA of Rp2.5t, up 5% yoy and 1% qoq, in line with our and consensus’ estimates. Its 3Q23 net profit growth of +7% qoq showed an encouraging trend thanks to lower finance costs. 9M23 FTTT revenue rose by 68% yoy, mainly due to strong growth in its FTTT network length (around 47% yoy). We expect fibre and connectivity revenue to grow 24% yoy in 2024 with higher revenue contribution (32% in 2024 vs 27% in 2023). Maintain BUY with a target price of Rp1,200.

Maskun Ramli ... (+2)
  • Maskun Ramli
  • Paula Ruth

Indonesia Daily - Tuesday, November 21, 2023

Sarana Menara Nusantara (TOWR IJ/BUY/Rp980/Target: Rp1,200): 3Q23: Fibre and connectivity revenue (+39% yoy) were main growth drivers; Maintain BUY. TRADERS’ CORNER Saratoga Investama Sedaya (SRTG IJ): Technical BUY Astra Otoparts (AUTO IJ): Technical BUY

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vital Signs: Actionable charts

In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Protelindo (Buy, TP: IDR 1,900, +113%) Q3 23 Quick Take: Good tractio...

Protelindo printed a slower set of results but still sustained MSD growth, helped by FTTT. EBITDA slowed slightly YoY on higher marketing and G&A costs, but margin remained decent at 85%. Protelindo’s exposure to FTTT is proving worthwhile and following the industry’s shift towards convergence, we believe Protelindo stands to benefit.

Paula Ruth
  • Paula Ruth

Telecommunications – Data Traffic To Grow 18% yoy In 2024; Maintain OV...

We expect data revenue to rise 10%/9% yoy in 2023/24, mainly due to data traffic growth. The upcoming Election Day in Feb 24 may also help increase data traffic by at least 7% vs a normal day. We also believe fixed broadband revenue could accelerate slightly by 10% yoy in 2024 (2023: 9% yoy). For tower companies, fibre-to-the-tower could become an additional growth driver. We expect TOWR's revenue from FTTT and connectivity services to grow 29%/24% yoy in 2023/24 respectively. Maintain OVERWEIGH...

Maskun Ramli ... (+2)
  • Maskun Ramli
  • Paula Ruth

Indonesia Daily - Wednesday, October 25, 2023

Telecommunications: Data traffic to grow 18% yoy in 2024. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. TRADERS’ CORNER Jasa Marga (JSMR IJ): Technical BUY Unilever Indonesia (UNVR IJ): Technical BUY

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

China Tower (Buy, TP: HKD 1.7, +136%) Q3 23 Quick Take: Better overal...

China Tower reported another robust set of figures with good bottom-line growth, supported by an improvement in topline and EBITDA. YTD net profit has grown 14.8% YoY, against consensus’ 8.9% growth for the full year. Despite the recent margin pressure associated with its higher-growth Two Wings business, net profit growth has remained strong on lower depreciation and finance costs.

Chris Hoare ... (+2)
  • Chris Hoare
  • David Lopes

EM Tower Trends Faster quarter in Africa and Indonesia; IHS’ MTN Nige...

Amongst our EM Tower coverage, African TowerCos like IHS continue to trend well on topline and EBITDA; Indonesian towers reported faster EBITDA growth ahead of topline again; China Tower slowed again as Towers revenue were impacted by MSA renegotiation effective from 2023; its Two Wings business continue to show healthy growth, however. Indian towers reported better numbers, supported by Indus performance as the lower bad debt costs helped offset its higher energy costs.

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