In this sector note we take a close look at the semiconductor universe and go over end market dynamics, semi manufacturing trends and the impact on the WFE market. We provide detailed overviews of historical market trends and short term adjustments. We show that lower demand from China is a real risk for the WFE market, as we don't expect the non-China WFE revenues will increase with 28% y/y in 2025, which CSS implies. Our analysis shows a clear 10% risk on WFE estimates based on fundamentals, e...
ASML will report its 1Q25 update on Wednesday, 16 April. We believe the update itself will still be OK but obviously the focus will be on the potential impact of tariffs and slower GDP in upcoming quarters. We lower our growth forecasts for 2H25 and FY26 and our target price to €800 per share (from €915) on the back of the increased uncertainty. We keep our BUY rating as we believe that the long-term outlook for semiconductors in general and ASML in particular remains very strong. After a c.45% ...
Moody's Ratings (Moody's) has completed a periodic review of the ratings of ASML Holding N.V. and other ratings that are associated with this issuer. The review was conducted through a rating committee held on 4 April 2025 in which we reassessed the appropriateness of the ratings in the context of ...
A director at Applied Materials Inc bought 50,000 shares at 137.302USD and the significance rating of the trade was 68/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two year...
Trumps reciprocal tariffs caused a massive blow to equity markets, following a pressured period of escalating trade wars. Retaliatory measures can further heavily damage market confidence, as seen Friday when China announced their 34% tarrif of US goods. International trade policies have never moved this erratic and untransparant, with uncertainty and volatility being the baseline for now. In this report we highlight the key stocks in our coverage relevant to this discussion.
As we brace for another tough Monday, we share with you this morning our usual quarterly and extensive review of where fundamentals, expectations, and valuations stand in semis, although, this time, in light of the steep pullback of the last couple of days, and the last couple of months. Over the next 30 slides. We did our best to articulate our expectations for earnings revisions with where we stand on valuation already, and the fundamental backdrop, segment by segment. We conclude with a very...
Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.
ASML reports transactions under its current share buyback program ASML reports transactions under its current share buyback program VELDHOVEN, the Netherlands – ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) reports the following transactions, conducted under ASML's current share buyback program. DateTotal repurchased sharesWeighted average priceTotal repurchased value31-Mar-25106,323€609.61€64,815,37301-Apr-25105,553€614.05€64,815,25202-Apr-25105,118€616.60€64,815,45403-Apr-25110,305€587.60€64,815,52704-Apr-25114,243€567.35€64,815,275 ASML’s current share buyback program was announced on 10 November 2022, and ...
In this quarterly strategy report, we look to evaluate where we are with regards the bull market conditions, and where those indicators might be headed, factoring in the downside risks, from Trump tariffs and the US economy, BoJ actions, Japanese earnings and valuations.
ASML reports transactions under its current share buyback program ASML reports transactions under its current share buyback program VELDHOVEN, the Netherlands – ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) reports the following transactions, conducted under ASML's current share buyback program. DateTotal repurchased sharesWeighted average priceTotal repurchased value24-Mar-2596,325€672.88€64,815,18525-Mar-2596,012€675.07€64,815,09026-Mar-2597,384€665.56€64,814,97327-Mar-2599,944€648.51€64,814,74328-Mar-25102,421€632.83€64,814,999 ASML’s current share buyback program was announced on 10 November 2022, and deta...
The ARC team has announced ARC-AGI-2 and published initial benchmarking results, after ARC-AGI-1 got saturated by o3. The race to AGI is reset. Fascinating. For what all investors need to understand about the most important benchmark of the industry, summarized on a single slide, see the attached article.
This report updates credit investors on opportunities in the single-A TMT space. We argue that the notes of Relx, Swisscom, and ASML look attractive. The notes of SAP and Telenor look to trade at fair value. We provide a summary of our general findings, followed by company descriptions.
ASML reports transactions under its current share buyback program ASML reports transactions under its current share buyback program VELDHOVEN, the Netherlands – ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) reports the following transactions, conducted under ASML's current share buyback program. DateTotal repurchased sharesWeighted average priceTotal repurchased value17-Mar-2598,177€660.19€64,815,17918-Mar-2597,070€667.71€64,815,06619-Mar-2596,945€668.58€64,815,02320-Mar-2595,828€676.36€64,814,63821-Mar-2598,073€660.88€64,814,671 ASML’s current share buyback program was announced on 10 November 2022, and detai...
We publish today our comprehensive quarterly bible: 240 pages of detailed analyses on what happened in the last 3 months, and how we interpret it, in light of our current convictions. The first section acts as a PM summary, outlining our key findings, and latest thoughts on the semi cycle, in 6 slides.
Today, we are publishing the Memory section of our 26th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. DRAM COGS increased 7% QoQ, with HBM up 65%, accounting for virtually all the growth. HBM demand remains strong, with revenues expected to more than double in 2025. The non-datacenter outlook is still blea...
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