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Guy Sips ... (+2)
  • Guy Sips
  • Thibault Leneeuw

Technology franchise Semiconductor market dynamics

In this sector note we take a close look at the semiconductor universe and go over end market dynamics, semi manufacturing trends and the impact on the WFE market. We provide detailed overviews of historical market trends and short term adjustments. We show that lower demand from China is a real risk for the WFE market, as we don't expect the non-China WFE revenues will increase with 28% y/y in 2025, which CSS implies. Our analysis shows a clear 10% risk on WFE estimates based on fundamentals, e...

Marc Hesselink ... (+3)
  • Marc Hesselink
  • CFA
  • Thymen Rundberg

ASML/Rare opportunity to buy at a discount/BUY

ASML will report its 1Q25 update on Wednesday, 16 April. We believe the update itself will still be OK but obviously the focus will be on the potential impact of tariffs and slower GDP in upcoming quarters. We lower our growth forecasts for 2H25 and FY26 and our target price to €800 per share (from €915) on the back of the increased uncertainty. We keep our BUY rating as we believe that the long-term outlook for semiconductors in general and ASML in particular remains very strong. After a c.45% ...

Charlotte Vaisse ... (+3)
  • Charlotte Vaisse
  • Oddo Sustainability Team
  • Stephane Houri
CON CONTINENTAL AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
FP TOTAL SE
VIE VEOLIA ENVIRONNEMENT SA
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
DB1 DEUTSCHE BOERSE AG
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
SU SCHNEIDER ELECTRIC SE
RNO RENAULT SA
ADS ADIDAS AG
LI KLEPIERRE SA
PUM PUMA SE
COV COVIVIO SA
ORA ORANGE SA
HO THALES SA
GFC GECINA SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
LONN LONZA GROUP AG
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
MF WENDEL SE
IDL ID LOGISTICS GROUP
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
MERY MERCIALYS SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
BLND BRITISH LAND COMPANY PLC
VIRP VIRBAC SA
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
GEBN GEBERIT AG
RWE RWE AG
SAF SAFRAN S.A.
BOL BOLLORE SA
ICAD ICADE SA
BYG BIG YELLOW GROUP PLC
COFB COFINIMMO SA
CRG CRH PLC
TUB TUBACEX S.A.
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
VASTB VASTNED RETAIL BELGIUM NV
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
UBS UBM DEVELOPMENT AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CARM CARMILA SAS
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
KGX KION GROUP AG
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
SAFE SAFESTORE HOLDINGS PLC
ANDR ANDRITZ AG
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
RACE FERRARI NV
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
IMP IMPACT DEVELOPER & CONTRACTOR S.A.
LAND LAND SECURITIES GROUP PLC
MVC METROVACESA SA
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
CTPNV CTP NV
ONE ONE UNITED PROPERTIES SA
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
Charlotte Vaisse ... (+3)
  • Charlotte Vaisse
  • Oddo Sustainability Team
  • Stephane Houri
CON CONTINENTAL AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
FP TOTAL SE
VIE VEOLIA ENVIRONNEMENT SA
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
DB1 DEUTSCHE BOERSE AG
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
SU SCHNEIDER ELECTRIC SE
RNO RENAULT SA
ADS ADIDAS AG
LI KLEPIERRE SA
PUM PUMA SE
COV COVIVIO SA
ORA ORANGE SA
HO THALES SA
GFC GECINA SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
LONN LONZA GROUP AG
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
MF WENDEL SE
IDL ID LOGISTICS GROUP
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
MERY MERCIALYS SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
BLND BRITISH LAND COMPANY PLC
VIRP VIRBAC SA
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
GEBN GEBERIT AG
RWE RWE AG
SAF SAFRAN S.A.
BOL BOLLORE SA
ICAD ICADE SA
BYG BIG YELLOW GROUP PLC
COFB COFINIMMO SA
CRG CRH PLC
TUB TUBACEX S.A.
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
VASTB VASTNED RETAIL BELGIUM NV
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
UBS UBM DEVELOPMENT AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CARM CARMILA SAS
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
KGX KION GROUP AG
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
SAFE SAFESTORE HOLDINGS PLC
ANDR ANDRITZ AG
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
RACE FERRARI NV
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
IMP IMPACT DEVELOPER & CONTRACTOR S.A.
LAND LAND SECURITIES GROUP PLC
MVC METROVACESA SA
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
CTPNV CTP NV
ONE ONE UNITED PROPERTIES SA
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
Charlotte Vaisse ... (+3)
  • Charlotte Vaisse
  • Oddo Sustainability Team
  • Stephane Houri
FP TOTAL SE
VIE VEOLIA ENVIRONNEMENT SA
TEMN TEMENOS AG
SU SCHNEIDER ELECTRIC SE
RNO RENAULT SA
ADS ADIDAS AG
LI KLEPIERRE SA
COV COVIVIO SA
ORA ORANGE SA
BFIT BASIC-FIT NV
GFC GECINA SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
RCO REMY COINTREAU SA
LONN LONZA GROUP AG
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
MF WENDEL SE
IDL ID LOGISTICS GROUP
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
MERY MERCIALYS SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
FAGR FAGRON SA
BLND BRITISH LAND COMPANY PLC
VIRP VIRBAC SA
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
GEBN GEBERIT AG
RWE RWE AG
SAF SAFRAN S.A.
BOL BOLLORE SA
ICAD ICADE SA
BYG BIG YELLOW GROUP PLC
COFB COFINIMMO SA
CRG CRH PLC
TUB TUBACEX S.A.
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
VASTB VASTNED RETAIL BELGIUM NV
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
UBS UBM DEVELOPMENT AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
SLIGR SLIGRO FOOD GROUP N.V.
FDR FLUIDRA S.A.
CARM CARMILA SAS
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
KGX KION GROUP AG
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
ALVDM VOYAGEURS DU MONDE SA
SAFE SAFESTORE HOLDINGS PLC
ANDR ANDRITZ AG
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
RACE FERRARI NV
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
SAE SHOP APOTHEKE EUROPE NV
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
IMP IMPACT DEVELOPER & CONTRACTOR S.A.
LAND LAND SECURITIES GROUP PLC
MVC METROVACESA SA
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
FQT FREQUENTIS AG WIENER
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
NXFIL NX FILTRATION HLDG BV
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
CTPNV CTP NV
ONE ONE UNITED PROPERTIES SA
DEME DEME GROUP NV
STM STABILUS SE
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED

Moody's Ratings announces completion of a periodic review of ratings o...

Moody's Ratings (Moody's) has completed a periodic review of the ratings of ASML Holding N.V. and other ratings that are associated with this issuer. The review was conducted through a rating committee held on 4 April 2025 in which we reassessed the appropriateness of the ratings in the context of ...

Applied Materials Inc: 1 director

A director at Applied Materials Inc bought 50,000 shares at 137.302USD and the significance rating of the trade was 68/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two year...

Guy Sips ... (+11)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

US Tariffs Navigating the impact on Benelux equities

Trumps reciprocal tariffs caused a massive blow to equity markets, following a pressured period of escalating trade wars. Retaliatory measures can further heavily damage market confidence, as seen Friday when China announced their 34% tarrif of US goods. International trade policies have never moved this erratic and untransparant, with uncertainty and volatility being the baseline for now. In this report we highlight the key stocks in our coverage relevant to this discussion.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Semiconductors in the crash: Relative valuations walked back 15 years...

As we brace for another tough Monday, we share with you this morning our usual quarterly and extensive review of where fundamentals, expectations, and valuations stand in semis, although, this time, in light of the steep pullback of the last couple of days, and the last couple of months. Over the next 30 slides. We did our best to articulate our expectations for earnings revisions with where we stand on valuation already, and the fundamental backdrop, segment by segment. We conclude with a very...

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Short Shots: Technically Vulnerable Stocks

Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.

 PRESS RELEASE

ASML reports transactions under its current share buyback program

ASML reports transactions under its current share buyback program ASML reports transactions under its current share buyback program VELDHOVEN, the Netherlands – ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) reports the following transactions, conducted under ASML's current share buyback program. DateTotal repurchased sharesWeighted average priceTotal repurchased value31-Mar-25106,323€609.61€64,815,37301-Apr-25105,553€614.05€64,815,25202-Apr-25105,118€616.60€64,815,45403-Apr-25110,305€587.60€64,815,52704-Apr-25114,243€567.35€64,815,275 ASML’s current share buyback program was announced on 10 November 2022, and ...

Pelham Smithers
  • Pelham Smithers

PSA Strategy: Japan Stock Market Quarterly for 2025 Q2

In this quarterly strategy report, we look to evaluate where we are with regards the bull market conditions, and where those indicators might be headed, factoring in the downside risks, from Trump tariffs and the US economy, BoJ actions, Japanese earnings and valuations.

 PRESS RELEASE

ASML reports transactions under its current share buyback program

ASML reports transactions under its current share buyback program ASML reports transactions under its current share buyback program VELDHOVEN, the Netherlands – ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) reports the following transactions, conducted under ASML's current share buyback program. DateTotal repurchased sharesWeighted average priceTotal repurchased value24-Mar-2596,325€672.88€64,815,18525-Mar-2596,012€675.07€64,815,09026-Mar-2597,384€665.56€64,814,97327-Mar-2599,944€648.51€64,814,74328-Mar-25102,421€632.83€64,814,999 ASML’s current share buyback program was announced on 10 November 2022, and deta...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

ARC-AGI-2: Pushing the measure of intelligence beyond test-time comput...

The ARC team has announced ARC-AGI-2 and published initial benchmarking results, after ARC-AGI-1 got saturated by o3. The race to AGI is reset. Fascinating. ​​​​​For what all investors need to understand about the most important benchmark of the industry, summarized on a single slide, see the attached article.

Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman

A-rated TMT credit investments/Better credits at similar spreads

This report updates credit investors on opportunities in the single-A TMT space. We argue that the notes of Relx, Swisscom, and ASML look attractive. The notes of SAP and Telenor look to trade at fair value. We provide a summary of our general findings, followed by company descriptions.

 PRESS RELEASE

ASML reports transactions under its current share buyback program

ASML reports transactions under its current share buyback program ASML reports transactions under its current share buyback program VELDHOVEN, the Netherlands – ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) reports the following transactions, conducted under ASML's current share buyback program. DateTotal repurchased sharesWeighted average priceTotal repurchased value17-Mar-2598,177€660.19€64,815,17918-Mar-2597,070€667.71€64,815,06619-Mar-2596,945€668.58€64,815,02320-Mar-2595,828€676.36€64,814,63821-Mar-2598,073€660.88€64,814,671 ASML’s current share buyback program was announced on 10 November 2022, and detai...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

The Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible 4Q24

We publish today our comprehensive quarterly bible: 240 pages of detailed analyses on what happened in the last 3 months, and how we interpret it, in light of our current convictions. The first section acts as a PM summary, outlining our key findings, and latest thoughts on the semi cycle, in 6 slides.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Bible 4Q24 – Memory: AI HBM accelerating, cycle elsewhere close to a b...

Today, we are publishing the Memory section of our 26th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. DRAM COGS increased 7% QoQ, with HBM up 65%, accounting for virtually all the growth. HBM demand remains strong, with revenues expected to more than double in 2025. The non-datacenter outlook is still blea...

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