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Chong Lee Len
  • Chong Lee Len

Telecommunications - MOF Inc Set To Exit DNB; DNB’s Operating Losses T...

MOF Inc Set To Exit DNB; DNB’s Operating Losses To Pressure Shareholders’ Bottom Line Highlights  MOF Inc has exercised its put options in relation to its existing 41.67% stake in DNB, requiring CelcomDigi, Maxis and YTL Power International (YTL Power) to each fork out RM327.9m to honour the shareholders’ agreement.  We expect DNB to operate at a loss (2025 estimated loss is RM1b) in the near term. Our sensitivity analysis suggests -10% and -12% impact to 2026 earnings forecasts for CelcomDigi...

Chong Lee Len ... (+8)
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Johnny Yum
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Kong Ho Meng
  • Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Thursday, December 04, 2025

Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: December Conviction Calls Market consolidation slowed in November as expectations of a 25bp Fed cut improved sentiment. The HSI and MSCI China fell 0.2% and 2.4% mom amid weak data and limited catalysts. While the upcoming Economic Work Conference may offer a catalyst to end this phase, we remain cautious, preferring defensives and oversold names. We add BeOne Medicines, HKEX, NetEase and Plover Bay to BUY, take profit on AIA, and cut losses on Jacobson,...

Chong Lee Len
  • Chong Lee Len

Telecommunications - MOF Exercises Put Options For Its 41.67% Stake In...

MOF Exercises Put Options For Its 41.67% Stake In DNB Highlights  In a recent Bursa announcement by CelcomDigi and Maxis, the Ministry of Finance (MOF) has exercised its put options in relations to its existing 41.67% stake in Digital Nasional Bhd (DNB).  The put option notice requires the three investor shareholders, CelcomDigi, Maxis and YTL Power International to purchase the ordinary shares in DNB owned by MOF and take over the MOF loan together with accrued interest. The trio is required ...

Chong Lee Len
  • Chong Lee Len

CelcomDigi (CDB MK) - 3Q25: Below Expectations; Margin Compression To ...

3Q25: Below Expectations; Margin Compression To Persist Highlights  CelcomDigi reported a 3Q25 core net profit of RM400m (-7% qoq; -8% yoy), excluding a one-off bad debt provision expense and device rebate reversal. This brings 9M25 core net profit to RM1,262m, accounting for 70% and 73% of our and consensus full-year estimates respectively. We deem the results below expectations.  We cut our 2025-27 earnings estimates by 3-6% on the back of higher depreciation charges, bad debt charges and hi...

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+16)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Gigi Cheuk
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Joyce Chu
  • Kate Luang
  • Keith Wee Teck Keong
  • Ken Lee
  • Philip Wong
  • Posmarito Pakpahan
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
  • Thanawat Thangchadakorn

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, November 18, 2025

Greater China Company Results | Geely Auto (175 HK/BUY/HK$17.20/Target: HK$42.00 Geely’s 3Q25 results meet expectations with GAAP net profit/core net profit growing 58%/19% yoy and 6%/24% qoq to Rmb3.82b/Rmb3.96b respectively. Earnings growth will be driven by a strong product cycle, optimisation of sales mix, penetration into overseas markets, and consolidation of its brand portfolios. We maintain our 2025-27 earnings estimates. Maintain BUY with an unchanged target price of HK$42.00 pegged...

Chong Lee Len
  • Chong Lee Len

Maxis (MAXIS MK) - 3Q25: Strong Results; Margin Expansion Promotes EBI...

3Q25: Strong Results; Margin Expansion Promotes EBITDA Target Revision Highlights  Maxis recorded strong 3Q25 results, with net profit reported at RM412m (+13% yoy; +4% qoq) on the back of cost discipline and higher service and enterprise revenue base. This brought 9M25 net profit to RM1,181m, making up 79% of house and street estimates. We deem the results to be in line with expectations.  Maxis declared a third interim DPS of 4 sen (76% payout) and revised its EBITDA guidance to a mid-single...

Audrey Celia ... (+11)
  • Audrey Celia
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Philip Wong
  • Suryaputra Wijaksana
  • Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
  • Tham Mun Hon
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Monday, November 10, 2025

Greater China Economics | Inflation October CPI turned positive at 0.2% yoy (+0.5ppt), as food deflation eased to -2.9% yoy, with fresh vegetables and fruits recovering, though pork stayed weak. Core CPI inflation rose to a year-high 1.2% yoy, with both goods and services inflation picking up. Notable strength was observed in other products & services and transportation & communication. PPI deflation narrowed to -2.1% yoy, driven by improvements in mining, raw materials, and downstream consumer ...

Chong Lee Len
  • Chong Lee Len

Telecommunications - Capitalising On Enterprise Segment Amid Saturated...

Capitalising On Enterprise Segment Amid Saturated Mobile Landscape Highlights  The enterprise segment is expected to drive revenue expansion among telco players as the saturated mobile market experiences a muted subscriber and ARPU outlook.  In the recent Budget 2026, the government is allocating up to RM780m to expand fibre coverage to more than 2,700 locations under JENDELA 2. This will benefit telco infrastructure players and MNOs.  The sector trades at 8x EV/EBITDA, +2SD above the mean. M...

Benjaphol Suthwanish ... (+11)
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Benyamin Mikael
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Sunny Chen
  • Suryaputra Wijaksana
  • Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
  • Tham Mun Hon

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Thursday, October 16, 2025

Greater China Economics | Inflation September’s CPI inflation improved slightly to -0.3% yoy (+0.1ppt), with core CPI reaching a ytd high of 1.0% yoy. However, food prices remained weak (-4.4% yoy), led by a 17% yoy fall in pork prices. PPI deflation eased to -2.3% yoy (+0.6ppt), with broad recovery in mining and quarrying and raw metal materials. Looking ahead, look out for improvement in consumer goods PPI inflation, which should be indicative of a sustainable improvement in pricing power....

Malaysia Research Team
  • Malaysia Research Team

Telecommunications - TM Leads Peers On The Path To Full Compliance Of ...

TM Leads Peers On The Path To Full Compliance Of Bursa Malaysia’s NSRF Highlights  Malaysian telcos appear to be well-equipped to meet Bursa Malaysia’s sustainability reporting requirements, progressively aligning disclosures with Task Force on Climate-related Financial Disclosures (TCFD) pillars and the NSRF.  In addition, our ESG scoring suggests that TM and Maxis are ahead of their peers when it comes to ESG undertakings.  The sector trades at 8x EV/EBITDA, +2SD above mean. Maintain MARKET...

Chong Lee Len ... (+10)
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Lester Siew
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Posmarito Pakpahan
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Suryaputra Wijaksana
  • Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, September 24, 2025

Greater China Company Update | Miniso (MNSO US/BUY/US$23.53/Target: US$26.80) Miniso’s qtd business performance was in line with management’s expectations. Domestically, it has 12 Miniso Land stores, with a payback period of 3-4 months. Overseas, adjustments were implemented in the US market following the appointment of the new CEO, who has over 15 years of experience in local retailing. On proprietary IP strategy, Yoyo’s sales are expected to exceed Rmb100m in 2026. Management expects propr...

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Malaysian Telcos Q2 25 review: Still pressured by Prepaid but reitera...

Service revenue improved to almost flat (-0.3% YoY from -1.1%), supported by Fibre growth and Postpaid growth offsetting Prepaid weakness. Operationally, Maxis delivered stronger EBITDA growth on cost efficiencies while CelcomDigi was weighed by higher bad debt provisions. Both reiterated their LSD service revenue guidance, implying a stronger second half.

Chong Lee Len
  • Chong Lee Len

Telecommunications - 2Q25: Results In Line; Continued Pre-To-Postpaid ...

2Q25: Results In Line; Continued Pre-To-Postpaid Migration Broadly, 2Q25 sector earnings came in within expectations, except for Axiata and CelcomDigi. After the 2Q25 results announcement, we cut our earnings forecasts by 6%. The quarter was characterised by: a) 2% qoq service revenue growth, b) cost discipline, c) encouraging enterprise business pipeline, and d) robust demand for fibre. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT; catalysts include Axiata’s infrastructure asset monetisation and CelcomDigi’s synergi...

Arsit Pamaranont ... (+6)
  • Arsit Pamaranont
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Posmarito Pakpahan
  • Tham Mun Hon

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Thursday, September 11, 2025

Greater China Economics | Inflation China’s August CPI returned to deflation at -0.4% yoy (-0.4ppt), below consensus, led by a sharper fall in food prices (-4.3% yoy) which includes a 16.1% yoy drop in pork prices. In contrast, core CPI rose to a ytd high of 0.9% (+0.1ppt), underpinned by services inflation. PPI deflation eased to -2.9% yoy (+0.7ppt), reflecting upstream stabilisation in mining and raw materials. The CPI-PPI divergence underscores fragile consumer demand. Broader policy supp...

Chong Lee Len
  • Chong Lee Len

Maxis (MAXIS MK) - 2Q25: In Line; Cost Discipline Driving Underlying P...

2Q25: In Line; Cost Discipline Driving Underlying Profits Maxis registered robust 2Q25 net profit of RM398m (+11.8% yoy; +7.3% qoq). This brings 1H25 net profit to RM769m – a commendable 9% yoy growth. We deem the results to be in line with expectations, with 1H25 net profit making up 51% and 52% of house and street estimates. Earnings were largely driven by stable topline and good cost discipline. Maxis declared a second interim net DPS of 4 sen/share (79% payout). Maintain BUY with a DCF-based...

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+22)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Colin Lee
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Gigi Cheuk
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Jack Lai Yuan Khai
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Kate Luang
  • Ken Lee
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Ming San Soong
  • Posmarito Pakpahan
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Wei Xiang Ku
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, August 22, 2025

GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile: Weekly: YOY PV sales growth turns positive on price cuts. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: CATL, Geely and Tuopu. Results AAC Technologies (2018 HK/BUY/HK$43.72/Target: HK$57.70): 1H25: Margins miss due to transition period; meaningful recovery in 2H25. Maintain BUY. AIA Group (1299 HK/BUY/HK$73.45/Target: HK$91.00): 1H25: In-line VONB growth; strong OPAT beat. EVE Energy (300014 HK/HOLD/ Rmb48.07/Target: Rmb50.00): 2Q25: Earnings miss due to lowe...

Chong Lee Len
  • Chong Lee Len

CelcomDigi (CDB MK) - 2Q25: Slightly Below Expectations; On Track to A...

2Q25: Slightly Below Expectations; On Track to Achieve FY25 Guidance CelcomDigi reported 2Q25 core net profit of RM439m (+7% yoy; +2% qoq), attributed to solid contributions from the enterprise and home and fibre segments, coupled with operating cost savings. However, this came in slightly below our expectations on the back of weak prepaid revenue contributions and elevated provisions for doubtful debts. We trim 2025 net profit forecasts by 5%. Maintain BUY with a DCF-based target price of RM4.3...

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+19)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Gigi Cheuk
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kate Luang
  • Keith Wee Teck Keong
  • Ming San Soong
  • Philip Wong
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
  • Willinoy Sitorus
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, August 19, 2025

GREATER CHINA Strategy Small-Mid Cap Monthly: Keeping an eye on JBM Healthcare’s upcoming marketing campaigns in 2H25. Results China Resources Building Materials Technology (1313 HK/BUY/HK$1.92/Target: HK$2.30): 1H25: In line; cement margins rebound, concrete delivers growth. Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group Company (3692 HK/BUY/HK$37.06/Target: HK$50.00): 1H25: Results beat; increases revenue growth guidance to high double-digit. Sino Biopharmaceutical (1177 HK/BUY/HK$7.91/Target: HK$10.50): 1H25: R...

Chong Lee Len
  • Chong Lee Len

Telecommunications - Additional RM600m Of Shareholder Advance Invested...

Additional RM600m Of Shareholder Advance Invested Into DNB In a Bursa Malaysia announcement, both CelcomDigi and Maxis announced that they have each contributed an additional shareholder advance of RM116,666,667 on 15 Aug 25 at the request of Digital Nasional (DNB). Concurrently, YTL Power International (YTL) and MOF Inc. also injected RM116,666,667 and RM250,202,928 respectively into the additional shareholder advance exercise, bringing the total to RM600,202,929. Of the total RM600m additional...

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Malaysian Telcos Q1 25 review: Weaker service revenue impacted by pre...

Service revenue trends deteriorated in Q1, impacted by one-offs and ongoing prepaid competition. On an underlying basis, both CelcomDigi and Maxis were stable YoY. Still, EBITDA managed to inflect to positive territory (although barely). Both remained confident in delivering low-single digit service revenue growth in 2025 as they build up their Enterprise segments.

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